Happy Friday, December 6th! We have a seven-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel and it's a fun one as we head into the weekend. We're still unsure if some big names such as Stephen Curry, LeBron James, and Victor Wembanyama will play, but if they don't there are slate-breaking implications.

We have four teams on the second leg of a back-to-back and just one on the front end, which is why we see all the Boston bigs listed as questionable. Let's get into the news, notes, top plays, and more of the main slate!

 

 

 

Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.

  • News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
  • Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
  • Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
  • NBA DFS Projections
  • Lineup Generator
  • NBA Ownership

NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, December 6th

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Pre-Lock Update

This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock. 

Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.

2:00 pm ET

2:50 pm ET

6:20 pm ET

  • Jonathan Isaac is OUT. Moritz Wagner becomes a more intriguing value option despite being C only on DK. Tristan Da Silva will get extended in terms of minutes, too. Not a lot of interest there.
  • VICTOR WEMBANYAMA IS NOW A GAME-TIME DECISION. THAT'S A MASSIVE NEWS UPDATE WE'LL NEED BEFORE LOCK.

7:08 pm ET

9:30 pm ET

NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 12/6

 

 

 

NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews

With the NBA season just kicking off we don't have data yet for teams regarding pace of play and defensive matchups. In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads.

Indiana Pacers vs. Chicago Bulls

  • Total: 248.5
  • Spread: IND -3.5
  • Pacers are 8th in pace, Bulls are 1st in pace
  • Pacers are 25th in DRtg, Bulls are 26th in DRtg

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Atlanta Hawks

  • Total: 232
  • Spread: ATL -5.5
  • Lakers are 20th in pace, Hawks are 2nd in pace
  • Lakers are 27th in DRtg, Hawks are 15th in DRtg

Sacramento Kings vs. San Antonio Spurs

  • Total: 228.5
  • Spread: SAC -5.5

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics

  • Total: 227.5
  • Spread: BOS -7.5

Utah Jazz vs. Portland Trail Blazers

  • Total: 226
  • Spread: POR -2.5
  • Jazz are 29th in DRtg, Trail Blazers are 22nd in DRtg
 

 

NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks

Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.

High

Mid

Value

 

 

 

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Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
DK Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
FD Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
PGTrae YoungLAL @ ATL Fri 7:30910047.2930043.5

Honestly, when looking at Trae Young, the playmaking has gone to a new level this year and the shot volume has been fine, he just hasn't made shots. This is a shot-making spot as the Lakers rank 27th in DRtg. He has a 27% USG and is averaging 1.3 FP/min. There's 60 FP upside here.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGTyrese HaliburtonIND @ CHI Fri 8:00830044.1850041.7

The whole field is gravitating towards Haliburton and I completely understand it. The Pacers are in a tailspin, this game has a 248.5 implied point total, and they get the Bulls on the second leg of a back-to-back. Bulls are first in pace & 26th in DRtg. Haliburton's great here.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGAnfernee SimonsUTA @ POR Fri 10:00660036.7660034

The range of outcomes on Simons makes him a tournament play only, but he's firmly in my player pool because of his ceiling. Simons has a 25.7% USG this year and it's nearly 27% without Scoot Henderson (who's QUEST). Utah ranks 29th in DRtg.

Game Type: GPP
PGD'Angelo Russell5400063000

It's impossible to ignore Russell without Austin Reaves. He was mega chalk the other day and let everyone down, but don't let those results factor into today. Without Reaves this year, he has a 3.7% USG bump, which leads the team, 25% USG and averages 1.04 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGMike ConleyMIN @ GSW Fri 10:00500027.9490027.3

Conley is safe. The last two games have been blowouts and he hasn't gotten there, but the four games prior Conley played 30+ minutes, which wasn't the case earlier in the year. Nice final piece in.

Game Type: CASH
SGBennedict MathurinIND @ CHI Fri 8:00680035.1600033.7

Good positional eligibility, really good ceiling, really good game environment. A lot to like for tournaments.

Game Type: GPP
SGAyo DosunmuIND @ CHI Fri 8:00570027.2590027

To chase or not to chase? He's going to play 30 minutes regardless of who's in/out and this game has elite upside. If I'm playing him I'm not banking on a 27-point triple-double.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGBogdan Bogdanović4700053000

It's a great game environment for the Hawks and Bogdanovic and although he hasn't been great this year, he's been very serviceable sitting at a 20% USG and .9 FP/min off the bench. The Hawks have 117 implied points.

Game Type: GPP
SFJayson TatumMIL @ BOS Fri 7:301000049.41040047.7

Without Kristaps Porzingis this year, Jayson Tatum has a 32% USG and averages 1.47 FP/min. He's been cleared of his knee injury and is three games removed from 66 FP. Great tournament option.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFLauri MarkkanenUTA @ POR Fri 10:00700036.9750035.6

I'm pretty surprised to see the ownership where it is, but then I think about the price and the upside and I'm brought back to reality. Without Clarkson and Filipowski, he's a 23% USG and 1 FP/min player and that's truly been during a bad season considering what type of player Markkanen has been the past few seasons.

