Happy Monday, March 17th, we have a 10-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and nine on FanDuel.

The stars are out as Nikola Jokic, Luka Doncic, Cade Cunningham, and Domantas Sabonis are taking the floor. Some names that are questionable are Luka Doncic, Nikola Jokic, Tyrese Haliburton, and Zion Williamson .

 

 

 

Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.

  • News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
  • Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
  • Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
  • NBA DFS Projections
  • Lineup Generator
  • NBA Ownership

NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, March 17th

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Pre/Post-Lock Update

This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock. 

Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.

All status updates after contest roster lock will be made in the Fantasy Alarm Discord: https://discord.gg/2yATJxXe8G

3:45 pm ET

7:15 pm ET

NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 3/17

 

 

NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews

In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads. Not every game is listed, but every game listed has the pace and defensive numbers listed.

 

 

NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks

Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.

High

Mid

Value

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Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
DK Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
FD Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
PGLuka DončićSAS @ LAL Mon 10:301200064.863.1

DK ONLY - This isn't hard. If Luka Doncic plays, he's as good as it gets. San Antonio is dead last in DRtg since Victor Wembanyama went down. Without LeBron James this year, Luka Doncic has a 42.5% USG and averages 1.86 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGCade CunninghamDET @ NOP Mon 8:00980057.51050053.7

There is a LOT to like here about Cade Cunningham. The Pelicans rank 30th in DRtg this year, they're now the worst defense in basketball, and Cunningham is ballin'. Without Ivey this year, Cunningham has a 34.4% USG and averages 1.47 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGJalen GreenPHI @ HOU Mon 8:00760042.4770040

Jalen Green is playing extremely well right now and without Amen Thompson, his role won't chance. Green, without Thompson this year, has a 27.6% USG and averages 1.05 FP/min. Philly is 26th in DRtg in the month of March.

Game Type: GPP
PGStephon CastleSAS @ LAL Mon 10:30660035.234.5

DK ONLY - Without Wemby, Fox, Bassey, and the traded pieces, Stephon Castle has really, really good numbers. He sees a 3.6% USG bump up to a team-leading 28.9% and is averaging 1.08 FP/min. 

Game Type: GPP
PGTre JonesCHI @ UTA Mon 9:00590033630033.4

With Josh Giddey doubtful, we should see monster Tre Jones minutes again. He's been at 1.02 FP/min without Dosunmu, Giddey, Ball, and LaVine this year. Utah is 29th in DRtg this year and are on a back-to-back.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGScotty PippenMEM @ SAC Mon 10:0028.8550028.9

We've been down this road. It's likely that Kennard starts but Pippen comes off the bench. Pippen sits at 1.1 FP/min and a 20.9% USG this year and has a good matchup against the Kings ranking 23rd in DRtg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGDevin BookerTOR @ PHX Mon 10:00920047.3940045.6

Assuming Bradley Beal is out here, Devin Booker and company are in good spots. Booker has a 31% USG and 1.25 FP/min. Toronto has actually been quite good defensively in March and are 17th in DRtg this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGDesmond BaneMEM @ SAC Mon 10:00900044.2880042.9

Bane is solid here. The price is pretty steep, that's the one knock against him. He has a 24.5% USG and a 1.2 FP/min average without Morant and Aldama this year.

Game Type: GPP
SGAustin ReavesSAS @ LAL Mon 10:30890042.941.3

DK ONLY - Reaves looks great, man. No LBJ, AD, and DLo this year had led to Reaves magic. Reaves has a 8.9% USG bump up to 33% and is averaging 1.5 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGKevin HuerterCHI @ UTA Mon 9:00520025.1500025

I'm a little indifferent about the price and the ownership. The minutes and matchup are great, obviously, but he's only a .77 FP/min player since joining the Bulls with the likes of Giddey & Ball off the floor.

Game Type: GPP
SGLuke KennardMEM @ SAC Mon 10:00450025.7470024.5

Kennard is your clear leverage off of Scotty Pippen Jr. He's still sitting at 1 FP/min without Morant, Aldama, and Smart and right around 19% USG. SAC is 23rd in DRtg in March and he likely starts here.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFZion WilliamsonDET @ NOP Mon 8:00940046.3920046.5

Everything is trending towards the sky and beyond for Zion Williamson. He's been incredible. He's questionable for this game, but not with an injury. Without Ingram, Murray, and Jones this year, Williamson has a 34% USG and averages 1.6 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP
SFJimmy ButlerDEN @ GSW Mon 10:00770037.1790037.6

Nobody is going to go to Butler here with the fantasy inconsistencies, but he has a really high ceiling and the FP/min stuff looks great. Without Brandin Podziemski this year, Butler sits at 1.2 FP/min and Stephen Curry is questionable too.

