Happy Sunday, March 30th, we have a six-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and a seven-game main slate on FanDuel.

The stars are out as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Anthony Edwards, Alperen Sengun, and Trae Young are taking the floor. Some names that are questionable are Cade Cunningham, Kelly Olynyk, Anfernee Simons, and Zion Williamson, Mark Williams, and CJ McCollum have already been ruled out.

 

 

 

Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.

  • News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
  • Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
  • Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
  • NBA DFS Projections
  • Lineup Generator
  • NBA Ownership

NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, March 30th

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Pre/Post-Lock Update

This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock. 

Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.

All status updates after contest roster lock will be made in the Fantasy Alarm Discord: https://discord.gg/2yATJxXe8G

3:30 pm ET

  • Quentin Grimes has been ruled out. Last b2b in this same scenario, Jared Butler started and played 32 minutes. Ricky Council IV started and played 32 minutes. Jeff Dowtin Jr. came off the bench played 22 minutes. Lonnie Walker wasn't available. We'll definitely have interest here depending who's starting.
  • Adem Bona started and played 29.5 minutes yesterday. He started alongside Guerschon Yabusele who's now listed as QUEST. Bona should have even more opportunity at the 5 today if Yabu sits.

6:40 pm ET

  • Antonio Reeves is starting for NOLA. Core play. Straight bucket getter. Elfrid Payton is still a solid GPP play off the bench.

NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 3/30

 

 

NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews

In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads. Not every game is listed, but every game listed has the pace and defensive numbers listed.

 

 

NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks

Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.

High

Mid

Value

Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
DK Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
FD Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
PGTrae YoungATL @ MIL Sun 7:00950047.8930043.6

Young's been fantastic lately and the scoring has been on one too. Without Johnson, Bogdanovic and Capela this year, he's averaging a 32.5% USG and averages 1.3 FP/min. This is such a fun game and clearly the best on the board.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGStephen CurryGSW @ SAS Sun 7:00910044.4880042

The Spurs have finally been surpassed by the 76ers as the worst defense of the month, but 29th isn't exactly great. Curry played 33 minutes upon returning from injury so there's no concerns about limitations.

Game Type: GPP
PGDennis SchröderDET @ MIN Sun 7:00580031600029.8

Like we said last time out, we're not fading Dennis Schroder because of a foul trouble laden game. If/when Cade is officially ruled out, we're just playing Schroder again. He has a 24% USG and averages 1.08 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGKJ SimpsonCHA @ NOP Sun 7:00440025.6480025.3

We should see KJ Simpson start here with LaMelo Ball out for the year. He's been very solid as a starter, he just needs to keep his hands to himself because he's in foul trouble often, lol. This matchup comes against the 30th ranked defense in the league.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGRyan RollinsATL @ MIL Sun 7:00410029.9500030.4

We've sniffed this one out. Giannis in = Rollins starting. Giannis out = KPJ starts. I think Rollins' is a solid play here because his defense will be needed on Trae Young. If he makes shots he has a great ceiling at 4.1K.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGElfrid PaytonCHA @ NOP Sun 7:00330025.2450025.5

As of now, I'd list Elfrid Payton as a GPP play, but if Jordan Hawkins is ruled out, we'll reconfigure our thoughts. He's played 23+ minutes in b2b games and has 23+ DKP and 10+ assists in each. The minutes weren't trending great in the 1st half of last game before the blowout, just for the record.

Game Type: GPP
SGAnthony EdwardsDET @ MIN Sun 7:00990046.1950043.8

This isn't the easiest spot, but Edwards has a ceiling that I love exploring when his shot is falling.

Game Type: GPP
SGDyson DanielsATL @ MIL Sun 7:00740035.3790037.4

Daniels has many different paths to success and if he puts them altogether in one game, his ceiling is HIGH, especially in this game environment.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGMalik BeasleyDET @ MIN Sun 7:00560026540024.5

If Beasley makes shots he has a massive ceiling. He's the second leading scorer on DET and without Cade Cunningham, his USG is great.

