MLB DFS Value Plays April 30: Top DraftKings & FanDuel Picks
![MLB DFS Value Plays 043023](https://d29m18w01sxjzp.cloudfront.net/thumbnails/source/fatest/Suwinski-Jack-Pittsbugh-Pirates-043023-1000x600.jpg)
We started with nine games on today’s MLB DFS main slate, but that has dropped to eight since the start of the morning and there are two other games with serious rain in the forecast that could remove another game or two from the player pool. That being said, there is still plenty of angles to attack and plenty of value plays on the board. Let’s get into my top MLB DFS value options for Sunday, April 30th’s, MLB DFS main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel.
MLB DFS Value Pitchers
Johan Oviedo, Pittsburgh Pirates
It’s been a very good start to the year for the Pirates pitching staff and Johan Oviedo has been at the forefront. He’s had three excellent starts and two OK outings and those three great starts have been 23+ DKP in each. Oviedo has solid strikeout stuff, posting a 22.5% K-rate and a 54.5% GB rate this year and Washington has been one of the league’s worst teams against right-handed pitching. They’re 28th in OPS and wOBA versus righties this season. He is one of the safer options on the board if this game plays. There is some rain in the forecast.
Kyle Bradish, Baltimore Orioles
Despite actually liking some Tigers bats today, they’re facing off against Kyle Bradish who’s been a bottle of inconsistency but when he’s on he looks sharp. He shut out the Washington Nationals across six innings, while striking six batters but was shelled by the Red Sox and couldn’t make it out of the third inning. The Tigers are not the Red Sox offense, that’s for sure. They’re 29th against right-handed pitching in OPS and wOBA and they also have a 25.5% K-rate to boot. Bradish is a -145 favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook and could pick up a win to boost his overall performance here.
MLB DFS Value Hitters
Max Kepler, Minnesota Twins
If you prefer going to the Trevor Larnach route, I won’t fight you on it, but I like Kepler quite a bit here. He’s really coming around at the dish as he’s batting .364 with a 1.001 OPS over his last 10 games. He has three multi-hit games over his last four outings and has put up 10+ DKP in four of five. He’s batting .288 with a .376 wOBA against righties this year and Brady Singer, who’s opposing him, has struggled with lefties. Left-handed hitters have a .820 OPS, .346 wOBA, 46.5% FB rate, and 40.9% hard-hit rate.
Jack Suwinski, Pittsburgh Pirates
There’s uncertainty around this game playing, especially with the history the Nationals have, but man Suwinski has been good this year. He went 3-for-6 with a home run and five runs batted in during the Pirates' second game of their double-header on Saturday and started the day off swiping a bag for a third straight game. He’s hit six bombs and stolen five bags in just 21 games. He’s hit all six of his bombs against right-handed pitching and has a .333 AVG and .492 wOBA against them this year.
Joey Wiemer, Milwaukee Brewers
Although the Brewers have been one of, if not the worst teams against left-handed pitching this year, they’re in a fantastic spot on Sunday. Joey Weimer has been one of the team’s bright spots against left-handed pitching. It’s a small 20-at-bat sample, but Weimer is hitting .350 with two homers and a .492 wOBA. Jose Suarez is opposing him today and he’s allowed righties to do whatever they want against him. Righties are batting .379 with a 1.200 OPS and a .510 wOBA. Those numbers get you sent packing and the Brewers might just be the nail in the coffin for Suarez.
Zach McKinstry, Detroit Tigers
We’re really digging deep here, but with so many uncertainties around today’s slate, McKinstry isn’t the worst value on the board. He’s hitting leadoff for Detroit right now and has been one of the few bright spots in their lineup. He has multi-position eligibility and over his last 10 games, is slashing .407/.448/.741 with three doubles, two home runs, and two stolen bases. He’s hitting .302 with a .366 wOBA against righties to boot. Kyle Bradish, even though it’s a small sample size, has been hit hard by lefties allowing a .333 AVG, .930 OPS, and .405 wOBA.
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