NFL SNF Best Player Prop Picks: Bills vs. Ravens - Sunday, 9/29
Yet again, the Buffalo Bills find themselves featured in prime time. This week, it’s on Sunday Night Football on the road in Baltimore to take on the Ravens. This was one of the most popular AFC Championship Game predictions heading into the season, so we know that fans are going to want action on the game from all angles.
That’s why we’ve shared our best NFL SNF player prop picks with you, and we’ll also be taking you through how you can use any Bills vs. Ravens player props picks to claim an incredibly generous $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign up bonus!
Best NFL Sunday Night Football Player Prop Picks
While these teams entered the season among the AFC favorites, the Ravens nearly fell to 0-3 last Sunday. Of course, the Bills have been absolutely dominant. Despite those factors, we see Baltimore as clear favorites on Sunday Night Football, and the point spread has even been moving in their direction.
We understand that will certainly have fans looking for other approaches, hence our NFL SNF player prop picks. We’ve seen some glaring trends from these teams thus far, so we even have Bills vs. Ravens player props on both sides of the matchup for you! We'll be focusing on the MVP-caliber QBs as well, so we aren’t shying away from the superstars.
Bills vs. Ravens Player Props: Josh Allen Over 31.5 Pass Attempts (-115 at Caesars Sportsbook)
Let’s start our NFL SNF player prop picks with the actual MVP favorite - Buffalo QB Josh Allen. He was so incredible on Monday Night Football last week that he overtook Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes as the favorite in the middle of the game!
That was thanks to scoring five touchdowns on all five drives in the first half against the Jacksonville Jaguars, but we’re focused on a slightly different market for our NFL SNF player prop picks. You may immediately think passing yards, but we’re going with attempts.
Keep in mind that this is different from completions. We’re targeting this market because we do fully expect the Bills to try and exploit Baltimore through the air. It’s only been three games, but the Ravens have the absolute worst passing defense on a yards-per-game basis allowed (291.7).
However, there is bound to be regression to the mean, so attempts look to be the safer play. After all, if oddsmakers are correct and Baltimore is in the lead late, Allen is going to be throwing often to catch up.
On top of that key factor, Allen has thrown 36 and 39 passes in his last two games against Baltimore. However, he threw for just 146 and 213 yards in the process. That perfectly correlates with the first of our NFL SNF player prop picks on Josh Allen over 31.5 passing attempts (115 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Bills vs. Ravens Player Prop Bets: Lamar Jackson Over 9.5 Rushing Attempts (-115 at Caesars Sportsbook)
We promised NFL SNF player prop picks on both QBs, and our play on Ravens QB Lamar Jackson is a very similar approach. As you’d likely expect, we’re focused on the ground instead. Baltimore may have RB Derrick Henry now, but Lamar still isn’t being shy in that regard.
Like Allen, we’re targeting attempts rather than yards this time around. Given Jackson’s success on the ground, his rushing yards prop is often inflated, but his carries are where we see value. Admittedly, it’s still a rather high number in comparison to most, but he’s proven that double-digit carries is nothing for him.
In two of three games this season, he’s carried the rock 14 and 16 times, including just last week in the close win against the Dallas Cowboys. It’s also worth noting that when Buffalo faced the Arizona Cardinals in Week 1, a comparable QB in Kyler Murray led the team in rushing.
We’ll wrap up with a similar trend as we did with Allen. In Lamar’s last two games against Buffalo, he had 11 rushing attempts in each. Therefore, we’re adding to our NFL SNF player prop picks with Lamar Jackson over 9.5 rushing attempts (-105 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Sunday Night Football Player Props At BetMGM Sportsbook
Now that you have the analysis for our best NFL SNF player prop picks, here are some of the other popular Bills vs. Ravens player props markets at BetMGM Sportsbook:
Passing Yards:
- Josh Allen: Over 230.5 (-115) vs. Under 230.5 (-115)
- Lamar Jackson: Over 204.5 (-115) vs. Under 204.5 (-115)
Rushing Yards:
- James Cook: Over 51.5 (-115) vs. Under 51.5 (-115)
- Derrick Henry: Over 68.5 (-115) vs. Under 68.5 (-115)
Receiving Yards:
- Khalil Shakir: Over 46.5 (-115) vs. Under 46.5 (-115)
- Dalton Kincaid: Over 37.5 (-115) vs. Under 37.5 (-115)
- Zay Flowers: Over 47.5 (-115) vs. Under 47.5 (-115)
- Mark Andrews: Over 31.5 (-115) vs. Under 31.5 (-115)
Anytime TD Scorer:
- Derrick Henry: -140
- James Cook: +140
- Josh Allen: +140
- Zay Flowers: +150
- Lamar Jackson: +180
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