NBA DFS Picks, Projections, Lineups, Injuries & More Today: Sunday Playbook

Published: Dec 08, 2024
Happy Sunday, December 8th, FAmily! We have a six-game NBA DFS main slate on both DraftKings and FanDuel today. Both main slates kick off at 7:00 pm ET despite games being played ALL DAY today. We have three teams on back-to-backs and a LOT of star power showing up on the injury report as Victor Wembanyama, LeBron James, and James Harden are all questionable. Let's dive into the NBA DFS Playbook for today!
Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.
- News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
- Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
- Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
- NBA DFS Projections
- Lineup Generator
- NBA Ownership
NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, December 8th
Pre-Lock Update
This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock.
Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.
3:10 pm ET
- The same exact Wizards team is playing today. A few things to consider: it's a back-to-back. They're 11-point dogs. Minutes could be lighter on starters, some backups could be extended in blowout. There's a LOT to like about Washington's starters, and if you're thinking game theory, a lot to like about some backups/younger players like Carlton Carrington, Jared Butler, Marvin Bagley.
6:20 pm ET
- Ja Morant & Desmond Bane are OUT.
- Marcus Smart 1.4 FP/min, 28% USG w/o them + Edey, Kennard & Williams
- Scotty Pippen 1.17 FP/min w/o them + Edey, Kennard & Williams
- Santi Aldama 1.15 FP/min w/o them + Edey, Kennard & Williams
8:00 pm ET
- LeBron James has been downgraded to DOUBT. It's very hard to ignore Anthony Davis. Rui Hachimura & Dalton Knecht become two plays that are also considered tier-1 options.
- James Harden is OUT. Norman Powell gets a 10% USG bump & 1.47 FP/min. Kevin Porter gets a 4% USG bump & 1.26 FP/min.
- Fred VanVleet is OUT. Amen Thompson is starting in his place. 1.24 FP/min without Eason/VanVleet out.
NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 12/8
- Anthony Davis - PROB
- Victor Wembanyama - IN
- LeBron James - DOUBT (downgrade)
- James Harden - OUT
- Brandon Ingram - OUT
- Fred VanVleet - OUT
- Lauri Markkanen - IN
- Andrew Wiggins - OUT
- Kyle Kuzma - OUT
- Austin Reaves - DOUBT
- Malcolm Brogdon - OUT
- Jordan Clarkson - OUT
- Alex Sarr - OUT
- Tari Eason - OUT
- Scoot Henderson - QUEST
- Toumani Camara - QUEST (upgrade)
- Corey Kispert - OUT
- Kris Dunn - IN
- Kyshawn George - OUT
- Mo Bamba - OUT
- Moses Moody - IN
- Ja Morant - OUT
- Desmond Bane - OUT
- Luke Kennard - OUT
- Daniel Theis - OUT
NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews
With the NBA season just kicking off we don't have data yet for teams regarding pace of play and defensive matchups. In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads.
Memphis Grizzlies @ Washington Wizards
- Total: 240
- Spread: MEM -11.5
- Grizzlies are 2nd in pace, Wizards are 4th in pace
- Grizzlies are 7th in DRtg, Wizards are 30th in DRtg
- Total: 232.5
- Spread: SAC -12
- Jazz are 27th in DRtg, Kings are 14th in DRtg
New Orleans Pelicans @ San Antonio Spurs
- Total: 226.5
- Spread: SAS -5.5
- Pelicans are 29th in DRtg, Spurs are 17th in DRtg
Portland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Lakers
- Total: 224.5
- Spread: LAL -8.5
- Trail Blazers are 12th in pace, Lakers are 19th in pace
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors
- Total: 216.5
- Spread: GSW -1
- Timberwolves are 24th in pace, Warriors 6th in pace
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Clippers
- Total: 215.5
- Spread: HOU -3
NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks
Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.
