NFL Sleeper Top Picks & Plays for Week 14 Monday Night Football
Week 14 isn’t over yet, people! We have not one, but two Monday Night Football games tonight as the Tennessee Titans travel to Miami to face the Dolphins and the Green Bay Packers travel to MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants.
As you may know, we’ve joined forces with our friends at Sleeper to introduce their Sleeper Picks feature. With Sleeper Picks, you can choose from a variety of players and stat lines, choose whether that player will have more or less than the given stat, and combine your picks for a chance to increase your payout. If you build enough, you can even multiply your entry up to 100x! We went three of three yesterday, so let’s get started and jump into some of my favorite Sleeper Picks for Week 14 Monday Night Football.
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Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins
No matter what the game script is, Tyreek Hill is always involved and involved in a big way. Over the past three weeks, he’s been able to hit this mark, and he gets another soft matchup against the Tennessee Titans defense. Tennessee has allowed the tenth-most fantasy points to the wide receiver position, while Hill is averaging 123 receiving yards per game and has already scored 12 touchdowns on the season. He should be able to put up another huge game against a soft Titans secondary to help his team get to the number one spot in the AFC playoff picture.
Pick: Tyreek Hill more than 24 fantasy points (1.73x)
Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers
Jordan Love has been on FIRE lately, having at least 18.66 fantasy points over the last four games. Even without Christian Watson and Luke Musgrave, Love has found a way to spread the ball around to Romeo Doubs, rookies Jayden Reed and Dontayvion Wicks, and even rookie tight end Tucker Kraft. The Giants defense hasn’t been great at all this season, and although they’ve only given up an average of 14.9 fantasy points per game to the quarterback position, it seems that it’s been more of a game script situation, as teams have just switched over to running the ball. With Aaron Jones questionable for tonight, this game may turn out to be more pass-heavy than we’ve seen other teams go with, and Love is set up for another big day.
Pick: Jordan Love more than 16.5 fantasy points (1.77x)
Saquon Barkley, New York Giants
We can’t really count on anyone on this Giants offense, even with Tommy DeVito playing better than expected, but Barkley is in a good spot for a big day today. The Packers defense is allowing an average of over 136 rushing yards per game, and with Barkley handling the majority of carries, he should see the bulk of these yards. He’s hit this match in two out of the last four, with the two games he didn’t coming against the Dallas Cowboys and New England Patriots tougher defense. Green Bay may also be missing one of their inside linebackers, Quay Walker, so this matchup just got a little easier for Barkley.
Pick: Saquon Barkley more than 70.5 rushing yards (1.72x)
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Player News
Frank Ragnow’s absence from Lions OTAs this week appears contract-related.
Ragnow and linebacker Alex Anzalone were the only players not in attendance for this week’s OTAs. While Anzalone has made it clear with social media posts that he’s unhappy with his contract situation, it appears that Ragnow also wants a new deal. The 29-year-old center signed an extension in 2021 to make him the highest-paid center at the time. His current deal, which runs through the 2026 season, is just fourth in average annual value among centers and has no guaranteed money remaining. Ragnow is still at the top of his game, coming in as PPF’s highest-graded run blocking center in 2024 (90.9). Lions coach Dan Campbell downplayed the absences, mentioning that he’s been in contact with both players and that there’s still a month to go before training camp. While the Lions have handed out many extensions in the last two years, the front office is aware that a cap crunch is looming in the years ahead, which could put a strain on negotiations with veteran players like Ragnow and Anzalone.
Texans OC Nick Caley said he had “no concerns whatsoever” about C.J. Stroud not throwing in voluntary OTAs this week.
Our “we have no concerns whatsoever” t-shirt has people asking a lot of questions already answered by our shirt. This is something we feel almost obligated to report, but everyone close to the Texans scene has painted it as a nothingburger, and DeMeco Ryans said Wednesday that players are “on different schedules in regards to their participation.” There doesn’t appear to be anything physically wrong with Stroud at this point.
Joe Mixon (lower body) did not participate in Friday’s voluntary Texans OTAs.
NBC’s Aaron Wilson has said that the injury, that reportedly has him in a walking boot, is “nothing serious” and that he thinks Mixon will be “ready for training camp.” It’s worth noting that Mixon played through an ankle injury in the playoffs. This probably isn’t something that should cause him to tumble down Best Ball boards but it’s worth monitoring as we get closer to training camp.
The Athletic’s Zac Jackson believes “there’s almost no scenario” where a rookie quarterback wins the Browns starting quarterback job initially.
This won’t qualify as surprising news, but Dillon Gabriel and Shedeur Sanders are battling for the pecking order after the gate is lowered. “But the reality is that either Gabriel or Sanders staying in the team’s plans and being deemed worthy of further development would count as a win,” Jackson notes while praising Sanders’ “obvious gifts.” Both quarterbacks are in the dynasty conversation, but they should be treated as stashes at this point.
Free agent EDGE Von Miller said he’s “definitely playing in 2025.”
It’s not unusual for older pass rushers to take their time in deciding where to go, and Miller appears to be no exception. He told 9NEWS’ Mike Klis that a return to the Broncos “wouldn’t make sense” because the team has two strong pass rushers. Miller will likely be able to catch on elsewhere — probably closer to training camp — if he desires to continue his career.
ESPN’s Adam Schefter reports the Eagles “are working to finalize a trade that will send edge rusher Bryce Huff” to the 49ers.
According to Schefter, the Eagles are looking to acquire a mid-round pick in exchange for Huff’s services. Huff signed a three-year deal with the Eagles last season after recording a 10-sack season with the Jets in 2023, but was limited to 12 games due to a wrist injury and declared inactive for the team’s Super Bowl win over the Chiefs. Huff has two years left on his deal and has amassed 20 sacks over his first four years in the league. Last season with the Eagles, he played on 285 defensive snaps, with 182 of those coming in pass rush situations. We should expect to see a similar split for Huff in San Francisco.