Happy Monday, January 6th! We have a nice eight-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel.

The stars are out as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Victor Wembanyama, Karl-Anthony Towns, and Cade Cunningham take the floor. It's an interesting slate with multiple a LOT of players currently listed on the injury report including Karl-Anthony Towns, Joel Embiid, RJ Barrett, and Desmond Bane.

 

 

 

Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.

  • News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
  • Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
  • Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
  • NBA DFS Projections
  • Lineup Generator
  • NBA Ownership

NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, January 6th

Be sure to like and subscribe to the Fantasy Alarm YouTube channel!

 

 

 

Pre-Lock Update

This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock. 

Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.

4:55 pm ET

6:15 pm ET

6:20 pm ET

NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 1/6

 

 

 

NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews

With the NBA season just kicking off we don't have data yet for teams regarding pace of play and defensive matchups. In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Chicago Bulls

  • Total: 236.5
  • Spread: SAS -3
  • Spurs are 18th in pace, Bulls are 3rd in pace
  • Spurs are 13th in DRtg, Bulls are 24th in DRtg

Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies

  • Total: 232
  • Spread: MEM -4.5
  • Mavericks are 9th in pace, Grizzlies are 1st in pace
  • Mavericks are 11th in DRtg, Grizzlies are 5th in DRtg

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Toronto Raptors

  • Total: 231
  • Spread: MIL -7..5
  • Bucks are 13th in pace, Raptors are 8th in pace
  • Bucks are 10th in DRtg, Raptors are 26th in DRtg

Portland Trail Blazers @ Detroit Pistons

  • Total: 226.5
  • Spread: DET -6.5
  • Trail Blazers are 2nd in pace, Pistons are 20th in pace
  • Trail Blazers are 17th in DRtg, Pistons are 22nd in DRtg

Phoenix Suns vs. Philadelphia 76ers

  • Total: 223.5
  • Spread: PHI -3.5
  • Suns are 22nd in pace, 76ers are 28th in pace
  • Suns are 23rd in DRtg, 76ers are 15th in DRtg

Indiana Pacers vs. Brooklyn Nets

  • Total: 223
  • Spread: IND -10
  • Pacers are 7th in pace, Nets are 30th in pace
  • Pacers are 22nd in DRtg, Nets are 25th in DRtg

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Total: 214.5
  • Spread: MIN -2
  • Clippers are 19th in pace, Timberwolves are 26th in pace
  • Clippers are 4th in DRtg, Timberwolves are 8th in DRtg

Orlando Magic vs. New York Knicks

  • Total: 210
  • Spread: NYK -12
  • Magic are 29th in pace, Knicks are 25th in pace
  • Magic are 2nd in DRtg, Knicks are 14th in DRtg

 

 

 

NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks

Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.

High

Mid

Value

Don't Miss The NBA DFS Playbook Live Show At 5 PM ET

Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
DK Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
FD Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
PGCade CunninghamPOR @ DET Mon 7:009700531000050.5

With Jaden Ivey off the floor this year, Cade Cunningham has been awesome. He's been awesome in general, but he gets +2.1% USG bump up to 34.5% and 1.5 FP/min. It's a fantastic matchup too.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGDamian LillardMIL @ TOR Mon 7:30870043.8880041.6

It's a really good spot. The Raptors a bottom-five defense this year and it's a pace up spot too. Lillard simply hasn't made shots lately, shooting 33% or worse in three straight games, but the peripheral stats have been there. This is a spot he can get going in.

Game Type: GPP
PGTyrese HaliburtonIND @ BKN Mon 7:30840044.6910043.7

It's been impossible to trust Haliburton this year, but he has looked better lately, there's no doubting that. The scoring has taken center stage and that's what it needs to be and now we're seeing the Pacers from last year more and more because of it. In three of his last four games, in that he's gone for 50+ DKP, he's posted a 28% USG or higher. That's who we need here. The Nets are 25th in DRtg.

