NFL Week 15 Best Player Prop Picks: Russell Wilson, Justin Herbert Sunday, 12/15

With the NFL Week 15 action presenting us with the entire league in action - bye weeks are officially done - there is a full slate to break down. That means all 32 teams are in action, and we want to make sure that you’re locked and loaded with as many angles as possible, which is why we’ve shared our best NFL Week 15 player prop picks.
You’ll also be able to make the most of our NFL Week 15 player props with an extremely generous $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook new user promo, so we’ll get you set for a great Week 15 overall!
Best NFL Week 15 Player Prop Picks
Given that every team is on the gridiron this week, that means an actual full late afternoon slate rather than the lackluster three-game window that we’ve been seeing. That’s even with another Monday Night Football doubleheader, so we truly are in for a great weekend.
The matchups are also as important as ever with playoffs looming. While we’ve seen teams clinch and be eliminated, there is still so much up for grabs. Teams can have varying motivation in these spots, which is where NFL Week 15 player prop picks come in. Targeting individuals rather than the standard markets can prove to be more valuable.
Speaking of the larger late afternoon slate, that’s where our best NFL Week 15 player props are focused, so let’s dive in.
Steelers vs. Eagles Player Props: Russell Wilson Under 201.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
Not only is the Steelers vs. Eagles game arguably the most anticipated following the early games, but this battle of the Keystone State is among the most anticipated of the entire Week 15 slate.
It’s also not just because these teams are in-state rivals, either. With Pittsburgh sitting at 10-3 and Philly sitting at 11-2, it’s also a matchup of two of the best teams in the NFL. Although the records certainly support that, they also haven’t been perfect, which means there are still flaws to exploit.
In that regard, we’re actually going to take advantage of a line oddsmakers are presenting us with. That would be for Steelers QB Russell Wilson, who will be facing an absolutely elite defense. The Eagles defense, especially against the pass, has been one of the most improved units in the entire NFL.
Along with Philly allowing the fewest total yards per game, they’re allowing the second-fewest passing yards per game. As for Wilson, fans and analysts have been enamored with him taking the reins, going 6-1 and looking the part. While that is certainly great, that now caused what we consider to be an inflated line.
Wilson also struggled quite a bit against the Cleveland Browns last Sunday, throwing for just 158 yards. Meanwhile, Philly has kept QBs under 200 passing yards in two of their past four games. Let’s also not gloss over the fact that Pittsburgh’s best WR George Pickens is not 100% and just missed last weekend’s game.
This should be a thrilling game to watch, but for our NFL Week 15 player prop picks, we’re starting them with Russell Wilson under 201.5 passing yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Buccaneers vs. Chargers Player Props: Justin Herbert Over 227.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
We’ve got a bit of a theme for our NFL Week 15 player props, as we’re targeting another QB. However, this time, in the more fun approach in terms of rooting for it. We’re looking for Chargers QB Justin Herbert to light it up through the air.
He was just a part of a low-scoring game against the Kansas City Chiefs, but that was to be expected. Now, he gets to face one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. Tampa has allowed the third-most passing yards per game this season, making it a great bounce-back spot for the Chargers following their loss to the Chiefs.
It’s also one that they certainly need, as the AFC Wild Card race is as heated as ever. Like Wilson, Herbet had to deal with his top target - WR Ladd McConkey - this past Sunday; however, rather than being a late scratch like Pickens, he is on a much better track to take the field this weekend.
Los Angeles was also plagued with a few key drops last Sunday, and while that will also be a concern, it’s one that we don’t expect to be nearly as much of an issue with such a great matchup. Furthermore, the Chargers will still be without starting RB JK Dobbins, putting even more of the responsibility on Herbert.
Therefore, we love Justin Herbert over 227.5 passing yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook) as an addition to our NFL Week 15 player prop picks.
Sunday NFL Week 15 Player Prop Odds At BetMGM Sportsbook
You could also consider adding to our NFL Week 15 player prop picks with some of the more popular NFL Week 15 player props at BetMGM Sportsbook:
Passing Yards:
- Commanders QB Jayden Daniels: Over 212.5 (-115) vs. Under 212.5 (-115)
- Broncos QB Bo Nix: Over 236.5 (-115) vs. Under 236.5 (-115)
- Colts QB Anthony Richardson: Over 187.5 (-115) vs. Under 187.5 (-115)
Rushing Yards:
- Panthers RB Chuba Hubbard: Over 112.5 (-115) vs. Under 112.5 (-115)
- Steelers RB Najee Harris: Over 56.5 (-115) vs. Under 56.5 (-115)
- Lions RB David Montgomery: Over 59.5 (-115) vs. Under 59.5 (-115)
Receiving Yards:
- Eagles WR AJ Brown: Over 78.5 (-115) vs. Under 78.5 (-115)
- Browns WR Jerry Jeudy: Over 68.5 (-115) vs. Under 68.5 (-115)
- Texans WR Nico Collins: Over 89.5 (-115) vs. Under 89.5 (-115)
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Player News
Dolphins signed No. 13 overall pick DT Kenneth Grant to a four-year contract.
ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that Grant will sign his contract today. The former Michigan defensive tackle is expected to fill a major void left by Christian Wilkins, who left for the Raiders in the 2024 offseason. Grant totaled 32 tackles, three sacks, and seven TFLs in his final season at Michigan and excelled at stopping the run while also generating 27 pressures in his final season, per PFF.
Beat reporter John Hendrix reports that free agent WR Donovan Peoples-Jones is among the 16 players that the Saints will host for their rookie minicamp.
Peoples-Jones last played regular season snaps with the Lions back in 2023, when he caught 13-of-24 targets for 155 yards. He is highly unlikely to return to fantasy relevance at this point but could perhaps sign on as a special teams contributor.
Titans signed fourth-round pick WR Elic Ayomanor to a four-year contract.
Ayomanor will now begin learning behind Calvin Ridley. Although Ayomanor is unlikely to find a meaningful role in year one, dynasty managers should note his status as training camp gets underway this summer. The former Stanford receiver flashed big-play ability in his two college seasons.
Buccaneers signed seventh-round pick WR Tez Johnson to a four-year contract.
Johnson will serve as a rotational deep-threat option for Baker Mayfield. His thin frame (5'10/154) simply does not lend itself to the repeated hits one incurs in a full-time role. Johnson did earn 100-plus targets in his two seasons at Oregon, though. His big-play style make him a better fit in best ball for now, pending any major on-field breakthroughs.
Giants waived DT Casey Rogers.
Rogers was a 2024 undrafted free agent and logged 33 defensive snaps for the Giants in his rookie season. He is credited with zero tackles and/or sacks. He may find his way onto another roster as a practice squad option.
Vikings signed third-round pick WR Tai Felton to a four-year contract.
Felton is quietly in play to challenge Vikings No. 3 WR Jalen Nailor in training camp. Nailor (5'11/190) caught 28-of-42 targets for 414 yards and six touchdowns in his first season as a starter last year, with the latter category buoying his fantasy productivity. Felton (6'1/183), meanwhile, caught 96-of-143 targets for 1,119 yards and nine touchdowns while averaging 2.32 yards per route run in his final college season. Fantasy managers should monitor Felton’s training camp reports this summer, as he could have a matchup-based WR5 role if everything falls into place.