Broncos vs. Raiders Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 12, Sunday 11/24
The Denver Broncos have surprised a lot of folks this year with a record over .500 behind rookie quarterback Bo Nix. The Kansas City Chiefs likely have the division in the bag but the Broncos are very much in the hunt for an AFC wildcard spot. The Las Vegas Raiders would need a miracle (or series of miracles) to make the playoffs this year. But they can still play spoiler.
Naturally, Denver is going to be favored in this one, even on the road. But there are still some interesting angles to play with these division games. Let’s take a minute to dive into the data, narratives, and injuries to make some Broncos vs. Raiders predictions for Week 12!
Every game in the NFL matters but this one obviously has serious implications. And these teams square off AGAIN in just two weeks so the tone set here could carry over. Let’s take a chance now to dig into the data, the narratives, and the injuries to make our Week 12 Broncos vs. Raiders predictions!
Even if you just want to see the Broncos vs. Raiders odds and have Broncos vs. Raiders picks of your own, don’t forget to scroll down at the end to see how you can scoop up a $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign-up bonus!
Broncos vs. Raiders Predictions For NFL Week 12, Sunday 11/17
As division rivals these teams naturally play fairly often. This will be the 132nd meeting of the two including two postseason games. The Broncos won their Week 5 matchup earlier this year, 34-18, which happened to beat an eight-game win streak for the Raiders dating all the way back to 2019.
The Raiders are currently on a six-game losing streak as they have not won since their Week 4 matchup with the Cleveland Browns. The Broncos have won three of their last five though they have beaten their easier opponents in the Carolina Panthers, New Orleans Saints, and Atlanta Falcons while losing to the tougher ones in the Baltimore Ravens and the Kansas City Chiefs.
Denver Broncos: Bo Nix QB1
Bo Nix isn’t just the QB1 of the Denver Broncos, mind you. For those in the fantasy football realm, Nix has been a “QB1” as in a top 12 quarterback in the league statistically. In fact, as of this moment, he is the QB7. Last week he just had his first career 300 yard passing game while throwing four touchdown passes to boot.
As for weapons, Courtland Sutton has been the only consistent one. For the most part they have rotated the rest of the options with Devaughn Vele and Lil’Jordan Humphrey getting the most work. Josh Reynolds is expected to return this week - he’s the only WR besides Sutton who has played more than 80% of the snaps in a game this year and it came back in Week 1. At running back it’s mainly been Javonte Williams outside of Week 10 when Audric Estime had the “hot hand”.
On defense is where the Broncos really shine. They currently rank 4th in DVOA per FTN Fantasy. And Pat Surtain especially has been a nightmare for opposite wide receivers. As good as Nix has been, this team doesn’t get to 6 wins without this defense.
Las Vegas Raiders: Trouble In Paradise
The Raiders became sellers fairly quickly as the wheels started to fall off. They shipped Davante Adams out to play with his old friend Aaron Rodgers. Gardner Minshew was benched for Aiden O’Connell but an injury to O’Connell brought Minshew back into the fold.
That’s not all for injuries to this offense. This week they are expected to be without their top two backs in Zamir White and Alexander Mattison. That will leave Ameer Abdullah and rookie Dylan Laube to shoulder the load. With Patrick Surtain making things difficult for Jakobi Meyers and Tre Tucker, Brock Bowers is going to have to have a monster day to keep the Raiders in this.
The Raiders defense has been a bottom five unit so far this year per DVOA over at FTN Fantasy. Injuries to stars like Christian Wilkins and Maxx Crosby have partially been to blame for that though Crosby is back healthy and playing again.
Broncos vs. Raiders Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
As promised, the latest Broncos vs. Raiders odds can be found below courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Denver Broncos -6 (-105) vs. Las Vegas Raiders +6 (-115)
- Money Line: Denver Broncos (-275) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (+225)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 41 (-110) vs. Under 41 (-110)
Broncos vs. Raiders: Denver Broncos -6 (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
Broncos vs. Raiders Injury Report & Latest News
Finally, let’s take a quick look at the projected starting lineups for both teams heading into tonight’s matchup:
DEN Broncos
- WR Josh Reynolds - Out
- LB Drew Sanders - Out
- DE Zach Allen - Questionable
Sea Seahawks
- DB Jakorian Bennett - Out
- CB Nate Hobbs - Out
- RB Alexander Mattison - Doubtful
- RB Zamir White - Doubtful
- TE Harrison Bryant - Questionable
- C Andre James - Questionable
- CB Jack Jones - Questionable
- C Cody Whitehair - Questionable
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Player News
Beat reporter Scott Bair reports that Bears DC Dennis Allen asked slot CB Kyler Gordon to learn a second position, either on the perimeter or at safety.
The Bears’ previous coaching staff spent two seasons trying this experiment before allowing Gordon to blossom in a full-time slot- and box-coverage role last season. Perhaps, Allen can succeed where others have failed. His intent is to “find some more playing time” for Gordon, which is understandable given Gordon’s significant on-field impact last year.
Bills signed CB Tre’Davious White, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year, $6.8 million contract.
White, now 30 years old, returns to the team that drafted him in the 2017 NFL Draft’s first round. White was a force to be reckoned with early in his career, but a 2021 ACL tear and a 2023 Achilles tendon rupture have reduced his play quality. White will now compete for the Bills’ No. 2 perimeter role.
Bills waived TE Armani Rogers.
This is unfortunate. Rogers recently ruptured his Achilles tendon for the second time in three years. He showed promise as a 2022 rookie, earning a 65.3 PFF receiving grade and a 68.0 PFF run-blocking grade, but the injuries are taking their toll. The Bills also released DT Branson Deen.
Titans waived OT Nicholas Petit-Frere.
The team signed C Sam Mustipher and OT Oli Udoh in corresponding moves. Petit-Frere failed to meet expectations after the Titans spent a third-round pick on him in 2022, allowing 35-plus quarterback pressures in 2-of-3 NFL seasons.
Cowboys signed OL Hakeem Adeniji, formerly of the Browns, to a contract.
The former 2020 sixth-round pick last took regular season snaps in 2022. Adeniji spent the 2023 season serving as a part-time special teams player, and although he was technically on the Browns’ 2024 roster, he missed the full season on injured reserve. Adeniji will likely handle a deep-backup/special teams role in Dallas this year.
Free agent QB Aaron Rodgers said on The Pat McAfee Show that he is currently focusing on matters in his personal life while mulling his future in the NFL.
In a wide-ranging discussion with McAfee, Rodgers said that he is still contemplating whether to play in 2025 or retire this offseason, though he has settled on a $10 million asking price, should he choose to stick around. Rodgers repeatedly, yet ambiguously, emphasized that caring for troubled members of his “inner circle” has been his offseason priority. Rodgers spoke positively of his recent visit with the Steelers, praising head coach Mike Tomlin, OC Arthur Smith, GM Omar Khan, QB coach Tom Arth and WR DK Metcalf, whom he called “a specimen” and a “great dude.” Rodgers downplayed reports about pitching Vikings head coach Kevin O’Connell on a union, saying much ado has been made about two old “friends” remaining in regular contact. The free agent QB also notably complimented Giants head coach Brian Daboll’s “beautiful football mind” but kept Giants-talk relatively succinct. Rodgers made clear that the rapidly approaching 2025 NFL Draft will have no bearing on his decision-making timeline, and he understands if the Steelers determine that they must move on without him. In short, it appears as though Rodgers will either sign with the Steelers or move on from football. The enigmatic quarterback gave few indications as to which direction he is leaning.