Game Type: GPP
SGNick SmithCHA @ NOP Sun 7:00430025.3430023.8

The Charlotte injury report is incredibly long and there's a chance we see Smith enter the starting lineup. He has a pretty high ceiling at this price when his shot is falling.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFBruce BrownCHA @ NOP Sun 7:00470028.5490028.7

Brown slotted right back into the starting lineup last game and played 32 minutes scoring 36 DKP. NOLA is very short-handed and Brown should be plugged into the 30 minutes again.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFVít KrejčíATL @ MIL Sun 7:00370021.3430021.2

This is in the playbook if the Hawks go back to starting Kejci again. Not sure they will, but he was impactful as a starter. He should have a solid role if Caris LeVert (quest) sits out.

Game Type: GPP
SFAmen ThompsonHOU @ PHX Sun 9:00830033.8860034.9

Thompson only played 28 minutes last time out but it's disguised by early foul trouble that limited him to just 4 1st Q minutes. Thompson still had 43 DKP in that game and is in an elite game environment in this one. He has a massive ceiling because of his ability to do basically everything is so high.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFKyle KuzmaATL @ MIL Sun 7:00640031.7630030.2

I don't love the Kyle Kuzma price, truthfully, but I do like the aggressiveness last time out taking 18 shots over 38 minutes. It helped Kuzma that KPJ moved to the bench and they're without Lillard. He's definitively the second option offensively. 

Game Type: GPP
PFGiannis AntetokounmpoATL @ MIL Sun 7:001190061.71190059.9

Getting to Giannis is great here. Atlanta is going to struggle to guard him and he's very popular.  He has a massive ceiling and a great floor.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFMiles BridgesCHA @ NOP Sun 7:00900046840044.5

When you simply take Ball, Miller, Williams, and Mann off the floor, Miles Bridges has a 6% USG bump up to 34% and averages 1.34 FP/min. He missed all of his shots last time out, but he has a great ceiling. 

Game Type: GPP
PFTobias HarrisDET @ MIN Sun 7:00620030.9660031.2

Looks like we're going to get the return of Tobias Harris after a one-game absence. It's not an easy spot, but without Cunningham and Ivey, Tobias Harris has a 22% USG and averages 1.08 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFKeldon JohnsonGSW @ SAS Sun 7:00510029.3540028.7

In GPPs, Keldon Johnson is interesting, especially with how poor SF is. It's a bad position. Johnson has played 27+ minutes in two straight games and has 35 DKP in each.

Game Type: GPP
PFJeremy SochanGSW @ SAS Sun 7:00490028.5560028.5

It's worth mentioning that Charles Bassey is going to make his return here so there's just more depth at C for SA. I'd assume they start Sochan at C again because he played so well last time out, but the Spurs change their center starter game-to-game.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFTidjane SalaünCHA @ NOP Sun 7:00330020.7420020.3

He's not exactly the best FP/min player, but the lotto pick from this years draft has shown a little bit of late. He's coming off a double-double and although he's listed as Q, he will play mid-20s minutes if he suits up. He likely won't start, but he's so cheap on DK that he's firmly in play.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CAlperen ŞengünHOU @ PHX Sun 9:00960045900043.5

The price is what it is, but it should depress the ownership a bit. He's great per minute sitting at 1.37 FP/min without Tari Eason this year and has a 27.8% USG as well. Phoenix is a bottom-10 defense in the league this year to boot. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CRudy GobertDET @ MIN Sun 7:00670032.8680032.4

Gobert is scoring much better as he's poured in 15+ points in three straight games but that could come to an end in an instant. That said, this whole game will be spent in a paint battle against Jalen Duren and the Pistons are a team attacking the rim constantly. DET is fifth in pts in the paint. There are a lot of shot blocking opportunity.

Game Type: GPP
CYves MissiCHA @ NOP Sun 7:00470024.2520025.2

Missi has settled into a high 20s minutes role and has been highly productive. When he scores to go along with his elite rebounding, he has a high ceiling at this price. Could have a slightly higher minutes cap if Kelly Olynyk (Q) is ruled out.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CJusuf NurkićCHA @ NOP Sun 7:00380027.2470026.8

Nurk is a chalk monster and a great play at that. Nurkic has been a 1.24 FP/min player since joining the Hornets. Without Ball & Williams this year, Nurkic is up at 1.37 FP/min and has a 23% USG.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CMoussa DiabatéCHA @ NOP Sun 7:00310020.6410021.3

The last time that we saw Mark Williams miss, the Hornets went with a center split between Nurkic and Diabate and even gave us some Taj Gibson/Diabate overlay as well. Diabate is so cheap and you could absolutely get here even if he plays low-20's minutes. He's a good FP/min player.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFDeni AvdijaPOR @ NYK Sun 6:0042.1810041

