Happy Sunday! There may be a LOT of football taking place today, but on Sunday, November 24th, I'm officially declaring it the NBAs day. If only, but there's content to be made and money to be won in the NBA DFS streets today and I'm going to help all of YOU do that! It's an interesting slate because FanDuel and DraftKings both have four games. Still, FanDuel includes the Wizards and Pacers while excluding the Nets and Kings, and DraftKings is flipped, including Nets and Kings while excluding Wizards and Pacers.

Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.

  • News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
  • Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
  • Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
  • NBA DFS Projections
  • Lineup Generator
  • NBA Ownership
 

Pre-Lock Update

This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock. Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.

12:30 pm ET

  • If Alex Sarr sits out (downgraded to QUEST), Jonas Valanciunas would be an immediate plug-and-play on FD.
  • The Heat likely roll out the S5 from the other day now that Terry Rozier is OUT (Herro, Robinson, Butler, Highsmith, Adebayo) but Jaime Jaquez. is active for this game, so it's tough to love Robinson at his price.

1:00 pm ET

  • Dorian Finney-Smith has been ruled OUT & Brooklyn has added both Dennis Schroder and Trendon Watford to their injury report. Something to keep track of. The two games that Finney-Smith sat out earlier were started by Williams and he played 22 & 24 minutes, scoring 30+ DKP in each.
     

NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 11/24

 


NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews

In the section below, I list the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads, pace-up and pace-down spots, and bad defensive teams we should take advantage of.

Washington Wizards vs. Indiana Pacers

  • Total: 241.5
  • Spread: IND -11.5
  • Wizards rank 4th in pace, Pacers rank 8th in pace
  • Wizards rank 30th in DRtg, Pacers rank 24th in DRtg

Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Total: 234
  • Spread: CLE -12.5
  • Raptors rank 23rd in DRtg

Brooklyn Nets vs. Sacramento Kings

  • Total: 223
  • Spread: SAC -9.5
  • Kings rank 17th in pace, Nets rank 30th in pace
  • Nets rank 25th in DRtg

Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat

  • Total: 2225.5
  • Spread: MIA -3
  • Mavericks rank 13th in pace, Heat rank 24th in pace

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Philadelphia 76ers

  • Total: 210.5
  • Spread: LAC -1.5


NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks

Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.

High

Mid

Value

Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
DK Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
FD Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
PGKyrie IrvingDAL @ MIA Sun 6:00990048.3910047.4

It's been back-to-back games without Luka Doncic in which Kyrie Irving has struggled, but again, you're going to get the pop game sooner rather than later. He still has a 28.4% USG and averages 1.24 FP/min without Doncic on the year.

Game Type: GPP
PGJames HardenLAC @ PHI Sun 6:00950049.3930048.9

Harden is arguably my favorite spend-up on the slate. Without Norm Powell this year, Harden sees a 5% USG bump up to 35% and averages 1.37 FP/min. He's gone for 50+ FP in three of four and in only one of those games has he shot better than 30%. When he makes shots, he's going to go for 70 with how well he's doing peripherally.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGDe'Aaron Fox940000

DK ONLY - Even in a game the Kings scored just 88 points in and in a game with Sabonis and DeRozan back, Fox put up a 29-7-7 and led the team with a 29% USG. Brooklyn ranks 24th in DRtg and this is a spot Fox should and will take advantage of.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGTyrese MaxeyLAC @ PHI Sun 6:00810043.2820042.1

With Philly down Joel Embiid and Paul George, the field is going to flock to Maxey. He's likely still going to be limited, but the limit should still get us to around 30 minutes based on how his leap was from his first game back to his second. Maxey had a 29% USG and went for 48 DKP and without those two this season, Maxey has a 32% USG and avgs. 1.14 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGT.J. McConnellWAS @ IND Sun 5:0028.9520029.3

FD ONLY - T.J. McConnell is soooo back. Without all the guys that are out for Indy, TJM has a 22.4% USG (higher than Haliburton) and averages 1.28 FP/min, which leads the team. In this uptempo game with 240 implied points, we likely see McConnell extended here. Great price for his ceiling on FD.

