We love our winning streaks in betting don’t we? My last MLB Best Bets and Betting Picks installment went a perfect 3-0 and while I don’t score it here in the article, I also hit on a +450 home run bet on Christian Walker. We’re still a little behind on the bankroll here, but overall, for the season, I am pushing further and further into the black…or green, depending on how you like to color-code your wins. We routinely talk about the peaks and valleys in betting baseball, so enjoy the streak, maybe tail more picks from the baseball bets for today if you like, throw some MLB props into a same game parlay or something, but don’t go too crazy. Remember, things like an Oakland Athletics seven-game win streak could pop up and ruin everything just like that!  Does that happen to us today? I don’t think so. It’s a short slate for Thursday with a mix of day and night games, but we’re reading the tea leaves pretty well on some of these match-ups.

  • Tuesday’s Record: 3-0
  • Season Record: 91-84-2
  • Bankroll: -2.93 units
 

 

MLB Best Bets for June 15

Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics

Yes, that’s right! We’re staring down the A’s now that their seven-game win streak is over and their fanbase has been silenced after their “reverse protest” came up about as empty as that horrendous stadium usually is during the season. Even with that win streak, we’re looking at a team that has a .290 wOBA over the past seven days and isn’t swinging the bats with any kind of power. They’re facing Taj Bradley who is coming off a terrible outing against the Rangers, but that’s one of the best lineups in MLB this season. I expect Bradley to bounce back. On the other side, the A’s are starting Paul Blackburn who dominated Milwaukee in his last outing, but is likely to struggle against a Rays team that still leads the league in wOBA against righties and isn’t going to walk out of Akland with a losing series. They put up six runs last night and, actually, I don’t even want to look at the full game here as there is no real value in it. Instead, let’s just talk about the first five innings and some of that value on the run line.

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays 1st 5 Innings -0.5 Run Line (-130 on Caesars Sportsbook)

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins

While both clubs have been hitting the ball well over the past week, I think this pitching match-up is going to be the featured act today. Matthew Boyd isn’t exactly the be-all, end-all of southpaws, but he continues to rebound well after a bad loss and he is coming off a poor five-inning, five runs allowed game against Arizona. Today, though, he faces a Twins lineup that has struggled all year against lefties, posting a .298 wOBA with an ugly 27.2 strikeout rate. On the other side, we have Sonny Gray who continues to dominate with his 2.25 ERA overall, but an even more impressive 1.71 ERA at home. The Tigers rank dead-last with a .287 wOBA against righties this season and they’re fanning nearly 25-percent of the time against them. I don’t want to get bullpens involved, so we’ll stick with the first five innings, once again.

Pick: Tigers/Twins 1st Five Innings under 4 runs (+100 on Caesars Sportsbook)

Washington Nationals at Houston Astros

While things haven’t exactly been all sunshine, lollipops and rainbows for the Astros since losing Yordan Alvarez, they’ve taken two-straight from the hapless Nationals (I say hapless because they’ve posted a league-worst .255 wOBA over the past week) and now have their best starter on the mound in Cristian Javier. He had a tough outing against the Guardians his last time out, but has allowed just three runs or fewer in 11 of his 13 starts this season. He should have no trouble with this lineup today. Houstin will tangle with MacKenzie Gore and they’ve posted a solid .333 wOBA against lefties all season long and they’ve done it with some decent power as well. I think they grab a decent lead and hold it, thanks to a bullpen that has a 1.74 ERA over the past week (20.2 innings), so I feel good about chasing some plus odds and even a decent prop bet.

Pick: Houston Astros -1.5 run line (+105 on DraftKings Sportsbook)

Pick: Mauricio Dubon over 0.5 runs (+110 on DraftKings Sportsbook)

**all bets are one unit unless specifically mentioned