We have nine games on Monday’s NBA DFS DraftKings slate but it's 11 games on FanDuel as DraftKings decided to cut off the two late-night hammers. A few things of note that have taken place so far this season is the wide range of players within a rotation teams are turning to. 

 

 

 

There are some teams playing things very tight, but multiple teams – including teams on tonight’s slate – are playing between 10-12 guys in their rotation. Those are the teams we need to pay attention to and possibly take a step back with our desire to play their players. At least early on this season.

With nine games on DraftKings and 11 games on FanDuel, there is a large pool to pick players from and the stars will be out as Luka Doncic, Anthony Davis, Nikola Jokic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Jayson Tatum will be taking the court. 

Let’s start getting into what we’re going to be looking at on the nine-game main slate on DraftKings and the 11-gamer on FanDuel on Monday, October 28th.

NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, October 28th

Be sure to like and subscribe to the Fantasy Alarm YouTube channel!


Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. 

If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.

  • News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
  • Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
  • Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
  • NBA DFS Projections
  • Lineup Generator
  • NBA Ownership

 

 


Pre-Lock Update

This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock. Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.

  • Update - 1:05 pm ET

Onyeka Okongwu & Bogdan Bogdanovic are OUT. De'Andre Hunter is QUEST. Clint Capela is the primary beneficiary here. Larry Nance is probably dusted off as the backup center. This is also something that could unleash Jalen Johnson.

  • Update - 5:00 pm ET

Larry Nance is expected to play a role tonight. He's also the second-highest projected player of the slate as a PF/C min salary player.

  • Update - 6:10 pm ET

Franz Wagner WILL play. Very much in play for GPPs. 

  • Update - 6:50 pm ET

Upon reviewing the Hawks rotation from last night. I'd be OK playing someone like David Roddy over Larry Nance to be different in tournaments.

  • Update - 7:00 pm ET

Ja Morant has been ruled OUT. Scotty Pippen Jr. is a CORE play. Desmond Bane is very solid; 29% USG rate without Morant this year.

NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 10/28

NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews

With the NBA season just kicking off we don't have data yet for teams regarding pace of play and defensive matchups. In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads.

Washington Wizards vs. Atlanta Hawks

  • Total: 233.5
  • Spread: ATL -7.5

Chicago Bulls vs. Memphis Grizzlies

  • Total: 233.5
  • Spread: MEM -6.5

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics

  • Total: 232.5
  • Spread: BOS -10

Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks

  • Total: 232.5
  • Spread: DAL -11.5

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Sacramento Kings

  • Total: 230.5
  • Spread: SAC -12.5

 

 

 

NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks

Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.

High

Mid

Value

 

 

 

Don't Miss The NBA DFS Playbook Live Show At 5 PM ET 

 

 
Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
DK Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
FD Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
PGLuka DončićLAL @ PHX Mon 10:00113000117000

This guy, man. No preseason. Dealing with a calf. 36 and 39 minutes in back-to-back games, has averaged 1.6 DKP/game, and has a 36% USG. This game has a massive implied total but Dallas is 11.5-point favorites.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGTrae YoungWAS @ ATL Mon 7:30980052.21010048.2

We're three games into the season and Trae Young looks different than he has in a few seasons. Young has a 33.6% USG and 1.4 DKP/min average this year. Young has an elite matchup against the Wizards as they're fifth in pace and 30th in DRtg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGCoby WhiteCHI @ MEM Mon 8:00720034.6660032.9

We've seen a massive ceiling and a GPP losing floor out of White through three games, but he's in a good spot here. This game has a 233.5 implied total with the two teams playing at the top two pace in the league. White has a 23.5% USG rate and 1.1 FP/min

Game Type: GPP
PGDyson DanielsWAS @ ATL Mon 7:30560029.8690031.1

I'm a little uncomfortable with the FanDuel price, but I'm in on DraftKings. This is an elite spot for Daniels because of how good he is peripherally. He's playing big minutes and the Hawks are pretty short-handed and playing a short rotation.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGJalen SuggsIND @ ORL Mon 7:00540028.5610028.4

Which version of Suggs do we get because the minutes have been impossible to project. 13, 22, and 31 minutes in the three games. Sheesh. Suggs and the Magic are in a great spot if he's extended for 30 minutes again.

