NBA DFS Picks, Projections, Lineups, Injuries & More Today: Thursday Playbook

Published: Feb 06, 2025
Happy trade deadline day on this Thursday, February 6th! We have a six-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. Lock is a half hour later than usual at 7:30 ET so we will have some time to digest any trades that go down prior to the 3:00 trade deadline. Luka Doncic and Anthony Davis are not yet expected to make their debuts in their new threads, and there are some injuries to discuss as well. Let's dive in!
Be sure to join our Discord for updates and chatter closer to lineup lock, and tune into our live show at 5 p.m. ET.
Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.
- News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
- Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
- Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
- NBA DFS Projections
- Lineup Generator
- NBA Ownership
NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, February 6th
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Pre/Post-Lock Update
This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock.
Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.
UPDATE 5:00 PM ET
- Aaron Gordon and Jamal Murray are listed questionable for the Nuggets
- Slight downgrade for Braun and Porter from when they were written up if AG and Murray are both able to play.
UPDATE 5:25 PM ET
- Jrue Holiday - OUT
- Notable usage bumps with Holiday off the floor – Tatum +3.3%, Porzingis 2.6%, Brown 2.3%, White 2.3%
UPDATE 6:15 PM ET
- Anthony Davis - OUT
UPDATE 7:25 PM ET
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope - Available
- Jalen Suggs - OUT
- Gary Harris - OUT
NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 2/6
- Anthony Davis - OUT
- Dereck Lively - OUT
- P.J. Washington - OUT
- Jrue Holiday - OUT
- Fred VanVleet - OUT
- Steven Adams - OUT
- Julius Randle - OUT
- Jalen Suggs - OUT
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope - Available
- Gary Harris - OUT
- Jamal Murray - Q
- Aaron Gordon - Q
- Moses Moody - Q
- Gui Santos - Q
- Luka Doncic - OUT
NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews
In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads. Not every game is listed, but every game listed has the pace and defensive numbers listed.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics
- Total: 231.5
- Spread: BOS -11
Houston Rockets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Total: 214
- Spread: HOU -1.5
Orlando Magic vs. Denver Nuggets
- Total: 219.5
- Spread: DEN -7
Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Total: 222.5
- Spread: LAL -8
Sacramento Kings vs. Portland Trail Blazers
- Total: 230.5
- Spread: POR -1
Indiana Pacers vs. Los Angeles Clippers
- Total: 229
- Spread: LAC -5.5
NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks
Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now. (UPDATED: 6:07 p.m. ET)
High
Mid
- Austin Reaves, Stephen Curry, Franz Wagner, Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Ivica Zubac, Anfernee Simons, Naz Reid, Michael Porter, Rui Hachimura
Value
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Pos (Click to sort ascending) | Player (Click to sort ascending) | Matchup (Click to sort ascending) | DK (Click to sort ascending) | DK Pts (Click to sort ascending) | FD (Click to sort ascending) | FD Pts (Click to sort ascending) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PG | Stephen Curry | GSW @ LAL Thu 10:00 | 8200 | 43.7 | 8500 | 41.4 |
The ceiling games have become somewhat scarce for Steph Curry, but the Warriors are shorthanded while they await the arrival of Jimmy Butler. The Lakers rank just 19th in DRtg and have traded away two of their top defenders in Anthony Davis and Max Christie. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | James Harden | IND @ LAC Thu 10:30 | 9000 | 47.6 | 9200 | 45.9 |
Harden is coming off a dud in which he shot just 2-of-12 from the floor, but this is a nice bounce back spot. He gets an up-tempo matchup against Indiana, who ranks 6th in pace. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PG | Kyrie Irving | DAL @ BOS Thu 7:30 | 8700 | 43 | 8900 | 41.5 |
Kyrie has played at least 37 minutes and attempted 20+ field goals in three straight games. Anthony Davis's debut is imminent, but it does not appear to be coming tonight. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PG | Jamal Murray | ORL @ DEN Thu 9:00 | 7800 | 37.5 | 8300 | 37.3 |
