NBA DFS Picks, Projections, Lineups, Injuries & More Today: Monday Playbook

Published: Jan 06, 2025
Happy Monday, January 6th! We have a nice eight-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel.
The stars are out as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Victor Wembanyama, Karl-Anthony Towns, and Cade Cunningham take the floor. It's an interesting slate with multiple a LOT of players currently listed on the injury report including Karl-Anthony Towns, Joel Embiid, RJ Barrett, and Desmond Bane.
Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.
- News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
- Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
- Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
- NBA DFS Projections
- Lineup Generator
- NBA Ownership
NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, January 6th
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Pre-Lock Update
This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock.
Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.
4:55 pm ET
- Ausar Thompson is OUT. My assumption would be Ron Holland or Simone Fontecchio will enter the starting lineup over someone like Wendell Moore Jr. Would prefer Holland between the two.
6:15 pm ET
- Ben Simmons & D'Angelo Russell are OUT. They inserted Tyrese Martin into the second half starting lineup after Russell got hurt the other day. This gives a boost to Tyrese Martin, Keon Johnson, Jalen Wilson & Ziaire Williams.
- Tyrese Martin & Keon Johnson are tier-1 plays. The other two are GPP plays for me. Day'Ron Sharpe is in play in GPPs too.
6:20 pm ET
- Joel Embiid & Andre Drummond are OUT. I love Paul George and Tyrese Maxey. I like Guerschon Yabusele quite a bit.
NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 1/6
- Giannis Antetokounmpo - IN
- Karl-Anthony Towns - QUEST
- Joel Embiid - OUT
- RJ Barrett - IN
- Kyrie Irving - OUT
- Ja Morant - OUT
- Jalen Brunson - IN
- Jalen Suggs - OUT
- Desmond Bane - DOUBT
- Cameron Johnson - OUT
- Cam Thomas - OUT
- Ayo Dosunmu - OUT
- Deandre Ayton - IN
- Khris Middleton - OUT
- Ben Simmons - OUT
- D'Angelo Russell - OUT
- Kelly Oubre - QUEST
- Jerami Grant - OUT
- Santi Aldama - OUT
- Anthony Black - QUEST
- Luke Kennard - QUEST
- Miles McBride - QUEST
- Trendon Watford - OUT
- Ausar Thompson - OUT
- Khris Middleton - OUT
NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews
With the NBA season just kicking off we don't have data yet for teams regarding pace of play and defensive matchups. In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Chicago Bulls
- Total: 236.5
- Spread: SAS -3
- Spurs are 18th in pace, Bulls are 3rd in pace
- Spurs are 13th in DRtg, Bulls are 24th in DRtg
Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Total: 232
- Spread: MEM -4.5
- Mavericks are 9th in pace, Grizzlies are 1st in pace
- Mavericks are 11th in DRtg, Grizzlies are 5th in DRtg
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Toronto Raptors
- Total: 231
- Spread: MIL -7..5
- Bucks are 13th in pace, Raptors are 8th in pace
- Bucks are 10th in DRtg, Raptors are 26th in DRtg
Portland Trail Blazers @ Detroit Pistons
- Total: 226.5
- Spread: DET -6.5
- Trail Blazers are 2nd in pace, Pistons are 20th in pace
- Trail Blazers are 17th in DRtg, Pistons are 22nd in DRtg
Phoenix Suns vs. Philadelphia 76ers
- Total: 223.5
- Spread: PHI -3.5
- Suns are 22nd in pace, 76ers are 28th in pace
- Suns are 23rd in DRtg, 76ers are 15th in DRtg
Indiana Pacers vs. Brooklyn Nets
- Total: 223
- Spread: IND -10
- Pacers are 7th in pace, Nets are 30th in pace
- Pacers are 22nd in DRtg, Nets are 25th in DRtg
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Total: 214.5
- Spread: MIN -2
- Clippers are 19th in pace, Timberwolves are 26th in pace
- Clippers are 4th in DRtg, Timberwolves are 8th in DRtg
Orlando Magic vs. New York Knicks
- Total: 210
- Spread: NYK -12
- Magic are 29th in pace, Knicks are 25th in pace
- Magic are 2nd in DRtg, Knicks are 14th in DRtg
NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks
Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.
