MLB DFS Playbook September 4: Top Plays for DraftKings and FanDuel
Published: Sep 04, 2023
We have seven games on tonight's MLB DFS main slate which kicks off at 2pm ET with some interesting pitching matchups and great spots for offenses to put up some nice run totals. Be sure to check in with our MLB DFS Tools, with the daily MLB projections, MLB DFS rostership projections, and our MLB DFS Lineup Generator when building those lineups today to help you decide which players you should be targeting!
MLB DFS Playbook: September 4
MLB Weather Updates
No weather issues for tonight's slate!
DFS Lineup Construction Thoughts
We have a seven game slate here with some pretty obvious builds that should get some decent ownership. I'm not going to shy away from the chalk plays which likely center around the Seattle Mariners, Merrill Kelly and Cole Ragans on this slate but I will look to find ways to be different while still having the chalk plays in my lineups.
Recommended DFS Starting Pitchers
Top Options for Strikeouts
- Justin Steele vs San Francisco Giants
- Cole Ragans vs Chicago White Sox
- Merrill Kelly vs Colorado Rockies
Best Odds for a Win
- Cole Ragans vs Chicago White Sox
- Merrill Kelly vs Colorado Rockies
- Justin Steele vs San Francisco Giants
- Jose Berrios vs Oakland Athletics
- See More
Favorite Starters to Use for DFS Lineups
Merrill Kelly, SP Arizona Diamondbacks
He's the cover of the playbook so you know we were going here. Kelly is +110 to get the win on DraftKings Sportsbook which is about as big of a favorite as you can be when it comes to the win prop. He is also sitting at -160 to record more than 17.5 outs, has his strikeout prop set at 7.5 and his earned run line set at 1.5. We also just recently saw this matchup which was in Coors Field and Kelly tossed six-innings of two-run baseball while striking out 11.
Cole Ragans, SP Kansas City Royals
Ragans was horrid this season out of the bullpen but he's seen new life as a member of the Royals starting rotation, posting a 1.71 ERA with 56 strikeouts over 41.2 innings in seven starts this season. Ragans is set at -135 on the over 17.5 outs with his earned run total sitting at -145 on the under 2.5 earned runs allowed. His strikeout prop is only set at 5.5 but with a -180 line on the over which makes sense considering the fact that Ragans has gone under 5.5 strikeouts just once over his last six starts. The White Sox are an offense we like to target and they could be without Luis Robert who was scratched from the lineup on Sunday.
Recommended DFS Hitters
Highest Expected Run Totals
- Texas Rangers vs J.P. France
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs Peter Lambert
- Seattle Mariners vs Tejay Antone
- Toronto Blue Jays vs Ken Waldichuk
- Cincinnati Reds vs Bryan Woo
- See More
Favorite Hitters to Use for DFS Lineups
Julio Rodriguez, OF Seattle Mariners
He is the cover of the MLB DFS podcast which you can watch below and for good reason. Rodriguez is hitting .409 with an OPS of 1.186 over the last 10 games. It's not just the power for Rodriguez either as he has four stolen bases to go along with three home runs during this stretch of play. The Mariners are playing in Cincinnati which is a great hitting environment
Gabriel Moreno, C Arizona Diamondbacks
It's not often a catcher appears in this section but Moreno continues to be a nice value plays and he is smoking the baseball right now, hitting .375 with an OPS of 1.163 over the last 10 games. Moreno was one of the better catching prospects in baseball as a member of the Blue Jays and was a key part of the deal which saw Dalton Varsho go to Toronto this offseason.
Davis Schneider, 2B/3B Toronto Blue Jays
Attacking Ken Waldichuk is always a popular play and today should be no different. Schneider has continued to rake at the dish since being called up and while the sample size is still small he has absolutely torched southpaws. On the season, Schneider is hitting .400 with a .610 wOBA with an ISO of 640. Schneider has hit fiver homers in 25 at bats against southpaws. He is locked in.
Tune Into Today's MLB DFS Podcast Breaking Down Today's Slate!
Player Pool
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