MLB Best Bets Today, 6/11: Expert Picks, Predictions & Props On Tuesday
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If you’re looking for the top MLB Best Bets and Props for today, Fantasy Alarm always has you covered.
The Tuesday slate is jam-packed with a full 15-game slate featuring some outstanding matchups for betting today. We have some aces on the hill in Zack Wheeler, Paul Skenes and Max Fried and we also have some starting pitchers we are going to want to target against for our hitting props and game total bets.
Be sure to check in with the Vegas odds and lines as you’re doing your research and please remember to shop around for the best odds before finalizing your bets. We start the research for you, but it’s always up to you to look around and make sure you’re getting the best value.
MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 6/11
We did exactly what we needed to do with yesterday’s MLB predictions.
After a rough end to last week, we got right back to it with some key bets and props. We got a little scare with that Minnesota Twins vs. Colorado Rockies game, but Royce Lewis helped salvage that disaster while we then nailed the Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox game with plus-odds and three of our four prop bets to rebuild that bankroll.
Let’s keep that momentum rolling today!
- Yesterday’s Record: 6-3
- Season Record: 210-188-5
- Bankroll: -0.62 units
Nationals vs. Tigers Prediction: Tuesday, June 11
While neither offense has been tearing it up lately, the pitching lean has to tilt in Nationals lefty Mitchell Parker’s favor. He’s yet to allow more than three runs in any outing this season and has pitched at least six innings in three of his last four starts.
He was incredibly efficient in his last start which came against the Braves and he’s throwing strikes, so teams aren’t really driving the pitch-counts up on him. With the Tigers posting just a .282 wOBA with a 21.7-percent K-rate against southpaws this season as well as a .245 wOBA over the past week, the advantage tilts towards Parker.
For the Tigers, it’s Kenta Maeda on the mound and while the Nationals offense only has a .289 wOBA over the past week, we’ve seen them be very patient against righties this season and they’ve chased many earlier than expected.
Maeda left his last start after throwing just two pitches due to an abdominal strain and while he’s been cleared, I’m skeptical with how far he goes into this game. The start before was a rough one in Boston and while I don’t expect the Nats to be explosive, our MLB best bets will side with them getting to him early.
- Expert Nationals vs. Tigers Picks:
- Washington First 5 Innings Money Line (-110 on BetMGM)
- Mitchell Parker Over 17.5 Outs Recorded (+100 on DraftKings)
- Jesse Winker Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (+100 on DraftKings)
Angels vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Tuesday, June 11
We’ve got two teams that absolutely destroy lefties here, so I’m expecting to see some fireworks in this portion of today’s MLB picks. Arizona has the fourth-highest wOBA against southpaws (.338) while the Angels boast the fifth highest at .334.
Angels starter Jose Suarez is moving into the rotation, so while I believe Arizona plates some runs and chases him, the lefty/righty matchups in the mid-to-later innings makes me nervous to look at more hitter props. The Arizona bullpen has been shaky with a 5.63 ERA over 32 innings in the past week which is why the over in this game really stands out to me.
On the other side, Jordan Montgomery has been getting mauled. He’s allowed 14 earned runs over his last six innings (two starts) and that 1.73 WHIP stands out like a turd in a punch bowl. Our guy Luis Rengifo’s props are super-juiced, but we know a few more Halos who crush the lefties.
- Expert Angels vs. Diamondbacks Picks:
- Los Angeles vs. Arizona Total Over 9 Runs (-110 on BetMGM)
- Jordan Montgomery Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (-130 on DraftKings)
- Zach Neto Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (-110 on BetMGM)
Athletics vs. Padres Prediction: Tuesday, June 11
This game might take a little bit more of a leap of faith, but I think we can steal some really nice value bets at plus-odds right now to round out my MLB predictions today. Oakland lefty JP Sears is wildly underrated.
Yes, he’s had a few hiccups like any other starter, but he’s allowed two or fewer runs in three of his last five starts and the Padres have been terrible against lefties. They don’t strike out a lot against them (just a 17.7-percent K-rate) but they are not getting the barrel on the ball at all against them and aren’t hitting for any real power with that .122 ISO.
The Athletics have been a terrible offense, losing four of their last five and averaging less than two runs per game in that span, but Padres starter Randy Vasquez has been extremely hittable this season. His 1.47 WHIP is the lowest it’s been since late-April, and he doesn’t have swing-and-miss stuff. The A’s are usually a big strikeout team, but if Vasquez is going to keep the ball in the zone, Oakland should be able to get a few knocks against him and potentially churn out an early lead.
- Expert Athletics vs. Padres Picks:
- Oakland First 5 Innings Money Line (+125 on Bet365)
- JP Sears Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+100 on BetMGM)
Best MLB Props For Today, 6/11: Pitcher Props
- Louie Varland Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+120 on Bet365 Sportsbook)
- Bryan Woo Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-135 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Ronel Blanco Over 17.5 Outs Recorded (+100 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Jordan Hicks Under 16.5 Outs Recorded (-125 on BetMGM Sportsbook)