High
Mid
- Tyrese Haliburton (GPPs), Zach LaVine, Immanuel Quickley, Devin Vassell, Deni Avdija, P.J. Washington (GPPs)
Value
- Tobias Harris, D'Angelo Russell, Cole Anthony, Jake LaRavia, Lonzo Ball, Malik Beasley, Naji Marshall
Don't Miss The NBA DFS Playbook Live Show At 5 PM ET
Pos (Click to sort ascending) | Player (Click to sort ascending) | Matchup (Click to sort ascending) | DK (Click to sort ascending) | DK Pts (Click to sort ascending) | FD (Click to sort ascending) | FD Pts (Click to sort ascending) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PG | Cade Cunningham | POR @ DET Mon 7:00 | 9700 | 53 | 10000 | 50.5 |
With Jaden Ivey off the floor this year, Cade Cunningham has been awesome. He's been awesome in general, but he gets +2.1% USG bump up to 34.5% and 1.5 FP/min. It's a fantastic matchup too. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Damian Lillard | MIL @ TOR Mon 7:30 | 8700 | 43.8 | 8800 | 41.6 |
It's a really good spot. The Raptors a bottom-five defense this year and it's a pace up spot too. Lillard simply hasn't made shots lately, shooting 33% or worse in three straight games, but the peripheral stats have been there. This is a spot he can get going in. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PG | Tyrese Haliburton | IND @ BKN Mon 7:30 | 8400 | 44.6 | 9100 | 43.7 |
It's been impossible to trust Haliburton this year, but he has looked better lately, there's no doubting that. The scoring has taken center stage and that's what it needs to be and now we're seeing the Pacers from last year more and more because of it. In three of his last four games, in that he's gone for 50+ DKP, he's posted a 28% USG or higher. That's who we need here. The Nets are 25th in DRtg. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PG | Immanuel Quickley | MIL @ TOR Mon 7:30 | 7000 | 38.8 | 6700 | 37.1 |
We have absolutely no idea if RJ Barrett's going to play here, but will it matter? Quickley is really cheap on both DK and FD considering his role since returning. Quickley's had a 27% and 31% USG in the two games and two double-doubles. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Anfernee Simons | POR @ DET Mon 7:00 | 6400 | 37.2 | 7200 | 34.9 |
Simons is cookin' lately. He's put up 37+ DKP in four straight games, scoring 22+ points in each. He's been especially good in the last three, posting a 27% USG or greater in each. The minutes have been great, the production has too, and he faces off against the Pistons who are 22nd in DRtg. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Cole Anthony | ORL @ NYK Mon 7:30 | 4900 | 28 | 6400 | 26.8 |
Jalen Suggs has been ruled out, and with that being the case, Cole Anthony has a +4% USG bump up to 31.8% and has a 1.2 FP/min avg. Anthony has an insanely high ceiling but very low floor. We'll see if Anthony Black is active, too. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PG | Lonzo Ball | SAS @ CHI Mon 8:00 | 4200 | 25.6 | 4900 | 26.5 |
Look, I really like the DK price and I really like the minutes lately. With Ayo Dosunmu out, Ball's minutes have been trending upwards, playing mid-20's in four straight. Lonzo Ball has averaged 1.02 FP/min this year. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Zach LaVine | MIA @ SAC Mon 10:00 | 8200 | 0 | 7700 | 0 |
Cooking. With. Gas. Zach LaVine has gone for back-to-back 30 actual point games and has three 30+ games in three of four. He's making a LOT of his shots, he's making a lot of threes, and he's also been good in the assist department notching 7+ in them. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SG | Devin Vassell | SAS @ CHI Mon 8:00 | 6100 | 36.7 | 6500 | 35.9 |
We're getting a really good version of Vassell right now and the key was he played his first back-to-back of the year and played 39 minutes on leg number two. Vassell has gone for 33+ DKP in four of five games and has a dream matchup against the Bulls here. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Malik Beasley | POR @ DET Mon 7:00 | 5600 | 28.6 | 5300 | 26.6 |
Since Jaden Ivey went down, we've seen no shortage of minutes and shots as he's played 31+ minutes and has taken 16+ shots and 10+ 3's. The Pistons might be also without Ausar Thompson in this game, which will only benefit Beasley. GPP play due to how many shots he can make and the spot he's playing in. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SG | D'Angelo Russell | IND @ BKN Mon 7:30 | 5500 | 0 | 7100 | 0 |
Look, if DLo plays, especially on DK, he's almost a must-play at $5,500. At $7,100 on FanDuel there's not as much issues. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SG | Jaylen Wells | DAL @ MEM Mon 8:00 | 5300 | 27.1 | 4700 | 25.6 |
We saw what Wells' ceiling could look like two games ago and the Grizzlies are VERY short-handed here. He's playing big minutes as well topping 32+ in four of five games. He's also put up 23+ DKP in each of the last three, so he's providing a nice floor. I like the FD price even more. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
SF | Deni Avdija | POR @ DET Mon 7:00 | 6600 | 39 | 6700 | 38.7 |
Nobody on the Trail Blazers averages more FP/min with Jerami Grant out than Deni Avdija. He's had 40+ DKP in back-to-back games and Grant is once again out against a bottom-10 defense. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
SF | Jake LaRavia | MIA @ SAC Mon 10:00 | 5000 | 0 | 4700 | 0 |
I mean, Jake LaRavia is coming off his best game of the year and is over 1 FP/min without Morant, Bane, and Smart this year. He could potentially start here for Desmond Bane, too. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PF | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL @ TOR Mon 7:30 | 11300 | 63.2 | 11900 | 61.2 |
With or without Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo is an elite fantasy asset. 37% USG, 1.7 FP/min. Really nobody can stop him. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PF | Jaren Jackson | DAL @ MEM Mon 8:00 | 9100 | 46.9 | 8800 | 48.2 |
The Grizzlies are going to be down a LOT of their key contributors tonight and it's hard to ignore it for JJJ. JJJ has a 34% USG (+4.97% USG) and 1.42 FP/min without Bane, Morant, and Smart. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PF | P.J. Washington | DAL @ MEM Mon 8:00 | 6500 | 33.5 | 6800 | 34.1 |
Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic are BOTH out tonight. This is a BIG pace up spot and PJW has seen a nice uptick in that category lately. Washington has had a 23% USG over the last four games and sees a whopping +6.64% USG bump to 24.4%. Washington's at .99 FP/min without them. He's very solid here. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
PF | Tobias Harris | POR @ DET Mon 7:00 | 5400 | 31.1 | 6000 | 31.1 |
Yeah, Tobias Harris has looked great since the Jaden Ivey injury. He's still too cheap, too. The minutes are back, the USG rate has been over 21% in each game and the production has been great. Hard to ignore today. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Victor Wembanyama | SAS @ CHI Mon 8:00 | 11100 | 59 | 12000 | 58.1 |
It's hard to not want to jam Victor Wembanyama into your lineups tonight. REALLY hard considering it's the Bulls. Massive pace up spot, highest implied total on the board, and against the 24th ranked defense. Wemby's coming off back-to-back 60 bombs. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Joel Embiid | PHX @ PHI Mon 7:00 | 9600 | 0 | 10600 | 0 |
In all the games Joel Embiid hasn't been hurt or ejected in, he's dominated. This is the version of Embiid we were getting last year before the injury. Lets not overlook how good this spot is either. The Suns are 23rd in DRtg this year and 28th over their last 10 games. Embiid has posted a USG over 34% or better in four straight and six of his last seven. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Myles Turner | IND @ BKN Mon 7:30 | 6400 | 34.2 | 6700 | 34.4 |
Great price, solid production, solid matchup. He's put up 35+ DKP in three straight games and looks so good offensively. 16+ points in three straight, shooting the ball extremely well and we know his block upside is there too. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
C | Dereck Lively | DAL @ MEM Mon 8:00 | 5300 | 31.1 | 6300 | 32.6 |
Lively playing 27 minutes last game signified the split is back to Lively's side and that's that. He has a very high ceiling at his price point. Solid tournament play. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
C | Brandon Clarke | DAL @ MEM Mon 8:00 | 3900 | 21.2 | 4800 | 22.2 |
