Ravens vs. Bills Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Divisional Round Sunday

All four games this week are important games. But let’s be realistic. This is the only one that doesn’t have a spread of six points or greater. This matchup stands above all others as the marquee game between two colossal forces. And it just so happens to be our late game on Sunday, the perfect timeslot.
There’s really no shortage of narratives here. The top two MVP candidates going head-to-head. It’s a home snow game for the Buffalo Bills but the Ravens are bringing their late-season snowplow in Derrick Henry. Anyone could win this one which makes our Ravens vs. Bills predictions for the Division Round of the NFL Playoffs that much trickier!
Even if you just want to see the Ravens vs. Bills odds and have Ravens vs. Bills picks of your own, don’t forget to scroll down at the end to see how you can scoop up a $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign-up bonus!
Ravens vs. Bills Predictions For NFL Division Round Sunday
Since being drafted, these two quarterbacks have now squared off four times over the last five years. And they have split the games with each winning two. Earlier this year, Lamar Jackson and the Ravens got the best of the Bills 35-10. In their previous matchup, in 2022, Buffalo won 23 to 20.
The one time they met in the playoffs, Buffalo won 17-3 in 2021. Ignoring a Week 18 game without their starters, the Bills have won 10 of their last 11. The lone loss came in a 44-42 shootout with the Los Angeles Rams. Over their last 11 games, the Ravens have lost three times for comparison.
They were beaten by the Eagles, the Steelers, and the Browns over that stretch. They are coming off a five-game win streak, however, during which they beat the Steelers twice and the Browns once - getting their revenge on both.
Baltimore Ravens: Built For The Cold
There are some teams where we would be concerned about a snowy forecast. The Miami Dolphins, for instance, don’t fare well in the cold. But this Ravens offense is built for it.
Historically, Derrick Henry has gotten stronger as the season goes on. And with their ability to go big with guys like Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely, and Patrick Ricard, the snow should not be much of an issue. They are likely to be without star wide receiver Zay Flowers, however.
The Ravens started off the season with some serious struggles against the pass. But they have since righted the ship. FTN Fantasy, which accounts for strength of schedule and weights recent performances more heavily, grades them as the 8th best defense against the pass.
And all season long they have been one of the best defenses against the run, allowing the fewest yards per game of any team.
Buffalo Bills: No More Hero Ball
Well, technically Josh Allen has always been the “hero”. But over the past four years, Stefon Diggs has been the obvious focal point of this team. With ~160+ targets and 60-70 first downs, the team would live and die based on how he performed.
After moving on from him, they’ve gone with a much more balanced approach to great success. Josh Allen may be the only player to make the All-Pro team but that is how they designed it.
On defense, the Bills have been rock-solid. And they’ve gotten even better as of late with the return of linebacker Matt Milano, one of the best cover linebackers against tight ends. He’s historically given Mark Andrews a difficult time which will make for an interesting matchup this week.
Ravens vs. Bills Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
As promised, the latest Ravens vs. Bills odds can be found below courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Baltimore Ravens -1 (-115) vs. Buffalo Bills +1 (-105)
- Money Line: Baltimore Ravens (-120) vs. Buffalo Bills (+100)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 51.5 (-110) vs. Under 51.5 (-110)
Ravens vs. Bills: Buffalo Bills +1 (-105 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
There is a LOT of pressure on Derrick Henry here. Last time he carried the Ravens to a decisive victory over the Bills with 199 rushing yards and 2 total TDs.
With Zay Flowers doubtful and Mark Andrews facing a difficult matchup with Matt Milano (we also like the under on Andrews 41.5 receiving yards at -115), it’s crucial that Henry gets going this week. And the Buffalo Bills know that. Not only do they have the home-field advantage, they have the home-field advantage in snowy conditions they have been practicing in all week.
With their new brand of unselfish football combined with some key cogs getting healthy at the right time, I think this is finally the year for Josh Allen and the gang. I think the Bills win this one outright, but they are getting a point here as well. So, we’ll take it.