Tough matchup for Murray and the Nuggets, but they are still a bit shorthanded. Murray attempted just seven shots last night, as Jokic and MPJ were busy shooting the lights out. Murray had been seeing nice volume prior to that and he has been playing mid-to-upper-30s minutes on a nightly basis. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Austin Reaves | GSW @ LAL Thu 10:00 | 8300 | 41.6 | 7900 | 39.8 |
The Lakers have won their last three games by a combined 79 points. Reaves will again be a huge part of the offense with Luka Doncic not yet ready to debut for his new team. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PG | Malik Monk | SAC @ POR Thu 10:00 | 7700 | 38.1 | 7800 | 37.2 |
The Kings were blown out last night, as Zach LaVine made his Kings debut. It is unknown how this new-look version of the team will operate, and it may take some time to find chemistry, but Monk should have a nice role as the main ball handler and distributor with De'Aaron Fox gone. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SG | Anthony Edwards | HOU @ MIN Thu 8:00 | 9700 | 46.6 | 9700 | 44.5 |
Edwards has been on an absolute tear lately, with an average of 59.5 FP per game in his last four contests. The matchup is a tough one, but the projected ownership is very attractive for this matchup-proof superstar. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SG | Anfernee Simons | SAC @ POR Thu 10:00 | 6500 | 34.6 | 6500 | 32.5 |
I could see this new version of the Kings really struggling on the defensive end, and Portland is actually a slight favorite here. Simons has been inconsistent with his shot, but the ceiling is enormous if he gets them to fall. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SG | Christian Braun | ORL @ DEN Thu 9:00 | 5500 | 30.9 | 5700 | 31.4 |
Braun has seen a nice uptick in his role with Russell Westbrook out of the lineup. Braun played just 29 minutes in last night's blow out of the Pels. He was up over 38 minutes in the two games prior without Westbrook. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Brandin Podziemski | GSW @ LAL Thu 10:00 | 4400 | 30.7 | 5100 | 30.4 |
Wiggins, Schroder, Waters, and Anderson are no longer Warriors, Kuminga remains out, and Jimmy Butler is not yet ready to debut. TJD and Moody could also miss tonight, but Podz should have a huge role regardless of their availability. He started and played nearly 40 minutes in the lone game since the trade. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Buddy Hield | GSW @ LAL Thu 10:00 | 4200 | 29.4 | 4600 | 27.8 |
As I mentioned in the Podziemski blurb, the Warriors are very shorthanded tonight. Hield saw 31 minutes of action in a similar situation last game and will be needed in the offense. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Amen Thompson | HOU @ MIN Thu 8:00 | 8400 | 42.8 | 8600 | 42.2 |
Thompson gets a tough matchup in Minnesota, but he will again have a massive role with Fred VanVleet and Jabari Smith still out. He has played well enough over the last month that I am willing to call him matchup proof at this point (see monster games against Boston and Cleveland as evidence.) Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SF | Franz Wagner | ORL @ DEN Thu 9:00 | 8500 | 43 | 8400 | 42.7 |
The breakout for Franz Wagner was rudely interrupted with an injury, but he has returned and picked up right where he left off. I love this spot for him tonight with Aaron Gordon still out. Franz should be matchup up with MPJ and Braun an awful lot. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Jaylen Brown | DAL @ BOS Thu 7:30 | 8000 | 40.1 | 8200 | 38.8 |
Boston has the highest team total on the slate and gets a matchup with a depleted Mavs roster. The massive trade (Davis and Martin not yet available) and multiple injuries (Lively, Washington) have left this team shorthanded for the moment. Brown is a consistent producer with 50+ FP upside. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SF | Norman Powell | IND @ LAC Thu 10:30 | 6900 | 36.8 | 7300 | 34.8 |
Powell has been extremely efficient offensively and gets a nice up-tempo matchup against the Pacers. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SF | Michael Porter | ORL @ DEN Thu 9:00 | 6400 | 36 | 7000 | 35.1 |