Game Type: GPP
PGKevin Porter4300047000

Porter likely will be one of the more popular value plays of the day but it's REALLY hard getting away from him today. He's a high-usage player to begin with, but with Norm Powell off the floor, it's 30.8% while averaging 1.05 FP/min. Without Porter LAC lacks that secondary scoring punch, which is the exact reason why we saw him extended to 26 minutes last time out. He provides just that.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGDonovan MitchellTOR @ CLE Sun 7:30890045.1900044.1

How many people will even get to Mitchell here? Toronto is just 23rd in DRtg on the year and this is a great game environment with 234 implied points, we just need the Raptors to stay competitive. Mitchell has a 31.7% USG and averages 1.3 FP/min this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGJared McCainLAC @ PHI Sun 6:00710036720034.4

Jared Mccain posted another monster fantasy outing last game and helped his team to a win and is once again playing without Joel Embiid and Paul George. He's going to be very popular despite the massive price boost. Without Embiid & George this year, he has a 20.3% USG and averages 1.23 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGCam ThomasBKN @ SAC Sun 9:00680035.634.4

DK ONLY - It's not anything of a priority for me, but we know what the ceiling CAN be. Anyone with a 31.7% USG and is averaging 1.05 FP/min is going to typically be in my player pool. Direct pivot off chalkier McCain.

Game Type: GPP
SGMalcolm BrogdonWAS @ IND Sun 5:0031530029.8

FD ONLY - Brogdon started the past couple of games for Washington and that seems to be the plan moving forward. He could get a huge boost here if Jordan Poole (listed Q) sits out. At 5.3, in a game with an implied total over 240, Brogdon is a fantastic play. He played 26 minutes, had a 27.7% USG, and closed last time out, and that came against the defending champs.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGKris DunnLAC @ PHI Sun 6:00440025490025.6

Even on nights where Dunn doesn't shoot well, he can be valuable because he's such a good boxscore stuffer. Last game is the best example of that. Since entering the starting lineup, Dunn's been a .94 FP/min guy. He's played 25+ minutes in five of seven starts.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGSam MerrillTOR @ CLE Sun 7:30340017.4390016.2

I'd like to get to Merrill if we get the news that Isaac Okoro is out because CLE is already without Strus, LeVert, and Wade. Merrill is cheap enough that if he gets hot OR is on the floor during a blowout he'll be extended.

Game Type: GPP
SFScottie BarnesTOR @ CLE Sun 7:30820043.8790043.8

Barnes played 27 minutes out of the gate and we should definitely expect Toronto to comfortably set him into the 30's for this one. This isn't the easiest spot but if it stays competitive, Barnes has his hand in it. Barnes' had a 26% USG in his return and in a small sample this year, has a 27.4% USG and 1.23 FP/min average without Immanuel Quickley.

Game Type: GPP
SFKelly OubreLAC @ PHI Sun 6:00580029.9540030.1

I won't overlook the fact that Kelly Oubre was simply in foul trouble last game and that's why his minutes look the way they do. He played 18.5 minutes in the second game, which paces him for 37 in the game. He didn't play the final 9:40 of the first half with three fouls. He still went for 34 DKP. He gets a 3% USG increase up to 23.8% without Embiid and George this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFBennedict MathurinWAS @ IND Sun 5:0034.5670033.2

FD ONLY - Mathurin has shown a pretty low floor, but man he is SO good when the shot is dropping. With everyone that's out off the floor, he has a 24% USG and averages .95 FP/min. Seven times in his last nine games he's put up 35+ FDP and is in a game with 241 implied points against the worst defense in the league.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFQuentin GrimesLAC @ PHI Sun 6:004300045000

There's a lot that can go wrong with this play if things don't break Grimes' way, which is why I think it's only a GPP play. If Klay Thompson makes more shots and Grimes doesn't, who do you think is on the floor late? If Naji Marshell plays well and Grimes doesn't, who do you think is on the floor? Now, as we've seen the last couple of games, when he makes shot he has a ceiling at this price, but I'm skeptical if he's one of the highest-owned players of the slate.

Game Type: GPP
SFCorey KispertWAS @ IND Sun 5:0026440024.6

FD ONLY - We don't know what Washington is going to do with their starting 5 now that Poole is out, but even if Kispert isn't starting and I don't think he will, he's in play. Outside of late game, he's had a very consistent role on this team and has a 30+ minute ceiling. If his shot is falling, he stays on the floor.

Game Type: GPP
PFEvan MobleyTOR @ CLE Sun 7:30760040.4800039.7

Guy has just been so good this year and it's because his offense has taken a step forward. He's averaging 1.24 FP/min and a near 23% USG without LeVert and Wade this year and this spot is against a bottom-five defense in the NBA.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFPascal SiakamWAS @ IND Sun 5:0040750039.2

Pacers against the worst-ranked defense in all of basketball? Sign me up. Siakam's been inconsistent but has 37+ DKP in two of his last three. With Nembhard, Nesmith, and Sheppard off the floor, Siakam has a 24% USG and averages 1.05 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFKyle Kuzma066000

FD ONLY - Kuzma is just a big usage getter with or without Jordan Poole on the floor. He's been just OK from a fantasy standpoint but it was good to see him play 34 minutes last game. This is a great matchup for him to get his offense going without Poole and in a game with 240 implied points.

Game Type: GPP
PFP.J. WashingtonDAL @ MIA Sun 6:00590033.2630032.8

Luka Doncic has missed two games this year and P.J. Washington has nuked both games. He's gone at least 22 points, 13 rebounds, and 45 DKP in each. Without Doncic, Washington has a 5.6% USG bump (leads the team), 22% USG overall, and avgs. 1.4 FP/min (leads the team). 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFChris BoucherTOR @ CLE Sun 7:30430022.1460022.1

When he's playing well, he has wiggle room to get him mid-20s minutes, but he has to be active. He's risky because he also may only play 17. That's the GPP Chris Boucher experience. He's a 22% USG guy that's averaging 1.12 FP/min without Quickley this year. 

Game Type: GPP
PFDerrick JonesLAC @ PHI Sun 6:00350022.1460022.3

His minutes are everywhere, but when Jones scores the ball he has a very high ceiling on DK at this price. I'd only play him there, but for what it's worth, Jones is the biggest FP/min beneficiary on a per-minute basis when Norm Powell is off the floor. He's a respectable .8 FP/min guy without Powell and if he gets 30 minutes again, this DK price is too cheap.

Game Type: GPP
CDomantas SabonisBKN @ SAC Sun 9:00960053.150.6

DK ONLY - Sabonis returned from a two-game absence and wasn't on any type of minutes restriction. In fact, he played 40 minutes and put up 52 DKP. He's playing monster minutes and has a matchup against a team that's bottom-10 in defense. Very, very safe.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CBam AdebayoDAL @ MIA Sun 6:00850044.9840044.1

With Jimmy Butler returning to the lineup last game, Adebayo only took with shots and scored five points, but that's an outlier. Adebayo had a monster peripheral stat game and if he was anywhere close to his season average of 16.5 points, he smashes. Adebayo has a 28% USG and averages 1.13 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP
CIvica ZubacLAC @ PHI Sun 6:00700035.7730034.7

The minutes for Zubac since Mo Bamba came back have not been as consistent as they were earlier in the year, but we've still seen a 36-minute ceiling since Bamba's returned. Without Joel Embiid, Zubac has a very enticing matchup against a smaller Guerschon Yabusele and Andre Drummond who's good at rebounding, but not much else. Without Powell this year, Zubac has the second-biggest USG bump on the year and is averaging 1.09 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CGuerschon YabuseleLAC @ PHI Sun 6:00500030.3530030.6

Yabusele has just simply been good since coming back to the NBA and even started over Andre Drummond last game. That's seemingly going to be the move for the foreseeable future as Joel Embiid has tests done on his knee. Yabusele had a double-double last game and has scored 30+ DKP in all four games that he's played at least 30 minutes in.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFJimmy Butler7400078000

ADDED - With Terry Rozier off the floor this year, Jimmy Butler has been rather awesome. He's averaged 1.48 FP/min and a 27.5% USG rate. Butler had a 30-point double-double in the Heat's last tilt and is off the injury report for today.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFZiaire WilliamsBKN @ SAC Sun 9:00370023.122.3

ADDED - Williams started in the two games that DFS sat in earlier this year and was great, scoring north of 30 FP. There's no reason to think that won't happen today and if he's in the starting lineup, he's definitely in play.

Game Type: GPP
9900 , 48.3
48.3
9100 , 47.4
47.4

It's been back-to-back games without Luka Doncic in which Kyrie Irving has struggled, but again, you're going to get the pop game sooner rather than later. He still has a 28.4% USG and averages 1.24 FP/min without Doncic on the year.