High
- Anthony Davis, Victor Wembanyama, Alperen Sengun
Mid
- De'Aaron Fox, Dejounte Murray, CJ McCollum, Jordan Poole, Jaren Jackson, Amen Thompson, Norman Powell
Value
- Jonas Valanciunas, Justin Champagnie, Carlton Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Scotty Pippen Jr., Marcus Smart, Santi Aldama, Kevin Porter, Dalton Knecht, Rui Hachimura
Pos (Click to sort ascending) | Player (Click to sort ascending) | Matchup (Click to sort ascending) | DK (Click to sort ascending) | DK Pts (Click to sort ascending) | FD (Click to sort ascending) | FD Pts (Click to sort ascending) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PG | De'Aaron Fox | NOP @ SAS Sun 7:00 | 8900 | 0 | 9000 | 0 |
It's been a very balanced attack for Sacramento and there are a LOT of cooks in the kitchen, but Fox has some of the best recipes. The usage hasn't fallen off with Malik Monk entering the starting lineup and this spot against Utah is elite considering they're 27th in DRtg. There's a safe floor with Fox against Utah while also bolstering a high ceiling factoring in the matchup. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Dejounte Murray | NOP @ SAS Sun 7:00 | 7900 | 41.1 | 7800 | 40.1 |
With Brandon Ingram sidelined for an indefinite amount of time, the attention turns to Dejounte Murray to pick up the slack. He's begun making shots, too, which is something he could not do until the last two games. He's been an elite peripheral stat producer, notching a 27.8% USG and 1.18 FP/min without Ingram, Williamson, and Alvarado. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Jordan Poole | MEM @ WAS Sun 7:00 | 7100 | 38.3 | 7200 | 37 |
Depending on who's in/out for Washington again is a big deal, but we saw on Saturday what Poole can do when he's feeling it offensively. He scored 39 points and 58.75 DKP. This is the highest implied total on the board, and there will be a matchup between two of the top four teams in pace.
UPDATE - Everyone's out again. Poole has a massive ceiling. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PG | Gabe Vincent | POR @ LAL Sun 9:30 | 3500 | 9.6 | 4400 | 10.1 |
Look, he's a very low usage player, but the Lakers elected to go with Vincent in the starting lineup over D'Angelo Russell last time out and Vincent looked good and so did the offense. He played 34 minutes, including overtime and put up 27 DKP. He's still very cheap on DK specifically and if he's starting, I'd feel pretty confident in the minutes staying firm. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Malik Monk | UTA @ SAC Sun 9:00 | 7400 | 36 | 7400 | 34.7 |
The usage rates have been a little wonky since entering the starting lineup, but we know Monk is a bucket getter and his peripheral numbers have ticked WAY up. Over his last four games – all starts – he leads the team with 12.3 potential assists per game. Elite matchup for a high-upside player, even at the price. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | CJ McCollum | NOP @ SAS Sun 7:00 | 7200 | 39 | 7300 | 37.9 |
With key pieces out for the Pelicans, we should see CJM extended and he should continue recent success. Without Ingram, Williamson, and Alvarado on the floor, McCollum sees a team-high 3% USG bump and has a team-leading 30% USG while posting 1.13 FP/min. I think, per dollar, he's a slightly better play than teammate Dejounte Murray. Both are good, both are popular, but CJM has better position elg and is cheaper. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Devin Vassell | NOP @ SAS Sun 7:00 | 5300 | 28.4 | 6100 | 27.8 |
I think we should begin to see Devin Vassell approach 30 minutes on a daily basis. He played 28 minutes two games ago, and would've come very close to that number again if not for losing out on some blowout run. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Trey Murphy | NOP @ SAS Sun 7:00 | 6300 | 32.3 | 6300 | 31.6 |
Murphy is a solid mid-tier option without Brandon Ingram in the lineup. Without Ingram, Williamson, and Alvarado this year, Murphy has a 23.7% USG and averages right around 1 FP/min. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Amen Thompson | HOU @ LAC Sun 9:00 | 6000 | 29.4 | 6200 | 30.4 |
There is ALWAYS a case to include Amen Thompson in your player pool. He's always live to play over Jalen Green if he's struggling. He's the first person the Rockets turn to if Fred VanVleet is out of the lineup. He's elite defensively and is a FP/min player. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Herbert Jones | NOP @ SAS Sun 7:00 | 4900 | 28 | 5000 | 28.6 |
