Fantasy Football Best Ball: Taking Advantage Of Early WR ADP At Underdog

The 2024 rookie wide receiver class has been touted as one of the best and deepest we have ever seen. And we have obviously extensively covered the Top Rookie Picks in our 2024 Best Ball Guide & Cheat Sheet. From top dogs like Marvin Harrison Jr. and Malik Nabers down to sleepers like Javon Baker and Brenden Rice, there’s always upside to be had with the rookies. But not every team gets to land a stud wide receiver in the draft. And there’s a lot of value to be had with the incumbent guys on teams that completely whiffed.
So that’s what we’ll focus on today. I’ve done a bunch of early best ball drafts and I can assure you that ADP is a mess. Which means that sharp gamers like us can take advantage before that is corrected. There are some many angles to take in our Best Ball Guide that we have no problem sharing a couple tips here for free but make sure to pick up your copy of that if you truly want to dominate. And win your share of the $15 million dollars worth of prizes in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania V contest which is open now!
I’ve already been in those best ball streets early putting in the work for us. And I can assure you, it’s all over the place out there. We’ve already hit on quarterback sleepers at ADP, and then Friday we focused on ADP Values at Running Back. Today we dig in and look at the wide receiver position.
This is merely a sample of the kind of analysis and the ranking goodness that you get in the Fantasy Alarm Best Ball Guide so don’t forget to pick up your copy today if you like winning money!
Jameson Williams, WR, Detroit Lions
I figured that after letting Josh Reynolds walk, the Lions would be in a spot to draft a big-bodied split end. There were a TON of them in this draft and not just at the top with Marvin Harrison Jr., Rome Odunze, Brian Thomas Jr, and Keon Coleman in the top part of the draft. Plus, they could have made an even bigger splash with a trade for Tee Higgins or Brandon Aiyuk on draft day. Instead, they did none of that.
So now the comments by Dan Campbell that Jameson Williams will push to be a “full time starter” are much more interesting. Because he’s easily the best receiver on the team right now opposite Amon-Ra St. Brown. He’s had a slow start as he was coming off a torn ACL as a rookie and suffering a hamstring injury early last season but there is a reason the Lions traded up to draft him - he was arguably the best wide receiver in his class. And, even with Sam LaPorta and the running backs, he’s the exact kind of guy that can break off big plays. Despite his limited usage, he already has multiple 40+ yard catches, including a 60+ yard play as well as a 40 yard rush and a touchdown on the ground. Boom/bust players like that can be inconsistent from week to week but in best ball we don’t have to worry about that; we get the big plays with none of the bad ones. So we’ll definitely grab some Jamo at WR51 off the board.
Brandin Cooks, WR, Dallas Cowboys
“All In”. That’s what Jerry Jones said. That they were going “all in” this offseason. If by that he meant they would sign virtually no free agents and draft exclusively offensive line and defense, then they definitely went “all in”. As we talked about in the Sleeper Best Ball Running Back article with Ezekiel Elliott, we need to accept what actually happened here and use that to our advantage. Cowboys fans need to accept it as well.
Not only did they not draft a wide receiver or tight end, but Michael Gallup is gone too. CeeDee Lamb is already getting 150+ targets every year so he really can’t get much more. Last year he easily led the league with 181. And god forbid he were to go down with an injury. There really aren’t any great free agent wide receivers left out there and the Cowboys don’t have the cap space to trade for and then pay a big name so both Brandin Cooks and Jalen Tolbert are likely in line for a lot of snaps this year. Cooks was a young prospect coming into the league at only 21 so he actually feels a lot older than 30 years old. Tyreek Hill is a consensus top three WR and top five pick in this format and he and Cooks are the same age. And they both have the speed to make you pay and crack lineups. Obviously, Cooks isn’t Tyreek Hill but he also doesn’t go off the board as the WR2. Cooks is being drafted as the WR64 currently. We’ve identified the perfect spot in our 2024 Best Ball Cheat Sheet where you can safely grab Cooks without overpaying.
Rashid Shaheed, WR, New Orleans Saints
There’s a common theme here in this article. The Saints finally moved on from their big split end Michael Thomas this offseason. And he might not be the same guy that once garnered 185 targets. But, despite getting hurt two snaps into Week 10, he was essentially on pace for 120 targets. So you would think the Saints would be in consideration to replace Thomas with another big bodied pass catcher in either free agency or the draft. But they didn’t select wide receiver until they took Jerrod “Bub” Means on day three of the NFL Draft in the fifth round. And they didn’t draft a tight end either.
