NFL Sleeper Top Picks & Plays for Sunday's Divisional Round

We’re one day down in the NFL Divisional Playoff round, but we have some great games going on today. The Baltimore Ravens steamrolled the Houston Texans yesterday, and the San Francisco 49ers barely escaped with their playoff lives, giving us all the excitement we’d want out of the playoffs. The fun’s not over yet, though, as we have the Tampa Bay Buccaneers face off against the Detroit Lions, then we get the Kansas City Chiefs traveling to Buffalo for the first road playoff game of Patrick Mahomes’ career.
As you may know, we’ve joined forces with our friends at Sleeper to introduce their Sleeper Picks feature. With Sleeper Picks, you can choose from a variety of players and stat lines, choose whether that player will have more or less than the given stat, and combine your picks for a chance to increase your payout. If you build enough, you can even multiply your entry up to 100x! Let’s go into some of Monday’s options and keep the good times rolling.
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Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
With the divisional round, we’re looking to cash quickly, so we’re not looking a gift horse in the mouth when we get a discounted pick. Allen’s yardage total has gone down from the low 200s to the high 180s, and that is something I’m definitely taking advantage of. Even with Gabe Davis out and L’Jarius Sneed on Stefon Diggs, Allen has too many weapons at his disposal to not hit this mark. It should be a pretty back-and-forth game, so Allen won’t have the luxury of taking his foot off the gas. Take advantage of this special pick before it’s gone.
Pick: Josh Allen more than 187.5 passing yards (1.77x)
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions
This game should be a shootout, and what better way to capitalize on that than going after Detroit’s top receiver. St. Brown has hit this mark in four of his last five games, and in the game that he didn’t hit, he was only off by two yards. Tampa Bay’s secondary was able to shut down Philadelphia last week, but they have some major issues in guarding the slot wide receivers with Christian Izien, an undrafted rookie, manning the coverage. St. Brown should be able to make him look silly, and in what should be a tight game, he’ll have plenty of looks thrown his way.
Pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown more than 91.5 receiving yards (1.71x)
Jared Goff, Detroit Lions
Jared Goff hasn’t let us down at home yet, and I don’t think he’s starting now. We’re going to continue to roll with him in the comfort of his dome against a Buccaneers defense that has allowed an average of 1.4 passing touchdowns per game. We know they’re difficult to run on, so even with Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery, Goff is going to have to make plays through the air to score points. I think this game is very similar to what we saw last week, so let’s run it back one more time.
Pick: Jared Goff more than 1.5 passing touchdowns (1.45x)
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Player News
The Commanders will play the Dolphins in Madrid, Spain on November 16.
The NFL appears keen on spotlighting Jayden Daniels and the Commanders after their stunning run to the NFC title game last season. Daniels will lead the hyper-efficient Washington offense into Madrid for the last of the seven 2025 international regular season games. It could be an exciting back-and-forth affair between a high-powered Commanders offense — now with Deebo Samuel — and a Miami offense led by Tua Tagovailoa, De’Von Achane, and Tyreek Hill.
The Vikings in 2025 will have back-to-back international games in different countries.
They will be the first team to play back-to-back weeks in different countries outside the United States. The Vikings will face off against the Steelers in the first-ever NFL regular season game in Dublin on Stepember 28, then play the Browns in London the following weekend. It could be a tough travel schedule for the Vikings, though the Jaguars have played back-to-back international games in recent years. Those games were in the same country, however. The Vikings-Steelers game could be intriguing if Aaron Rodgers is under center for Pittsburgh after trying and failing to generate interest for his services in Minnesota this offseason.
The Athletic’s Ted Nguyen believes Cowboys WR George Pickens could see a “huge uptick” in single coverage this season.
Pickens, who was traded from the Steelers to the Cowboys last week in exchange for draft pick compensation, won’t function as the primary wideout in Dallas. Pickens’ ability to challenge secondaries deep is something the Cowboys have “sorely missed” in recent seasons, Nguyen said. “In Pittsburgh, opposing defenses often doubled Pickens or shaded a safety to his side,” he said. “With the Cowboys, if defenses choose to put a safety over the top of Pickens, Lamb will have more space to work with in the middle of the field. You would expect teams to continue doubling Lamb, which means Pickens could see a huge uptick in one-on-one coverage.” Pickens, according to Nguyen, will only improve the Dallas passing attack if he gives consistent effort. The moody Pickens became widely known for taking plays off — and sometimes giving little effort for an entire game — during his three years with the Steelers. More single coverage, however, could mean more explosive plays for the new Cowboys WR2. In the Steelers’ run-first scheme last season, Pickens was third in targets of more than 20 yards downfield and second in receiving yards on downfield receptions. Pickens had just one drop on 30 downfield looks in 2024.
ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports Saints hosted free agent CB Asante Samuel for a visit Monday.
Samuel, fresh off offseason neck surgery, visited with the Saints Monday as he pursues his next playing opportunity. He has clear connection to the franchise after they hired Brandon Staley to fill their defensive coordinator position, for whom Samuel played under with the Chargers. Fowler adds that Samuel has another doctor visit scheduled for early July, during which time he hopes to gain clearance to resume football activities.
ESPN’s Adam Schefter reports Packers met with WR Jayden Reed’s agent, Drew Rosenhaus, to clarify his status with the team.
The meeting comes after the Packers selected a wide receiver in the first round for the first time since 2002 in this year’s draft. Schefter added that the team emphasized Reed’s status as the top option at wide receiver after the selection of Matthew Golden and Savion Williams. “Green Bay’s top receiver” means far less for fantasy than it does in other places around the league considering Reed led the team with just 62.6% of the team’s offensive snaps played in 2024. Reed in 2024 accounted for 16 percent of the Packers’ targets and 16 percent of the team’s air yards. He was targeted on just 19 percent of his pass routes after seeing a target on 23.4 percent of his routes in 2023.
Saints signed QB Hunter Dekkers.
Dekkers spent three seasons with the Cyclones of Iowa State before stepping away from football following an indictment surrounding charges related to sports gambling. He then played his final collegiate season at Iowa Western before being invited to Saints camp. Dekkers spent his redshirt season backing up Brock Purdy at Iowa State.