Ravens vs. Bills Injury Report & Latest News
Finally, let’s take a quick look at the injury reports for both teams heading into this matchup:
BAL Ravens
- WR Zay Flowers - Doubtful
- WR Deonte Harty - Questionable
BUF Bills
- RB Ray Davis - Questionable
How To Bet On Ravens vs. Bills At BetMGM Sportsbook & Claim Your $1,500 Bonus With Promo Code ALARM
Now that you’re armed with our Ravens vs. Bills predictions, let’s take you through the aforementioned $1,500 BetMGM sign up bonus. You’ll just need the BetMGM promo code ALARM when creating a new account, but our links and banners should have it filled in for you.
So, just be sure to then deposit $10 or more. Then, place your first wager for at least $10 and up to $1,500 on anything, whether it’s Ravens vs. Bills picks or something else. You can then be worry-free, as you’re guaranteed to receive something.
You’ll either see your winnings hit your account, or if it loses, a full refund will be issued in bonus bets. It’s the best way to take advantage of our Ravens vs. Bills predictions, and you can click here to activate our exclusive BetMGM promo code ALARM now!
Player News
Packers signed WR Bo Melton, RB Emanuel Wilson, and P Daniel Whelan to their exclusive rights free agent tenders.
Melton caught on with the Packers in 2023, totaling 16 receptions for 218 yards and a touchdown in five games. He added eight receptions for 91 yards in 17 games last season. Melton will continue to be a depth piece in an already-deep Packers wide receiver room. Wilson has also been with the Packers for two seasons and rushed for 502 yards and four touchdowns as Josh Jacobs’ immediate backup last season. He will compete with MarShawn Lloyd for that role again. Whelan is the team’s punter and will be back for 2025. All three signed their exclusive rights free agent tender and will essentially be on one-year contracts this season.
Seahawks re-signed Johnathan Hankins to a one-year contract.
Hankins hasn’t had a PFF run defense grade above 52.4 since 2020 and is primarily called on to play early downs. He turned 33 in March. He’ll be a complimentary piece behind Jarran Reed and Byron Murphy II if he makes the roster out of training camp.
Chargers placed the UFA tender on RB J.K. Dobbins.
This gives the Chargers exclusive negotiating rights if he does not sign with a team by July 22 or the first 2025 NFL training camp opens, whichever comes first. The tag is mainly useful for compensatory pick reasons as Dobbins will still count towards Los Angeles’ haul in the formula if signed before then. The Chargers currently do not project to add a pick in 2026 per Over The Cap’s Nick Korte.
49ers signed OT D.J. Humphries.
Humphries played in only two games for the Chiefs last year as he spent most of the season rehabbing a late 2023 torn ACL on his own. He wasn’t appreciably good in either of those games, but he was rusty and does have a history of better than that. Entering his age-32 season for the 49ers, he’ll probably be trying to win the right tackle job opposite Trent Williams in training camp.
Patriots released LS Joe Cardona.
The team selected his replacement, Julian Ashby, in the seventh round of the draft. This snapper of balls who are longer than usual is only 33, and it’s possible he picks up his career elsewhere. There aren’t too many remaining Patriots Regimes in the wild in 2025, but Nick Caserio does still run the Texans and they let Jon Weeks walk this offseason so that’s one speculative fit.
NewOrleans.Football’s Nick Underhill said he would be “flabbergasted” if Derek Carr played for the Saints this year.
“I would have trouble understanding why you would allow that to happen, you’re trying to build a new culture, you can’t let that guy ... you just got a rookie QB, this is the example you’re going to give him,” Underhill continued. Both Underhill and Mike Triplett believe Tyler Shough will be starting for the Saints in Week 1, with Underhill saying he had “80 percent or higher odds to start 80 percent of the games this year.” Shough would be an uninspiring superflex pick, perhaps a QB3, but given how things have played out with Carr over the past months it sure doesn’t seem like the Saints have a reason to want to continue this relationship. Mickey Loomis literally asked reporters to stop asking him Carr questions at his pre-draft press conference.