NBA DFS Picks & Playbook for Today’s Games: March 7th
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Published: Mar 07, 2024
We have a seven-game NBA DFS main slate on Thursday, March 7th, on DraftKings and FanDuel. We have plenty of stars with Luka Doncic, Jimmy Butler, Anthony Edwards, Kevin Durant, and Nikola Jokic taking the floor.
Things are getting interesting around the league as the playoff push continues for plenty of teams. We only have two teams on the main slate on the second leg of a back-to-back.
NBA DFS Tools to Dominate Tonight's NBA DFS Slate!
Make sure to check out today's NBA DFS projections and NBA DFS ownership projections before finalizing your lineups today. We also have the NBA Consistency Report to help identify players that have exceeded value based on their current price tag this season and of course our NBA DFS Lineup Generator!
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NBA Injury Report for Today, 3/7
QUESTIONABLE
- Jaylen Brown
- Ochai Agbaji
- Lonnie Walker IV – mid-day downgrade (illness)
OUT
- Victor Wembanyama
- Devin Booker
- Karl-Anthony Towns
- Tyler Herro
- Cam Thomas
- Ben Simmons
- Cameron Johnson
- Bennedict Mathurin
- Bruce Brown
- Kevin Love
- Quentin Grimes
- Day'Ron Sharpe
DOUBTFUL
PROBABLE
NBA Teams on Back-to-Backs Today
Pace Up Spots
Pace definition: Pace is the total number of possessions a team uses in a game.
*key* Green is elite pace of play, Blue is decent pace of play, & Red is slow pace of play.
Green = Fast Paced team
Blue = Neutral Paced team
Red = Slow Paced team
- Indiana Pacers - 2nd (102.6)
- San Antonio Spurs - 3rd (102.2)
- Dallas Mavericks - 8th (100.9)
- Detroit Pistons - 10th (100.8)
- Golden State Warriors - 11th (100.4)
- Sacramento Kings - 12th (100.2)
- Toronto Raptors - 13th (99.8)
- Phoenix Suns - 15th (99.5)
- Boston Celtics - 19th (98.8)
- Minnesota Timberwolves - 24th (98.1)
- Brooklyn Nets - 25th (98)
- Denver Nuggets - 27th (97.5)
- Miami Heat - 28th (97.4)
- Chicago Bulls - 29th (96.9)
Defensive Ratings
- Detroit Pistons - 29th
- Indiana Pacers - 27th
- Toronto Raptors - 24th
- Dallas Mavericks - 23rd
- San Antonio Spurs - 22nd
- Sacramento Kings - 20th
- Brooklyn Nets - 19th
- Golden State Warriors - 17th
- Chicago Bulls - 16th
- Phoenix Suns - 12th
- Denver Nuggets - 9th
- Miami Heat - 8th
- Boston Celtics - 2nd
- Minnesota Timberwolves - 1st
Notable NBA Game Totals Today, 3/7
- San Antonio Spurs @ Sacramento Kings - 236.5 (SAC -10.5)
- Toronto Raptors @ Phoenix Suns - 232.5 (PHX -10.5)
- Miami Heat @ Dallas Mavericks - 229.5 (DAL -4.5)
- Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers - 228.5 (IND -1.5)
Top-Tier NBA DFS Core Plays
What more needs to be said? This is a pace-down spot against a top-10 defense. OK. We’ve been here before. Luka had 70 DKP in a 20-point loss against Boston. He’s the slate's top play, and it’s not even close.
Durant’s nearly a 1.5 FP/min guy without Devin Booker on the floor this year. It’s unlikely we see the 34-shot Durant again in this one, but definitely on my radar as a spend-up and a potential triple-double threat against a bad Raptors defense.
Anthony Edwards, Minnesota Timberwolves
One of today’s most popular plays today resides in Minnesota. Without Karl-Anthony Towns, Edwards is nearly a 1.4 FP/min player and gets a +3.5% USG bump up to 36%. It’s a massive pace-up spot against a bottom-five defense.
