NFL Sleeper Top Picks & Plays for Week 13 Sunday Featuring Zack Moss and More!

We already got a treat on Thursday Night Football between the Dallas Cowboys and Seattle Seahawks, as it was one of the highest scoring Thursday night games in recent memory, but there are a couple of great matchup coming this week. There may be some low game totals, but we’re not going to let that dull our shine as we look forward to some limited options in the second Bye-Pocalypse.
As you may know, we’ve joined forces with our friends at Sleeper to introduce their Sleeper Picks feature. With Sleeper Picks, you can choose from a variety of players and stat lines, choose whether that player will have more or less than the given stat, and combine your picks for a chance to increase your payout. If you build enough, you can even multiply your entry up to 100x! So let’s get started and jump into some of my favorite Sleeper Picks for Week 13 of the NFL season. We did go 3/3 on Thursday, so let’s keep that momentum rolling as we head into a pivotal week before fantasy football playoffs start.
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Desmond Ridder, Atlanta Falcons
After being benched for Taylor Henicke, the being reinstated, Ridder just still hasn’t lived up to the promise of a starting quarterback. He has thrown eight interceptions in the ten games he’s played, and now he gets the New York Jets. Yes, the offense is horrific, but the defense has been the only reason the team has any hope. They rank third in average interceptions per game, and with Ridder being so lackadaisical with his targets, Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed should be able to take advantage of him forcing the ball where and when he shouldn’t.
Pick: Desmond Ridder more than .5 interceptions (1.62x)
Jaylen Warren, Pittsburgh Steelers
Warren had a down week last week, but he has still been very good this season, especially in the receiving game. Yes, the unfortunate fumble took him out of the game a little bit last week, but he is still splitting snaps basically evenly with Najee Harris, and he does have the receiving upside. Arizona is allowing 4.83 receptions to the running back position per game, and now it seems like Harris is just the between the tackles guy and not the pass-catching back. 2.5 receptions seems very attainable.
Pick: Jaylen Warren more than 2.5 receptions (1.59x)
Zack Moss, Indianapolis Colts
I know everyone is goo-goo-ga-ga over Zack Moss after Jonathan Taylor went out, but hear me out. The last time Moss played the Titans, he did have a great game, but there is one VERY big piece that people are ignoring. Tennessee’s nose tackle, Teair Tart, was absent during their first matchup, and that is a VERY big part of Tennessee’s run defense. Moss is great at catching passes, but I’m not sure facing Tart is the move this week.
Pick: Zack Moss less that 77.5 rushing yards (1.79x)
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Player News
The Kansas City Star’s Jesse Newell believes Chiefs RB Elijah Mitchell will “make the team given good health.”
Newell, of course, gives the caveat that health has been Mitchell’s main issue for years, so it’s far from a lock that he makes it to the season without a scratch. The Chiefs jumped on the opportunity to sign Mitchell this offseason, inking him to a one-year deal worth “up to” $3.5 million at the start of free agency. It’s a high-upside move given Mitchell’s past success in San Francisco. He ran for 963 yards and five scores on 207 carries as a rookie but has been plagued by injuries ever since. Mitchell appeared in 16 games over the following two seasons and missed all of 2024 with a hamstring issue. While a healthy Isiah Pacheco should be penciled in for the bulk of the carries to start the year, Mitchell could work himself into a committee role if he continues to look back to form in practice.
Broncos S P.J. Locke said he underwent spinal fusion surgery after the team’s playoff loss in January.
Locke is one of the first NFL players to undergo spinal fusion surgery, sharing his journey in a personal documentary YouTube video. He dealt with the pain from the surgery early on, but says he does not feel pain now. Locke started 15 games and the playoff loss for the Broncos and is a key member of a daunting secondary. The 28-year-old missed offseason workouts due to rehab and is preparing to be ready for the regular season.
Steelers QB Aaron Rodgers is working out with six Steelers pass-catchers in Malibu prior to training camp.
Rodgers did not sign with the Steelers until late in the offseason, leaving him little time to build chemistry with the team’s receivers through offseason workouts. However, Rodgers posted a photo on social media with WRs DK Metcalf, Calvin Austin, Roman Wilson, Scotty Miller, and Ben Skowronek and TE Pat Freiermuth. He had invited offensive skill players to work out with him and these six have taken up the offer thus far. Metcalf and Freiermuth are likely to be two of the top options in the Steelers offense, with Austin and Wilson mixing in behind. Newly acquired Jonnu Smith is not there, though he just joined the team this week. Rodgers is headed for a final season in Pittsburgh and is looking to build further rapport with his pass-catchers for one last hurrah.
The Athletic’s Chad Graff believes Patriots WR Efton Chism will “enter camp with a decent shot at making the team.”
A UDFA from Eastern Washington, Chism has been singled out by Drake Maye and coach Mike Vrabel for his impressive showing during the early offseason sessions. Chism put up videogame numbers in the Eagles’ high-flying passing attack last year, totaling 120 catches for 1,311 yards and 13 touchdowns in 2024. Despite the gaudy counting stats, Chism’s 5'10/195 build combined with a dreadful 4.71 Forty led to all 32 teams passing on him during the draft. He will likely be parked behind Demario Douglas as a rookie, but Chism could be worth a look in deep dynasty leagues if he makes noise during training camp.
ESPN’s Jamison Hensley believes Ravens WR Devontez Walker “was Baltimore’s most consistent wide receiver during spring practices.”
Hensley called the second-year wideout “the front-runner to be Baltimore’s No. 4 wide receiver” job. It’s not much, but that would be a drastic improvement over the role Walker played as a rookie. He appeared in nine games and caught one pass, a 21-yard score in Week 15. A fourth-round pick in 2024, Walker was drafted as a developmental vertical threat and simply wasn’t ready to take on a meaningful role as a rookie. Coaches and reporters have talked him up this offseason, allowing dynasty managers to leave the light on for him in 2025.
Jaguars head coach Liam Coen said rookie RB Bhayshul Tuten needs to improve in pass protection.
It’s hardly surprising to hear a head coach urge a rookie back to get better as a blocker. Pass protection is usually a roadblock to consistent snaps for rookie runners. “From protection systems in college to the pros, that’s usually where you see some of the tempo slow down for them – playing slower, thinking more – is when pass-pro starts to kind of bog the mind,” Coen said. “I think [Tuten] has done a solid job. I know he needs a lot more work, which all those guys do.” The 104th selection in the 2025 NFL Draft, Tuten racked up 1,159 yards and 15 touchdowns on 183 attempts in his final collegiate season at Virginia Tech. He also functioned as a kicker return, a role he could experiment with in Jacksonville this summer. PFF graded Tuten in 2024 as the nation’s 98th best blocking back out of 148 qualifying backs. He’ll need to improve in that area if he’s going to seize the RB1 role in the Jaguars backfield in 2025.