Bills vs. Dolphins Predictions, Picks & Odds: Thursday Night Football, 9/12
The first week of the new NFL season may be in the rearview mirror, but thanks to Thursday Night Football, we don’t have to wait long at all for Week 1 to get underway. Not only that, but this week’s TNF matchup also provides a divisional rival with the Miami Dolphins hosting the Buffalo Bills.
These two teams left things off duking it out for the AFC East title, and to get you set for their first matchup of this season, we’ve shared our best Bills vs. Dolphins predictions for you. Along with the best bet from our Bills vs. Dolphins picks will be a guaranteed $250+ DraftKings Sportsbook sign up bonus, so we’ll get you set up for a great week overall!
Bills vs. Dolphins Predictions For Thursday Night Football, NFL Week 2
The Bills vs. Dolphins matchup isn’t just one between division rivals. Along with both teams being in the AFC East, they have plenty in common. They battled until the bitter end for the division crown last year, entered this year with similar odds to win it and both found themselves winning in Week 1 despite rough starts.
As if that wasn’t enough similarity, they were both also at home. The Bills hosted an Arizona Cardinals team that traveled cross-country, and who are expected to finish last in the NFC West. Despite that, Buffalo found themselves down 17-3 with Cards RB James Conner running all over them.
As for the Dolphins, they found themselves down 14-0 to the Jacksonville Jaguars before making halftime adjustments and turning things around. Even still, they didn’t lead at all the entire game until their game-winning field goal with four seconds left. Now that we have a tight point spread on a short week, making Bills vs. Dolphins predictions can certainly be tough.
Buffalo Bills: Battling Back In Buffalo
Before we get into the best bet from our Bills vs. Dolphins predictions, a bit more from each team so we can be confident in our top pick. As mentioned, the Bills looked like one of the worst teams on Sunday through the first quarter of action.
Conner is big back with plenty of power, and he was absolutely bullying Buffalo. Most fans know about the loss of their WR duo Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis, but the earlier losses of safeties Jordan Poyer and Micah Hyde were certainly felt. That’s absolutely something to keep in mind for the backend of a defense that is now facing a Miami WR duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.
Ultimately, Buffalo did battle back, primarily thanks to QB Josh Allen once again taking over. He avoided any interceptions and accounted for four touchdowns (two passing & two rushing).
Miami Dolphins: Rotation Of Running Backs
Heading into the season, the Dolphins depth chart had Raheem Mostert listed as the starter with DeVon Achane as the backup. While many fans knew that it was more of a one-two punch with how well Achane played in his rookie season last year, he was still coming back from an injury.
Even with that consideration, here comes Jeff WIlson Jr. Some speculated that he may not even make the roster, yet he was given five carries for 26 yards. While that isn’t ground-breaking, it also made him the leading rusher for the Dolphins on Sunday! We’ll be sure to keep that in mind before locking in any Bills vs. Dolphins predictions.
Bills vs. Dolphins Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
We mentioned a tight point spread before even truly getting into our Bills vs. Dolphins predictions, and you can see that with the latest Bills vs. Dolphins odds at DraftKings Sportsbook below:
- Point Spread: Buffalo Bills +1 (-110) vs. Miami Dolphins -1 (-110)
- Money Line: Buffalo Bills (-102) vs. Miami Dolphins (-118)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 50.5 (-110) vs. Under 50.5 (-110)
Bills vs. Dolphins Money Line: Miami ML (-118 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
When doing research for Bills vs. Dolphins picks on this Thursday Night Football game, you may come across the fact that Buffalo is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. That is undoubtedly something to keep in mind, but it’s just as important to note that they are 2-3 against the spread in that span.
Of course, given that we have nearly a pick ‘em, the point spread can also be avoided with a money line pick. After the way both teams looked inconsistent in Week 1, we know that backing a winner may cause hesitation, but we’re still willing to go with Miami. In fact, Miami plays a major factor in our Bills vs. Dolphins predictions.
That’s where this TNF game will be played, and in the early weeks of the season, home games provide the Dolphins with a significant advantage. Much like January games in the snow often benefit the bills, the heat and humidity play a more impactful role in September than some fans may realize.
For example, this past Sunday, games in Miami and Tampa Bay hit “feels like” temperatures of 100+. That is not what the Bills have been practicing under in Upstate New York. This should allow the raw speed of Hill and Waddle to exploit a Buffalo secondary that was decimated this offseason.
Referencing back to Miami being 1-4 against the Bills in the last five meetings, that one win - a September game in South Florida. They finally don’t have to play both games against Buffalo in the winter, so this is where they can capitalize. So, the best bet from our Bills vs. Dolphins predictions is on Miami’s money line (-118 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Bills vs. Dolphins Injury Report & Latest News
We’ve mentioned several players throughout our Bills vs. Dolphins predictions, and below, you can see those in question to play on the short week:
BUF Bills:
- CB Taron Johnson (Out)
- DE Dawuane Smooth (Questionable)
- RB Ty Johnson (Questionable)
- DE Javon Solomon (Questionable)
- QB Josh Allen (Probable)
- TE Quintin Morris (Probable)
- QB Mitchell Trubisky (Probable)
MIA Dolphins:
- RB De’Von Achane (Questionable)
- RB Raheem Mostert (Questionable)
- WR Malik Washington (Questionable)
- OL Liam Eichenberg (Questionable)
- LB Jaelan Phillips (Questionable)
- CB Jalen Ramsey (Questionable)
- LB David Long Jr. (Probable)
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