Packers vs. Eagles Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Wild Card Sunday

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Packers vs. Eagles Predictions For NFL Wildcard Sunday
These Packers vs. Eagles games have historically been shootouts - in three of their last four games there were 60 points scored with the other game having 46. Only one of those games featured Jordan Love at quarterback but it happened to be the first game of this season in Brazil. The Eagles won that 34-29 in a game that came down to the wire.
Outside of that first loss to the Eagles and a borderline meaningless Week 18 game against the Bears, the Packers have essentially overly lost to the Vikings and Lions. Each team beat them twice. The Eagles have won 12 of their last 13 with the lone loss being to the Commanders. Their other two losses came to the Falcons and Buccaneers.
Green Bay Packers: A Run Heavy Approach
Matt LaFleur had a lot of success leaning on Derrick Henry in his Tennessee days. And that’s a big reason why they brought in the workhorse Josh Jacobs to lead their attack in place of Aaron Jones. After a slow start, Jacobs has been a steamroller lately, scoring 14 rushing TDs over his last 10 games.
In the pass game, the Packers have been one of the more balanced teams. In fact, Dontayvion Wicks ended up leading the team in targets when all was said and done while Jayden Reed (75), Romeo Doubs (72), and Tucker Kraft (70) were not far behind. The Saints target leader, Alvin Kamara, got 89 targets which was the next closest to Wicks. They’ll be without Christian Watson this week after a torn ACL so Wicks will take a full-time role here.
The Packers have been solid on defense this year. FTN Fantasy has them as the 7th ranked defense per their DVOA statistic which attempts to account for strength of opponent and other circumstances. On the good news front, they are expected to have Quay Walker available for this game. On the bad news side, they are without their top corner Jaire Alexander.
Philadelphia Eagles: Super Star Power
On many teams, guys like DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert would be stars. And they are great players. But, on a team with Jalen Hurts, AJ Brown, and Saquon Barkley, then end up on the back burner. This team is far more highly consolidated than the Packers among the top players with their 4th and 5th targets being Barkley (43) and Jahan Dotson (33). With the Eagles, you know where the ball is going.
The Eagles defense is also loaded with stars and is arguably the league’s top unit. That’s how FTN Fantasy sees it at least with them graded #1. With three top corners in Darius Slay Jr., Quinyon Mitchell, and Cooper DeJean as well as PFF’s top graded cover linebacker in Zach Baun, opposing pass-catchers really don’t have anywhere to hide.
Packers vs. Eagles Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
As promised, the latest Packers vs. Eagles odds can be found below courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Green Bay Packers +5.5 (-115) vs. Philadelphia Eagles -5.5 (-105)
- Money Line: Green Bay Packers (+210) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-250)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 45.5 (-110) vs. Under 45.5 (-110)
Packers vs. Eagles: Green Bayt Packers +5.5 (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
If you think about the Packers meaningful games they have lost, it was a Week One shootout with these Eagles then two losses each to the Lions and Vikings. The Lions and Vikings are the two most blitz-happy teams in the NFL per Pro Football Reference. Jordan Love this year has been far better when kept clean - he has an 86.8 passing grade when kept clean and an 81.4 passing grade when not blitzed per Pro Football Focus vs. a 64.2 grade when blitzed and a 53.9 grade when under pressure.
The Eagles on the other hand are towards the bottom of the leagues in blitz percentage. In fact, they are within the bottom five. Teams like the Lions and Vikings were willing to blitz heavy and lean into man-to-man coverage vs. Love to get him off his game but that’s typically not how the Eagles play, especially on later downs.
So this weekend we are either going to see Jordan Love square up against the type of defense he generally has better success against. Or we are going to see the Eagles attempt to play in a way they might not be comfortable playing. Either way, I think that gives the Packers a chance to outright win this one in my opinion. And it makes taking the 5.5 at -115 make a lot of sense.
Packers vs. Eagles Injury Report & Latest News
Finally, let’s take a quick look at the projected starting lineups for both teams heading into tonight’s matchup:
GB Packers
- S Zayne Anderson - Out
- WR Christian Watson - Out
- DL Brenton Cox Jr - Questionable
- T Andre Dillard - Questionable
- DL Tedarrel Slaton - Questionable
- LB Quay Walker - Questionable
- S Evan Williams - Questionable
PHI Eagles
- G Trevor Keegan - Out
- DT Byron Young - Out
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Player News
Dolphins signed No. 13 overall pick DT Kenneth Grant to a four-year contract.
ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that Grant will sign his contract today. The former Michigan defensive tackle is expected to fill a major void left by Christian Wilkins, who left for the Raiders in the 2024 offseason. Grant totaled 32 tackles, three sacks, and seven TFLs in his final season at Michigan and excelled at stopping the run while also generating 27 pressures in his final season, per PFF.
Beat reporter John Hendrix reports that free agent WR Donovan Peoples-Jones is among the 16 players that the Saints will host for their rookie minicamp.
Peoples-Jones last played regular season snaps with the Lions back in 2023, when he caught 13-of-24 targets for 155 yards. He is highly unlikely to return to fantasy relevance at this point but could perhaps sign on as a special teams contributor.
Titans signed fourth-round pick WR Elic Ayomanor to a four-year contract.
Ayomanor will now begin learning behind Calvin Ridley. Although Ayomanor is unlikely to find a meaningful role in year one, dynasty managers should note his status as training camp gets underway this summer. The former Stanford receiver flashed big-play ability in his two college seasons.
Buccaneers signed seventh-round pick WR Tez Johnson to a four-year contract.
Johnson will serve as a rotational deep-threat option for Baker Mayfield. His thin frame (5'10/154) simply does not lend itself to the repeated hits one incurs in a full-time role. Johnson did earn 100-plus targets in his two seasons at Oregon, though. His big-play style make him a better fit in best ball for now, pending any major on-field breakthroughs.
Giants waived DT Casey Rogers.
Rogers was a 2024 undrafted free agent and logged 33 defensive snaps for the Giants in his rookie season. He is credited with zero tackles and/or sacks. He may find his way onto another roster as a practice squad option.
Vikings signed third-round pick WR Tai Felton to a four-year contract.
Felton is quietly in play to challenge Vikings No. 3 WR Jalen Nailor in training camp. Nailor (5'11/190) caught 28-of-42 targets for 414 yards and six touchdowns in his first season as a starter last year, with the latter category buoying his fantasy productivity. Felton (6'1/183), meanwhile, caught 96-of-143 targets for 1,119 yards and nine touchdowns while averaging 2.32 yards per route run in his final college season. Fantasy managers should monitor Felton’s training camp reports this summer, as he could have a matchup-based WR5 role if everything falls into place.