Game Type: GPP
SGKyrie IrvingUTA @ DAL Mon 8:30750040780039.2

He's underpriced, simply put. He played a boatload in minutes in the second game of the year and that's how Dallas operates in competitive games. All Doncic and Irving all the time. He has an insanely high ceiling against a really bad defensive team.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGZach LaVinePOR @ SAC Mon 10:007400076000

Simply put; Zach LaVine just simply looks like himself again. His 35.6% USG rate leads the team, 22+ points, 36+ DKP, and peripherally he's been solid too. This is a matchup between the top two teams in pace and he has elite positional eligibility.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGJordan PooleWAS @ ATL Mon 7:30730033.7740032.5

I think Jordan Poole is quite interesting in tournaments. He's been easily the Wizards' best starter from a FP/min standpoint notching 1.36 DKP/min. ATL is on the second night of a back-to-back and Poole looks good as the team's starting point-guard.

Game Type: GPP
SGAnfernee SimonsPOR @ SAC Mon 10:0036.7660034

FD ONLY - This game is fun and we only get it on the main slate on FD but he's looked super good over his last two. We know he's a bucket and we're getting a good version of him right now as he sits at 28.9% USG. This is an uptempo spot as the Kings are 6th in pace.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGBilal CoulibalyWAS @ ATL Mon 7:30490027.1560027.3

The minutes have been great for Coulibaly as he continues to start for Washington. He only took two shots in the first game but put up 16 in his second, so that's GREAT to see. This matchup against Atlanta is a sigh of relief from Cleveland Boston. I like the price.

Game Type: GPP
SFJayson TatumMIL @ BOS Mon 7:30970053.61040051.7

Boston has not skipped a beat through three games and Tatum is still underpriced on DK considering he's dropped 50+ DKP in all three games he's played in and two have been blowouts. Tatum has a 30% USG and is averaging 1.3 DKP/min this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFJimmy Butler8000081000

If we're going to get 36+ minutes from Jimmy Butler in which he's locked in in a game against the HORNETS than we're in for a big Butler season. He had a 28% USG and was just two rebounds and assists shy of a triple-double. The Pistons rank 26th in DRtg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFKyle KuzmaMIL @ BOS Mon 7:307500075000

Another Wizard? I know. I'm crazy, but if there was ever a spot, getting the Hawks on the second leg of a back-to-back was it. The Hawks are 25th in DRtg and 8th in pace. Kuzma has simply missed shots and been in blowouts. He should continue to shoot, have better success, and play a LOT more here.

Game Type: GPP
SFFranz WagnerIND @ ORL Mon 7:00730038.8780038.2

You definitely don't like seeing Wagner get the mid-day downgrade that's for sure. Especially due to an illness. If he plays, however, he's the bees knees. He draws a struggling Pacers team on the second leg of a back-to-back and Wagner is ballin' right now. He's made over 40% of his threes and if take that leap, he's unstoppable on the offensive end.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFMichael PorterDEN @ TOR Mon 7:30580033.4620032.3

I really think there's value to be hard with MPJ here. He's returned 5x value twice without really making any shots. He's the only true floor-spacer Denver has, too. Look for Porter's shot to fall and him have a big game here.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFGiannis AntetokounmpoMIL @ BOS Mon 7:301090060.51150058.7

We haven't gotten that nuclear explosion from Giannis yet, but he's been incredibly solid. 51+ DKP in each game with a 59 DKP ceiling. Coming off two BAD losses in a row and now face the best team in the NBA. If it's close, Giannis is the primary reason why.

Game Type: GPP
PFJalen JohnsonWAS @ ATL Mon 7:30780044.6800043.2

Don't give up on Jalen Johnson. That would be a massive mistake. He's tooooooo good to do so because of a few bad games. Bogdan Bogdanovic and Onyeka Okongwu are out and a matchup against Washington should cure all woes.

