Underdog Fantasy NFL Picks Week 10 TNF: Adam Thielen & Tyson Bagent Plays for Panthers vs Bears
NFL Week 10 kicks off tonight with the Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears matchup on Thursday Night Football. Let's break down some NFL Underdog Fantasy picks for this Panthers vs Bears TNF game. Our top NFL picks today feature Panthers WR Adam Thielen and Bears QB Tyson Bagent. Enjoy these NFL Underdog top plays and Thursday Night Football picks as you watch tonight's game. As always, be sure to check out the latest NFL injury updates ahead of this TNF Panthers vs Bears showdown. If you're making more NFL picks tonight or making NFL DFS lineups, check out our NFL daily projections. Now, let's dive into the top NFL Week 10 picks on Underdog Fantasy for Thursday Night Football.
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NFL Underdog Fantasy Top Picks
Week 10 Thursday Night Football Panthers vs Bears
Adam Thielen, Carolina Panthers – HIGHER Than 6.5 Receptions
Last week, Adam Thielen was held in check with five receptions for only 29 yards against the Colts. Let’s count on a bounceback for the Carolina Panthers wide receiver tonight for Thursday Night Football. Before that last game, Thielen had 7+ receptions in six straight games and averaged 9.2 catches per contest during that stretch. He’s also seen double-digit targets in four of the last six games coming into tonight while dominating the target share in the Panthers’ receiving corps. Ever since he only had two catches on two targets back in Week 1, Thielen has been a target hog and reception machine as Bryce Young’s favorite pass-catcher. The Panthers’ rookie QB is unsurprisingly leaning on his veteran wideout for easy and quick completions.
Tonight, this matchup suggests Thielen should get back to a higher-reception game – though his five catches last week weren’t too bad. The Chicago Bears have one of the worst pass defenses in the league, allowing 256.9 passing yards per game (5th-most) and ranking 31st in pass DVOA. Some opposing top wideouts and/or possession receivers like Thielen have had good games vs the Bears lately. Chris Olave (6 catches), Keenan Allen (8), Davante Adams (7), and Jakobi Meyers (7) have all been around or over this 6.5 reception line in the past three games alone.
Tyson Bagent, Chicago Bears – LOWER Than 187.5 Passing Yards
With Justin Fields out again this week, Tyson Bagent will start his fourth straight game for the Chicago Bears. It’s been an up-and-down last month for the rookie quarterback, who got a win in his first NFL start but has since thrown five interceptions over the past two games. This matchup and game flow on Thursday Night Football should limit his passing yards.
First off, Bagent’s passing yard totals have been 162, 232, and 220 in his first three starts. Notably, the lowest number came in a Bears win. Tonight, Chicago is slightly favored at home and could be playing with a lead against the lowly Panthers. Either way, we may see Chicago lean on the run more with Khalil Herbert back healthy and creating a 1-2 punch with D’Onta Foreman. The Bears will want to avoid any more Bagent interceptions, so that favors a run-focused offensive gameplan too.
Meanwhile, the Carolina Panthers defense has struggled against the run but is pretty tough against opposing quarterbacks. The Panthers are allowing just 178.3 passing yards per game, the fifth-lowest in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Carolina rush defense ranks fifth-worst in terms of rushing yards allowed per game. This matchup also points to the Bears running it more often. Four of eight opposing QBs against the Panthers have been held under 200 passing yards. All four have also finished with less than 180 yards. That includes both of the past two opposing QBs (Gardner Minshew with 127 and C.J. Stroud with 140).
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Player News
Browns HC Kevin Stefanski said he expects QB Kenny Pickett to be ready for Week 1.
Stefanski also added that he is still working through who will back up Joe Flacco to start the season, potentially opening the door for one of the rookies to serve as the team’s top backup for Week 1. Pickett was originally in the running for the starting role for the Browns but an ill timed hamstring injury derailed those plans.
Cowboys activated CB Trevon Diggs from the Physically Unable to Perform List.
Diggs gets added to the active roster ahead of the start of the regular season, making good on the team’s promises that he would be ready to go for Week 1. He should immediately reenter the starting lineup opposite DaRon Bland for a Cowboys secondary that was devastated by injuries a season ago.
Jets traded DT Derrick Nnadi to the Chiefs for a swap in conditional seventh-round and sixth-round picks.
Nnadi played the first seven seasons of his professional career with the Chiefs before signing with the Jets this offseason. He returns to the Chiefs for conditional pick swaps after playing a reserve role during the 2024 regular season, something we should expect in 2025.
Raiders QB Aidan O’Connell (wrist) will miss 6-8 weeks with a fractured wrist.
O’Connell suffered the fractured wrist in the team’s final preseason game and is set to miss six to eight weeks, potentially setting up an injured reserve stint to start the regular season. Sixth-round rookie Cam Miller is the only other quarterback currently on the roster, meaning we could see the Raiders exploring the waiver wire or potential trades to satisfy their need for a backup quarterback.
49ers HC Kyle Shanahan said he expects WR Jauan Jennings to be ready for Week 1.
Speaking to media Sunday, 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan said he expects wide receiver Jauan Jennings to be ready for Week 1. When asked about his wide receiver’s availability, Shanahan said, “I expect him to be back, I think he should be back from it, but you never know with calves. I’m not a doctor, so like I said, calves take time. You never know with calves.” It seems Shanahan is expecting Jennings for Week 1 but also wasn’t exactly speaking with a great deal of certainty, giving himself outs to the statement. The 49ers surely want Jennings out there against the Seahawks considering the multitude of injuries up and down their roster, potentially setting up a highly concentrated attack amongst Christian McCaffrey, Ricky Pearsall, and George Kittle to start the year.
Buccaneers waived S Shilo Sanders.
Sanders will now head to waivers, where he can be claimed by teams in need of safety play. There are multiple teams in need of positional help currently but there is no guarantee he will land on his feet, which would then make him available to be added to the Buccaneers’ practice squad.