NFL Conference Championship Player Prop Picks: Jalen Hurts, Josh Allen (1/26)

Believe it or not, the 2024-25 NFL season is already down to the final four teams. With Championship Sunday featuring an NFC East rivalry with Commanders vs. Eagles and the biggest rivalry of the past few years with Bills vs. Chiefs, we know that fans will be wanting every approach possible to the games.
Therefore, we’ve shared our best Championship Sunday player prop picks, and we’ll even take you through how to claim a massive $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign up bonus using any NFL Sunday player props!
Best NFL Championship Sunday Player Prop Picks
With Championship Sunday indeed featuring two classic rivalries, that means that we have all kinds of recent history to pull from. The Commanders and Eagles have played twice this year alone, and the Bills handed the Chiefs one of their two losses of the entire season.
Rivalries can also be more difficult to predict in terms of winners and losers, making it yet another reason to prefer Championship Sunday player prop picks. As promised, we want to ensure that you’re covered from all angles, so we made sure to provide you with NFL Sunday player props from both games!
Commanders vs. Eagles Player Props: Jalen Hurts Over 179.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetMGM)
First up is, as you’d expect, the first of the two games this Sunday. You’d be hard-pressed to find a fan that expected Commanders vs. Eagles to be an NFC Championship matchup at the start of the season. Better yet, even after Washington surprised the league and made the postseason, making it this far still seemed like quite a stretch.
While all eyes will be on rookie QB Jayden Daniels for the Commanders and first-year Eagles RB Saquon Barkley, and rightfully so, we’ve found value outside of those household names. Well, truthfully, Eagles QB Jalen Hurts is as well, but this value is simply too difficult to ignore.
First and foremost, his passing yards line is already as high as 185.5 yards at some sportsbooks, and frankly, we’d still take the over. Everyone will be focusing on the fact that Daniels threw for five touchdown passes when these teams faced off in Week 16. However, Hurts wasn’t on the field for that matchup.
When he was for their Week 11 clash, Hurts threw for 221 yards. We’ll be the first to admit that the Commanders pass defense has vastly improved from last season, but this number is simply too low. Furthermore, all we’ve heard all week is that Philly can only win on the back of Barkley and that WR AJ Brown remains frustrated.
Now is the time to get him involved; while Washington’s upset over the Detroit Lions was remarkable, they still allowed 336 passing yards in that game. With all the above in mind, our Championship Sunday player prop picks start with Jalen Hurts over 179.5 passing yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Bills vs. Chiefs Player Props: Josh Allen Over 9.5 Rush Attempts (-115 at BetMGM)
Next up is the game that is actually the Super Bowl in many fans’ eyes. We certainly couldn’t blame you if you’re in that camp, as this AFC rivalry has been at the forefront the past few years now.
Of course, for this matchup it’s all about Josh Allen vs. Patrick Mahomes. This time, we’re going to lean into the superstars and focus on the former. Is it finally Allen’s turn to get over the hump? Will he do the same in the MVP market? While we won’t get those answers just yet, we do think he’s going to do everything he can to finally get past Mahomes.
He and the Bills have been able to do so in the regular season, but they’ve now lost three straight playoff games to the Chiefs. However, we aren’t worried about a winner here, and there is a glaring trend that we love. We all know that Allen is an excellent running QB, and he loves putting on his Superman cape in these crucial games.
In two of three playoff games against Kansas City, Allen has rushed the ball 12 times. In the only outlier, he may have only had seven rushes, but he led the team with 88 rushing yards. As if that wasn’t enough, Allen also had 12 rush attempts when he helped lead Buffalo over KC earlier this season.
He even had double-digit carries just last weekend against QB Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens. It’s tough to say whether the Bills get the upset win, but we at least love adding to our Championship Sunday player prop picks with Josh Allen over 9.5 rush attempts (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
NFL Championship Sunday Player Props Player Prop Odds At BetMGM Sportsbook
It’s not just our Championship Sunday player prop picks that we want to provide you with; here are some other popular NFL Sunday player props to consider at BetMGM Sportsbook:
Passing Yards:
- Patrick Mahomes: Over 252.5 (-115) vs. Under 252.5 (-115)
- Josh Allen: Over 228.5 (-115) vs. Under 228.5 (-115)
Rushing Yards:
- Saquon Barkley: Over 129.5 (-115) vs. Under 129.5 (-115)
- Jayden Daniels: Over 53.5 (-115) vs. Under 53.5 (-115)
Receiving Yards:
- AJ Brown: Over 61.5 (-115) vs. Under 61.5 (-115)
- Terry McLaurin: Over 63.5 (-115) vs. Under 63.5 (-115)
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Player News
Chiefs signed fourth-round WR Jalen Royals to a four-year contract.
Royals doesn’t have an obvious and open spot in the receiving corps to build short-term fantasy value with Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown, and Rashee Rice operating in the opening 11-personnel package. He may or may not play his way into WR4 duties depending on how the team feels about JuJu Smith-Schuster. Royals has plenty of talent and Brown is on a one-year deal, so there is a future where Royals is more than a bit player for the Chiefs. It likely won’t happen in his first season without injuries in front of him.
Matthew Judon said he “probably” won’t return to the Falcons in 2025.
The Falcons, of course, drafted both Jalon Walker and James Pearce in the first round. In an exclusive interview with CardPlayer.com — not to be confused with our PokerNews.com James Cook scoop a few days ago — Judon said that his sack total was down because “I dropped (into coverage) on 60 percent of the plays. It’s hard to get a pick and a sack on the same play.” Judon also told Kyle Odegard that “a couple” teams had expressed interest in him but he was in no rush to sign.
Jets released P Thomas Morstead.
Austin McNamara and Kai Kroeger will compete for the Jets punter job this year. The 39-year-old former Saint was the league’s oldest punter last season. If he wants to keep punting, he can absolutely join the tryout circuit or a competition elsewhere. But this is probably a sign that the Morstead’s 16-year career is close to an end at this point.
Lions offensive coordinator John Morton said it’s “going to be a breakout year” for Jameson Williams.
Morton said he’d never “been around someone that fast,” then quickly corrected himself to note that Jhamyr Gibbs is also that fast. Williams came on strong last year with a 58/1001/7 receiving line, but offensive coordinator praise could mean even more targets are coming. It would likely come at the expense of Amon-Ra St. Brown’s production if Williams were to truly break out, though there’s plenty for St. Brown to give and still be a top-flight fantasy wideout. It’s risky to read too much into statements like this in the offseason, but the new offensive coordinator telling you he thinks it’ll be a breakout year for Williams is certainly noteworthy.
Free agent CB Rasul Douglas is visiting the Seahawks on Tuesday.
It’s been a slow offseason for the veteran corner after a rough year with the Bills where he finished with just a 51.6 PFF coverage grade. The Dolphins have reportedly been in contact with Douglas, but this is the first known visit for him. He’d likely fit as a depth piece in Seattle, perhaps one that pushes Josh Jobe for a starting job outside in a best-case scenario.
Jets signed fourth-round WR Arian Smith to a four-year contract.
The good news for Smith is that he has a lot of depth chart runway. Garrett Wilson is the obvious No. 1, but neither Josh Reynolds nor Allen Lazard qualifies as a locked-in WR2 at this stage of their careers. Smith’s blazing speed has intrigued Aaron Glenn, who noted how fast he was in rookie minicamp over the weekend by simply noting “Arian has some juice.” The tough news is that as long as Justin Fields is the starter, it’s hard to believe he’ll be seeing many deep shots that aren’t schemed wide open. Still, Smith has some appeal in deeper leagues and could make an interesting dynasty stash.