Thursday Night Football is here which means NFL Week 5 officially gets underway tonight. We've got a very interesting matchup for NFL bets as Justin Fields leads the Chicago Bears into our nation's capital to take on Sam Howell, Brian Robinson and the rest of the Washington Commanders. Fields and his squad are seeking redemption after a fairly large collapse last week against the Denver Broncos and everyone wants to know which Bears team we're going to get tonight. Will it be the Bears who showed up for the first half of last week or will it be the hapless bunch who got beaten to a pulp through the first three weeks of the season? On the other side, the Commanders opened the season 2-0 but have dropped their last two against much more formidable opponents in the Buffalo Bills and Philadelphia Eagles. Excited? You should be. It doesn't matter what you think of either team, it's football baby and we're gonna bet it in style!

 

 

NFL Thursday Night Football Best Bets: Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders

The Spread: Commanders -6

For me, this game comes down to the Commanders defense and how it holds up against a Bears offense that, like Stella, seemingly got its groove back last week. Offensively, Sam Howell should be able to lead his offense up and down the field. The Bears defense ranks 31st in DVOA – 31st against the pass and 21st against the run. Brian Robinson has been a stalwart out of the backfield and with so many injuries in the Bears secondary, you figure between Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel, Jahan Dotson and Logan Thomas, they should be able to put points up on the board. Can the Bears do the same? They're going to have to neutralize the Commanders pass-rush and that will mean more roll-outs and throwing on the run for Fields. If his pass-catchers can find a few holes, then the Bears should at least be able to keep this game close. Maybe not win outright, but close is what we want here. Pick: Bears +6

The Total: 44.5

The over is 2-2 in Commanders games this season but is 4-0 in Bears games and based off each team's offensive potential in this match-up, I am inclined to lean that way as well. Again, it's going to all come down to whether or not the Bears offense can get through the Commanders defense. Chase Young will have Fields on the run throughout the night, but if he can find DJ Moore, Darnell Mooney and Cole Kmet downfield, he should be able to put up enough points to push this game to the over. It will be close, but a 24-21 game doesn't sound out of the realm of possibility. Pick: Over 44.5 

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**all odds and lines courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook