Commanders vs. Ravens Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 6, Sunday 10/13

The NFL is full of surprises - some good, some bad. The Washington Commanders this year have been a pleasant surprise after they were a bottom five team in projected win total this offseason. And that’s thanks in large part to Jayden Daniels.
And with that, this game that was likely set to be an easy win for Baltimore now makes our Commanders vs. Ravens predictions a little harder for this week. Which should also hopefully make this game even more fun to watch for both betting and fantasy football!
Even if you just want to see the Commanders vs. Ravens odds and have Commanders vs. Ravens picks of your own, don’t forget to scroll down at the end to see how you can scoop up a $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign-up bonus!
Commanders vs. Ravens Predictions For NFL Week 6, Sunday 10/6
Being from different conferences, these teams only play every four years unless they meet in the Super Bowl. And the Washington Commanders certainly have not come anywhere near a Super Bowl during the Dan Snyder era.
But that era is now over, and a new one has begun! After losing to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Week One, the Commanders have now rattled off four straight wins against the Giants, Bengals, Cardinals, and Browns.
The Ravens started with losses to the Chiefs and Raiders but have since beaten the Cowboys, Bills, and Bengals. Two hot teams coming together at just the right time!
Washington Commanders: The Rise Of Jayden Daniels
We expect the quarterbacks taken in the first round of the NFL Draft to be in the Offensive Rookie of the Year conversation. But Jayden Daniels has honestly blown right past that and joined a bigger conversation - NFL MVP.
On BetMGM Sportsbook he now is in the top five for odds at +1000 behind only Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, and C.J. Stroud. That’s elite company. We expected him to run. And his 300 rushing yards are second only to Lamar Jackson.
But his efficiency throwing the football has been unexpected as his 77.1% completion percentage easily leads all starting quarterbacks. And the run game with Brian Robinson Jr has flourished as well. This team could use a second pass catcher after Terry McLaurin, but they’ve made do so far.
Defense has been the weak side of the ball for this Commanders team so far. And that’s especially true through the air as they currently rank 27th in DVOA against the pass per FTN Fantasy. The offense is going to have to work overtime to keep them in this one against the Baltimore Ravens.
Baltimore Ravens: The Reign Of King Derrick Henry
Derrick Henry and the Baltimore Ravens were a match made in heavy. Not only do you have a great line and a bunch of tight ends/fullbacks, but you’ve got Lamar Jackson running the RPO. It’s no surprise that Derrick Henry has scored a touchdown in every single game so far with six total on the season.
Henry has put the team on his back in a couple of games like the Cowboys and Bills games. But this past week against the Bengals Lamar Jackson showed that he can step up when needed as well throwing for 348 yards and four scores against the Bengals.
Besides Mark Andrews, who has struggled to get things going early on, the Ravens offense has been humming along. The Ravens defense has generally been solid as well though the secondary has had some communications issues.
Those lapses have allowed big scores like we saw in the Chiefs and Bengals games. They’ll need to stay disciplined here so that Terry McLaurin doesn’t get behind them if/when Jayden Daniels moves the pocket.
Commanders vs. Ravens Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
As promised, the latest Commanders vs. Ravens odds can be found below courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Baltimore Ravens -6.5 (-115) vs. Washington Commanders +6.5 (-105)
- Money Line: Baltimore Ravens (-300) vs. Washington Commanders (+250)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 51.5 (-110) vs. Under 51.5 (-110)
Commanders vs. Ravens Predictions: Under 51.5 (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
The Washington Commanders are a fun team, no doubt about it. And I think there’s a chance they could keep this one close. But they have been a bit one dimensional in the pass game with Terry McLaurin essentially having double the yards of any other player.
Their second leading receiver is a 33-year-old Zack Ertz. Good organizations know to take away your best weapon and make you look elsewhere. My concern here is that, if the Ravens take any sort of lead, they may be content running the ball with King Henry and Lamar Jackson.
A favored team that is willing to ground and pound the football is the great enemy of over bets. And that’s the narrative I foresee this week which is why we like the under here. Joe Burrow was able to force a shootout, but I’m not just quite sold on Jayden Daniels doing that here.
If you are sold, you might as well take Jayden Daniels MVP bet at +1000 on BetMGM Sportsbook. Because it will likely take an MVP caliber performance for the Commanders to keep this game tight and push it to the over.
Commanders vs. Ravens Injury Report & Latest News
Finally, let’s take a quick look at the projected starting lineups for both teams heading into tonight’s matchup:
WAS Commanders:
- S Tyler Owens - Out
- RB Brian Robinson - Questionable
- DE Efe Obada - Questionable
- LB Jordan Magee - Questionable
BAL Ravens:
- CB Arthur Maulet - Out
- DT Broderick Washington - Out
- LB Malik Harrison - Out
- CB Marlon Humphrey - Questionable
- T Ronnie Staley - Questionable
- WR Deonte Harty - Questionable
- RB Rasheen Ali - Questionable
- G Sala Aumavae-Laulu - Questionable
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Player News
Dolphins signed No. 13 overall pick DT Kenneth Grant to a four-year contract.
ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that Grant will sign his contract today. The former Michigan defensive tackle is expected to fill a major void left by Christian Wilkins, who left for the Raiders in the 2024 offseason. Grant totaled 32 tackles, three sacks, and seven TFLs in his final season at Michigan and excelled at stopping the run while also generating 27 pressures in his final season, per PFF.
Beat reporter John Hendrix reports that free agent WR Donovan Peoples-Jones is among the 16 players that the Saints will host for their rookie minicamp.
Peoples-Jones last played regular season snaps with the Lions back in 2023, when he caught 13-of-24 targets for 155 yards. He is highly unlikely to return to fantasy relevance at this point but could perhaps sign on as a special teams contributor.
Titans signed fourth-round pick WR Elic Ayomanor to a four-year contract.
Ayomanor will now begin learning behind Calvin Ridley. Although Ayomanor is unlikely to find a meaningful role in year one, dynasty managers should note his status as training camp gets underway this summer. The former Stanford receiver flashed big-play ability in his two college seasons.
Buccaneers signed seventh-round pick WR Tez Johnson to a four-year contract.
Johnson will serve as a rotational deep-threat option for Baker Mayfield. His thin frame (5'10/154) simply does not lend itself to the repeated hits one incurs in a full-time role. Johnson did earn 100-plus targets in his two seasons at Oregon, though. His big-play style make him a better fit in best ball for now, pending any major on-field breakthroughs.
Giants waived DT Casey Rogers.
Rogers was a 2024 undrafted free agent and logged 33 defensive snaps for the Giants in his rookie season. He is credited with zero tackles and/or sacks. He may find his way onto another roster as a practice squad option.
Vikings signed third-round pick WR Tai Felton to a four-year contract.
Felton is quietly in play to challenge Vikings No. 3 WR Jalen Nailor in training camp. Nailor (5'11/190) caught 28-of-42 targets for 414 yards and six touchdowns in his first season as a starter last year, with the latter category buoying his fantasy productivity. Felton (6'1/183), meanwhile, caught 96-of-143 targets for 1,119 yards and nine touchdowns while averaging 2.32 yards per route run in his final college season. Fantasy managers should monitor Felton’s training camp reports this summer, as he could have a matchup-based WR5 role if everything falls into place.