I see a lot of folks out there that think they are really good at fantasy football. And, honestly, they probably are. It’s not always easy to win every fantasy football league given how crazy football can be. I mean, between Haason Reddick requesting a trade and Jahmyr Gibbs hurting his hamstring, there’s news every day that changes the landscape.

But there are certainly people out there that consistently either win their hometown league or at least make the playoffs. Anything can happen in the playoffs, but getting there regularly is the mark of a good player. And I encourage those people to take their game to another level. It’s one thing to say you are good at fantasy or even win a hometown league.

It’s another to go deep into tournaments like the FFPC Main Event or the FantasyPros Championship. If you win something like that, you have definitive proof that you ARE one of the best fantasy football players out there. You throw “FFPC Main Event Championship” in your X/Twitter bio, and that means something.

 

 

 

It’s no secret that I’m a big FFPC fan. I’ll actually be covering a FantasyPros Championship Draft LIVE tonight at 8 PM ET, breaking down the moves we like, the ones we don’t, who could win it all and more. Plus, I’ve already written some tips on how to dominate tight end premium formats like FFPC, as well as looked at WR ADP Values on FFPC. So today, we tackle the running backs.

What we’re doing here is using our Fantasy ADP Tool to pull different average draft position data from multiple different sites. Then, we compare that to FFPC to see what kind of value we can find. Of course, we need to consider that FFPC is both full PPR and tight end premium, so it’s not a huge value if we are just talking about a couple picks here – we’re looking for at least a round or more. But they are certainly out there, as you will soon see.

If you want to take advantage of this but aren’t yet registered for FFPC, use promo code ALARM when you sign up today and they’ll give you $25 in bonus credits when you deposit $35 or more at MyFFPC.com!

 

 

 

Josh Jacobs, RB, Green Bay Packers

We actually just wrote a full article last week on Josh Jacobs explaining why we like him at ADP. You should check out the breakdown there, but the short and sweet is that, based on a lot of the factors surrounding his situation, he really should not be going all that much later than guys like Jonathan Taylor or Saquon Barkley. 

They were all paid to be lead backs for offenses we expect to be solid, and it’s Taylor and Barkley that have to deal with the negative repercussions of playing with a mobile QB – not Jacobs. Now, I’m not saying to take Jacobs BEFORE those guys – you don’t have to. On FFPC, Jonathan Taylor goes at pick ~16 on average with Saquon Barkley going with the next pick at 17. Josh Jacobs goes at pick 47, nearly three rounds later.

That also happens to be the latest Jacobs goes on FFPC, RT Sports, NFFC, Yahoo, ESPN and Sleeper. If you are in on Jacobs like I am, FFPC is the place to play.

 

 

 

Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

It just so happens that we’ve also already done a full write-up on Alvin Kamara. Pretty convenient for us that at least two of the guys we like enough to have written up in full, already also happen to be cheapest on the FFPC platform. We’ll take it.

That article covers three facets for Kamara: his talent, the Saints’ scheme and his opportunity. You should check out the full article if you have time, but here are the CliffsNotes:

  • Talent - Alvin Kamara is one of the best pass-catching backs of our generation and was on pace to lead the league with 112 targets last year. We know he has great vision and contact balance, which helps him find the end zone.
     
  • Scheme - Klint Kubiak is bringing over a scheme that utilizes the fullback just like the offenses in SF, MIA and HOU (which are also all Shanahan coaching tree offenses). They also used their first round pick on a left tackle.
     
  • Opportunity - Kendre Miller cannot stay healthy – he will compete with Jamaal Williams for short yardage duty if he can get healthy this offseason. But that has never really mattered for Kamara as he’s never had 1,000 yards rushing in a season anyway. It’s the receptions that drive his value.

Kamara goes at pick 56 on FFPC which, like Jacobs, is cheaper than RT Sports, NFFC, Yahoo, ESPN and Sleeper. Based on our composite ADP, the only format he goes later on is the half PPR best ball site Underdog where WRs are steamed up. FFPC is full PPR, which is Kamara’s best format.

 

 

 

David Montgomery, RB, Detroit Lions

This one comes with a bit of an asterisk as Adam Schefter just reported yesterday that Jahmyr Gibbs suffered a hamstring injury in practice. So, the ADP for David Montgomery is going to be thrown into flux and we’ll have to see where it lands. But David Montgomery was already a great value based on ADP before, and if folks aren’t paying attention to the news, he might not get moved up as far as he should.

Jamaal Williams, in this offense in 2022, scored 17 touchdowns in 17 games. David Montgomery stepped into that role in 2023. If you exclude the game where he got hurt and barely played, Montgomery scored 13 touchdowns in 13 games. Even with Gibbs healthy, Monty was a decent bet.

But, if this hamstring issue were to linger like we saw with guys like Christian Watson, Greg Dulcich, Jelani Woods, etc. last year, what would his upside be? Hypothetically speaking, if Gibbs were ruled out for the season, where would David Montgomery be drafted? In big tournaments like the FFPC Main Event or FantasyPros Championship, these are things we need to consider. That’s a league-winning scenario.

The most recent ADP shows Monty going at pick ~78, which is the mid 7th round. On a site like Yahoo, he goes at pick 48 which is the last pick of the 4th round. I was already willing to grab Monty in rounds 5 or 6 on FFPC and, with this Gibbs news, that’s an even sweeter deal if you can get him there.

 

 

 

Antonio Gibson, RB, New England Patriots

We’ve got to have some format specific sleepers in here. These are DEEP drafts. They are high stakes. They are full PPR. And they are often done early. For that reason, having some form of clarity with a situation can give us a huge advantage. That’s especially true for folks going zero or hero RB. 

Sure, we want some of those high-risk, high-reward upside stabs. But you also need guys you can actually plug into your lineup while you hope to get lucky. Maybe you are waiting on a rookie to break out. Or Nick Chubb to get healthy (who is also a good value on FFPC). You need someone to plug in there in the meantime. In a really deep league like this, Antonio Gibson can be that guy.

This Patriots depth chart is THIN. Rhamondre Stevenson at the top is a stud. After that you have Gibson, JaMycal Hasty, Kevin Harris and a couple UDFAs. They obviously paid Gibson to come in and help out on pass downs. This is a full PPR format. Heck, maybe he can even run a kick back. At his ADP of ~162 in round 14, you might actually be grabbing a guy here that you can plug in for early weeks or bye weeks to keep things afloat. And that’s one of the cheapest values on him, despite him skewing PPR.

 

 

 

Justice Hill, RB, Baltimore Ravens

There’s obviously a lot of “coach speak” and misdirection in the preseason. And it’s our job to separate the realities from the unbridled optimism. So, when you get a positive comment like this one from Ravens coach John Harbaugh, you still need to find some more corroborating evidence:

Well, leading into the first preseason game, the Ravens did list Justice Hill as the RB2 on the depth chart behind Derrick Henry. And then in the game itself, two running backs sat out – Derrick Henry and Justice Hill. So, there’s a clear pecking order at this stage. The last remaining threat is Keaton Mitchell, who is on the PUP list right now, but all signs are pointing to Hill as the RB2 and pass-down back here.

Now, it’s not an ideal situation. Not only is Henry a truck, but Lamar Jackson has been reluctant to dump down to RBs. But we are talking about FFPC drafts that are often TWENTY or more rounds. And Justice Hill goes off the board on average over there in round 22, which is not only a last round pick, but it’s over 50 spots later than where he goes based on our composite ADP. I’d say that’s worth it.