Game Type: GPP
SFDeni AvdijaWAS @ POR Mon 10:00710043780041.9

We're unsure about anything else except for Deandre Ayton being out. With only Ayton out, Avdija is a 23% USG and 1.14 FP/min guy. The price, matchup, and production are all plus.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFDevin VassellSAS @ LAL Mon 10:30690034.434

DK ONLY - Vassell was seemingly going through a little rut but he has really turned the corner here. He's posted 30+ DKP in five of his last six games and has topped 35 in four of them. He's over a FP/min without all the pieces they're without this year.

Game Type: GPP
SFKeldon JohnsonSAS @ LAL Mon 10:30500027.727.2

DK ONLY - I'm a Keldon Johnson truther. Without all the pieces they're with, Johnson gets a solid 3.3% USG bump up to 24.5% USG and 1.1 FP/min. The minutes are up and down and this matchup isn't great, but the upside is there.

Game Type: GPP
SFRyan DunnTOR @ PHX Mon 10:00380022.8440023

Since re-entering the starting lineup two games ago, Ryan Dunn has posted a 23.7% and 26.1% USG rates. IF Dunn can post these types of usage rate games, he's far too cheap because of how good he is defensively with the stocks.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFKevin DurantTOR @ PHX Mon 10:00970046.5950045.7

Elite option with Bradley Beal out. Might prefer Devin Booker for a little cheaper, but they look awfully similar and might just ultimately play the lower owned of the two.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFJaren JacksonMEM @ SAC Mon 10:00840044.2830044.9

I'm ALWAYS all in on JJJ when Morant is out. JJJ has a 31.3% USG and 1.3 FP/min without Morant, Aldama, and Smart this year. This is a great spot, we just simply need him to stay out of foul trouble. We've been saying this for years.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFJustin ChampagnieWAS @ POR Mon 10:00540028.9560029.5

Champagnie has played 30+ minutes in three straight and has looked great while out there. With all those that are out or traded, Champagnie averages 1.01 FP/min. He's posted 37+ DKP in two straight and the minutes aren't going away.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFTari EasonPHI @ HOU Mon 8:00620035.1660037.1

Tari Eason is an absolute dog. He has a very high ceiling and without Amen Thompson this season, he's averaged 1.2 FP/min. He remains a starter for Houston and is coming off a 30-point game. He's posted a 20% USG or better in six of seven games, 23% or higher in two straight.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFJeremy SochanSAS @ LAL Mon 10:30510029.129.1

DK ONLY - Another Spur that's hard to trust from a minutes aspect. He played 30 minutes last time out and twice over his last four he's been under 20, so what do we do with that information? He has posted 26+ DKP in three straight games. Good FP/min player.

Game Type: GPP
PFObi ToppinIND @ MIN Mon 8:00360031.6440031.3

Obi Toppin is the highest rostered player of the slate at the current moment in time. I don't think Toppin is going to start, but he'll be extended for sure. He's played 22+ minutes in two straight and he should sit in the mid-20s here without Siakam. He could also possibly play upwards of 30 because Indiana has three other starters listed as Q on the injury report.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CNikola JokićDEN @ GSW Mon 10:00130000129000

The day has arrived. Nikola Jokic is $13K. If he plays, you can definitely spend up on him because he's very low owned. If he goes for 70+ DKP, you're in a good spot. The minutes from Jokic lately? He hasn't played less than 38 in the entire month of March.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CDomantas SabonisMEM @ SAC Mon 10:00940050.1890046.9

Sabonis didn't close last game after two weeks off but was absolutely fantastic in his 30 minutes triple-doubling with four stocks. The minutes should only trend upwards and he faces a Memphis team that allows a lot of second chance points and we know how good Sabonis is on the glass.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CJalen DurenDET @ NOP Mon 8:00680037.1730036

There is only ONE team in the NBA that's worse at allowing points in the paint than the New Orleans Pelicans. Insert Jalen Duren who scores all of his points at the rim and he and Cade Cunningham are going to EAT in this spot. The Pelicans are also 30th in second chance points, which is something Duren thrives at too.

Game Type: GPP
PFKelly OlynykDET @ NOP Mon 8:00540025.4570024.9

Kelly O is just very good in fantasy. He's at 1.04 FP/min this year and the minutes have been great as he's played 31 in back-to-back games. Solid GPP play and could be even better if Missi/Williamson sit.

Game Type: GPP
CDonovan ClinganWAS @ POR Mon 10:00580032.6610034.3

Clingan's been extended without Ayton, Williams, and Walker, so lets see if all three are out again. He's an elite rebounder and shot blocker and if he can score the ball on a given night, he has an incredibly high ceiling.