FD ONLY - The Trail Blazers are down a bunch of key pieces and potentially without Anfernee Simons too as he's listed as questionable. It could be the Deni Avdija show on Sunday.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CKarl-Anthony TownsPOR @ NYK Sun 6:0056.11000053.2

FD ONLY - Guy has a massive ceiling. Without Brunson and McBride this year, Towns has a 35% USG and averages 1.6 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFOG AnunobyPOR @ NYK Sun 6:0039780039.1

FD ONLY - Anunoby has been fantastic lately and he's scored 23+ actual points in five straight along with 35+ FDP in four of them. He's put up 40+ in four of five as well.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGDelon WrightPOR @ NYK Sun 6:0021.5400022.7

FD ONLY - Wright was very solid in his debut start with the Knicks playing 30 minutes and tallying 22.6 FDP. He's just 4K in this one and is in line to play similar minutes and have a similar stat line.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9500 , 47.8
47.8
9300 , 43.6
43.6

Young's been fantastic lately and the scoring has been on one too. Without Johnson, Bogdanovic and Capela this year, he's averaging a 32.5% USG and averages 1.3 FP/min. This is such a fun game and clearly the best on the board.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9100 , 44.4
44.4
8800 , 42
42

The Spurs have finally been surpassed by the 76ers as the worst defense of the month, but 29th isn't exactly great. Curry played 33 minutes upon returning from injury so there's no concerns about limitations.

Game Type: GPP
5800 , 31
31
6000 , 29.8
29.8

Like we said last time out, we're not fading Dennis Schroder because of a foul trouble laden game. If/when Cade is officially ruled out, we're just playing Schroder again. He has a 24% USG and averages 1.08 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4400 , 25.6
25.6
4800 , 25.3
25.3

We should see KJ Simpson start here with LaMelo Ball out for the year. He's been very solid as a starter, he just needs to keep his hands to himself because he's in foul trouble often, lol. This matchup comes against the 30th ranked defense in the league.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4100 , 29.9
29.9
5000 , 30.4
30.4

We've sniffed this one out. Giannis in = Rollins starting. Giannis out = KPJ starts. I think Rollins' is a solid play here because his defense will be needed on Trae Young. If he makes shots he has a great ceiling at 4.1K.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3300 , 25.2
25.2
4500 , 25.5
25.5

As of now, I'd list Elfrid Payton as a GPP play, but if Jordan Hawkins is ruled out, we'll reconfigure our thoughts. He's played 23+ minutes in b2b games and has 23+ DKP and 10+ assists in each. The minutes weren't trending great in the 1st half of last game before the blowout, just for the record.

Game Type: GPP
9900 , 46.1
46.1
9500 , 43.8
43.8

This isn't the easiest spot, but Edwards has a ceiling that I love exploring when his shot is falling.

Game Type: GPP
7400 , 35.3
35.3
7900 , 37.4
37.4

Daniels has many different paths to success and if he puts them altogether in one game, his ceiling is HIGH, especially in this game environment.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5600 , 26
26
5400 , 24.5
24.5

If Beasley makes shots he has a massive ceiling. He's the second leading scorer on DET and without Cade Cunningham, his USG is great.

Game Type: GPP
4300 , 25.3
25.3
4300 , 23.8
23.8

The Charlotte injury report is incredibly long and there's a chance we see Smith enter the starting lineup. He has a pretty high ceiling at this price when his shot is falling.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4700 , 28.5
28.5
4900 , 28.7
28.7

Brown slotted right back into the starting lineup last game and played 32 minutes scoring 36 DKP. NOLA is very short-handed and Brown should be plugged into the 30 minutes again.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3700 , 21.3
21.3
4300 , 21.2
21.2

This is in the playbook if the Hawks go back to starting Kejci again. Not sure they will, but he was impactful as a starter. He should have a solid role if Caris LeVert (quest) sits out.

Game Type: GPP
8300 , 33.8
33.8
8600 , 34.9
34.9

Thompson only played 28 minutes last time out but it's disguised by early foul trouble that limited him to just 4 1st Q minutes. Thompson still had 43 DKP in that game and is in an elite game environment in this one. He has a massive ceiling because of his ability to do basically everything is so high.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
Weather: Mostly sunny
6400 , 31.7
31.7
6300 , 30.2
30.2

I don't love the Kyle Kuzma price, truthfully, but I do like the aggressiveness last time out taking 18 shots over 38 minutes. It helped Kuzma that KPJ moved to the bench and they're without Lillard. He's definitively the second option offensively. 

