Vikings vs. Packers Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 4, Sunday 9/29
Perhaps the most anticipated matchup of the Week 4 slate is the NFC North rivalry between the Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers. It’s been made so much more exciting and polarizing with factors like the Vikes being 3-0 and the Jordan Love injury, and we’ve covered it all in our Vikings vs. Packers predictions.
Better yet, not only will we have a best bet from our Vikings vs. Packers picks, but we’ll also cover the details of a guaranteed $200 DraftKings Sportsbook welcome promotion!
Vikings vs. Packers Predictions For NFL Week 4, Sunday 9/29
After the Packers surged into and through the playoffs last season and the Vikings missed the postseason entirely, fans and oddsmakers alike expected them to be in opposite positions in the NFC North right now. While they’re both above .500, it’s safe to say that Minnesota has been the surprise story of the first portion of the season.
Of course, seemingly everything is thrown out the window when it comes to division rivalries, but should it in this case? Well, both teams have injury concerns for sure, and they both have weaknesses that can be exploited. So, to make Vikings vs. Packers predictions, the question is which team will be able to take advantage of those spots.
Minnesota Vikings: Dishing Out L’s With Darnold
The Vikings moved on from QB Kirk Cousins following his Achilles injury last season, and with rookie QB JJ McCarthy going down for the year before the season even began, it was all put on QB Sam Darnold’s shoulders. Apparently new scenery is all he needed, as he’s been lighting it up.
Unfortunately for the Vikes, he did get banged up this past Sunday, but he was able to return and lead Minnesota to a 34-7 crushing victory over the Houston Texans on the back of his four touchdown passes! It’s clear that any chemistry concerns between Darnold and superstar WR Justin Jefferson were put to bed.
Green Bay Packers: The Return Of Jordan Love?
As for the other aforementioned QB injury, that is the one of Packers QB Jordan Love. This one took place back in Week 1 in the final seconds down in Brazil. The team was able to avoid placing him on injured reserve but noted that he was set to miss 3-4 weeks.
Despite that, we saw Love back on the practice field as early as last week, and he was even questionable leading up to the game Sunday morning! That suggests that there is a real possibility that he could return for this NFC North rivalry, but after back-to-back wins with backup QB Malik Willis, should he rush back?
Vikings vs. Packers Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
We’ve got a slightly different approach than the standard markets for the best bet from our Vikings vs. Packers predictions, but you can still see the latest Vikings vs. Packers odds at DraftKings Sportsbook below:
- Point Spread: Minnesota Vikings +3 (-118) vs. Green Bay Packers -3 (-102)
- Money Line: Minnesota Vikings (+120) vs. Green Bay Packers (-142)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 43.5 (-110) vs. Under 43.5 (-110)
Vikings vs. Packers Point Spread: First Half Under 21.5 Points (-112 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
With plenty of unknown in this matchup at the most important position, we never had any interest in focusing our Vikings vs. Packers predictions on a side, especially with a point spread right on the key number of three.
It also may seem surprising to some fans given Minnesota’s 3-0 start and the Packers perhaps without Love, so do the oddsmakers know something we don’t? We’d rather not have to wonder that question, so we’re targeting a low-scoring first half.
While the Cheeseheads have gotten wins with Willis leading the charge, it certainly hasn’t been by lighting up the scoreboard. It started with a 16-10 win over the Indianapolis Colts, which had just 10 first-half points. As for last week, don’t let the 30-14 final fool you - Tennessee Titans QB Will Levis threw another pick-six.
That blunder was in the first quarter, so without that, there were 20 first-half points scored, and Minnesota is a far superior opponent, especially early in games. In fact, the Vikings are by far the best in the NFL in that regard, allowing just 3.3 first-half points per game! Similarly, Green Bay is allowed just eight points per game in the first two quarters.
Even staying remotely close to those averages would easily have the best bet of our Vikings vs. Packers predictions on the first half under 21.5 points (-112 at DraftKings Sportsbook) cash!
Vikings vs. Packers Injury Report & Latest News
We’ve shared the notable QB injury notes, and here are each team’s reports following Thursday’s practice:
MIN Vikings:
- DL Jonathan Bullard - DNP
- LT Christian Darrisaw - DNP
- LB Ivan Pace - DNP
- S Jay Ward - DNP
- WR Jordan Addison - LP
- C Garrett Bradbury - LP
- LB Kamu Grugier-Hill - LP
- TE Josh Oliver - LP
GB Packers:
- G/T Jordan Morgan - DNP
- CB Jaire Alexander - LP
- DT Kenny Clark - LP
- TE Tucker Kraft - LP
- QB Jordan Love - LP
- TE Luke Musgrave - LP
- WR Jayden Reed - LP
- CB Carrington Valentine - LP
- DT Devonte Wyatt - LP
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Player News
Packers signed WR Bo Melton, RB Emanuel Wilson, and P Daniel Whelan to their exclusive rights free agent tenders.
Melton caught on with the Packers in 2023, totaling 16 receptions for 218 yards and a touchdown in five games. He added eight receptions for 91 yards in 17 games last season. Melton will continue to be a depth piece in an already-deep Packers wide receiver room. Wilson has also been with the Packers for two seasons and rushed for 502 yards and four touchdowns as Josh Jacobs’ immediate backup last season. He will compete with MarShawn Lloyd for that role again. Whelan is the team’s punter and will be back for 2025. All three signed their exclusive rights free agent tender and will essentially be on one-year contracts this season.
Seahawks re-signed Johnathan Hankins to a one-year contract.
Hankins hasn’t had a PFF run defense grade above 52.4 since 2020 and is primarily called on to play early downs. He turned 33 in March. He’ll be a complimentary piece behind Jarran Reed and Byron Murphy II if he makes the roster out of training camp.
Chargers placed the UFA tender on RB J.K. Dobbins.
This gives the Chargers exclusive negotiating rights if he does not sign with a team by July 22 or the first 2025 NFL training camp opens, whichever comes first. The tag is mainly useful for compensatory pick reasons as Dobbins will still count towards Los Angeles’ haul in the formula if signed before then. The Chargers currently do not project to add a pick in 2026 per Over The Cap’s Nick Korte.
49ers signed OT D.J. Humphries.
Humphries played in only two games for the Chiefs last year as he spent most of the season rehabbing a late 2023 torn ACL on his own. He wasn’t appreciably good in either of those games, but he was rusty and does have a history of better than that. Entering his age-32 season for the 49ers, he’ll probably be trying to win the right tackle job opposite Trent Williams in training camp.
Patriots released LS Joe Cardona.
The team selected his replacement, Julian Ashby, in the seventh round of the draft. This snapper of balls who are longer than usual is only 33, and it’s possible he picks up his career elsewhere. There aren’t too many remaining Patriots Regimes in the wild in 2025, but Nick Caserio does still run the Texans and they let Jon Weeks walk this offseason so that’s one speculative fit.
NewOrleans.Football’s Nick Underhill said he would be “flabbergasted” if Derek Carr played for the Saints this year.
“I would have trouble understanding why you would allow that to happen, you’re trying to build a new culture, you can’t let that guy ... you just got a rookie QB, this is the example you’re going to give him,” Underhill continued. Both Underhill and Mike Triplett believe Tyler Shough will be starting for the Saints in Week 1, with Underhill saying he had “80 percent or higher odds to start 80 percent of the games this year.” Shough would be an uninspiring superflex pick, perhaps a QB3, but given how things have played out with Carr over the past months it sure doesn’t seem like the Saints have a reason to want to continue this relationship. Mickey Loomis literally asked reporters to stop asking him Carr questions at his pre-draft press conference.