Game Type: GPP
PFJeremy SochanHOU @ SAS Mon 8:00560032.6600031.9

Amongst the five starters last game, only Victor Wembanyama had a higher usage rate than Jeremy Sochan and his 24.3% USG to start the year is very great to see. He's a good rebounder, can score, and can handle the ball away.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFZaccharie RisacherWAS @ ATL Mon 7:30420030.6390030.5

ADDED - De'Andre Hunter is OUT and Risacher is as must-start at his price around the industry.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFNikola JovićDET @ MIA Mon 7:30440026.1560025.3

I would love to simply plug and play Jovic but it's not as simple as that. He played 30 minutes last game but didn't close – Alec Burks did. He has a really solid skillset and can put up fantasy points fast, but isn't near the top of the food chain in terms of scoring on that team. I like 4.4K against a bad Pistons defense if we get 30 minutes again.

Game Type: GPP
PFJerami GrantPOR @ SAC Mon 10:0039.2710038.1

FD ONLY - He has elite upside in tournaments because of his ability to put the ball in the basket. He's scored 28 and 34 actual points in back to back games and has put up at least 48 FDP in those outings. Portland are big underdogs here, but if they're competitive in this game it's because Grant.

Game Type: GPP
CNikola JokićDEN @ TOR Mon 7:301110060.81180058.8

Nobody is really going to play Jokic today, huh. That's intreresting because he's put up 60+ DKP in each game, has already scored 40 in a game and in game one, he had 26 potential assists and only had 13 assists. If his teammates make shots, he's going to have another 20-20-20 game soon.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFRui HachimuraLAL @ PHX Mon 10:0033.9600033.5

FD ONLY - He's been extremely consistent thus far through three games and still just 6K on FD. He's topped 30 FD twice in three games and has scored 18 actual twice as well. He's solid lineup filler.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CAnthony DavisUTA @ DAL Mon 8:300110000

FD ONLY - Anthony Davis is smashing everything in sight. His opponents have stood no chance. He's played 37+ minutes, scored 31+ points, and 57+ DKP. He has a team-leading 31% USG and averages 1.66 FD/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CDomantas SabonisPOR @ SAC Mon 10:0055.7980053.1

FD ONLY - The fact you can play him at PF and C is crazy and he's coming off a 60 bomb thanks to his first triple-double of the year. That's what Sabonis is capable of, even with DeMar DeRozan being added to the mix.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CJakob PoeltlDEN @ TOR Mon 7:30630033.3620034.4

He's matched up with Nikola Jokic which might not end well, but he's the biggest and best body the Raptors have to match Jokic's size. If this game is competitive and he stays out of foul trouble, there's 40+ FP upside at low ownership.

Game Type: GPP
CWendell CarterIND @ ORL Mon 7:00550032.3590031.6

Carter's been dominating on the glass this year averaging 18 potential boards and 11.3 RPG. He just hasn't had much shot volume and we've known that's been part of his game for a while; until this year. Solid pivot off Capela.

Game Type: GPP
CClint CapelaWAS @ ATL Mon 7:30540034.2530033.8

Chalk city tonight now that Onyeka Okongwu has been ruled out. It's likely that Capela isn't just run out there for 40 minutes and Larry Nance Jr. is dusted off and possibly Jalen Johnson is used at the five as well. BUT, Capela is good chalk. Since the start of last year, he's a 1.2 FP/min player.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGScotty PippenCHI @ MEM Mon 8:0035.2530034.9

ADDED - With Ja Morant out, Scotty Pippen is going to have a massive role tonight. With John Konchar also out, we should see Marcus Smart operate as the backup point-guard tonight, but all eyes on Pippen.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGDesmond BaneCHI @ MEM Mon 8:00760038750036.5

ADDED - Bane has a 29% USG without Ja Morant this year and with Jaren Jackson still limited, Bane should be the go-to offensive option for Memphis like we saw a lot last season.

