Happy Monday, March 31st, we have a 7-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and 8-games on FanDuel.

The stars are out as Luka Doncic, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, LeBron James, Anthony Davis, and Jayson Tatum are taking the floor. Some names that are questionable are Jaylen Brown, Josh Giddey, Chet Holmgren, and Isaiah Hartenstein.

 

 

 

Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.

  • News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
  • Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
  • Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
  • NBA DFS Projections
  • Lineup Generator
  • NBA Ownership

NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, March 31st

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Pre/Post-Lock Update

This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock. 

Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.

All status updates after contest roster lock will be made in the Fantasy Alarm Discord: https://discord.gg/2yATJxXe8G

 

NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 3/31

 

 

 

NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews

In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads. Not every game is listed, but every game listed has the pace and defensive numbers listed.

 

 

 

NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks

Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.

High

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Mid

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Value

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Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
DK Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
FD Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
PGJames HardenLAC @ BKN Fri 7:30960049.9960047.8

James Harden. Good at basketball. James Harden. Price going down. James Harden. 50+ DKP in nine of 12.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGDennis SchröderCLE @ DET Fri 7:00510033.1540031.8

I'm going right back to well here. He ran poorly against the Spurs as he was in constantly in foul trouble and there was a blowout, so he only played 22 minutes. With Cunningham off the floor this year, Schroder gets a 3.8% USG bump up to 24.6% and is averaging 1.07 FP/min. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGKevin PorterNYK @ MIL Fri 8:00490027.5550027.3

KPJ has played nearly 300 minutes without Lillard and Portis for the Bucks this year and he's been great in fantasy. He has a 27% USG and averages nearly 1.2 FP/min to boot. When you factor in Giannis on the court, the numbers drop to 21% USG and .93 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGKJ SimpsonCHA @ TOR Fri 7:30400025.3440025

With LaMelo Ball and company off the floor this year, KJ Simpson has been solid as a .8 FP/min player and 20% USG rate. He has a good matchup against a bottom-ranking defense and a top-ranking paced team.

Game Type: GPP
PGTyler KolekNYK @ MIL Fri 8:00320021.5390021

You're not going to get much scoring out of Tyler Kolek, but he's an elite passer, solid in the steals department, and is a good small-guard rebounder too. There's a chance he starts, it possibly could be Delon Wright as well. I actually like both options here. Kolek is a better FP/min player.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGAnthony EdwardsPHX @ MIN Fri 8:00960046.1930043.8

We haven't exactly gotten the best version of Anthony Edwards recently but he faces a Suns defense ranking 26th this year. Edwards has a 32% USG and 1.25 FP/min averages on the year. Elite offensive player with a massive ceiling.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGMikal BridgesNYK @ MIL Fri 8:00680033.9730033.2

We have a very limited sample of Knicks minutes without all THREE of their point-guards, but Mikal Bridges and his 51 minutes has a 30% USG and averages 1.2 FP/min. It's an interesting spot because the Knicks are so short-handed and Bridges could have the ball in his hands a lot more tonight. Last game, with Cam Payne leaving, Bridges lead the team in passes received, assists, and potential assists as well. Something to note there.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGMalik BeasleyCLE @ DET Fri 7:00520032.7490030.7

The ceiling is what's appealing here because he's been their second leading scorer this year and is a good FP/min player. He's averaging 1.15 FP/min and a 25.5% USG without Cunningham and Ivey this year.

Game Type: GPP
SGJa'Kobe WalterCHA @ TOR Fri 7:30390022.7440022.5

It's not even a 100-minute sample, but I'm solid. 88 minutes without all the players that are out/traded? SOLD. He's a 22.5% USG and 1.03 FP/min player and so long as he's starting, he's a fantastic value, especially on DK sub-4K.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGMarcus SasserCLE @ DET Fri 7:00330022.2480021.7

Look, this is what I'll say. He's run REALLY good in two straight games. He's played 26 minutes in each but there's been foul trouble in both and injuries as well. He'll operate as the backup PG here and could overlap with Dennis Schroder as well. He's a solid offensive player, I'm just not sure 26 minutes is something we should expect or project.

Game Type: GPP
SFKawhi LeonardLAC @ BKN Fri 7:30880043.1900042.4

Kawhi Leonard is so back. Every game really matters for LAC as they're currently the 6th seed and want to keep it that way. Leonard's topped 40 minutes in two straight games and has played 35+ in four straight.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFJosh HartNYK @ MIL Fri 8:00810039.1790038.9

There's a MASSIVE ceiling here but the floor is also incredibly low. He has nine triple-doubles this season and also has less than 30 FP floor, which would kill you at his price on both DK and FD.

Game Type: GPP
SFOG AnunobyNYK @ MIL Fri 8:00700037780037.2

Since March 7th, the first game they played without Jalen Brunson, Anunoby has a 23.7% USG and has averaged 1.06 FP/min over that span. He's scored 23+ points and 36+ DKP in four straight games. Pretty good spot against a banged up Bucks team.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFKyle KuzmaNYK @ MIL Fri 8:00620029.3650027.9

With Lillard and Portis off the floor this year, Kuzma has pretty solid numbers and they're even better without Giannis (who's listed questionable.) I'm very indifferent about a chalk Kyle Kuzma with Giannis, but without him he's great.

