The first of the 2024-25 NFL Divisional Round kickoffs takes place Saturday afternoon at Arrowhead Stadium with the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Houston Texans. It’s a rematch of their game just prior to Christmas Day, and we’ve got our best Texans vs. Chiefs predictions for you.

That also means a best bet from our Texans vs. Chiefs picks, which we’ll be pairing with a guaranteed $200 DraftKings Sportsbook sign up bonus!

 

 

 

Texans vs. Chiefs Predictions For Divisional Round Saturday, Saturday 1/18

As mentioned, this AFC Divisional Round clash is a rematch of less than a month ago, which is great when making Texans vs. Chiefs predictions. It was a 27-19 win for Kansas City, and now we see the Texans vs. Chiefs odds for this weekend having them as favorites of more than a touchdown.

That can make locking Texans vs. Chiefs picks quite difficult, but we’ve found an approach that we absolutely love for our best bet. As a tiny spoiler, it does lean towards the Chiefs side, as we expect Houston to have a tough time trying to establish the same type of strong run game that they did last Saturday against the Los Angeles Chargers.

Along with a rested a KC squad, we have plenty in their favor to break down for the best bet from our Texans vs. Chiefs predictions.

 

 

 

Houston Texans: Rolling Over Momentum

Expanding on the Texans win over the Chargers on Wild Card Weekend, the 32-12 finish may appear on the surface to have been a dominant victory. However, that was far from the case. Houston found themselves down by six at the end of the first quarter, and it was a slow first half for both teams.

It wasn’t until the second half in which the Texans got things rolling on both sides of the ball, including picking off LA QB Justin Herbert four times! They’re going to need to roll over that second-half momentum to the start of this matchup if Houston wants a chance at upsetting the #1 seed in the AFC.

 

 

 

Kansas City Chiefs: Reaping The Rest Reward

While the Texans will be looking to utilize their momentum, the Chiefs will be looking to reap the rewards of earning that #1 seed. Of course, that means that they were able to rest during Wild Card Weekend, but it wasn’t just that.

Since KC was able to lock up that top spot nice and early, they were also able to rest virtually every starter in Week 18, including superstar QB Patrick Mahomes. That will always spark the rest versus rust debate, but head coach Andy Reid has proven that he knows what he’s doing en route to a potential third straight Super Bowl victory.

 

 

 

How To Watch NFL Divisional Round Saturday 2025

We already noted where this first Divisional Round is kicking off, and we’ve got you covered with all things regarding how to watch Texans vs. Chiefs:

  • Where: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO
  • When: 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, 1/18
  • Watch on TV: ABC, ESPN
  • Where to stream: ESPN+, NFL+, YouTubeTV, FUBO

 

 

 

Texans vs. Chiefs Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines

It’s just about time to fully dive into the best bet from our Texans vs. Chiefs predictions, but first, here are the latest Texans vs. Chiefs odds at DraftKings Sportsbook:

 

 

 

Texans vs. Chiefs Teaser: Kansas City -1.5 & Over 35.5 Points (-120 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

So, we mentioned that our Texans vs. Chiefs predictions would be focusing on the KC side of the game, but we want to manipulate the line a little bit. We can do so with a same-game, six-point teaser, which means that we can alter the lines, but we need both of our Texans vs. Chiefs picks to hit.

We’re confident in that being the case, so a teaser is our favorite approach. When it comes to creating teasers, the best scenarios are when you can move the point spread through two key numbers, which we’re doing here but going past seven AND three. So rather than needing the Chiefs to win by more than a touchdown, just a two-point victory will do.

This is fantastic, as the Chiefs have been anything but fantastic when it comes to covering large spreads. They seem to allow teams to stick around, even when it’s lesser competition. The examples of this are virtually endless over the past few seasons now, and just this year brought us several.

Kansas City nearly lost on Black Friday to the 4-13 Las Vegas Raiders in a 19-17 finish, only beat the 5-12 Carolina Panthers 30-27 on a missed field goal at the last second, needed a last-second blocked field goal to beat the Denver Broncos 16-14 and we can go on and on with most close games this season alone.

As for the over, this is hardly a high number to exceed, and a rested, healthy Mahomes can lead his team to 30 points himself. Similarly, the Texans coming in with the momentum of a 22-point half should have them doing their end of the bargain. In other words, a repeat of the 27-19 result in Week 16 sounds just fine to us.

Therefore, the best bet from our Texans vs. Chiefs predictions is a teaser of Kansas City -1.5 and over 35.5 points (-120 at DraftKings Sportsbook).

 

 

 

Texans vs. Chiefs Injury Report & Latest News

We saw Mahomes get banged up down the home stretch of the regular season, which is why the team allowed him to rest in Week 18 and he had the bye week for the Wild Card Round. As for Houston, we want to make sure WR Nico Collins remains healthy given their other weapons like WR Tank Dell and others being unavailable.

We’ll be monitoring the practice status of all players, so be sure to keep an eye out for updates of the Fantasy Alarm NFL injury report!

 

 

 

How To Bet On Texans vs. Chiefs at DraftKings Sportsbook & Claim Your $200 Bonus

Now that you’ve seen our Texans vs. Chiefs predictions and much more, let’s go through how easily you can snag a guaranteed $200 DraftKings welcome offer in plenty of time for kickoff:

  1. Sign up here for a new DraftKings account
  2. Make an initial deposit of $5 or more
  3. Wager at least $5 on any available market
  4. Receive $200 in bonus bets guaranteed

Guaranteed means that you’ll receive your $200 reward even if that qualifying wager loses! So, if you’d like a 40x boost no matter what and with no DraftKings promo code required, click here to set up your new account today.