The Grizzlies have expanded Brandon Clarke's role lately as he's played 23+ minutes in back-to-back games and has been over 20 FP in each, which is a nice output for his sub-4K DK price point. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
PF | Toumani Camara | POR @ DET Mon 7:00 | 4700 | 25.4 | 5600 | 25.3 |
ADDED Game Type: CASH | ||||||
SF | Naji Marshall | DAL @ MEM Mon 8:00 | 4600 | 25.3 | 4400 | 25 |
ADDED Game Type: GPP |
Cade Cunningham, PG | 9700 , 53 | 53 | 10000 , 50.5 | 50.5 | ||
With Jaden Ivey off the floor this year, Cade Cunningham has been awesome. He's been awesome in general, but he gets +2.1% USG bump up to 34.5% and 1.5 FP/min. It's a fantastic matchup too. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Damian Lillard, PG | 8700 , 43.8 | 43.8 | 8800 , 41.6 | 41.6 | ||
It's a really good spot. The Raptors a bottom-five defense this year and it's a pace up spot too. Lillard simply hasn't made shots lately, shooting 33% or worse in three straight games, but the peripheral stats have been there. This is a spot he can get going in. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
8400 , 44.6 | 44.6 | 9100 , 43.7 | 43.7 | |||
It's been impossible to trust Haliburton this year, but he has looked better lately, there's no doubting that. The scoring has taken center stage and that's what it needs to be and now we're seeing the Pacers from last year more and more because of it. In three of his last four games, in that he's gone for 50+ DKP, he's posted a 28% USG or higher. That's who we need here. The Nets are 25th in DRtg. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
7000 , 38.8 | 38.8 | 6700 , 37.1 | 37.1 | |||
We have absolutely no idea if RJ Barrett's going to play here, but will it matter? Quickley is really cheap on both DK and FD considering his role since returning. Quickley's had a 27% and 31% USG in the two games and two double-doubles. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Anfernee Simons, PG | 6400 , 37.2 | 37.2 | 7200 , 34.9 | 34.9 | ||
Simons is cookin' lately. He's put up 37+ DKP in four straight games, scoring 22+ points in each. He's been especially good in the last three, posting a 27% USG or greater in each. The minutes have been great, the production has too, and he faces off against the Pistons who are 22nd in DRtg. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Cole Anthony, PG | 4900 , 28 | 28 | 6400 , 26.8 | 26.8 | ||
Jalen Suggs has been ruled out, and with that being the case, Cole Anthony has a +4% USG bump up to 31.8% and has a 1.2 FP/min avg. Anthony has an insanely high ceiling but very low floor. We'll see if Anthony Black is active, too. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Lonzo Ball, PG | 4200 , 25.6 | 25.6 | 4900 , 26.5 | 26.5 | ||
Look, I really like the DK price and I really like the minutes lately. With Ayo Dosunmu out, Ball's minutes have been trending upwards, playing mid-20's in four straight. Lonzo Ball has averaged 1.02 FP/min this year. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Zach LaVine, SG | 8200 , 0 | 0 | 7700 , 0 | 0 | ||
Cooking. With. Gas. Zach LaVine has gone for back-to-back 30 actual point games and has three 30+ games in three of four. He's making a LOT of his shots, he's making a lot of threes, and he's also been good in the assist department notching 7+ in them. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Devin Vassell, SG | 6100 , 36.7 | 36.7 | 6500 , 35.9 | 35.9 | ||
We're getting a really good version of Vassell right now and the key was he played his first back-to-back of the year and played 39 minutes on leg number two. Vassell has gone for 33+ DKP in four of five games and has a dream matchup against the Bulls here. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Malik Beasley, SG | 5600 , 28.6 | 28.6 | 5300 , 26.6 | 26.6 | ||
Since Jaden Ivey went down, we've seen no shortage of minutes and shots as he's played 31+ minutes and has taken 16+ shots and 10+ 3's. The Pistons might be also without Ausar Thompson in this game, which will only benefit Beasley. GPP play due to how many shots he can make and the spot he's playing in. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
D'Angelo Russell, SG | 5500 , 0 | 0 | 7100 , 0 | 0 | ||