Game Type: GPP
CDraymond GreenDEN @ GSW Mon 10:00590030.8650031.2

The price is solid. The FP/min output is too. He's sitting at 1 FP/min and when he makes shots, he has a massive ceiling because the peripheral stats are so good and consistent.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGCoby WhiteCHI @ UTA Mon 9:00780038.9770036.8

I love Coby White here and how good he's looked recently. The matchup against the Jazz? Elite. The short-handed Bulls? Very. White gets a 5.4% USG bump up to 29.7% and he's averaging 1.2 FP/min as well. He has eight straight games of 20+ actual points and 37+ DKP in seven of them.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
12000 , 64.8
64.8
, 63.1
63.1

DK ONLY - This isn't hard. If Luka Doncic plays, he's as good as it gets. San Antonio is dead last in DRtg since Victor Wembanyama went down. Without LeBron James this year, Luka Doncic has a 42.5% USG and averages 1.86 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9800 , 57.5
57.5
10500 , 53.7
53.7

There is a LOT to like here about Cade Cunningham. The Pelicans rank 30th in DRtg this year, they're now the worst defense in basketball, and Cunningham is ballin'. Without Ivey this year, Cunningham has a 34.4% USG and averages 1.47 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7600 , 42.4
42.4
7700 , 40
40

Jalen Green is playing extremely well right now and without Amen Thompson, his role won't chance. Green, without Thompson this year, has a 27.6% USG and averages 1.05 FP/min. Philly is 26th in DRtg in the month of March.

Game Type: GPP
6600 , 35.2
35.2
, 34.5
34.5

DK ONLY - Without Wemby, Fox, Bassey, and the traded pieces, Stephon Castle has really, really good numbers. He sees a 3.6% USG bump up to a team-leading 28.9% and is averaging 1.08 FP/min. 

Game Type: GPP
5900 , 33
33
6300 , 33.4
33.4

With Josh Giddey doubtful, we should see monster Tre Jones minutes again. He's been at 1.02 FP/min without Dosunmu, Giddey, Ball, and LaVine this year. Utah is 29th in DRtg this year and are on a back-to-back.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 28.8
28.8
5500 , 28.9
28.9

We've been down this road. It's likely that Kennard starts but Pippen comes off the bench. Pippen sits at 1.1 FP/min and a 20.9% USG this year and has a good matchup against the Kings ranking 23rd in DRtg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9200 , 47.3
47.3
9400 , 45.6
45.6

Assuming Bradley Beal is out here, Devin Booker and company are in good spots. Booker has a 31% USG and 1.25 FP/min. Toronto has actually been quite good defensively in March and are 17th in DRtg this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9000 , 44.2
44.2
8800 , 42.9
42.9

Bane is solid here. The price is pretty steep, that's the one knock against him. He has a 24.5% USG and a 1.2 FP/min average without Morant and Aldama this year.

Game Type: GPP
8900 , 42.9
42.9
, 41.3
41.3

DK ONLY - Reaves looks great, man. No LBJ, AD, and DLo this year had led to Reaves magic. Reaves has a 8.9% USG bump up to 33% and is averaging 1.5 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5200 , 25.1
25.1
5000 , 25
25

I'm a little indifferent about the price and the ownership. The minutes and matchup are great, obviously, but he's only a .77 FP/min player since joining the Bulls with the likes of Giddey & Ball off the floor.

Game Type: GPP
4500 , 25.7
25.7
4700 , 24.5
24.5

Kennard is your clear leverage off of Scotty Pippen Jr. He's still sitting at 1 FP/min without Morant, Aldama, and Smart and right around 19% USG. SAC is 23rd in DRtg in March and he likely starts here.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9400 , 46.3
46.3
9200 , 46.5
46.5

Everything is trending towards the sky and beyond for Zion Williamson. He's been incredible. He's questionable for this game, but not with an injury. Without Ingram, Murray, and Jones this year, Williamson has a 34% USG and averages 1.6 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP
7700 , 37.1
37.1
7900 , 37.6
37.6

Nobody is going to go to Butler here with the fantasy inconsistencies, but he has a really high ceiling and the FP/min stuff looks great. Without Brandin Podziemski this year, Butler sits at 1.2 FP/min and Stephen Curry is questionable too.

Game Type: GPP
7100 , 43
43
7800 , 41.9
41.9

We're unsure about anything else except for Deandre Ayton being out. With only Ayton out, Avdija is a 23% USG and 1.14 FP/min guy. The price, matchup, and production are all plus.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6900 , 34.4
34.4
, 34
34

DK ONLY - Vassell was seemingly going through a little rut but he has really turned the corner here. He's posted 30+ DKP in five of his last six games and has topped 35 in four of them. He's over a FP/min without all the pieces they're without this year.

