NBA DFS Playbook April 30: Top DraftKings and FanDuel Plays
Published: Apr 30, 2023
We have a two-game NBA DFS main slate on Monday, April 24th as we head towards the end of the first round of the playoffs and into the second round. We have Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Semi-Finals between the Jimmy Butler-led Miami Heat and New York Knicks. Then in Game 2 of the day, we have Game 7 between the Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings.
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Miami Heat @ New York Knicks
O/U: 207
Spread: NYK -4.5
Injuries
Miami Heat
Bam Adebayo - Probable
Tyler Herro - OUT
Victor Oladipo - OUT
New York Knicks
Quentin Grimes - Questionable
Julius Randle - Questionable
Jericho Sims - OUT
Miami Heat NBA DFS Breakdown
The Heat have to be coming in riding the high of taking down the number-one-seeded Milwaukee Bucks in five games. Jimmy Butler was utterly fantastic during that series, especially the final two games. He finished those games with 42 points and that epic Game 4 performance of 56 points.
I think it is safe to say that playoff Jimmy is activated, as he is now the highest-priced player on the slate. I do not think he is a must-play by any means tonight at that price at the very low 207-game total, but I will not argue against him besides that.
Bam Adebayo has also been a solid running mate for Butler over the last three games after a shaky start to his playoffs. He has scored over 30 fantasy points in three straight games including a 20-10-10 triple-double to close out Game 5.
Outside of those two, this Miami team is hard to trust in DFS. The wings of Duncan Robinson and Max Strus especially, you never know what you are going to get with them. You can give a thought to Gabe Vincent as he is playing around 30 minutes a night and has scored at least 27 FP in two straight.
Tier 1 play(s): Jimmy Butler
Tier 2 play(s): Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus
New York Knicks NBA DFS Breakdown
The Knicks are coming off a series many thought would go the other way against the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Knicks beat Donovan Mitchell and Cavs in five games on the back of Jalen Brunson and the outstanding all-around play of Josh Hart.
The Knicks' defense came to play during the series not allowing the Cavs to score over 100 points in any game. It also helps that the Knicks play at the slowest pace of any of the teams left in the NBA Playoffs.
With Julius Randle's ankle still not 100% the Knick will have to keep relying on great offense from Jalen Brunson. He has delivered time and time again and I do not see that changing this afternoon. Brunson is a fine play this afternoon.
As for the rest of the Knicks, with this game total being so low, I really am not interested in anyone else outside of Mitchell Robinson. Robinson made his presence known in the last series after a roller-coaster regular season. His price on DK is $5,200 which is outstanding considering he is averaging 36 fantasy points over his last three.
Tier 1 play(s): Jalen Brunson
Tier 2 play(s): Mitchell Robinson, Josh Hart
Golden State Warriors @ Sacramento Kings
O/U: 229
Spread: SAC -1.5
Injuries
Golden State Warriors Injuries
Patrick Baldwin Jr. - OUT
Andre Iguodala - OUT
Ryan Rollins - OUT
Sacramento Kings Injuries
Matthew Dellavedova - OUT
De'Aaron Fox - Not listed
Golden State Warriors NBA DFS Breakdown
This is the game that we want to dip into most today between these two fast-paced teams. These two teams rank one and two in pace throughout the playoffs which has led to the most exciting series of the playoffs.
This isn't the first time the Warriors have been in a Game 7 situation so you have to be feeling pretty good about your team's chances if you are a fan of the Warriors. Of course, Curry is in play tonight as he has scored over 40 fantasy points in each game this series.
Do we get a huge game from Klay in this one? He has yet to explode in any game of this series scoring 40 fantasy points just once. However, the big surprise for these playoffs has been the play of Kevon Looney who has grabbed at least 13 rebounds in each game including two, 20-rebound performances.
There are plenty of Warriors to choose from in this including Andrew Wiggins in there as well with his recent play.
Tier 1 play(s): Stephen Curry
Tier 2 play(s): Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson, Kevon Looney,
Sacramento Kings NBA DFS Breakdown
I want to start this part out by saying that I will be playing both De'Aaron Fox and Curry both in my lineup tonight, and figuring everything else out after that.
Fox has been outstanding scoring over 50 fantasy points in every game in the series and has been the savior of this Kings offense at times when Sabonis has disappeared at times. There is just so much upside with Fox, as I believe he has been the best player of the playoffs outside of Jimmy Butler, even with an injured finger.
The rest of the Kings possess a lot of value as well. Sabonis's price is down to $8,600 which makes him in play, but he hasn't had a great series. At times, Looney and Draymond Green have owned him, but he has scored at least 40 fantasy points in three of the six games this series.
Malik Monk has also pretty much taken over Kevin Huerter's role along with Davion Mitchell. Monk has averaged 28 minutes over his last four games and has scored at least 33 fantasy points in three of those four. Play Monk in this one as well.
Tier 1 play(s): De'Aaron Fox, Domantas Sabonis
Tier 2 play(s): Malik Monk, Davion Mitchell
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