Game Type: GPP
SFAusar ThompsonCLE @ DET Fri 7:00450032.3570034.1

Look, Ausar Thompson has a high ceiling but man, he has a low low floor too. He's very foul happy at times and barely plays in those games when he does. If he's guarding Donovan Mitchell or Darius Garland for stretches in this game I worry about him.

Game Type: GPP
SFBrice SensabaughUTA @ DEN Fri 9:00370019.6460018.4

He's a high usage player and at 3.7K, he can really get going in a short-pocket of time. Without Collins, Clarkson, and Markkanen this year, Sensabaugh has a 23.3% USG and is just under 1 FP/min. He did play the final 12 minutes in both halves, so might need to play the blowout narrative here.

Game Type: GPP
PFGiannis AntetokounmpoNYK @ MIL Fri 8:001150055.41180053.6

If Giannis plays, he's an elite option. There's nothing the Knicks, or anyone else for that matter, has to offer him in terms of defense. He's a 1.7 FP/min player this year with or without Damian Lillard.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFMiles BridgesCHA @ TOR Fri 7:30890038820036.9

If you remove LaMelo Ball, Brandon Miller and Tre Mann from the floor, Bridges has a 4.4% USG bump up to 32.6% and averages 1.28 FP/min. It's a pretty good spot after a gauntlet of tough spots proved to be too tough for Bridges.

Game Type: GPP
PFTobias HarrisCLE @ DET Fri 7:006000067000

Safe, reliable, steady. That's what we have in Tobias Harris. Without Cunningham and Ivey this year, he has a 4% USG bump, 2nd on the team, up to 21.9% USG, and is averaging 1.08 FP/min. CLE is a tough matchup, but Harris should play high-30s minutes in a close game.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CNikola JokićUTA @ DEN Fri 9:001230069.61260064.3

You can easily get to Nikola Jokic today because of how much value there is on the board. He has the best matchup on the board.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CKarl-Anthony TownsNYK @ MIL Fri 8:001020053.51010050.7

Towns is ELITE without Jalen Brunson as KAT has a 33% USG and averages 1.56 FP/min this year. MIL has nothing for Towns here.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CJalen DurenCLE @ DET Fri 7:00720036.2690035.1

We mentioned that Tobias Harris had the 2nd highest usage bump, well that's because Jalen Duren has the biggest bump without Cunningham and Ivey. He has a solid 20.7% USG and averages a team-leading 1.3 FP/min. He's an elite fantasy player and you can play him in tournaments.

Game Type: GPP
CKyle FilipowskiUTA @ DEN Fri 9:00600024590023.3

There was actually a LOT to like about Filipowski's role last game playing 33 minutes in a close game and has played 24+ in three straight. He's nearly a 1.1 FP/min player this year without the three big names Utah is without.

Game Type: GPP
CYves MissiGSW @ NOP Fri 8:00450025.1530026.1

He's cheap and when he scores, he has a high ceiling because he's so active on the glass and on defense.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9600 , 49.9
49.9
9600 , 47.8
47.8

James Harden. Good at basketball. James Harden. Price going down. James Harden. 50+ DKP in nine of 12.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5100 , 33.1
33.1
5400 , 31.8
31.8

I'm going right back to well here. He ran poorly against the Spurs as he was in constantly in foul trouble and there was a blowout, so he only played 22 minutes. With Cunningham off the floor this year, Schroder gets a 3.8% USG bump up to 24.6% and is averaging 1.07 FP/min. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4900 , 27.5
27.5
5500 , 27.3
27.3

KPJ has played nearly 300 minutes without Lillard and Portis for the Bucks this year and he's been great in fantasy. He has a 27% USG and averages nearly 1.2 FP/min to boot. When you factor in Giannis on the court, the numbers drop to 21% USG and .93 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4000 , 25.3
25.3
4400 , 25
25

With LaMelo Ball and company off the floor this year, KJ Simpson has been solid as a .8 FP/min player and 20% USG rate. He has a good matchup against a bottom-ranking defense and a top-ranking paced team.

Game Type: GPP
3200 , 21.5
21.5
3900 , 21
21

You're not going to get much scoring out of Tyler Kolek, but he's an elite passer, solid in the steals department, and is a good small-guard rebounder too. There's a chance he starts, it possibly could be Delon Wright as well. I actually like both options here. Kolek is a better FP/min player.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9600 , 46.1
46.1
9300 , 43.8
43.8

We haven't exactly gotten the best version of Anthony Edwards recently but he faces a Suns defense ranking 26th this year. Edwards has a 32% USG and 1.25 FP/min averages on the year. Elite offensive player with a massive ceiling.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6800 , 33.9
33.9
7300 , 33.2
33.2

We have a very limited sample of Knicks minutes without all THREE of their point-guards, but Mikal Bridges and his 51 minutes has a 30% USG and averages 1.2 FP/min. It's an interesting spot because the Knicks are so short-handed and Bridges could have the ball in his hands a lot more tonight. Last game, with Cam Payne leaving, Bridges lead the team in passes received, assists, and potential assists as well. Something to note there.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5200 , 32.7
32.7
4900 , 30.7
30.7

The ceiling is what's appealing here because he's been their second leading scorer this year and is a good FP/min player. He's averaging 1.15 FP/min and a 25.5% USG without Cunningham and Ivey this year.