Game Type: GPP
9500 , 49.3
49.3
9300 , 48.9
48.9

Harden is arguably my favorite spend-up on the slate. Without Norm Powell this year, Harden sees a 5% USG bump up to 35% and averages 1.37 FP/min. He's gone for 50+ FP in three of four and in only one of those games has he shot better than 30%. When he makes shots, he's going to go for 70 with how well he's doing peripherally.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9400 , 0
0
, 0
0

DK ONLY - Even in a game the Kings scored just 88 points in and in a game with Sabonis and DeRozan back, Fox put up a 29-7-7 and led the team with a 29% USG. Brooklyn ranks 24th in DRtg and this is a spot Fox should and will take advantage of.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8100 , 43.2
43.2
8200 , 42.1
42.1

With Philly down Joel Embiid and Paul George, the field is going to flock to Maxey. He's likely still going to be limited, but the limit should still get us to around 30 minutes based on how his leap was from his first game back to his second. Maxey had a 29% USG and went for 48 DKP and without those two this season, Maxey has a 32% USG and avgs. 1.14 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 28.9
28.9
5200 , 29.3
29.3

FD ONLY - T.J. McConnell is soooo back. Without all the guys that are out for Indy, TJM has a 22.4% USG (higher than Haliburton) and averages 1.28 FP/min, which leads the team. In this uptempo game with 240 implied points, we likely see McConnell extended here. Great price for his ceiling on FD.

Game Type: GPP
4300 , 0
0
4700 , 0
0

Porter likely will be one of the more popular value plays of the day but it's REALLY hard getting away from him today. He's a high-usage player to begin with, but with Norm Powell off the floor, it's 30.8% while averaging 1.05 FP/min. Without Porter LAC lacks that secondary scoring punch, which is the exact reason why we saw him extended to 26 minutes last time out. He provides just that.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8900 , 45.1
45.1
9000 , 44.1
44.1

How many people will even get to Mitchell here? Toronto is just 23rd in DRtg on the year and this is a great game environment with 234 implied points, we just need the Raptors to stay competitive. Mitchell has a 31.7% USG and averages 1.3 FP/min this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7100 , 36
36
7200 , 34.4
34.4

Jared Mccain posted another monster fantasy outing last game and helped his team to a win and is once again playing without Joel Embiid and Paul George. He's going to be very popular despite the massive price boost. Without Embiid & George this year, he has a 20.3% USG and averages 1.23 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6800 , 35.6
35.6
, 34.4
34.4

DK ONLY - It's not anything of a priority for me, but we know what the ceiling CAN be. Anyone with a 31.7% USG and is averaging 1.05 FP/min is going to typically be in my player pool. Direct pivot off chalkier McCain.

Game Type: GPP
, 31
31
5300 , 29.8
29.8

FD ONLY - Brogdon started the past couple of games for Washington and that seems to be the plan moving forward. He could get a huge boost here if Jordan Poole (listed Q) sits out. At 5.3, in a game with an implied total over 240, Brogdon is a fantastic play. He played 26 minutes, had a 27.7% USG, and closed last time out, and that came against the defending champs.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4400 , 25
25
4900 , 25.6
25.6

Even on nights where Dunn doesn't shoot well, he can be valuable because he's such a good boxscore stuffer. Last game is the best example of that. Since entering the starting lineup, Dunn's been a .94 FP/min guy. He's played 25+ minutes in five of seven starts.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3400 , 17.4
17.4
3900 , 16.2
16.2

I'd like to get to Merrill if we get the news that Isaac Okoro is out because CLE is already without Strus, LeVert, and Wade. Merrill is cheap enough that if he gets hot OR is on the floor during a blowout he'll be extended.

Game Type: GPP
8200 , 43.8
43.8
7900 , 43.8
43.8

Barnes played 27 minutes out of the gate and we should definitely expect Toronto to comfortably set him into the 30's for this one. This isn't the easiest spot but if it stays competitive, Barnes has his hand in it. Barnes' had a 26% USG in his return and in a small sample this year, has a 27.4% USG and 1.23 FP/min average without Immanuel Quickley.

Game Type: GPP
5800 , 29.9
29.9
5400 , 30.1
30.1

I won't overlook the fact that Kelly Oubre was simply in foul trouble last game and that's why his minutes look the way they do. He played 18.5 minutes in the second game, which paces him for 37 in the game. He didn't play the final 9:40 of the first half with three fouls. He still went for 34 DKP. He gets a 3% USG increase up to 23.8% without Embiid and George this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 34.5
34.5
6700 , 33.2
33.2

FD ONLY - Mathurin has shown a pretty low floor, but man he is SO good when the shot is dropping. With everyone that's out off the floor, he has a 24% USG and averages .95 FP/min. Seven times in his last nine games he's put up 35+ FDP and is in a game with 241 implied points against the worst defense in the league.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4300 , 0
0
4500 , 0
0

There's a lot that can go wrong with this play if things don't break Grimes' way, which is why I think it's only a GPP play. If Klay Thompson makes more shots and Grimes doesn't, who do you think is on the floor late? If Naji Marshell plays well and Grimes doesn't, who do you think is on the floor? Now, as we've seen the last couple of games, when he makes shot he has a ceiling at this price, but I'm skeptical if he's one of the highest-owned players of the slate.

