We have a 10-game MLB DFS main slate on Sunday, April 2nd, on DraftKings and FanDuel. With Aaron Judge, Yordan Alvarez, and Byron Buxton priced so high, we're going to have to find some value plays to get one or two of those elite bats into our lineups today. There are plenty of elite spots we can look to exploit today, especially considering the pitching talent we have taking the mound in Cincinnati today. Why DraftKings has Jeffrey Springs as the 10th highest priced pitcher is beyond me, but let's take advantage of that, shall we? Be sure to check out all of our tools including the MLB Lineups page, MLB DFS Projections – powered by FanJections –, MLB DFS Ownership, and all of the rest of our tools HERE! Let's dive into today's top value options!

 

MLB DFS Value Pitchers

Jeffrey Springs, Tampa Bay Rays (DraftKings: $7,800)

Although Springs wasn’t extended much in spring training, he was dominant while on the mound, picking right up where he left off in 2022. He tossed 9.2 scoreless innings while striking out 16 batters and walking just one. Last year, Detroit struck out at a 22% clip against southpaws and ranked 20th in OPS and 21st in wOBA. Tampa Bay’s ballpark is a pitcher’s best friend and combine that and the match-up and we have one of the best per-dollar plays of the day.

Jared Shuster, Atlanta Braves (DraftKings: $5,300, FanDuel: $8,200)

Many people will likely gravitate towards Shuster today considering his price and the match-up he has at his hands. At just 5.2K on DraftKings, the Braves lefty faces arguably the worst lineup in baseball. Washington was 22nd in OPS, 23rd in wOBA and 27th in ISO against southpaws last year and scored three runs in two games. Shuster and the Braves are -176 on the moneyline despite being on the road.

MLB DFS Value Hitters

Trevor Larnach, Minnesota Twins (DraftKings: $2,400, FanDuel: $2,200)

Larnach has opened the season just 2-for-7 but has been on the basepaths four times in two games already. He’s slotting in fourth in the Minnesota lineup behind Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton, two guys constantly on the basepaths. His opponent, Brad Keller, struggled with lefties last year allowing 1.26 HR/9 and a .324 wOBA. Larnach had a monster spring, belting four home runs and posting a 1.130 OPS. The former top-100 prospect in the game, as high as #39 on Baseball America’s 2021 list, is poised for a breakout on Sunday.

Jake Fraley & Wil Myers, Cincinnati Reds (Fraley, DraftKings: $4,400, FanDuel: $2,900 / Myers, DraftKings: $3,400, FanDuel: $2,700)

I could have just said “all the Cincinnati Reds” but I didn’t want to upset Fantasy Alarm’s Colby Conway because he’s the biggest (and the only) Pirates fan around, but the Reds bash brothers in the outfield are in a fantastic spot today. Fraley has opened up the season looking fantastic at the dish belting a home run while driving in three runs, and scoring two more. Myers hasn’t started that hot, but right-handed bats actually gave Velasquez fits last year. He allowed 1.73 HR/9 and a whopping 48% FB rate to RHH a year ago. If Myers lifts one today, it’s going to leave Great American Smallpark. Sorry, Colby, I know you loved this Pirates hype video for the Velasquez signing.

Andrew McCutchen, Pittsburgh Pirates (DraftKings: $4,300, FanDuel: $2,600)

I’d much rather be paying the 2.6K price point on FanDuel that McCutchen is, but I’m actually OK with his DK price point as well considering the match-up he has. Graham Ashcraft couldn’t retire right-handed hitters in any capacity last season. Righties slashed .323/.377/.524 with a .387 wOBA, 1.7 HR/9, and a 38.3% hard-hit rate. His flyball ratio was 12% higher against righties too and that’s significant because he’s a ground-ball pitcher first. McCutchen is hitting third in the friendly confines of Great American Ballpark today and he might have his first home run back in a Pirates uniform.

Isaac Paredes, Tampa Bay Rays (DraftKings: $3,700, FanDuel: $2,400)

Paredes did one well last year and that was mash left-handed hurlers out of the park. He posted a .516 SLG%, .286 ISO, and a .360 wOBA against southpaws a year ago. He’s very cheap across the industry and is hitting in the heart of Tampa Bay’s lineup today. His opposition today is Joey Wentz, who profiles a ground baller, but struggled to do so during his time at the major league level a year ago against righties specifically. Righties had a 50% FB rate and a 34% hard-hit rate to boot. Advantage Paredes.

 

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