Game Type: GPP
11300 , 0
0
11700 , 0
0

This guy, man. No preseason. Dealing with a calf. 36 and 39 minutes in back-to-back games, has averaged 1.6 DKP/game, and has a 36% USG. This game has a massive implied total but Dallas is 11.5-point favorites.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9800 , 52.2
52.2
10100 , 48.2
48.2

We're three games into the season and Trae Young looks different than he has in a few seasons. Young has a 33.6% USG and 1.4 DKP/min average this year. Young has an elite matchup against the Wizards as they're fifth in pace and 30th in DRtg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7200 , 34.6
34.6
6600 , 32.9
32.9

We've seen a massive ceiling and a GPP losing floor out of White through three games, but he's in a good spot here. This game has a 233.5 implied total with the two teams playing at the top two pace in the league. White has a 23.5% USG rate and 1.1 FP/min

Game Type: GPP
5600 , 29.8
29.8
6900 , 31.1
31.1

I'm a little uncomfortable with the FanDuel price, but I'm in on DraftKings. This is an elite spot for Daniels because of how good he is peripherally. He's playing big minutes and the Hawks are pretty short-handed and playing a short rotation.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5400 , 28.5
28.5
6100 , 28.4
28.4

Which version of Suggs do we get because the minutes have been impossible to project. 13, 22, and 31 minutes in the three games. Sheesh. Suggs and the Magic are in a great spot if he's extended for 30 minutes again.

Game Type: GPP
7500 , 40
40
7800 , 39.2
39.2

He's underpriced, simply put. He played a boatload in minutes in the second game of the year and that's how Dallas operates in competitive games. All Doncic and Irving all the time. He has an insanely high ceiling against a really bad defensive team.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7400 , 0
0
7600 , 0
0

Simply put; Zach LaVine just simply looks like himself again. His 35.6% USG rate leads the team, 22+ points, 36+ DKP, and peripherally he's been solid too. This is a matchup between the top two teams in pace and he has elite positional eligibility.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7300 , 33.7
33.7
7400 , 32.5
32.5

I think Jordan Poole is quite interesting in tournaments. He's been easily the Wizards' best starter from a FP/min standpoint notching 1.36 DKP/min. ATL is on the second night of a back-to-back and Poole looks good as the team's starting point-guard.

Game Type: GPP
, 36.7
36.7
6600 , 34
34

FD ONLY - This game is fun and we only get it on the main slate on FD but he's looked super good over his last two. We know he's a bucket and we're getting a good version of him right now as he sits at 28.9% USG. This is an uptempo spot as the Kings are 6th in pace.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4900 , 27.1
27.1
5600 , 27.3
27.3

The minutes have been great for Coulibaly as he continues to start for Washington. He only took two shots in the first game but put up 16 in his second, so that's GREAT to see. This matchup against Atlanta is a sigh of relief from Cleveland Boston. I like the price.

Game Type: GPP
9700 , 53.6
53.6
10400 , 51.7
51.7

Boston has not skipped a beat through three games and Tatum is still underpriced on DK considering he's dropped 50+ DKP in all three games he's played in and two have been blowouts. Tatum has a 30% USG and is averaging 1.3 DKP/min this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8000 , 0
0
8100 , 0
0

If we're going to get 36+ minutes from Jimmy Butler in which he's locked in in a game against the HORNETS than we're in for a big Butler season. He had a 28% USG and was just two rebounds and assists shy of a triple-double. The Pistons rank 26th in DRtg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7500 , 0
0
7500 , 0
0

Another Wizard? I know. I'm crazy, but if there was ever a spot, getting the Hawks on the second leg of a back-to-back was it. The Hawks are 25th in DRtg and 8th in pace. Kuzma has simply missed shots and been in blowouts. He should continue to shoot, have better success, and play a LOT more here.

Game Type: GPP
7300 , 38.8
38.8
7800 , 38.2
38.2

You definitely don't like seeing Wagner get the mid-day downgrade that's for sure. Especially due to an illness. If he plays, however, he's the bees knees. He draws a struggling Pacers team on the second leg of a back-to-back and Wagner is ballin' right now. He's made over 40% of his threes and if take that leap, he's unstoppable on the offensive end.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5800 , 33.4
33.4
6200 , 32.3
32.3

I really think there's value to be hard with MPJ here. He's returned 5x value twice without really making any shots. He's the only true floor-spacer Denver has, too. Look for Porter's shot to fall and him have a big game here.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
10900 , 60.5
60.5
11500 , 58.7
58.7

We haven't gotten that nuclear explosion from Giannis yet, but he's been incredibly solid. 51+ DKP in each game with a 59 DKP ceiling. Coming off two BAD losses in a row and now face the best team in the NBA. If it's close, Giannis is the primary reason why.