In just his second game back, Herbert Jones played 37 minutes and had a ceiling game, especially at his price. He went 24-4-4-1 and was 8-of-10 from the floor. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PF | LeBron James | POR @ LAL Sun 9:30 | 9900 | 51 | 9800 | 49.7 |
James has been upgraded to probable and he has definitely beat the washed allegations over the last two games. He posted a 39-point triple-double his last time out. My literal only concern, and not even a good one, is that Toumani Camara was upgraded to QUEST. If Camara plays, he's a very good defender. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PF | Jaren Jackson | MEM @ WAS Sun 7:00 | 7300 | 37.8 | 7800 | 38.1 |
If Desmond Bane and Ja Morant end up sitting out (both popped on the injury report) JJJ to the moon. In tournaments, I'm good getting here anyway based on his price/upside. He's a 28% USG, 1.32 FP/min guy as a baseline. Without Morant and Bane, that balloons up to a 35% USG and 1.5 FP/min. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PF | Jerami Grant | POR @ LAL Sun 9:30 | 5800 | 32.4 | 6200 | 31.6 |
At least while Jerami Grant's usage rate is lost in transit he's being very consistent with peripheral stats. This is a spot, however, his offense can take off as the Lakers cannot defend. They rank 26th in DRtg. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Rui Hachimura | POR @ LAL Sun 9:30 | 5000 | 19.8 | 5900 | 19.6 |
I like his eligibilty and I like the minutes the other day. 41 without Austin Reaves and D'Angelo Russell coming off the bench. He fell just one rebound shy of a double-double. The shot volume has not been great, but Hachimura has always been someone not shy about shooting. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Anthony Davis | 10600 | 0 | 10900 | 0 | |
Everything we thought about Anthony Davis was wrong. He seems just fine. He played 42 minutes last time out (OT) and was two assists shy of a 38-point triple-double. Portland just has absolutely nothing to offer in terms of resistance defensively. Davis should be able to do whatever he wants here. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Victor Wembanyama | NOP @ SAS Sun 7:00 | 10300 | 54.7 | 11500 | 55.8 |
Wemby has been upgraded to probable so yeah, interest is real. He's a 33% USG and 1.6 FP/min guy. The Pelicans rank 29th in DRtg this season. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Alperen Şengün | HOU @ LAC Sun 9:00 | 9100 | 45.2 | 9100 | 45.2 |
Sengun sits at 27% USG and 1.5 FP/min to begin with and now the Rockets are without Tari Eason and potentially Fred VanVleet as well. If FVV sits, put some stock into Sengun triple-double. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Walker Kessler | UTA @ SAC Sun 9:00 | 6700 | 27.3 | 7500 | 29.6 |
It is worth mentioning that Kyle Filipowski is available here, but there's nothing he'll do to Walker Kessler's minutes if Kessler continues to play as well as he has. He has five straight double-doubles, seven straight multi-block games, and 30+ minutes in five straight. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
C | Jonas Valančiūnas | UTA @ SAC Sun 9:00 | 5300 | 0 | 5500 | 0 |
The last time we assumed Jonas Valanciunas' minutes were safe, we got rug pulled and he played 19 after playing 31 the game before. He played 32 minutes last night and if he's extended, he's super elite at 5.3. He doesn't really need to be extended to get there either. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Bilal Coulibaly | MEM @ WAS Sun 7:00 | 5200 | 27 | 5200 | 27.4 |
There are currently six Wizards getting 20% or more ownership and Coulibaly is not one of them. He played 40 (!!) minutes yesterday and despite being a low-floor offensive player, he's on a banged-up Wizards team that will extend him here again. He's shot the ball horribly, but a slight uptick in percentages and he legit has 40 FP upside if he plays 40 minutes again. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Jay Huff | MEM @ WAS Sun 7:00 | 3200 | 5.2 | 4000 | 5.2 |
18 minutes are the most Brandon Clarke has played on the second leg of a back-to-back this year. Game theory is in play here, but so is Jay Huff just playing well as the backup center. Will the Grizzlies extend guys against the Wizards like they did against Boston? I'm not sure, which is why Huff is an elite large-field GPP play. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SF | Justin Champagnie | MEM @ WAS Sun 7:00 | 3500 | 23.6 | 4000 | 23.7 |
