NFL MNF Best Player Prop Picks: Bears vs. Vikings - Monday, 12/16
When it comes to division rivalries, they tend to be more difficult to predict, and that’s exactly what we have in the first of the two Monday Night Football games between the Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings. It’s also why we’ve provided other approaches with our best NFL MNF player prop picks.
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Best NFL Monday Night Football Player Prop Picks
The last time we targeted the Vikings - just this past Sunday - it was against the Atlanta Falcons, and our best bet was a Justin Jefferson anytime touchdown scorer. Our overall best bet, not just player prop, and it cashed in the first half (he scored twice, and there were five total receiving touchdowns!).
So, we’re confident that we can provide some other strong targets with our NFL MNF player prop picks for this matchup. These NFC North rivals also just played a few weeks ago on the weekend following Thanksgiving Day, which was an exciting overtime finish. That means we have that matchup to look back on, which certainly plays a role in our Bears vs. Vikings player props for this week.
Bears vs. Vikings Player Props: Caleb Williams Over 208.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
The first of our NFL MNF player prop picks is a line that frankly, we couldn’t be more surprised to see. Chicago rookie QB Caleb Williams may not be having the same type of record-setting season as last year’s Houston Texans QB C.J. Stroud, but he is more than capable of lighting up a stat sheet.
While that may be due to the fact that the Bears often find themselves trailing and needing to throw, that’s just fine by us. In fact, it’s also the more likely scenario given that they are underdogs of nearly a touchdown in Minnesota.
The bottom line is that Williams’ passing yards prop is far lower than we expected. That is in part due to him being held well under this value last weekend, but the San Francisco 49ers have a far better pass defense than run defense. Regardless, Williams soared over this line the three weeks prior (256, 340 and 231 yards).
Who was that massive 340-yard performance against you may be wondering? The Minnesota Vikings. That was the perfect illustration of the weak point of the 11-2 team - the Vikes have allowed the fourth-most passing yards per game this season.
With that factor and Williams already having had recent success against Minnesota, we’re kicking off our NFL MNF player prop picks with Caleb Williams over 208.5 passing yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Bears vs. Vikings Player Prop Bets: Aaron Jones Over 61.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
While we kicked off our NFL MNF player prop picks through the air, we’re going to follow things up on the ground. We’re also swapping to the Minnesota side of the matchup and targeting Vikings RB Aaron Jones.
The former Green Bay Packer is all too familiar with the Bears, and like Williams, he had a fantastic game when these teams met just a few weeks ago. Jones tied his season high in terms of carries with 22 while going for 106 yards and a touchdown.
He also cleared this line last week on just 13 carries with 73 yards and a touchdown. You could also consider targeting his anytime touchdown odds as part of your NFL MNF player prop picks, but we see better value here. After all, the ground game is where Minnesota should attack Chicago for the season series sweep.
While the Bears pass defense has been quite solid this season, remaining in the top half of the league, they feature the NFL’s seventh-worst run defense on a yards-per-game basis. It also doesn’t hurt to note that in Jones’ final game against Chicago with the Packers, he rushed for 111 yards, which was actually in January of this year.
With his track record against Chicago and the advantageous matchup, we’ll add to our NFL MNF player prop picks with Aaron Jones over 61.5 rushing yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Monday Night Football Player Props At BetMGM Sportsbook
As much as we love our NFL MNF player prop picks, we’ve also shared some other Bears vs. Vikings player props at BetMGM Sportsbook to consider targeting:
Passing Yards:
- Caleb Williams: Over 208.5 (-115) vs. Under 208.5 (-115)
- Sam Darnold: Over 250.5 (-115) vs. Under 250.5 (-115)
Rushing Yards:
- D’Andre Swift: Over 53.5 (-115) vs. Under 53.5 (-115)
- Aaron Jones: Over 61.5 (-115) vs. Under 61.5 (-115)
Receiving Yards:
- DJ Moore: Over 56.5 (-115) vs. Under 56.5 (-115)
- Keenan Allen: Over 49.5 (-115) vs. Under 495 (-115)
- Justin Jefferson: Over 83.5 (-115) vs. Under 83.5 (-115)
- Jordan Addison: Over 52.5 (-115) vs. Under 52.5 (-115)
Anytime TD Scorer:
- Aaron Jones: -130
- Justin Jefferson: +100
- D’Andre Swift: +135
- Jordan Addison: +180
- T.J. Hockenson: +210
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