Game Type: GPP
PGImmanuel QuickleyMIL @ TOR Mon 7:30700038.8670037.1

We have absolutely no idea if RJ Barrett's going to play here, but will it matter? Quickley is really cheap on both DK and FD considering his role since returning. Quickley's had a 27% and 31% USG in the two games and two double-doubles.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGAnfernee SimonsPOR @ DET Mon 7:00640037.2720034.9

Simons is cookin' lately. He's put up 37+ DKP in four straight games, scoring 22+ points in each. He's been especially good in the last three, posting a 27% USG or greater in each. The minutes have been great, the production has too, and he faces off against the Pistons who are 22nd in DRtg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGCole AnthonyORL @ NYK Mon 7:30490028640026.8

Jalen Suggs has been ruled out, and with that being the case, Cole Anthony has a +4% USG bump up to 31.8% and has a 1.2 FP/min avg. Anthony has an insanely high ceiling but very low floor. We'll see if Anthony Black is active, too.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGLonzo BallSAS @ CHI Mon 8:00420025.6490026.5

Look, I really like the DK price and I really like the minutes lately. With Ayo Dosunmu out, Ball's minutes have been trending upwards, playing mid-20's in four straight. Lonzo Ball has averaged 1.02 FP/min this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGZach LaVineMIA @ SAC Mon 10:008200077000

Cooking. With. Gas. Zach LaVine has gone for back-to-back 30 actual point games and has three 30+ games in three of four. He's making a LOT of his shots, he's making a lot of threes, and he's also been good in the assist department notching 7+ in them.

Game Type: GPP
SGDevin VassellSAS @ CHI Mon 8:00610036.7650035.9

We're getting a really good version of Vassell right now and the key was he played his first back-to-back of the year and played 39 minutes on leg number two. Vassell has gone for 33+ DKP in four of five games and has a dream matchup against the Bulls here.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGMalik BeasleyPOR @ DET Mon 7:00560028.6530026.6

Since Jaden Ivey went down, we've seen no shortage of minutes and shots as he's played 31+ minutes and has taken 16+ shots and 10+ 3's. The Pistons might be also without Ausar Thompson in this game, which will only benefit Beasley. GPP play due to how many shots he can make and the spot he's playing in.

Game Type: GPP
SGD'Angelo RussellIND @ BKN Mon 7:305500071000

Look, if DLo plays, especially on DK, he's almost a must-play at $5,500. At $7,100 on FanDuel there's not as much issues.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGJaylen WellsDAL @ MEM Mon 8:00530027.1470025.6

We saw what Wells' ceiling could look like two games ago and the Grizzlies are VERY short-handed here. He's playing big minutes as well topping 32+ in four of five games. He's also put up 23+ DKP in each of the last three, so he's providing a nice floor. I like the FD price even more.

Game Type: GPP
SFDeni AvdijaPOR @ DET Mon 7:00660039670038.7

Nobody on the Trail Blazers averages more FP/min with Jerami Grant out than Deni Avdija. He's had 40+ DKP in back-to-back games and Grant is once again out against a bottom-10 defense.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFJake LaRaviaMIA @ SAC Mon 10:005000047000

I mean, Jake LaRavia is coming off his best game of the year and is over 1 FP/min without Morant, Bane, and Smart this year. He could potentially start here for Desmond Bane, too.

Game Type: GPP
PFGiannis AntetokounmpoMIL @ TOR Mon 7:301130063.21190061.2

With or without Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo is an elite fantasy asset. 37% USG, 1.7 FP/min. Really nobody can stop him.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFJaren JacksonDAL @ MEM Mon 8:00910046.9880048.2

The Grizzlies are going to be down a LOT of their key contributors tonight and it's hard to ignore it for JJJ. JJJ has a 34% USG (+4.97% USG) and 1.42 FP/min without Bane, Morant, and Smart.

Game Type: GPP
PFP.J. WashingtonDAL @ MEM Mon 8:00650033.5680034.1

Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic are BOTH out tonight. This is a BIG pace up spot and PJW has seen a nice uptick in that category lately. Washington has had a 23% USG over the last four games and sees a whopping +6.64% USG bump to 24.4%. Washington's at .99 FP/min without them. He's very solid here.