There's absolutely nothing stopping Champagnie from being one of the highest rostered players of the day, if not THE highest. He's popular, he played 37 minutes yesterday and the same group of Wizards are out again. He'll start and likely, if this game gets out of hand, play blowout run as well. Lock and load. Game Type: CASH & GPP |
De'Aaron Fox, PG | 8900 , 0 | 0 | 9000 , 0 | 0 | ||
It's been a very balanced attack for Sacramento and there are a LOT of cooks in the kitchen, but Fox has some of the best recipes. The usage hasn't fallen off with Malik Monk entering the starting lineup and this spot against Utah is elite considering they're 27th in DRtg. There's a safe floor with Fox against Utah while also bolstering a high ceiling factoring in the matchup. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Dejounte Murray, PG | 7900 , 41.1 | 41.1 | 7800 , 40.1 | 40.1 | ||
With Brandon Ingram sidelined for an indefinite amount of time, the attention turns to Dejounte Murray to pick up the slack. He's begun making shots, too, which is something he could not do until the last two games. He's been an elite peripheral stat producer, notching a 27.8% USG and 1.18 FP/min without Ingram, Williamson, and Alvarado. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Jordan Poole, PG | 7100 , 38.3 | 38.3 | 7200 , 37 | 37 | ||
Depending on who's in/out for Washington again is a big deal, but we saw on Saturday what Poole can do when he's feeling it offensively. He scored 39 points and 58.75 DKP. This is the highest implied total on the board, and there will be a matchup between two of the top four teams in pace.
UPDATE - Everyone's out again. Poole has a massive ceiling. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Gabe Vincent, PG | 3500 , 9.6 | 9.6 | 4400 , 10.1 | 10.1 | ||
Look, he's a very low usage player, but the Lakers elected to go with Vincent in the starting lineup over D'Angelo Russell last time out and Vincent looked good and so did the offense. He played 34 minutes, including overtime and put up 27 DKP. He's still very cheap on DK specifically and if he's starting, I'd feel pretty confident in the minutes staying firm. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Malik Monk, SG | 7400 , 36 | 36 | 7400 , 34.7 | 34.7 | ||
The usage rates have been a little wonky since entering the starting lineup, but we know Monk is a bucket getter and his peripheral numbers have ticked WAY up. Over his last four games – all starts – he leads the team with 12.3 potential assists per game. Elite matchup for a high-upside player, even at the price. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
CJ McCollum, SG | 7200 , 39 | 39 | 7300 , 37.9 | 37.9 | ||
With key pieces out for the Pelicans, we should see CJM extended and he should continue recent success. Without Ingram, Williamson, and Alvarado on the floor, McCollum sees a team-high 3% USG bump and has a team-leading 30% USG while posting 1.13 FP/min. I think, per dollar, he's a slightly better play than teammate Dejounte Murray. Both are good, both are popular, but CJM has better position elg and is cheaper. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Devin Vassell, SG | 5300 , 28.4 | 28.4 | 6100 , 27.8 | 27.8 | ||
I think we should begin to see Devin Vassell approach 30 minutes on a daily basis. He played 28 minutes two games ago, and would've come very close to that number again if not for losing out on some blowout run. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Trey Murphy, SF | 6300 , 32.3 | 32.3 | 6300 , 31.6 | 31.6 | ||
Murphy is a solid mid-tier option without Brandon Ingram in the lineup. Without Ingram, Williamson, and Alvarado this year, Murphy has a 23.7% USG and averages right around 1 FP/min. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Amen Thompson, SF | 6000 , 29.4 | 29.4 | 6200 , 30.4 | 30.4 | ||
There is ALWAYS a case to include Amen Thompson in your player pool. He's always live to play over Jalen Green if he's struggling. He's the first person the Rockets turn to if Fred VanVleet is out of the lineup. He's elite defensively and is a FP/min player. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Herbert Jones, SF | 4900 , 28 | 28 | 5000 , 28.6 | 28.6 | ||
In just his second game back, Herbert Jones played 37 minutes and had a ceiling game, especially at his price. He went 24-4-4-1 and was 8-of-10 from the floor. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