Game Type: GPP
11900 , 61.7
61.7
11900 , 59.9
59.9

Getting to Giannis is great here. Atlanta is going to struggle to guard him and he's very popular.  He has a massive ceiling and a great floor.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9000 , 46
46
8400 , 44.5
44.5

When you simply take Ball, Miller, Williams, and Mann off the floor, Miles Bridges has a 6% USG bump up to 34% and averages 1.34 FP/min. He missed all of his shots last time out, but he has a great ceiling. 

Game Type: GPP
6200 , 30.9
30.9
6600 , 31.2
31.2

Looks like we're going to get the return of Tobias Harris after a one-game absence. It's not an easy spot, but without Cunningham and Ivey, Tobias Harris has a 22% USG and averages 1.08 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5100 , 29.3
29.3
5400 , 28.7
28.7

In GPPs, Keldon Johnson is interesting, especially with how poor SF is. It's a bad position. Johnson has played 27+ minutes in two straight games and has 35 DKP in each.

Game Type: GPP
4900 , 28.5
28.5
5600 , 28.5
28.5

It's worth mentioning that Charles Bassey is going to make his return here so there's just more depth at C for SA. I'd assume they start Sochan at C again because he played so well last time out, but the Spurs change their center starter game-to-game.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3300 , 20.7
20.7
4200 , 20.3
20.3

He's not exactly the best FP/min player, but the lotto pick from this years draft has shown a little bit of late. He's coming off a double-double and although he's listed as Q, he will play mid-20s minutes if he suits up. He likely won't start, but he's so cheap on DK that he's firmly in play.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9600 , 45
45
9000 , 43.5
43.5

The price is what it is, but it should depress the ownership a bit. He's great per minute sitting at 1.37 FP/min without Tari Eason this year and has a 27.8% USG as well. Phoenix is a bottom-10 defense in the league this year to boot. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
Weather: Mostly sunny
6700 , 32.8
32.8
6800 , 32.4
32.4

Gobert is scoring much better as he's poured in 15+ points in three straight games but that could come to an end in an instant. That said, this whole game will be spent in a paint battle against Jalen Duren and the Pistons are a team attacking the rim constantly. DET is fifth in pts in the paint. There are a lot of shot blocking opportunity.

Game Type: GPP
4700 , 24.2
24.2
5200 , 25.2
25.2

Missi has settled into a high 20s minutes role and has been highly productive. When he scores to go along with his elite rebounding, he has a high ceiling at this price. Could have a slightly higher minutes cap if Kelly Olynyk (Q) is ruled out.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3800 , 27.2
27.2
4700 , 26.8
26.8

Nurk is a chalk monster and a great play at that. Nurkic has been a 1.24 FP/min player since joining the Hornets. Without Ball & Williams this year, Nurkic is up at 1.37 FP/min and has a 23% USG.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3100 , 20.6
20.6
4100 , 21.3
21.3

The last time that we saw Mark Williams miss, the Hornets went with a center split between Nurkic and Diabate and even gave us some Taj Gibson/Diabate overlay as well. Diabate is so cheap and you could absolutely get here even if he plays low-20's minutes. He's a good FP/min player.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 42.1
42.1
8100 , 41
41

FD ONLY - The Trail Blazers are down a bunch of key pieces and potentially without Anfernee Simons too as he's listed as questionable. It could be the Deni Avdija show on Sunday.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 56.1
56.1
10000 , 53.2
53.2

FD ONLY - Guy has a massive ceiling. Without Brunson and McBride this year, Towns has a 35% USG and averages 1.6 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 39
39
7800 , 39.1
39.1

FD ONLY - Anunoby has been fantastic lately and he's scored 23+ actual points in five straight along with 35+ FDP in four of them. He's put up 40+ in four of five as well.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 21.5
21.5
4000 , 22.7
22.7

FD ONLY - Wright was very solid in his debut start with the Knicks playing 30 minutes and tallying 22.6 FDP. He's just 4K in this one and is in line to play similar minutes and have a similar stat line.

Game Type: CASH & GPP