Game Type: GPP
, 26
26
4400 , 24.6
24.6

FD ONLY - We don't know what Washington is going to do with their starting 5 now that Poole is out, but even if Kispert isn't starting and I don't think he will, he's in play. Outside of late game, he's had a very consistent role on this team and has a 30+ minute ceiling. If his shot is falling, he stays on the floor.

Game Type: GPP
7600 , 40.4
40.4
8000 , 39.7
39.7

Guy has just been so good this year and it's because his offense has taken a step forward. He's averaging 1.24 FP/min and a near 23% USG without LeVert and Wade this year and this spot is against a bottom-five defense in the NBA.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 40
40
7500 , 39.2
39.2

Pacers against the worst-ranked defense in all of basketball? Sign me up. Siakam's been inconsistent but has 37+ DKP in two of his last three. With Nembhard, Nesmith, and Sheppard off the floor, Siakam has a 24% USG and averages 1.05 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 0
0
6600 , 0
0

FD ONLY - Kuzma is just a big usage getter with or without Jordan Poole on the floor. He's been just OK from a fantasy standpoint but it was good to see him play 34 minutes last game. This is a great matchup for him to get his offense going without Poole and in a game with 240 implied points.

Game Type: GPP
5900 , 33.2
33.2
6300 , 32.8
32.8

Luka Doncic has missed two games this year and P.J. Washington has nuked both games. He's gone at least 22 points, 13 rebounds, and 45 DKP in each. Without Doncic, Washington has a 5.6% USG bump (leads the team), 22% USG overall, and avgs. 1.4 FP/min (leads the team). 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4300 , 22.1
22.1
4600 , 22.1
22.1

When he's playing well, he has wiggle room to get him mid-20s minutes, but he has to be active. He's risky because he also may only play 17. That's the GPP Chris Boucher experience. He's a 22% USG guy that's averaging 1.12 FP/min without Quickley this year. 

Game Type: GPP
3500 , 22.1
22.1
4600 , 22.3
22.3

His minutes are everywhere, but when Jones scores the ball he has a very high ceiling on DK at this price. I'd only play him there, but for what it's worth, Jones is the biggest FP/min beneficiary on a per-minute basis when Norm Powell is off the floor. He's a respectable .8 FP/min guy without Powell and if he gets 30 minutes again, this DK price is too cheap.

Game Type: GPP
9600 , 53.1
53.1
, 50.6
50.6

DK ONLY - Sabonis returned from a two-game absence and wasn't on any type of minutes restriction. In fact, he played 40 minutes and put up 52 DKP. He's playing monster minutes and has a matchup against a team that's bottom-10 in defense. Very, very safe.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8500 , 44.9
44.9
8400 , 44.1
44.1

With Jimmy Butler returning to the lineup last game, Adebayo only took with shots and scored five points, but that's an outlier. Adebayo had a monster peripheral stat game and if he was anywhere close to his season average of 16.5 points, he smashes. Adebayo has a 28% USG and averages 1.13 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP
7000 , 35.7
35.7
7300 , 34.7
34.7

The minutes for Zubac since Mo Bamba came back have not been as consistent as they were earlier in the year, but we've still seen a 36-minute ceiling since Bamba's returned. Without Joel Embiid, Zubac has a very enticing matchup against a smaller Guerschon Yabusele and Andre Drummond who's good at rebounding, but not much else. Without Powell this year, Zubac has the second-biggest USG bump on the year and is averaging 1.09 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5000 , 30.3
30.3
5300 , 30.6
30.6

Yabusele has just simply been good since coming back to the NBA and even started over Andre Drummond last game. That's seemingly going to be the move for the foreseeable future as Joel Embiid has tests done on his knee. Yabusele had a double-double last game and has scored 30+ DKP in all four games that he's played at least 30 minutes in.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7400 , 0
0
7800 , 0
0

ADDED - With Terry Rozier off the floor this year, Jimmy Butler has been rather awesome. He's averaged 1.48 FP/min and a 27.5% USG rate. Butler had a 30-point double-double in the Heat's last tilt and is off the injury report for today.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3700 , 23.1
23.1
, 22.3
22.3

ADDED - Williams started in the two games that DFS sat in earlier this year and was great, scoring north of 30 FP. There's no reason to think that won't happen today and if he's in the starting lineup, he's definitely in play.

Game Type: GPP