LeBron James, PF | 9900 , 51 | 51 | 9800 , 49.7 | 49.7 | ||
James has been upgraded to probable and he has definitely beat the washed allegations over the last two games. He posted a 39-point triple-double his last time out. My literal only concern, and not even a good one, is that Toumani Camara was upgraded to QUEST. If Camara plays, he's a very good defender. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Jaren Jackson, PF | 7300 , 37.8 | 37.8 | 7800 , 38.1 | 38.1 | ||
If Desmond Bane and Ja Morant end up sitting out (both popped on the injury report) JJJ to the moon. In tournaments, I'm good getting here anyway based on his price/upside. He's a 28% USG, 1.32 FP/min guy as a baseline. Without Morant and Bane, that balloons up to a 35% USG and 1.5 FP/min. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Jerami Grant, PF | 5800 , 32.4 | 32.4 | 6200 , 31.6 | 31.6 | ||
At least while Jerami Grant's usage rate is lost in transit he's being very consistent with peripheral stats. This is a spot, however, his offense can take off as the Lakers cannot defend. They rank 26th in DRtg. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Rui Hachimura, SF | 5000 , 19.8 | 19.8 | 5900 , 19.6 | 19.6 | ||
I like his eligibilty and I like the minutes the other day. 41 without Austin Reaves and D'Angelo Russell coming off the bench. He fell just one rebound shy of a double-double. The shot volume has not been great, but Hachimura has always been someone not shy about shooting. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
10600 , 0 | 0 | 10900 , 0 | 0 | |||
Everything we thought about Anthony Davis was wrong. He seems just fine. He played 42 minutes last time out (OT) and was two assists shy of a 38-point triple-double. Portland just has absolutely nothing to offer in terms of resistance defensively. Davis should be able to do whatever he wants here. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
10300 , 54.7 | 54.7 | 11500 , 55.8 | 55.8 | |||
Wemby has been upgraded to probable so yeah, interest is real. He's a 33% USG and 1.6 FP/min guy. The Pelicans rank 29th in DRtg this season. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
9100 , 45.2 | 45.2 | 9100 , 45.2 | 45.2 | |||
Sengun sits at 27% USG and 1.5 FP/min to begin with and now the Rockets are without Tari Eason and potentially Fred VanVleet as well. If FVV sits, put some stock into Sengun triple-double. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
6700 , 27.3 | 27.3 | 7500 , 29.6 | 29.6 | |||
It is worth mentioning that Kyle Filipowski is available here, but there's nothing he'll do to Walker Kessler's minutes if Kessler continues to play as well as he has. He has five straight double-doubles, seven straight multi-block games, and 30+ minutes in five straight. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
5300 , 0 | 0 | 5500 , 0 | 0 | |||
The last time we assumed Jonas Valanciunas' minutes were safe, we got rug pulled and he played 19 after playing 31 the game before. He played 32 minutes last night and if he's extended, he's super elite at 5.3. He doesn't really need to be extended to get there either. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Bilal Coulibaly, SF | 5200 , 27 | 27 | 5200 , 27.4 | 27.4 | ||
There are currently six Wizards getting 20% or more ownership and Coulibaly is not one of them. He played 40 (!!) minutes yesterday and despite being a low-floor offensive player, he's on a banged-up Wizards team that will extend him here again. He's shot the ball horribly, but a slight uptick in percentages and he legit has 40 FP upside if he plays 40 minutes again. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Jay Huff, C | 3200 , 5.2 | 5.2 | 4000 , 5.2 | 5.2 | ||
18 minutes are the most Brandon Clarke has played on the second leg of a back-to-back this year. Game theory is in play here, but so is Jay Huff just playing well as the backup center. Will the Grizzlies extend guys against the Wizards like they did against Boston? I'm not sure, which is why Huff is an elite large-field GPP play. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
3500 , 23.6 | 23.6 | 4000 , 23.7 | 23.7 | |||
There's absolutely nothing stopping Champagnie from being one of the highest rostered players of the day, if not THE highest. He's popular, he played 37 minutes yesterday and the same group of Wizards are out again. He'll start and likely, if this game gets out of hand, play blowout run as well. Lock and load. Game Type: CASH & GPP |