MLB DFS Value Plays July 5: Top DraftKings and FanDuel Picks
Welcome to Wednesday! I hope everyone had a fantastic 4th and woke up with all their fingers still attached. Let’s keep the celebrations going today with some winning MLB DFS lineups, as we are also only five days away from the all-star break. We get a great 11-game slate today on DraftKings and FanDuel starting at 7:05 PM EST. Today’s slate of games is highlighted by Justin Steele and Pablo Lopez taking the mound, who are both having a fantastic season and are establishing themselves as true aces. There are plenty of other interesting arms that provide upside across the board. On the offensive side, some of the best lineups to target today include the Minnesota Twins, Atlanta Braves, San Diego Padres, and the San Francisco Giants. Plenty of different ways to construct a winning lineup, so let’s jump into some of my favorite value options of the day!
MLB DFS Value Pitchers
Bobby Miller, Los Angeles Dodgers (DraftKings: $8,300 / FanDuel: $9,900)
Bobby Miller isn’t as much of a value play on FanDuel, where he is the second highest-priced starting pitcher, but he is still usable there (or you could pivot to Justin Steele as the cheaper option), and on DraftKings he is going for a steal of a price. The last few games haven’t quite been the results you want from Bobby Miller, with only 12 strikeouts in his last 14.2 innings and a rough 9.39 ERA, but that isn’t scaring me away from Bobby today. The Pirates have not been a strong offense lately, and there the talent is there for Bobby to bounce back and put up a great outing today. This is only his 8th start in the majors, so going through some struggles is expected, and hopefully, they will be short-lived.
Michael Soroka, Atlanta Braves (DraftKings: $6,700 / FanDuel: $9,300)
This will only be Soroka’s 4th start of the season (and only his 4th start since early 2020 when he made 3 starts), but he just put up a quality start against the Marlins while striking out 7. We saw how good Soroka could be back in 2019 when he put up a full season with a 2.68 ERA, and hopefully, that is the form he is returning to now that he is finally healthy. While Cleveland doesn’t strike out a lot, this still should be a good matchup for Soroka to go get another quality start and a win while putting up a solid line.
MLB DFS Value Hitters
Tom Murphy, C Houston Astros (DraftKings: $2,700 / FanDuel: $2,500)
Tom Murphy didn’t see much playing time across June, but over the last week, he has 4 starts, including one at DH. Over those 4 starts, he has 7 hits, including 2 homers, and over his last 10 starts, he has 4 homers along with a 1.349 OPS, which should be enough to warrant Murphy getting into the lineup more often for the Mariners. If he does get the start, I am definitely putting him in my lineup at this cheap price with how hot he is at the plate right now, even against Alex Cobb, who has been pitching well for the San Francisco Giants this season.
Jordan Westburg, 2B/3B Baltimore Orioles (DraftKings: $3,200 / FanDuel: $2,700)
Jordan Westburg tore up AAA this season, slashing .295/.372/.567 through 67 games with 18 home runs and 6 stolen bases. It is only a matter of time before we see his first homer in the big leagues. He has still looked solid at the plate in his first 7 games, with a .304 average and only 2 strikeouts. The price is still really low after his call-up, but it could rise quickly as he begins to get used to major-league pitching, so take advantage now while you can get him for this cheap.
Anthony Volpe, SS New York Yankees (DraftKings: $3,400 / FanDuel: $2,900)
Anthony Volpe just had an 8-game hitting streak come to an end yesterday, but over that stretch Volpe slashed .500/.516/.733 with 2 doubles, a triple, a homer, and a steal. Volpe has really turned it up at the plate for the Yankees, and it appears letting Volpe work through his struggles at the plate instead of sending him down might have been the right move because he has slowly turned into a solid contributor to the Yankee's offense. Dean Kremer has a lot of volatility, and if he has a day where he struggles, both Volpe and the Yankees could score a lot.
Joey Gallo, OF Minnesota Twins (DraftKings: $3,300 / FanDuel: $2,700)
Joey Gallo has 4 homers over his last 8 starts after going through about a monthlong stretch without a home run. Alec Marsh gave up 2 homers in his first 4 innings of major league work for the Kansas City Royals, and the lefty power bats for the Twins should be gearing up to add to that today. Hopefully, we see this uptick in homers recently from Gallo continue. He also was in the 2-hole for the start yesterday against the Royals, so if he remains there, that adds even more value to him at this price.
Dominate your MLB DFS contests this week with our DFS Playbook, Podcasts, Lineup Generator, Player Projections, & Draft Percentage Forecaster.