NFL Week 7 officially got underway with a Thursday Night Football game that epitomized my feeling about betting this week’s slate of games. Yuck. And that doesn’t have anything to do with the fact that I whiffed on the New Orleans Saints winning with a cover and the under. It has everything to do with the week’s match-ups. Just a cursory glance at the point spreads and the game totals will tell you this is going to be a difficult week. For me personally, that means I am not playing heavy at all this week. I will throw one unit on the game picks I provide and maybe a half-unit on each prop. Some weeks it’s like this. You don’t always need to have action and if you do need it, then maybe 1-800-GAMBLER is who you need to call. In the meantime, here are my picks for NFL Week 7:

 

 

NFL Week 7 Best Bets:

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots

If you were listening to me on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio or caught me on the Bettor Sports Betting Show, you know I was actually in on the Bills when it was Buffalo -9.5. Does my mind change? Not with the way the line has moved, no. Everyone is freaking out about the wind and Bill Belichick scheming against Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs and while yes, 30mph gusts will limit the downfield passing, it’s not going to affect much if the Bills just shorten up their routes. The bottom line is the Patriots just don’t have the personnel t contain Buffalo’s offense. No Christian Gonzale and no Matthew Judon was bad enough as it was, but now LB Josh Uche is out while more than half a dozen other Patriots defenders are questionable. Even if they all play, I’m not convinced they have enough.

Pick: Bills -7.5 (-112)

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks

There seems to be significantly less concern about any potential rain which means the passing attacks will be just fine. The question is, does Seattle need to worry about that? Kenneth Walker is expected to shoulder a significant workload this week and the a heavy rushing attack usually chews up the clock and brings us much closer games than if we thought it would be an aerial assault. In this case, I see the Seahawks running heavy and commanding a lead. They’ll start throwing once the Cardinals start to catch up. I’m just not enamored with the Seahawks defense – or not enamored enough to think they blow out Arizona.

Pick: Cardinals +8.5 (-112)

Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs

These two teams play each other tough and if you read my write-ups of both Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert in the NFL Week 7 DFS Playbook, then you know the recent history. If you don’t feel like clicking through, allow me to mention that over the last five meetings between these two teams, the average combined score was 57 points. Knowing what I know about both teams offenses and defenses. I’m just going to let the trend be my friend.

Pick: Over 47.5 (-110)

Favorite NFL Week 7 Player Props:

**all lines & odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook