MLB DFS Playbook July 1: Top Plays for DraftKings and FanDuel
Published: Jul 01, 2023
We have a 7-game MLB DFS main slate on tap on Saturday, July 1st, on DraftKings and FanDuel that kicks off at 4:05 pm ET. There are some interesting price tags on the pitcher's position and some big time names such as Nathan Eovaldi, Dylan Cease, and Corbin Burnes. We don't have any Coors Field to deal with, which is great news, the some elite spots for offense such as the Chicago White Sox, Philadelphia Phillies, and New York Mets. Be sure to check out all of our tools including the MLB Lineups page, MLB DFS Projections – powered by FanJections –, MLB DFS Ownership, and all of the rest of our tools HERE! Let's dive into today's playbook, core plays, and top stacks of the day!
MLB DFS Weather Center
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
There is a possibility a delay will take place in this one considering there are thunderstorms present in the Pittsburg area.
Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves
There is a strong possibility that this game is delayed at some point, with the chance at worse if the storms head right over the stadium. There is wind blowing out and it’s a HOT Atlanta summer, so it’s excellent hitting weather.
Recommended DFS Starting Pitchers
Top Options for Strikeouts
MacKenzie Gore, Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 6.5 (-130)
Justin Verlander, New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: 6.5 (-115)
Charlie Morton, Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: 6.5 (-110)
Zack Wheeler, Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: 6.5 (+105)
Kyle Bradish, Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins: 6.5 (+110)
Favorite Starters to Use for DFS Lineups
Corbin Burnes, Milwaukee Brewers
I really like Burnes here and the spot he’s in. The Pirates' offense has been slightly better of late, but they still rank 19th in wOBA and 21st in OPS against right-handed pitching this year. This is the cheapest price Burnes has been since May 17th and he’s a solid -140 favorite to boot. Burnes is one of the best arms of the slate.
Dylan Cease, Chicago White Sox
I mean, what are we doing here? Cease at 8K against Oakland feels silly. Cease has had his best three-game stretch of the year striking out 9+ in each game and has been pretty good overall for the last month or so. He’s put up 19+ DKP in five straight outings and now faces the worst offense in the game. He’s going to be the highest-owned pitcher of the slate and it’s likely not even close.
Kyle Bradish, Baltimore Orioles
I know we did this song and dance last night with Dean Kremer and he got shelled, but today is a new day. Bradish has been missing bats at a really solid clip posting 7+ in three of four starts and what’s the Twins' specialty? Strikeouts. They have a 27.1% K-rate and which leads the league and the second-highest K-rate is 25.5%, so they have a sizeable lead on the field. Bradish has 20+ DKP in three of four starts and has allowed 3 ER or fewer in six straight starts. He’s shown a very solid floor/ceiling combination lately.
Recommended DFS Hitters
Highest Expected Run Totals
Atlanta Braves - 4.98
Philadelphia Phillies - 4.76
Chicago White Sox - 4.73
New York Mets - 4.7
Favorite Hitters to Use for DFS Lineups
Luis Robert Jr., Chicago White Sox
If they’re going to keep giving us Robert at this mid-4K price tag, we should keep playing him. He’s hit six home runs over his last seven games and he’s hitting .333 with a 1.248 OPS over his last 10 games. He faces lefty Kyle Muller here and he has a .375 ISO and .498 wOBA against southpaws on the year. Righties have a .200 ISO and .408 wOBA against Kyle Muller this year.
Christian Yelich, Milwaukee Brewers
It was a very good month of June for Yelich as he hit .311 and posted an .894 OPS and .387 wOBA. He’s been good against righties overall posting a .183 ISO and .381 wOBA this season. He faces Johan Oviedo who’s struggled with lefties as he’s allowed a .160 ISO and .329 wOBA this season. Yelich’s price has dipped to a really solid number to target in all formats.
Alec Bohm, Philadelphia Phillies
I really like Bohm when he’s facing left-handed pitchers as he’s hit them hard all year. Bohm has a .268 ISO and .366 wOBA against southpaws this season and gets an inconsistent lefty in MacKenzie Gore today. Gore’s allowed a .172 ISO and a 50% hard-hit to right-handed bats this year. I like the price and the multi-position eligibility for Bohm today.
Andrew Vaughn, Chicago White Sox
If you haven’t realized yet, I really like the White Sox today. Vaughn has been rollin’ hitting .342 with a 1.036 OPS over his last 10 games and has 3 hits in two of his last three games. Vaughn has very solid numbers against southpaws to boot, posting a .197 ISO and .334 wOBA against them. Kyle Muller has allowed 5+ ER in three consecutive starts and has been crushed by right-handed bats.
Player Pool
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Stacks
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