Game Type: GPP
3900 , 22.7
22.7
4400 , 22.5
22.5

It's not even a 100-minute sample, but I'm solid. 88 minutes without all the players that are out/traded? SOLD. He's a 22.5% USG and 1.03 FP/min player and so long as he's starting, he's a fantastic value, especially on DK sub-4K.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3300 , 22.2
22.2
4800 , 21.7
21.7

Look, this is what I'll say. He's run REALLY good in two straight games. He's played 26 minutes in each but there's been foul trouble in both and injuries as well. He'll operate as the backup PG here and could overlap with Dennis Schroder as well. He's a solid offensive player, I'm just not sure 26 minutes is something we should expect or project.

Game Type: GPP
8800 , 43.1
43.1
9000 , 42.4
42.4

Kawhi Leonard is so back. Every game really matters for LAC as they're currently the 6th seed and want to keep it that way. Leonard's topped 40 minutes in two straight games and has played 35+ in four straight.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8100 , 39.1
39.1
7900 , 38.9
38.9

There's a MASSIVE ceiling here but the floor is also incredibly low. He has nine triple-doubles this season and also has less than 30 FP floor, which would kill you at his price on both DK and FD.

Game Type: GPP
7000 , 37
37
7800 , 37.2
37.2

Since March 7th, the first game they played without Jalen Brunson, Anunoby has a 23.7% USG and has averaged 1.06 FP/min over that span. He's scored 23+ points and 36+ DKP in four straight games. Pretty good spot against a banged up Bucks team.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6200 , 29.3
29.3
6500 , 27.9
27.9

With Lillard and Portis off the floor this year, Kuzma has pretty solid numbers and they're even better without Giannis (who's listed questionable.) I'm very indifferent about a chalk Kyle Kuzma with Giannis, but without him he's great.

Game Type: GPP
4500 , 32.3
32.3
5700 , 34.1
34.1

Look, Ausar Thompson has a high ceiling but man, he has a low low floor too. He's very foul happy at times and barely plays in those games when he does. If he's guarding Donovan Mitchell or Darius Garland for stretches in this game I worry about him.

Game Type: GPP
3700 , 19.6
19.6
4600 , 18.4
18.4

He's a high usage player and at 3.7K, he can really get going in a short-pocket of time. Without Collins, Clarkson, and Markkanen this year, Sensabaugh has a 23.3% USG and is just under 1 FP/min. He did play the final 12 minutes in both halves, so might need to play the blowout narrative here.

Game Type: GPP
11500 , 55.4
55.4
11800 , 53.6
53.6

If Giannis plays, he's an elite option. There's nothing the Knicks, or anyone else for that matter, has to offer him in terms of defense. He's a 1.7 FP/min player this year with or without Damian Lillard.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8900 , 38
38
8200 , 36.9
36.9

If you remove LaMelo Ball, Brandon Miller and Tre Mann from the floor, Bridges has a 4.4% USG bump up to 32.6% and averages 1.28 FP/min. It's a pretty good spot after a gauntlet of tough spots proved to be too tough for Bridges.

Game Type: GPP
6000 , 0
0
6700 , 0
0

Safe, reliable, steady. That's what we have in Tobias Harris. Without Cunningham and Ivey this year, he has a 4% USG bump, 2nd on the team, up to 21.9% USG, and is averaging 1.08 FP/min. CLE is a tough matchup, but Harris should play high-30s minutes in a close game.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
12300 , 69.6
69.6
12600 , 64.3
64.3

You can easily get to Nikola Jokic today because of how much value there is on the board. He has the best matchup on the board.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
10200 , 53.5
53.5
10100 , 50.7
50.7

Towns is ELITE without Jalen Brunson as KAT has a 33% USG and averages 1.56 FP/min this year. MIL has nothing for Towns here.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7200 , 36.2
36.2
6900 , 35.1
35.1

We mentioned that Tobias Harris had the 2nd highest usage bump, well that's because Jalen Duren has the biggest bump without Cunningham and Ivey. He has a solid 20.7% USG and averages a team-leading 1.3 FP/min. He's an elite fantasy player and you can play him in tournaments.

Game Type: GPP
6000 , 24
24
5900 , 23.3
23.3

There was actually a LOT to like about Filipowski's role last game playing 33 minutes in a close game and has played 24+ in three straight. He's nearly a 1.1 FP/min player this year without the three big names Utah is without.

Game Type: GPP
4500 , 25.1
25.1
5300 , 26.1
26.1

He's cheap and when he scores, he has a high ceiling because he's so active on the glass and on defense.

Game Type: CASH & GPP