Look, if DLo plays, especially on DK, he's almost a must-play at $5,500. At $7,100 on FanDuel there's not as much issues. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Jaylen Wells, SG | 5300 , 27.1 | 27.1 | 4700 , 25.6 | 25.6 | ||
We saw what Wells' ceiling could look like two games ago and the Grizzlies are VERY short-handed here. He's playing big minutes as well topping 32+ in four of five games. He's also put up 23+ DKP in each of the last three, so he's providing a nice floor. I like the FD price even more. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Deni Avdija, SF | 6600 , 39 | 39 | 6700 , 38.7 | 38.7 | ||
Nobody on the Trail Blazers averages more FP/min with Jerami Grant out than Deni Avdija. He's had 40+ DKP in back-to-back games and Grant is once again out against a bottom-10 defense. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Jake LaRavia, SF | 5000 , 0 | 0 | 4700 , 0 | 0 | ||
I mean, Jake LaRavia is coming off his best game of the year and is over 1 FP/min without Morant, Bane, and Smart this year. He could potentially start here for Desmond Bane, too. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
11300 , 63.2 | 63.2 | 11900 , 61.2 | 61.2 | |||
With or without Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo is an elite fantasy asset. 37% USG, 1.7 FP/min. Really nobody can stop him. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Jaren Jackson, PF | 9100 , 46.9 | 46.9 | 8800 , 48.2 | 48.2 | ||
The Grizzlies are going to be down a LOT of their key contributors tonight and it's hard to ignore it for JJJ. JJJ has a 34% USG (+4.97% USG) and 1.42 FP/min without Bane, Morant, and Smart. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
P.J. Washington, PF | 6500 , 33.5 | 33.5 | 6800 , 34.1 | 34.1 | ||
Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic are BOTH out tonight. This is a BIG pace up spot and PJW has seen a nice uptick in that category lately. Washington has had a 23% USG over the last four games and sees a whopping +6.64% USG bump to 24.4%. Washington's at .99 FP/min without them. He's very solid here. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
Tobias Harris, PF | 5400 , 31.1 | 31.1 | 6000 , 31.1 | 31.1 | ||
Yeah, Tobias Harris has looked great since the Jaden Ivey injury. He's still too cheap, too. The minutes are back, the USG rate has been over 21% in each game and the production has been great. Hard to ignore today. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
11100 , 59 | 59 | 12000 , 58.1 | 58.1 | |||
It's hard to not want to jam Victor Wembanyama into your lineups tonight. REALLY hard considering it's the Bulls. Massive pace up spot, highest implied total on the board, and against the 24th ranked defense. Wemby's coming off back-to-back 60 bombs. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Joel Embiid, C | 9600 , 0 | 0 | 10600 , 0 | 0 | ||
In all the games Joel Embiid hasn't been hurt or ejected in, he's dominated. This is the version of Embiid we were getting last year before the injury. Lets not overlook how good this spot is either. The Suns are 23rd in DRtg this year and 28th over their last 10 games. Embiid has posted a USG over 34% or better in four straight and six of his last seven. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Myles Turner, C | 6400 , 34.2 | 34.2 | 6700 , 34.4 | 34.4 | ||
Great price, solid production, solid matchup. He's put up 35+ DKP in three straight games and looks so good offensively. 16+ points in three straight, shooting the ball extremely well and we know his block upside is there too. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
5300 , 31.1 | 31.1 | 6300 , 32.6 | 32.6 | |||
Lively playing 27 minutes last game signified the split is back to Lively's side and that's that. He has a very high ceiling at his price point. Solid tournament play. Game Type: GPP | ||||||
3900 , 21.2 | 21.2 | 4800 , 22.2 | 22.2 | |||
The Grizzlies have expanded Brandon Clarke's role lately as he's played 23+ minutes in back-to-back games and has been over 20 FP in each, which is a nice output for his sub-4K DK price point. Game Type: CASH & GPP | ||||||
Toumani Camara, PF | 4700 , 25.4 | 25.4 | 5600 , 25.3 | 25.3 | ||
ADDED Game Type: CASH | ||||||
Naji Marshall, SF | 4600 , 25.3 | 25.3 | 4400 , 25 | 25 | ||
ADDED Game Type: GPP |