MPJ is coming off consecutive ceiling performances with two of his better games of the season. He gets a tough matchup against the Magic, but Gordon, Westbrook, and Watson remain out. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Rui Hachimura | GSW @ LAL Thu 10:00 | 5300 | 30.6 | 6000 | 30.9 |
AD, Christie, Knecht, and Reddish have been shipped out, and Luka and Williams are not yet available. Rui should see 30+ minutes and an increased role. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PF | LeBron James | GSW @ LAL Thu 10:00 | 10800 | 56.8 | 10400 | 52.7 |
LeBron has a massive floor/ceiling combination tonight with AD off to Dallas and Luka Doncic not yet ready to make his debut. He gets a Warriors roster that is also in trade limbo on the other side. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PF | Jayson Tatum | DAL @ BOS Thu 7:30 | 9800 | 49.3 | 10100 | 47.4 |
Boston has the highest team total on the slate and gets a matchup with a depleted Mavs roster. The massive trade (Davis and Martin not yet available) and multiple injuries (Lively, Washington) have left this team shorthanded for the moment. Tatum is a consistent producer with 65+ FP upside. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PF | Naz Reid | HOU @ MIN Thu 8:00 | 6300 | 37.7 | 7000 | 37.5 |
Naz has absolutely smashed in his last two games without Julius Randle. This is definitely his toughest matchup of the three games, but the salary tag is lower than it should be given his current role. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PF | Draymond Green | GSW @ LAL Thu 10:00 | 6000 | 32.8 | 5800 | 32.6 |
We saw Draymond play over 34 minutes last game with this shorthanded roster. I have ceiling concerns for GPP, but he has a very strong floor. Game Type: CASH | ||||||
PF | Tari Eason | HOU @ MIN Thu 8:00 | 5200 | 26.1 | 5600 | 27.9 |
Fred VanVleet and Jabari Smith are out, which could open up a path to more minutes for Eason. He has always been an excellent fantasy point per minute producer, so that is very intriguing. It is a difficult matchup and minutes are not a certainty, so definitely best left for large-field GPPs. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
C | Nikola Jokić | ORL @ DEN Thu 9:00 | 12800 | 73 | 12900 | 67.3 |
Jokic is not necessarily a priority for me tonight given the difficult matchup against the Magic, rising salary tag, and other slate dynamics. There is value littered throughout the $5,000 and $6,000 range, but nothing super cheap that I feel great about. That said, Jokic is awesome and totally matchup proof. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Domantas Sabonis | SAC @ POR Thu 10:00 | 9600 | 51.7 | 10000 | 48.4 |
This Kings team is definitely in a transition period with De'Aaron Fox traded away and Zach LaVine joining the squad. The field might shy away given the uncertainty here, which gives me large-field GPP interest in Sabonis. It is an excellent matchup against Portland, who ranks 23rd in DRtg. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
C | Kristaps Porziņģis | DAL @ BOS Thu 7:30 | 7500 | 38.4 | 8200 | 38.9 |
Dallas lacks size behind Gafford, who has been prone to foul trouble in his career. Anthony Davis is not yet expected to be available; Washington, Lively, Powell are out, and Kleber has been traded. Boston has the highest team total on the slate. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
C | Ivica Zubac | IND @ LAC Thu 10:30 | 7200 | 39.3 | 7500 | 37.8 |
Indiana has allowed the 6th-most points in the paint (where Zubac does nearly all his damage) and plays at the 6th fastest pace in the league. Zubac has flashed big-time ceiling this season, even at times with Kawhi Leonard back in the lineup. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Daniel Gafford | DAL @ BOS Thu 7:30 | 7100 | 46.2 | 7700 | 46.5 |
Gafford has played 30+ minutes in three straight games and should do so again as long as he stays out of foul trouble. Game Type: GPP |
Stephen Curry, PG | 8200 , 43.7 | 43.7 | 8500 , 41.4 | 41.4 | ||
The ceiling games have become somewhat scarce for Steph Curry, but the Warriors are shorthanded while they await the arrival of Jimmy Butler. The Lakers rank just 19th in DRtg and have traded away two of their top defenders in Anthony Davis and Max Christie. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
