Looking for the top MLB Best Bets and Prop Bets for today? Fantasy Alarm has you covered! The Tuesday MLB slate is jam-packed with lots of exciting matchups and most of them are starting after 6:30pm ET so we have some time to dig through some of the betting lines and Vegas odds. 

 

 

 

Shopping around for the best lines before making any MLB predictions is always important. Some, depending on your home state, may be limited with regard to where you can bet, but if you are free to bet on multiple sites, be sure to find the best lines you can. We do a lot of the heavy-lifting for you here, but it never hurts to give everywhere else a sneak-peek.

MLB Picks, Predictions, & Best Bets Today, 5/14

Monday’s MLB best bets were another night filled with close calls for our MLB bets, but the important thing is that we walked away with more profit. It wasn’t huge, but any way you walk away adding to your bankroll is a good day. We’ve had some great ones, for sure, and we’ll have more ahead, but we can be happy with a good day as well. So long as there’s profit. 

This is why we’ve increased our volume this year. We know there are going to be highs and lows. But when you’re sitting there betting three picks a night because you think they’re locks, you’re less likely to have big days that push your bankroll up. You need more than just a few 3-0 days to make it happen. When you increase your volume, you are increasing your opportunities for bigger days.

And if the volume is too much for you, maybe just lower your stakes. If one unit per bet is too much, bet a half-unit. Bet a quarter-unit even. You have to bet where you are most comfortable and given the streakiness and degree of difficulty of MLB betting, there is nothing wrong with lowering your stakes. Remember, a 30-percent success rate in this game is considered Hall of Fame, so considering how you approach your betting, this should be factored in. 

  • Yesterday’s Record: 8-7
  • Season Record: 125-102-3
  • Bankroll: +12.14 units

*The betting odds will be provided alongside each of my MLB picks.

**Just a heads up as I’ve gone through the lines and odds – the lines are getting worse and worse as the day goes on and there’s a ton of juice on a lot of the plays I like. I am not going to bet this slate heavily at all.

 

 

 

Pirates vs. Brewers Prediction: Tuesday, May 14 

After a 14-run explosion between these two teams yesterday, we’re going to go right back at it with our MLB predictions today and the pitching matchup of Quinn Priester and Joe Ross. Priester’s 6.85 FIP and 5.63 xERA indicate that more damage is likely on its way, and we know how much we love the Brewers’ lefty bats against him. 

Ross is sporting a 1.46 WHIP and the Pirates bats have definitely been awake in recent games, so I see both offenses doing well. Based on how juiced some of the hitters’ props are, it would seem Vegas agrees.

  • Expert Pirates vs. Brewers Picks:

 

 

 

Guardians vs. Rangers Prediction: Tuesday, May 14 

Two things are working in our favor here. The first is that Jack Leiter is still learning the ropes and has struggled mightily through his first couple of big-league appearances. The second is, while Ben Lively is sporting a 3.18 FIP which is really nice, I do expect us to see some regression for him. 

He’s a fly-ball pitcher facing a very tough group of lefthanded hitters in guys like Corey Seager and Nathaniel Lowe and, let’s face facts, outside of escaping from a start against the Braves in which he went 4.1 innings, he hasn’t been incredibly dominant facing some mediocre lineups. Even the White Sox hung three runs on him in his last start. I’ll side with Lively early on because I’m worried about how many runs Leiter allows, but I’ll hump on that first five inning run total anticipating the Rangers bats do some work as well.

 

 

 

Best MLB Props Today, 5/14: Strikeout Bets 

We’re going to leave it at this for now and I will continue to look for more MLB picks throughout the day.