Chris Olave is obviously the top dog here. He’ll play flanker in two-wide receiver sets and dabble in the slot. A.T. Perry stepped up as the big bodied split end on the outside last year with Thomas out as he’s 6’5” 205 pounds. And he’s not a bad late dart throw either. But the most exciting New Orleans receiver for this format has to be Rashid Shaheed. His ability to get behind defenses and break off big chunk plays is perfect for the best ball format because we get all of the good with none of the bad. Derek Carr offers zero mobility so he’s always going to be a “throw first” player and the Saints could easily be top 10 in pass attempts like they were last year. As of now, Shaheed goes outside the top 125 picks at WR57 so fairly affordable in drafts. Jameson Williams, Rashid Shaheed, and Brandin Cooks all go outside of the top eight rounds so, if everyone is leaning into “Zero RB”, you can scoop these guys up back-to-back.
Player News
Free agent WR Chase Claypool revealed the severity of the toe injury he suffered in July 2024.
In a social media post, the 26-year-old receiver explains that he “tore a ligament and tendon” in his second toe on his left foot and has “been rehabbing, working out, and recovering everyday for the past year.” This explains his extended absence. Following the injury, Claypool was briefly placed on injured reserve in August 2024 before being released with an injury settlement. He is “back to being the strongest and fastest” he’s ever been and is “excited to step back out on the field.”
Free agent LB Jason Pierre-Paul hopes to sign with an NFL team, ideally the Giants, in “a full-circle moment.”
Per ESPN’s Jordan Raanan, “Pierre-Paul still believes he can help a team, that he can be a veteran closer.” The 36-year-old has continued training to remain NFL-ready despite failing to find a suitor for the 2024 season. He logged 22 defensive snaps, playing for both the Saints and Dolphins in 2023. His last sack occurred as a Raven, in a Wild Card Weekend loss to the Bengals in the prior season. Sitting at 94.5 career sacks, Pierre-Paul hopes to reach 100 as a part-time player in 2025.
The CFL’s Toronto Argonauts claimed Shedeur Sanders’ negotiating rights in case Sanders one day chooses to leave the NFL for the CFL.
There is no indication that Sanders is in contact with the Argonauts and we do not expect Sanders to leave the NFL for the CFL at this time. Every year in early July, just before NFL training camps begin, the CFL allows its teams to claim NFL players’ negotiating rights, on the off chance that the player is released or waived by his team and decides to pursue a career in Canada. Per the CFL’s Marshall Ferguson, “the CFL began releasing a few names here and there periodically, but now the full list is available for all to see from each of the nine teams.” Fans can rest assured that their high-profile, fifth-round rookie remains a Cleveland Brown.
Free agent CB Stephon Gilmore wants to play football in “the right situation” this season.
The 34-year-old veteran visited the Cowboys pre-draft but left without a contract. Gilmore is no longer an above-average starter, but he did force eight incompletions and record one interception last year. A playoff contender could benefit from signing Gilmore as an experienced option, but teams tend to not have high valuations on older cornerbacks.
ESPN’s Turron Davenport reports that Titans QB Cam Ward is adjusting to the NFL’s speed and field width while learning how to adjust protection against the blitz.
Ward is learning through trial and error, as many rookies do. The young quarterback is now aware that an open receiver in the NFL looks far different than it did in college, even when targeting a linebacker’s coverage. The NFL’s condensed field spacing has also reportedly required Ward to improve his awareness against the blitz. Per Davenport, Ward successfully showcased a lightbulb moment in this regard, which occurred “during team period when Ward recognized where the pressure was coming from and checked to a different protection to block it up.” Ward also notably signaled an audible to Calvin Ridley and connected with the veteran receiver for a touchdown. These are positive steps for a quarterback who currently profiles as a QB2 in re-draft formats.
Speaking to Rich Eisen about the Steelers’ contract talks with EDGE T.J. Watt, NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero said the “most likely” outcome is that the two sides agree to an extension that resets the market before the season opener.
Pelissero recently reported that the Steelers do not plan to trade Watt, and Watt’s record-setting goals are well known, so the most recent report makes sense. The team will do its best to ensure team-friendly outs exist later in the deal, but for now, Watt appears to be on track for a hefty payday sometime before September 7th. Pelissero states succinctly, Watt’s expected extension “is going to be north of Myles Garrett—it is going to be upwards of $40 million per year.”