James Harden, PG | 9000 , 47.6 | 47.6 | 9200 , 45.9 | 45.9 | ||
Harden is coming off a dud in which he shot just 2-of-12 from the floor, but this is a nice bounce back spot. He gets an up-tempo matchup against Indiana, who ranks 6th in pace. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Kyrie Irving, PG | 8700 , 43 | 43 | 8900 , 41.5 | 41.5 | ||
Kyrie has played at least 37 minutes and attempted 20+ field goals in three straight games. Anthony Davis's debut is imminent, but it does not appear to be coming tonight. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Jamal Murray, PG | 7800 , 37.5 | 37.5 | 8300 , 37.3 | 37.3 | ||
Tough matchup for Murray and the Nuggets, but they are still a bit shorthanded. Murray attempted just seven shots last night, as Jokic and MPJ were busy shooting the lights out. Murray had been seeing nice volume prior to that and he has been playing mid-to-upper-30s minutes on a nightly basis. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Austin Reaves, PG | 8300 , 41.6 | 41.6 | 7900 , 39.8 | 39.8 | ||
The Lakers have won their last three games by a combined 79 points. Reaves will again be a huge part of the offense with Luka Doncic not yet ready to debut for his new team. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Malik Monk, PG | 7700 , 38.1 | 38.1 | 7800 , 37.2 | 37.2 | ||
The Kings were blown out last night, as Zach LaVine made his Kings debut. It is unknown how this new-look version of the team will operate, and it may take some time to find chemistry, but Monk should have a nice role as the main ball handler and distributor with De'Aaron Fox gone. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Anthony Edwards, SG | 9700 , 46.6 | 46.6 | 9700 , 44.5 | 44.5 | ||
Edwards has been on an absolute tear lately, with an average of 59.5 FP per game in his last four contests. The matchup is a tough one, but the projected ownership is very attractive for this matchup-proof superstar. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Anfernee Simons, SG | 6500 , 34.6 | 34.6 | 6500 , 32.5 | 32.5 | ||
I could see this new version of the Kings really struggling on the defensive end, and Portland is actually a slight favorite here. Simons has been inconsistent with his shot, but the ceiling is enormous if he gets them to fall. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Christian Braun, SG | 5500 , 30.9 | 30.9 | 5700 , 31.4 | 31.4 | ||
Braun has seen a nice uptick in his role with Russell Westbrook out of the lineup. Braun played just 29 minutes in last night's blow out of the Pels. He was up over 38 minutes in the two games prior without Westbrook. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
4400 , 30.7 | 30.7 | 5100 , 30.4 | 30.4 | |||
Wiggins, Schroder, Waters, and Anderson are no longer Warriors, Kuminga remains out, and Jimmy Butler is not yet ready to debut. TJD and Moody could also miss tonight, but Podz should have a huge role regardless of their availability. He started and played nearly 40 minutes in the lone game since the trade. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Buddy Hield, SG | 4200 , 29.4 | 29.4 | 4600 , 27.8 | 27.8 | ||
As I mentioned in the Podziemski blurb, the Warriors are very shorthanded tonight. Hield saw 31 minutes of action in a similar situation last game and will be needed in the offense. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Amen Thompson, SF | 8400 , 42.8 | 42.8 | 8600 , 42.2 | 42.2 | ||
Thompson gets a tough matchup in Minnesota, but he will again have a massive role with Fred VanVleet and Jabari Smith still out. He has played well enough over the last month that I am willing to call him matchup proof at this point (see monster games against Boston and Cleveland as evidence.) Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Franz Wagner, SF | 8500 , 43 | 43 | 8400 , 42.7 | 42.7 | ||
The breakout for Franz Wagner was rudely interrupted with an injury, but he has returned and picked up right where he left off. I love this spot for him tonight with Aaron Gordon still out. Franz should be matchup up with MPJ and Braun an awful lot. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Jaylen Brown, SF | 8000 , 40.1 | 40.1 | 8200 , 38.8 | 38.8 | ||