Game Type: GPP
PFTobias HarrisPOR @ DET Mon 7:00540031.1600031.1

Yeah, Tobias Harris has looked great since the Jaden Ivey injury. He's still too cheap, too. The minutes are back, the USG rate has been over 21% in each game and the production has been great. Hard to ignore today.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CVictor WembanyamaSAS @ CHI Mon 8:0011100591200058.1

It's hard to not want to jam Victor Wembanyama into your lineups tonight. REALLY hard considering it's the Bulls. Massive pace up spot, highest implied total on the board, and against the 24th ranked defense. Wemby's coming off back-to-back 60 bombs.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CJoel EmbiidPHX @ PHI Mon 7:0096000106000

In all the games Joel Embiid hasn't been hurt or ejected in, he's dominated. This is the version of Embiid we were getting last year before the injury. Lets not overlook how good this spot is either. The Suns are 23rd in DRtg this year and 28th over their last 10 games. Embiid has posted a USG over 34% or better in four straight and six of his last seven.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CMyles TurnerIND @ BKN Mon 7:30640034.2670034.4

Great price, solid production, solid matchup. He's put up 35+ DKP in three straight games and looks so good offensively. 16+ points in three straight, shooting the ball extremely well and we know his block upside is there too.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CDereck LivelyDAL @ MEM Mon 8:00530031.1630032.6

Lively playing 27 minutes last game signified the split is back to Lively's side and that's that. He has a very high ceiling at his price point. Solid tournament play.

Game Type: GPP
CBrandon ClarkeDAL @ MEM Mon 8:00390021.2480022.2

The Grizzlies have expanded Brandon Clarke's role lately as he's played 23+ minutes in back-to-back games and has been over 20 FP in each, which is a nice output for his sub-4K DK price point.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFToumani CamaraPOR @ DET Mon 7:00470025.4560025.3

ADDED

Game Type: CASH
SFNaji MarshallDAL @ MEM Mon 8:00460025.3440025

ADDED

Game Type: GPP
9700 , 53
53
10000 , 50.5
50.5

With Jaden Ivey off the floor this year, Cade Cunningham has been awesome. He's been awesome in general, but he gets +2.1% USG bump up to 34.5% and 1.5 FP/min. It's a fantastic matchup too.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8700 , 43.8
43.8
8800 , 41.6
41.6

It's a really good spot. The Raptors a bottom-five defense this year and it's a pace up spot too. Lillard simply hasn't made shots lately, shooting 33% or worse in three straight games, but the peripheral stats have been there. This is a spot he can get going in.

Game Type: GPP
8400 , 44.6
44.6
9100 , 43.7
43.7

It's been impossible to trust Haliburton this year, but he has looked better lately, there's no doubting that. The scoring has taken center stage and that's what it needs to be and now we're seeing the Pacers from last year more and more because of it. In three of his last four games, in that he's gone for 50+ DKP, he's posted a 28% USG or higher. That's who we need here. The Nets are 25th in DRtg.

Game Type: GPP
7000 , 38.8
38.8
6700 , 37.1
37.1

We have absolutely no idea if RJ Barrett's going to play here, but will it matter? Quickley is really cheap on both DK and FD considering his role since returning. Quickley's had a 27% and 31% USG in the two games and two double-doubles.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6400 , 37.2
37.2
7200 , 34.9
34.9

Simons is cookin' lately. He's put up 37+ DKP in four straight games, scoring 22+ points in each. He's been especially good in the last three, posting a 27% USG or greater in each. The minutes have been great, the production has too, and he faces off against the Pistons who are 22nd in DRtg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4900 , 28
28
6400 , 26.8
26.8

Jalen Suggs has been ruled out, and with that being the case, Cole Anthony has a +4% USG bump up to 31.8% and has a 1.2 FP/min avg. Anthony has an insanely high ceiling but very low floor. We'll see if Anthony Black is active, too.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4200 , 25.6
25.6
4900 , 26.5
26.5

Look, I really like the DK price and I really like the minutes lately. With Ayo Dosunmu out, Ball's minutes have been trending upwards, playing mid-20's in four straight. Lonzo Ball has averaged 1.02 FP/min this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8200 , 0
0
7700 , 0
0

Cooking. With. Gas. Zach LaVine has gone for back-to-back 30 actual point games and has three 30+ games in three of four. He's making a LOT of his shots, he's making a lot of threes, and he's also been good in the assist department notching 7+ in them.

