Underdog Fantasy NFL Picks Week 4: Jayden Reed Is A Top TNF Pick for Lions vs Packers
NFL Week 4 kicks off tonight with the Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers divisional matchup on Thursday Night Football. Be sure to check out the latest NFL injury updates ahead of this NFC North showdown as David Montgomery, Aaron Jones, and Christian Watson are among the players listed as questionable. Let's now break down some NFL Underdog Fantasy picks for this Lions vs Packers TNF game. Our top NFL picks today feature Packers wide receiver Jayden Reed and Lions safety Brian Branch. Enjoy these NFL Underdog top plays and Thursday Night Football picks as you watch tonight's game. If you're making more NFL picks tonight or setting NFL DFS lineups, check out our NFL daily projections. Now, let's dive into the top NFL Week 4 picks on Underdog Fantasy for Thursday Night Football Lions vs Packers.
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NFL Underdog Fantasy Top Picks
Week 4 Thursday Night Football Lions vs Packers Picks
Jayden Reed, Green Bay Packers – HIGHER Than 36.5 Receiving Yards
Through three games, Jayden Reed has emerged as one of Jordan Love’s favorite targets in the Green Bay Packers offense. Reed’s 148 receiving yards lead the team so far and his 20 targets are tied for the team-high with Romeo Doubs. In Week 3, Reed made a highlight-reel diving catch and put up 63 yards on three catches and seven targets. Though Doubs and Luke Musgrave appear to be safer underneath options for Love, the rookie Reed has big-play ability and can do more with fewer receptions. His receiving yardage totals over the first three weeks are 48, 37, and 63. The Detroit Lions' defense shut down the Falcons last week, but they also gave up 37 points to the Seahawks the week before. Seattle had 328 passing yards in that game with six different receivers having 34+ yards, including 75 for DK Metcalf and 59 for Tyler Lockett. Back in Week 1, the Lions allowed two Chiefs receivers to total 45+ yards – though we all know how many drops there were in that game. Look for Reed to be a top pass-catching weapon for Love and the Packers tonight.
Brian Branch, Detroit Lions – HIGHER Than 6.0 Tackles + Assists
The Detroit Lions are dealing with injuries to both of their starting safeties and it’s allowed rookie Brian Branch to step into a bigger role. C.J. Gardner-Johnson is on IR and Kerby Joseph is questionable to play tonight with a hip injury that sidelined him last week. With both out in Week 3, Branch logged 11 tackles (all solo) while playing 100% of the defensive snaps. He was the Lions’ nickel corner in Weeks 1 and 2, which kept him at less than 70% of the snaps in both games. He also had just three and four total tackles in those games with Gardner-Johnson and Joseph active. Last week, though, the former Alabama standout was making plays all over the field while manning one of the safety spots. With Aaron Jones trending towards returning this week, the Green Bay Packers could give him and A.J. Dillon plenty of touches in the running game. That would boost the tackle opportunities for Branch as he plays up in the box as a run-stuffer – which he did last week against the Falcons’ rushing attack en route to double-digit tackles.
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Free agent Gabe Davis will visit the New York Giants.
Cut by the Jaguars after one season last week, Davis visited the 49ers on Monday. New York would be a reunion of sorts, as he played for Giants coach Brian Daboll in Buffalo. The G-Men already have several wideouts capable of stretching the field, but 26-year-old Davis could still be a decent role player in a strong offense. The problem, of course, is that the Giants profile as anything but, but rookie QB Jaxson Dart is comfortable throwing down the field.
Ravens S Ar’Darius Washington has been diagnosed with a torn achilles suffered during offseason training.
The fifth-year pro became a weekly starter for the first time last season, earning elite PFF marks in the process. He was a restricted free agent this spring but had yet to sign his $3.26 million tender. That’s a tough break, to put it mildly. Achilles timelines have shortened significantly in recent years, but Washington will probably still miss the entire 2025 campaign. The Ravens are protected in part by their first-round selection of fellow S Malaki Starks, but May is not the month you already want to be dipping into your depth. Going on 26, Washington’s career future is murky after he worked so hard to finally become a regular contributor last season.
Chiefs signed fourth-round WR Jalen Royals to a four-year contract.
Royals doesn’t have an obvious and open spot in the receiving corps to build short-term fantasy value with Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown, and Rashee Rice operating in the opening 11-personnel package. He may or may not play his way into WR4 duties depending on how the team feels about JuJu Smith-Schuster. Royals has plenty of talent and Brown is on a one-year deal, so there is a future where Royals is more than a bit player for the Chiefs. It likely won’t happen in his first season without injuries in front of him.
Matthew Judon said he “probably” won’t return to the Falcons in 2025.
The Falcons, of course, drafted both Jalon Walker and James Pearce in the first round. In an exclusive interview with CardPlayer.com — not to be confused with our PokerNews.com James Cook scoop a few days ago — Judon said that his sack total was down because “I dropped (into coverage) on 60 percent of the plays. It’s hard to get a pick and a sack on the same play.” Judon also told Kyle Odegard that “a couple” teams had expressed interest in him but he was in no rush to sign.
Jets released P Thomas Morstead.
Austin McNamara and Kai Kroeger will compete for the Jets punter job this year. The 39-year-old former Saint was the league’s oldest punter last season. If he wants to keep punting, he can absolutely join the tryout circuit or a competition elsewhere. But this is probably a sign that the Morstead’s 16-year career is close to an end at this point.
Lions offensive coordinator John Morton said it’s “going to be a breakout year” for Jameson Williams.
Morton said he’d never “been around someone that fast,” then quickly corrected himself to note that Jhamyr Gibbs is also that fast. Williams came on strong last year with a 58/1001/7 receiving line, but offensive coordinator praise could mean even more targets are coming. It would likely come at the expense of Amon-Ra St. Brown’s production if Williams were to truly break out, though there’s plenty for St. Brown to give and still be a top-flight fantasy wideout. It’s risky to read too much into statements like this in the offseason, but the new offensive coordinator telling you he thinks it’ll be a breakout year for Williams is certainly noteworthy.