Boston has the highest team total on the slate and gets a matchup with a depleted Mavs roster. The massive trade (Davis and Martin not yet available) and multiple injuries (Lively, Washington) have left this team shorthanded for the moment. Brown is a consistent producer with 50+ FP upside. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Norman Powell, SF | 6900 , 36.8 | 36.8 | 7300 , 34.8 | 34.8 | ||
Powell has been extremely efficient offensively and gets a nice up-tempo matchup against the Pacers. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Michael Porter, SF | 6400 , 36 | 36 | 7000 , 35.1 | 35.1 | ||
MPJ is coming off consecutive ceiling performances with two of his better games of the season. He gets a tough matchup against the Magic, but Gordon, Westbrook, and Watson remain out. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Rui Hachimura, SF | 5300 , 30.6 | 30.6 | 6000 , 30.9 | 30.9 | ||
AD, Christie, Knecht, and Reddish have been shipped out, and Luka and Williams are not yet available. Rui should see 30+ minutes and an increased role. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
LeBron James, PF | 10800 , 56.8 | 56.8 | 10400 , 52.7 | 52.7 | ||
LeBron has a massive floor/ceiling combination tonight with AD off to Dallas and Luka Doncic not yet ready to make his debut. He gets a Warriors roster that is also in trade limbo on the other side. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Jayson Tatum, PF | 9800 , 49.3 | 49.3 | 10100 , 47.4 | 47.4 | ||
Boston has the highest team total on the slate and gets a matchup with a depleted Mavs roster. The massive trade (Davis and Martin not yet available) and multiple injuries (Lively, Washington) have left this team shorthanded for the moment. Tatum is a consistent producer with 65+ FP upside. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Naz Reid, PF | 6300 , 37.7 | 37.7 | 7000 , 37.5 | 37.5 | ||
Naz has absolutely smashed in his last two games without Julius Randle. This is definitely his toughest matchup of the three games, but the salary tag is lower than it should be given his current role. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Draymond Green, PF | 6000 , 32.8 | 32.8 | 5800 , 32.6 | 32.6 | ||
We saw Draymond play over 34 minutes last game with this shorthanded roster. I have ceiling concerns for GPP, but he has a very strong floor. Game Type: CASH | ||||||
Tari Eason, PF | 5200 , 26.1 | 26.1 | 5600 , 27.9 | 27.9 | ||
Fred VanVleet and Jabari Smith are out, which could open up a path to more minutes for Eason. He has always been an excellent fantasy point per minute producer, so that is very intriguing. It is a difficult matchup and minutes are not a certainty, so definitely best left for large-field GPPs. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
12800 , 73 | 73 | 12900 , 67.3 | 67.3 | |||
Jokic is not necessarily a priority for me tonight given the difficult matchup against the Magic, rising salary tag, and other slate dynamics. There is value littered throughout the $5,000 and $6,000 range, but nothing super cheap that I feel great about. That said, Jokic is awesome and totally matchup proof. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
9600 , 51.7 | 51.7 | 10000 , 48.4 | 48.4 | |||
This Kings team is definitely in a transition period with De'Aaron Fox traded away and Zach LaVine joining the squad. The field might shy away given the uncertainty here, which gives me large-field GPP interest in Sabonis. It is an excellent matchup against Portland, who ranks 23rd in DRtg. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
7500 , 38.4 | 38.4 | 8200 , 38.9 | 38.9 | |||
Dallas lacks size behind Gafford, who has been prone to foul trouble in his career. Anthony Davis is not yet expected to be available; Washington, Lively, Powell are out, and Kleber has been traded. Boston has the highest team total on the slate. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Ivica Zubac, C | 7200 , 39.3 | 39.3 | 7500 , 37.8 | 37.8 | ||
Indiana has allowed the 6th-most points in the paint (where Zubac does nearly all his damage) and plays at the 6th fastest pace in the league. Zubac has flashed big-time ceiling this season, even at times with Kawhi Leonard back in the lineup. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
7100 , 46.2 | 46.2 | 7700 , 46.5 | 46.5 | |||
Gafford has played 30+ minutes in three straight games and should do so again as long as he stays out of foul trouble. Game Type: GPP |