Game Type: GPP
SFDe'Andre Hunter5000058000

Hunter's offense has been elite off the bench for Atlanta lately posting 20+ points in four of five and 18+ in all of them. He's put up 26+ DKP in four of the five and currently sits at 1.05 FP/min for the season. With how well he's played he's consistently gotten to around 30 minutes.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFKeldon JohnsonSAC @ SAS Fri 8:00450028.5470027.7

The ownership on Johnson is partly recency bias and partly how cheap he is. He's nearly at 21% USG and is at .91 FP/min and both take a spike if Wemby's not on the floor.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFGiannis AntetokounmpoMIL @ BOS Fri 7:301200061.31210059.5

Absolutely nobody is playing Giannis Antetokounmpo today. Khris Middleton is back and he faces Boston. There's always something to be said about playing a low-owned superstar in tournaments.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFJalen JohnsonLAL @ ATL Fri 7:30850041.3910041.4

Elite basketball player doing elite basketball things. 23% USG, 1.3 FP/min and nobody wants to play him despite his team having an elite team total in the second-highest implied game total on the board. OK.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFPascal SiakamIND @ CHI Fri 8:00780038760037.2

Siakam's usage has taken a big dip the last two games and Indiana's offense has struggled, so expect that to change tonight. The Bulls have nobody that can match Siakam's size at the PF spot and this is a great spot for him. Even with recent struggles, Siakam's still a 1.07 FP/min player this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFJeremy SochanSAC @ SAS Fri 8:00610034.3630033.7

Whether Wemby's been active or not, Jeremy Sochan has been incredible this year. He's been a 23% USG, 1.14 FP/min player. He played 36 (!!!) minutes and started last night in his second game back from injury. The price is too cheap.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFJerami GrantUTA @ POR Fri 10:00570031600030.2

There's been a noticeable drop off with Jerami Grant's numbers this year. Grant was a 26% USG player last year and this year he's at 21%. He's also only at .87 FP/min, but this spot against Utah provides the potential for a glimpse of the old version. Last year's version. Great price, great matchup.

Game Type: GPP
PFObi ToppinIND @ CHI Fri 8:00360019.8450019.6

Nothing has truly gone right for Indiana lately but Obi Toppin has looked very good off the bench. Over the last three games, Toppin has posted USG rates of 25.5, 32.7, and 24% and has topped 22 minutes in three of them. GPPs only.

Game Type: GPP
CAnthony Davis102000106000

Despite everything looking so bad for the Lakers and Anthony Davis lately, he is in a big-time get right spot. The pace increase is significant for the Lakers and despite his struggles, Davis still averages 30.4% USG and 1.5 FP/min, both leading the team.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CNikola VučevićIND @ CHI Fri 8:00840044800041.9

Nikola Vucevic is putting the league on notice. He's been an absolute BUCKET scoring 39 points last night and 32 three games ago against Boston. He continues to flash an incredibly safe 40-FP floor while also flashing a 60-FP ceiling. He's over 25% USG and 1.4 FP/min without Coby White (QUEST) this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CWalker KesslerUTA @ POR Fri 10:00630032690034.7

Center's a good position and in this price range, everyone's gonna pass on Kessler for Myles Turner, Deandre Ayton, and Rudy Gobert. All three of those guys are 2x his ownership or more. Since coming back from injury on 11/23, Kessler's been a 1.1 FP/min on DK and 1.2 FP/min on FD. Interesting GPP pivot coming off b2b 35+ minute games and 28+ in six straight.

Game Type: GPP
CAl HorfordMIL @ BOS Fri 7:30490028.5510028.7

I find it incredibly interesting that nobody wants to play Al Horford tonight. Not because I think he's the best play on the board or anything, but he's 4.9K, PF/C elg, his team has one of the best-implied totals on the board, and Kristaps Porzingis is out. My brow is raised.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9100 , 47.2
47.2
9300 , 43.5
43.5

Honestly, when looking at Trae Young, the playmaking has gone to a new level this year and the shot volume has been fine, he just hasn't made shots. This is a shot-making spot as the Lakers rank 27th in DRtg. He has a 27% USG and is averaging 1.3 FP/min. There's 60 FP upside here.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8300 , 44.1
44.1
8500 , 41.7
41.7

The whole field is gravitating towards Haliburton and I completely understand it. The Pacers are in a tailspin, this game has a 248.5 implied point total, and they get the Bulls on the second leg of a back-to-back. Bulls are first in pace & 26th in DRtg. Haliburton's great here.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6600 , 36.7
36.7
6600 , 34
34

The range of outcomes on Simons makes him a tournament play only, but he's firmly in my player pool because of his ceiling. Simons has a 25.7% USG this year and it's nearly 27% without Scoot Henderson (who's QUEST). Utah ranks 29th in DRtg.

Game Type: GPP
5400 , 0
0
6300 , 0
0

It's impossible to ignore Russell without Austin Reaves. He was mega chalk the other day and let everyone down, but don't let those results factor into today. Without Reaves this year, he has a 3.7% USG bump, which leads the team, 25% USG and averages 1.04 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5000 , 27.9
27.9
4900 , 27.3
27.3

Conley is safe. The last two games have been blowouts and he hasn't gotten there, but the four games prior Conley played 30+ minutes, which wasn't the case earlier in the year. Nice final piece in.