Mid-Tier NBA DFS Core Plays
De'Aaron Fox, Sacramento Kings
Fox tied his career-high with 44 points on Wednesday and Fox is ROLLING right now. Fox has put up 50+ DKP in six of his last seven games. This spot against the Spurs is super elite as he’s averaging 60+ DKP/game against them this year.
It’s playoff time for Jimmy Butler as the Heat have hit their stride and are marching up the Eastern Conference standings. Butler has put up 49+ DKP in six of seven games. Dallas is a top-10 team in pace and bottom-10 in defense.
Cade Cunningham, Detroit Pistons
Cunningham had one bad game and his price dipped to 7.6K despite dropping 40+ DKP in six of seven games since the All-Star break. He’s averaged 49 DKP/game vs. BKN this year. Cunningham has a 30% USG and averages 1.2 FP/min and the minutes are back up to mid-to-high 30s in competitive games.
Rudy Gobert, Minnesota Timberwolves
Minutes minutes minutes minutes. He’s played 38+ minutes in five of six games overall and in each of those games Gobert has put up 40+ DKP and is now without Karl-Anthony Towns. Gobert averages 1.1 FP/min without KAT this year and is in a great spot against Indiana here.
Devin Vassell, San Antonio Spurs
Vassell has been fantastic since the All-Star break putting up 37+ DKP in six of seven games and has topped 50 DKP twice. He’s going to need to make that a third 50 ball tonight with Victor Wembanyama out. With Wemby out, Vassell has a 26.3% USG and averages 1.08 FP/min.
Bradley Beal & Jusuf Nurkic, Phoenix Suns
Both guys see usage and FP/min bumps without Devin Booker. If Nurk is going to continue to play 30+ minutes then he’s a great mid-tier option and if Beal is going to see anywhere near 36 minutes again, he’s too cheap for his ceiling.
Olynyk is going to be deployed as the teams starting center and is nearly a 1.2 FP/min player with the Raptors. He’s put up 40+ DKP in two of his last three games in which he’s been extended in terms of minutes. He’s a matchup problem given his ability to dribble, playmake, and score as a seven-footer.
Dennis Schroder, Brooklyn Nets
Why would we not continue to go back to the Dennis Schroder well? He’s nearly at 1.2 FP/min with all of these players out and MAN is Brooklyn short-handed tonight. No Simmons, Thomas, Johnson, Sharpe, and possibly Lonnie Walker IV.
Value-Tier NBA DFS Core Plays
I find it interesting that Terry Rozier is 2x Duncan Robinson’s ownership. In theory, you would auto plug Rozier without Tyler Herro, but not so fast. Robinson’s cheaper, has better positional eligibility, and has been essentially the same FP/min player as Rozier. Rozier’s volume has been the only thing really superior to Robinson’s, but I’ll take the shot on lower owned DRob.
Naz Reid, Minnesota Timberwolves
It’s always interesting to see what Reid’s ownership is on a nightly basis. He’s not going to start, but he’s in for an increased role with Karl-Anthony Towns out. He’s over a FP/min player and is 1/8 Kyle Anderson’s ownership despite being the better fantasy player. Not saying I’m not interested in Anderson. Just pointing that out.
Zach Collins, Keldon Johnson & Jeremy Sochan, San Antonio Spurs
Collins checks in as the highest rostered player of the slate with Wemby out and he’s at a robust 1.13 FP/min without Wemby this year. Johnson’s also over a FP/min and sits at 25% USG rate. Sochan’s lagging behind with the FP & USG, but is still a solid value.
Kyle Anderson, Minnesota Timberwolves
We’ve seen Anderson starting in every situation the Minnesota big men have been out in and that’s not going to stop today. He’s a .89 FP/min player without KAT this year and anytime he’s been extended he’s been an excellent fantasy producer.
This is a GPP specific play, but Sheppard’s role in this Pacers’ lineup isn’t going anywhere. It might even grow with Bennedict Mathurin out. This is a perfect way to get a stars and scrubs lineup built with Luka Doncic.
DFS NBA Lineup Lock Updates & Late-News Core Play Section
*Section for players we are considering “core plays” based on late-breaking news & research
- Lonnie Walker IV is IN. I have a lot of interest here.
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Player Pool
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