Game Type: GPP
7800 , 44.6
44.6
8000 , 43.2
43.2

Don't give up on Jalen Johnson. That would be a massive mistake. He's tooooooo good to do so because of a few bad games. Bogdan Bogdanovic and Onyeka Okongwu are out and a matchup against Washington should cure all woes.

Game Type: GPP
5600 , 32.6
32.6
6000 , 31.9
31.9

Amongst the five starters last game, only Victor Wembanyama had a higher usage rate than Jeremy Sochan and his 24.3% USG to start the year is very great to see. He's a good rebounder, can score, and can handle the ball away.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4200 , 30.6
30.6
3900 , 30.5
30.5

ADDED - De'Andre Hunter is OUT and Risacher is as must-start at his price around the industry.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4400 , 26.1
26.1
5600 , 25.3
25.3

I would love to simply plug and play Jovic but it's not as simple as that. He played 30 minutes last game but didn't close – Alec Burks did. He has a really solid skillset and can put up fantasy points fast, but isn't near the top of the food chain in terms of scoring on that team. I like 4.4K against a bad Pistons defense if we get 30 minutes again.

Game Type: GPP
, 39.2
39.2
7100 , 38.1
38.1

FD ONLY - He has elite upside in tournaments because of his ability to put the ball in the basket. He's scored 28 and 34 actual points in back to back games and has put up at least 48 FDP in those outings. Portland are big underdogs here, but if they're competitive in this game it's because Grant.

Game Type: GPP
11100 , 60.8
60.8
11800 , 58.8
58.8

Nobody is really going to play Jokic today, huh. That's intreresting because he's put up 60+ DKP in each game, has already scored 40 in a game and in game one, he had 26 potential assists and only had 13 assists. If his teammates make shots, he's going to have another 20-20-20 game soon.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 33.9
33.9
6000 , 33.5
33.5

FD ONLY - He's been extremely consistent thus far through three games and still just 6K on FD. He's topped 30 FD twice in three games and has scored 18 actual twice as well. He's solid lineup filler.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 0
0
11000 , 0
0

FD ONLY - Anthony Davis is smashing everything in sight. His opponents have stood no chance. He's played 37+ minutes, scored 31+ points, and 57+ DKP. He has a team-leading 31% USG and averages 1.66 FD/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 55.7
55.7
9800 , 53.1
53.1

FD ONLY - The fact you can play him at PF and C is crazy and he's coming off a 60 bomb thanks to his first triple-double of the year. That's what Sabonis is capable of, even with DeMar DeRozan being added to the mix.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6300 , 33.3
33.3
6200 , 34.4
34.4

He's matched up with Nikola Jokic which might not end well, but he's the biggest and best body the Raptors have to match Jokic's size. If this game is competitive and he stays out of foul trouble, there's 40+ FP upside at low ownership.

Game Type: GPP
5500 , 32.3
32.3
5900 , 31.6
31.6

Carter's been dominating on the glass this year averaging 18 potential boards and 11.3 RPG. He just hasn't had much shot volume and we've known that's been part of his game for a while; until this year. Solid pivot off Capela.

Game Type: GPP
5400 , 34.2
34.2
5300 , 33.8
33.8

Chalk city tonight now that Onyeka Okongwu has been ruled out. It's likely that Capela isn't just run out there for 40 minutes and Larry Nance Jr. is dusted off and possibly Jalen Johnson is used at the five as well. BUT, Capela is good chalk. Since the start of last year, he's a 1.2 FP/min player.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 35.2
35.2
5300 , 34.9
34.9

ADDED - With Ja Morant out, Scotty Pippen is going to have a massive role tonight. With John Konchar also out, we should see Marcus Smart operate as the backup point-guard tonight, but all eyes on Pippen.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7600 , 38
38
7500 , 36.5
36.5

ADDED - Bane has a 29% USG without Ja Morant this year and with Jaren Jackson still limited, Bane should be the go-to offensive option for Memphis like we saw a lot last season.

Game Type: GPP