Game Type: CASH
6800 , 35.1
35.1
6000 , 33.7
33.7

Good positional eligibility, really good ceiling, really good game environment. A lot to like for tournaments.

Game Type: GPP
5700 , 27.2
27.2
5900 , 27
27

To chase or not to chase? He's going to play 30 minutes regardless of who's in/out and this game has elite upside. If I'm playing him I'm not banking on a 27-point triple-double.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4700 , 0
0
5300 , 0
0

It's a great game environment for the Hawks and Bogdanovic and although he hasn't been great this year, he's been very serviceable sitting at a 20% USG and .9 FP/min off the bench. The Hawks have 117 implied points.

Game Type: GPP
10000 , 49.4
49.4
10400 , 47.7
47.7

Without Kristaps Porzingis this year, Jayson Tatum has a 32% USG and averages 1.47 FP/min. He's been cleared of his knee injury and is three games removed from 66 FP. Great tournament option.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7000 , 36.9
36.9
7500 , 35.6
35.6

I'm pretty surprised to see the ownership where it is, but then I think about the price and the upside and I'm brought back to reality. Without Clarkson and Filipowski, he's a 23% USG and 1 FP/min player and that's truly been during a bad season considering what type of player Markkanen has been the past few seasons.

Game Type: GPP
5000 , 0
0
5800 , 0
0

Hunter's offense has been elite off the bench for Atlanta lately posting 20+ points in four of five and 18+ in all of them. He's put up 26+ DKP in four of the five and currently sits at 1.05 FP/min for the season. With how well he's played he's consistently gotten to around 30 minutes.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4500 , 28.5
28.5
4700 , 27.7
27.7

The ownership on Johnson is partly recency bias and partly how cheap he is. He's nearly at 21% USG and is at .91 FP/min and both take a spike if Wemby's not on the floor.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
12000 , 61.3
61.3
12100 , 59.5
59.5

Absolutely nobody is playing Giannis Antetokounmpo today. Khris Middleton is back and he faces Boston. There's always something to be said about playing a low-owned superstar in tournaments.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8500 , 41.3
41.3
9100 , 41.4
41.4

Elite basketball player doing elite basketball things. 23% USG, 1.3 FP/min and nobody wants to play him despite his team having an elite team total in the second-highest implied game total on the board. OK.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7800 , 38
38
7600 , 37.2
37.2

Siakam's usage has taken a big dip the last two games and Indiana's offense has struggled, so expect that to change tonight. The Bulls have nobody that can match Siakam's size at the PF spot and this is a great spot for him. Even with recent struggles, Siakam's still a 1.07 FP/min player this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6100 , 34.3
34.3
6300 , 33.7
33.7

Whether Wemby's been active or not, Jeremy Sochan has been incredible this year. He's been a 23% USG, 1.14 FP/min player. He played 36 (!!!) minutes and started last night in his second game back from injury. The price is too cheap.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5700 , 31
31
6000 , 30.2
30.2

There's been a noticeable drop off with Jerami Grant's numbers this year. Grant was a 26% USG player last year and this year he's at 21%. He's also only at .87 FP/min, but this spot against Utah provides the potential for a glimpse of the old version. Last year's version. Great price, great matchup.

Game Type: GPP
3600 , 19.8
19.8
4500 , 19.6
19.6

Nothing has truly gone right for Indiana lately but Obi Toppin has looked very good off the bench. Over the last three games, Toppin has posted USG rates of 25.5, 32.7, and 24% and has topped 22 minutes in three of them. GPPs only.

Game Type: GPP
10200 , 0
0
10600 , 0
0

Despite everything looking so bad for the Lakers and Anthony Davis lately, he is in a big-time get right spot. The pace increase is significant for the Lakers and despite his struggles, Davis still averages 30.4% USG and 1.5 FP/min, both leading the team.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8400 , 44
44
8000 , 41.9
41.9

Nikola Vucevic is putting the league on notice. He's been an absolute BUCKET scoring 39 points last night and 32 three games ago against Boston. He continues to flash an incredibly safe 40-FP floor while also flashing a 60-FP ceiling. He's over 25% USG and 1.4 FP/min without Coby White (QUEST) this year.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6300 , 32
32
6900 , 34.7
34.7

Center's a good position and in this price range, everyone's gonna pass on Kessler for Myles Turner, Deandre Ayton, and Rudy Gobert. All three of those guys are 2x his ownership or more. Since coming back from injury on 11/23, Kessler's been a 1.1 FP/min on DK and 1.2 FP/min on FD. Interesting GPP pivot coming off b2b 35+ minute games and 28+ in six straight.

Game Type: GPP
4900 , 28.5
28.5
5100 , 28.7
28.7

I find it incredibly interesting that nobody wants to play Al Horford tonight. Not because I think he's the best play on the board or anything, but he's 4.9K, PF/C elg, his team has one of the best-implied totals on the board, and Kristaps Porzingis is out. My brow is raised.

Game Type: CASH & GPP