Game Type: GPP
6100 , 36.7
36.7
6500 , 35.9
35.9

We're getting a really good version of Vassell right now and the key was he played his first back-to-back of the year and played 39 minutes on leg number two. Vassell has gone for 33+ DKP in four of five games and has a dream matchup against the Bulls here.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5600 , 28.6
28.6
5300 , 26.6
26.6

Since Jaden Ivey went down, we've seen no shortage of minutes and shots as he's played 31+ minutes and has taken 16+ shots and 10+ 3's. The Pistons might be also without Ausar Thompson in this game, which will only benefit Beasley. GPP play due to how many shots he can make and the spot he's playing in.

Game Type: GPP
5500 , 0
0
7100 , 0
0

Look, if DLo plays, especially on DK, he's almost a must-play at $5,500. At $7,100 on FanDuel there's not as much issues.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5300 , 27.1
27.1
4700 , 25.6
25.6

We saw what Wells' ceiling could look like two games ago and the Grizzlies are VERY short-handed here. He's playing big minutes as well topping 32+ in four of five games. He's also put up 23+ DKP in each of the last three, so he's providing a nice floor. I like the FD price even more.

Game Type: GPP
6600 , 39
39
6700 , 38.7
38.7

Nobody on the Trail Blazers averages more FP/min with Jerami Grant out than Deni Avdija. He's had 40+ DKP in back-to-back games and Grant is once again out against a bottom-10 defense.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5000 , 0
0
4700 , 0
0

I mean, Jake LaRavia is coming off his best game of the year and is over 1 FP/min without Morant, Bane, and Smart this year. He could potentially start here for Desmond Bane, too.

Game Type: GPP
11300 , 63.2
63.2
11900 , 61.2
61.2

With or without Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo is an elite fantasy asset. 37% USG, 1.7 FP/min. Really nobody can stop him.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9100 , 46.9
46.9
8800 , 48.2
48.2

The Grizzlies are going to be down a LOT of their key contributors tonight and it's hard to ignore it for JJJ. JJJ has a 34% USG (+4.97% USG) and 1.42 FP/min without Bane, Morant, and Smart.

Game Type: GPP
6500 , 33.5
33.5
6800 , 34.1
34.1

Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic are BOTH out tonight. This is a BIG pace up spot and PJW has seen a nice uptick in that category lately. Washington has had a 23% USG over the last four games and sees a whopping +6.64% USG bump to 24.4%. Washington's at .99 FP/min without them. He's very solid here.

Game Type: GPP
5400 , 31.1
31.1
6000 , 31.1
31.1

Yeah, Tobias Harris has looked great since the Jaden Ivey injury. He's still too cheap, too. The minutes are back, the USG rate has been over 21% in each game and the production has been great. Hard to ignore today.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
11100 , 59
59
12000 , 58.1
58.1

It's hard to not want to jam Victor Wembanyama into your lineups tonight. REALLY hard considering it's the Bulls. Massive pace up spot, highest implied total on the board, and against the 24th ranked defense. Wemby's coming off back-to-back 60 bombs.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9600 , 0
0
10600 , 0
0

In all the games Joel Embiid hasn't been hurt or ejected in, he's dominated. This is the version of Embiid we were getting last year before the injury. Lets not overlook how good this spot is either. The Suns are 23rd in DRtg this year and 28th over their last 10 games. Embiid has posted a USG over 34% or better in four straight and six of his last seven.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6400 , 34.2
34.2
6700 , 34.4
34.4

Great price, solid production, solid matchup. He's put up 35+ DKP in three straight games and looks so good offensively. 16+ points in three straight, shooting the ball extremely well and we know his block upside is there too.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5300 , 31.1
31.1
6300 , 32.6
32.6

Lively playing 27 minutes last game signified the split is back to Lively's side and that's that. He has a very high ceiling at his price point. Solid tournament play.

Game Type: GPP
3900 , 21.2
21.2
4800 , 22.2
22.2

The Grizzlies have expanded Brandon Clarke's role lately as he's played 23+ minutes in back-to-back games and has been over 20 FP in each, which is a nice output for his sub-4K DK price point.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4700 , 25.4
25.4
5600 , 25.3
25.3

ADDED

Game Type: CASH
4600 , 25.3
25.3
4400 , 25
25

ADDED

Game Type: GPP