These two teams are in different phases of the NFL cycle. The Buccaneers are an older team hoping to “run it back” with guys like Mike Evans, Baker Mayfield, Lavonte David, and Sterling Shepard. Guys like Evans and David only have so many shots left at glory.

The Commanders on the other hand have a new regime and a rookie quarterback. They are playing with “house money” at this stage as making it this far has been a pleasant surprise. Once you are in the tournament anything can happen though so we’ll need to dig into all the data, narratives, and injuries for our Commanders vs. Buccaneers Wild Card Sunday predictions!

Even if you just want to see the Commanders vs. Buccaneers odds and have Commanders vs. Buccaneers picks of your own, don’t forget to scroll down at the end to see how you can scoop up a $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign-up bonus!

 

 

 

Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions For NFL Wildcard Sunday

These teams don’t square off particularly often given that they aren’t in the same division. But they did happen to play this year in Week One which marks the first time since 2021. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won that one 37-20 but that was also back when Chris Godwin was healthy and playing at a high level. And it was before the Commanders traded for Marshon Lattimore.

The Buccaneers won the NFC South, in large part because they won six of their last seven games. Their lone loss came to the Dallas Cowboys 26-24. The Commanders have won five of their last six with their loss oddly also coming to the Dallas Cowboys, 23-19.

 

 

 

Washington Commanders: The New Regime Commanders

The Dan Snyder era is over and what a better way to start off than a playoff berth? The Washington Commanders seemingly knocked the Jayden Daniels pick out of the park as the potential NFL Rookie of the Year. They are a little top heavy on offense, leaning on Terry McLaurin, Zach Ertz, and Brian Robinson, so it really boils down to Daniels and his key players.

On defense the Commanders have had their struggles. Adding Marshon Lattimore via trade was a big boost to the pass D. But they have really struggled against the run. FTN Fantasy has them ranked as a bottom five team per their DVOA statistic.

 

 

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Baker Mayfield Resurgence

Baker Mayfield has proven to his detractors that his season last year was not a fluke. And he has made himself a rich man by hitting all of the incentives the team set for him, finishing as a top 10 QB in virtually every category. The loss of Chris Godwin hurts but rookie Jalen McMillan has stepped up opposite Mike Evans. Bucky Irving has taken the starting job and run with it though Rachaad White still helps in the pass game.

On defense, the Buccaneers have been fairly one sided. They have been great against the run, thanks in large part to the large Vita Vea. The pass has been a different story as they allow the fourth most yards per game of any defense. 

 

 

 

Commanders vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines

As promised, the latest Commanders vs. Buccaneers odds can be found below courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook:

 

 

 

Commanders vs. Buccaneers: Bucky Irving Over 91.5  (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

At one point this line was as low as 86.5 though the juice to take the over was a lot higher. We don’t really mind the higher number here at -110 because conditions are perfect for Bucky Irving to have a monster game. Mike Evans will have his hands full with his rival Marshon Lattimore. And I know Bucky Irving is not Saquon Barkley, but Irving has had games lately where he’s pushing those kinds of numbers - over his last five healthy games he’s had games of 89, 113, 117, and 152 yards. And Barkley, against this Commanders team, ran for 147 and 150 yards.

Bucky himself, in Week One against the Commanders when he wasn’t even crowned the starter yet, had 62 yards on only 9 carries which is 6.9 yards per carry. I think the books have this game capped well in general. I think the Buccaneers win but I don’t like the three-point spread. I think it could be a shootout but that 50.5 over/under is high. What I believe in most is that the Buccaneers can take advantage of a weak Commanders run defense with a big day from Bucky Irving. So that’s where we are going.

 

 

 

Commanders vs. Buccaneers Injury Report & Latest News

Finally, let’s take a quick look at the projected starting lineups for both teams heading into tonight’s matchup:

WAS Commanders

TB Buccaneers

 

 

 

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