Game Type: GPP
5000 , 27.7
27.7
, 27.2
27.2

DK ONLY - I'm a Keldon Johnson truther. Without all the pieces they're with, Johnson gets a solid 3.3% USG bump up to 24.5% USG and 1.1 FP/min. The minutes are up and down and this matchup isn't great, but the upside is there.

Game Type: GPP
3800 , 22.8
22.8
4400 , 23
23

Since re-entering the starting lineup two games ago, Ryan Dunn has posted a 23.7% and 26.1% USG rates. IF Dunn can post these types of usage rate games, he's far too cheap because of how good he is defensively with the stocks.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9700 , 46.5
46.5
9500 , 45.7
45.7

Elite option with Bradley Beal out. Might prefer Devin Booker for a little cheaper, but they look awfully similar and might just ultimately play the lower owned of the two.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8400 , 44.2
44.2
8300 , 44.9
44.9

I'm ALWAYS all in on JJJ when Morant is out. JJJ has a 31.3% USG and 1.3 FP/min without Morant, Aldama, and Smart this year. This is a great spot, we just simply need him to stay out of foul trouble. We've been saying this for years.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5400 , 28.9
28.9
5600 , 29.5
29.5

Champagnie has played 30+ minutes in three straight and has looked great while out there. With all those that are out or traded, Champagnie averages 1.01 FP/min. He's posted 37+ DKP in two straight and the minutes aren't going away.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6200 , 35.1
35.1
6600 , 37.1
37.1

Tari Eason is an absolute dog. He has a very high ceiling and without Amen Thompson this season, he's averaged 1.2 FP/min. He remains a starter for Houston and is coming off a 30-point game. He's posted a 20% USG or better in six of seven games, 23% or higher in two straight.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5100 , 29.1
29.1
, 29.1
29.1

DK ONLY - Another Spur that's hard to trust from a minutes aspect. He played 30 minutes last time out and twice over his last four he's been under 20, so what do we do with that information? He has posted 26+ DKP in three straight games. Good FP/min player.

Game Type: GPP
3600 , 31.6
31.6
4400 , 31.3
31.3

Obi Toppin is the highest rostered player of the slate at the current moment in time. I don't think Toppin is going to start, but he'll be extended for sure. He's played 22+ minutes in two straight and he should sit in the mid-20s here without Siakam. He could also possibly play upwards of 30 because Indiana has three other starters listed as Q on the injury report.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
13000 , 0
0
12900 , 0
0

The day has arrived. Nikola Jokic is $13K. If he plays, you can definitely spend up on him because he's very low owned. If he goes for 70+ DKP, you're in a good spot. The minutes from Jokic lately? He hasn't played less than 38 in the entire month of March.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9400 , 50.1
50.1
8900 , 46.9
46.9

Sabonis didn't close last game after two weeks off but was absolutely fantastic in his 30 minutes triple-doubling with four stocks. The minutes should only trend upwards and he faces a Memphis team that allows a lot of second chance points and we know how good Sabonis is on the glass.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6800 , 37.1
37.1
7300 , 36
36

There is only ONE team in the NBA that's worse at allowing points in the paint than the New Orleans Pelicans. Insert Jalen Duren who scores all of his points at the rim and he and Cade Cunningham are going to EAT in this spot. The Pelicans are also 30th in second chance points, which is something Duren thrives at too.

Game Type: GPP
5400 , 25.4
25.4
5700 , 24.9
24.9

Kelly O is just very good in fantasy. He's at 1.04 FP/min this year and the minutes have been great as he's played 31 in back-to-back games. Solid GPP play and could be even better if Missi/Williamson sit.

Game Type: GPP
5800 , 32.6
32.6
6100 , 34.3
34.3

Clingan's been extended without Ayton, Williams, and Walker, so lets see if all three are out again. He's an elite rebounder and shot blocker and if he can score the ball on a given night, he has an incredibly high ceiling.

Game Type: GPP
5900 , 30.8
30.8
6500 , 31.2
31.2

The price is solid. The FP/min output is too. He's sitting at 1 FP/min and when he makes shots, he has a massive ceiling because the peripheral stats are so good and consistent.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7800 , 38.9
38.9
7700 , 36.8
36.8

I love Coby White here and how good he's looked recently. The matchup against the Jazz? Elite. The short-handed Bulls? Very. White gets a 5.4% USG bump up to 29.7% and he's averaging 1.2 FP/min as well. He has eight straight games of 20+ actual points and 37+ DKP in seven of them.

Game Type: CASH & GPP