NBA DFS Playbook 4/17: De'Aaron Fox Looks for Back-to-Back Against Golden State
Published: Apr 17, 2023
We have a two-game NBA DFS main slate on Monday, April 17th as we get to the first batch of second games in this initial round of the playoffs. We have almost a 30-point spread between the totals of the two games, and the Sacramento-Golden State contest is sure to be much more popular for DFS lineups. Be sure to check out our NBA DFS projections, powered by FanJections, NBA DFS Lineup Generator, and all of the rest of our NBA DFS content and tools! Let's dive into my top plays of the night.
Brooklyn Nets @ Philadelphia 76ers
O/U: 212.5
Spread: PHI -10.0
Injuries
Brooklyn Nets Injuries
Ben Simmons - OUT
Philadelphia 76ers Injuries
NONE
Brooklyn Nets NBA DFS Breakdown
The Nets hope to enter Game 2 with a much better plan of attack than what they put forward in Game 1 on Saturday. Even though they shot 55% from the floor and almost 45% from three, they still lost by 20 points to a motivated Philadelphia team.
There were two primary reasons for the collapse. One, the 76ers just couldn't miss on Saturday. They hit 21 three-pointers in that game, shooting 49% from three. Second, the top three Nets players, Spencer Dinwiddie (-13), Nic Claxton (-20), and Mikal Bridges (-14), were a combined -47 in plus-minus and couldn't stop anyone from scoring.
Some better luck for the Nets will help make this a closer game than the first contest, but Brooklyn will need to find a way to get more players involved in the offense. Three of their starters scored 62 of their 90 points before the Nets waived the white flag.
Tier 1 play(s): Mikal Bridges, Spencer Dinwiddie
Tier 2 play(s): Nic Claxton, Cameron Johnson, Dorian Finney-Smith
Philadelphia 76ers NBA DFS Breakdown
After drubbing the Brooklyn Nets by 20 points on Saturday, the 76ers don't need to change much of anything as they head into Game 2. Even though the Nets swarmed Joel Embiid and held him to “only” 26 points and five rebounds, the Philadelphia shooters made them pay.
Coach Doc Rivers said James Harden played the “perfect” game as he ended up with 23 points, 13 assists, and four rebounds. Tobias Harris chipped in a 21/4/4 line and Tyrese Maxey was everywhere with 13 points, six rebounds, three assists, and three steals.
The Nets will likely continue to try and smother Joel Embiid in the paint and double him on the perimeter, but Philly has so many good shooters who can make them pay. There may not be a 60-fantasy-point explosion in this series for Embiid, but he should be a solid 45-50 points every game.
Tier 1 play(s): Joel Embiid, James Harden
Tier 2 play(s): Tyrese Maxey, Tobias Harris
Golden State Warriors @ Sacramento Kings
O/U: 240.0
Spread: GSW -1.5
Injuries
Golden State Warriors Injuries
Jordan Poole - QUESTIONABLE
Andre Iguodala - OUT
Sacramento Kings Injuries
Matthew Dellavedova - OUT
Golden State Warriors NBA DFS Breakdown
If the Warriors just had a few more bounces go their way on Saturday, they likely would have taken Game considering how back and forth it was the whole night. Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson both went off (combining for 51 points), but they also got contributions from up and down the lineup.
The big story for the Warriors is the health of Jordan Poole. He rolled his ankle Game 1 and is Questionable tonight. He never missed a game in the regular season and I would be surprised if he missed this one, but it will be something to monitor closer to game-time.
If Poole is out, a greater burden will fall on Gary Payton II and Andrew Wiggins. After missing a month in the regular season, Wiggins also must shake off the rust in this one after he shot 1-for-8 from three and 2-for-4 at the free throw line in his first game back.
Tier 1 play(s): Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green
Tier 2 play(s): Andrew Wiggins, Kevon Looney, Jordan Poole (if he plays)
Sacramento Kings NBA DFS Breakdown
If we can get a whole series just like the thriller on Saturday night, this might be the best matchup of the entire postseason. The first game lived up to the hype with the Kings winning a 126-123 thriller. The Kings only won by three because Domantas Sabonis (5-for-17) and Kevin Huerter (3-for-12) had horrific shooting nights, so that likely turns back around in Game 2.
De'Aaron Fox likely won't repeat his 38-point performance from that game, but he played 40 minutes and is the clear go-to guy in crunch time for this team. But the real MVP for this first playoff win since 2005 for Sacramento was Malik Monk who scored 32 points off the bench.
The Warriors are likely to smother Fox and Monk in this game which should leave shooters like Barnes and Huerter open all night. I also think this is a big Sabonis game who will want to bounce back after a miserable playoff debut.
Tier 1 play(s): De'Aaron Fox, Domantas Sabonis
Tier 2 play(s): Malik Monk, Harrison Barnes, Kevin Huerter
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