Happy Friday, January 31st! We have a six-game NBA DFS main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. Unity! Woohoo!

The stars are out as Nikola Jokic, Cade Cunningham, Victor Wembanyama, and Giannis Antetokounmpo are taking the floor. Some names that have already been ruled out is Joel Embiid, Paul George, Mark Williams, and Zach LaVine.

 

 

 

Before actually diving into the meat and potatoes, welcome to the NBA DFS season. If this is your first time reading our column on NBA DFS picks, I just want to welcome you and give you a few tips and tricks on what you should be looking for each night.

  • News outlets: reliable sources that give us injury news & starting lineups
  • Pace of play: who's playing fast vs. who's playing slow. Which teams get a pace-up spot (more possessions) vs. pace-down (fewer possessions)
  • Usage rates: is a percentage of how many plays that player is being used in
  • NBA DFS Projections
  • Lineup Generator
  • NBA Ownership

NBA DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, January 31st

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Pre-Lock Update

This section will be used for anything that changes from the morning until right up to roster lock. 

Injury updates, players we’re higher on than we were in the morning and so much more.

6:10 pm ET

  • Lonzo Ball has been cleared for 28 minutes nightly. That firmly puts him in play tonight at his price.

6:30 pm ET

NBA Injuries, News & Updates Today, 1/31

 

 

 

NBA DFS Slate & Game Overviews

In the section below, I’m listing the most notable things we need to look at in Las Vegas, including notable O/U and spreads. Not every game is listed, but every game listed has the pace and defensive numbers listed.

Denver Nuggets vs. Philadelphia 76ers

  • Total: 234
  • Spread: DEN -9.5
  • Nuggets are 5th in pace, 76ers are 28th in pace
  • Nuggets are 18th in DRtg, 76ers are 22nd in DRtg

Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs

  • Total: 234
  • Spread: MIL -2.5
  • Bucks are 12th in pace, Spurs are 15th in pace 
  • Bucks are 8th in DRtg, Spurs are 20th in DRtg

Chicago Bulls vs. Toronto Raptors

  • Total: 232
  • Spread: TOR -3.5
  • Bulls are 3rd in pace, Raptors are 9th in pace
  • Bulls are 25th in DRtg, Raptors are 24th in DRtg

Boston Celtics vs. New Orleans Pelicans

  • Total: 232
  • Spread: BOS -11
  • Celtics are 25th in pace, Pelicans are 14th in pace
  • Celtics are 5th in DRtg, Pelicans are 28th in DRtg

Dallas Mavericks vs. Detroit Pistons

  • Total: 229.5
  • Spread: DET -1
  • Mavericks are 10th in pace, Pistons are 16th in pace
  • Mavericks are 12th in DRtg, Pistons are 15th in DRtg

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Charlotte Hornets

  • Total: 211.5
  • Spread: LAC -13
  • Clippers are 19th in pace, Hornets are 22nd in pace
  • Clippers are 2nd in DRtg, Hornets are 14th in DRtg

 

 

 

NBA DFS Core Player Pool & Lineup Picks

Here are the core players I’m looking at for my NBA DFS picks tonight. You can see the full analysis of tonight’s NBA DFS projections and player pool below or skip ahead to building the best lineups possible by locking these into the aforementioned lineup generator now.

High

Mid

Value

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Pos
(Click to sort ascending)
Player
(Click to sort ascending)
Matchup
(Click to sort ascending)
DK
(Click to sort ascending)
DK Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
FD
(Click to sort ascending)
FD Pts
(Click to sort ascending)
PGCade CunninghamDAL @ DET Fri 7:001010055.21010051.1

Without Jaden Ivey this year, Cade Cunningham has a 35% USG and 1.46 FP/min. Dallas is a good defensive team and decently fast paced offensively. Cunningham has a massive ceiling.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGTyrese MaxeyDEN @ PHI Fri 7:30970049.51000049.2

With Embiid, George, McCain and others out this year, Tyrese Maxey has a 37% USG (+6.2% USG) and 1.4 FP/min. He's scored 28+ points in 12 straight games, has 40+ minute upside, and has 48+ DKP in six straight.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PGJames HardenLAC @ CHA Fri 7:00930050.7940048.8

The Clippers are in a very interesting spot, but all of them are largely tournament options in a 14-point spread. In 140 minutes with Kawhi Leonard, Harden has a 1.29 FP/min and a 20.5% USG rate.

Game Type: GPP
PGDamian LillardMIL @ SAS Fri 8:00900045.5920043.2

The Spurs are going the wrong way defensively as they now rank 20th in that department and without Bobby Portis this year, Dame Dolla has a 27% USG and 1.22 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP
PGRussell WestbrookDEN @ PHI Fri 7:30650037.4690037.6

The Nuggets moved Christian Braun to the bench and Aaron Gordon into the starting lineup last game and Westbrook stayed a starter. He played 37 minutes and twice in a row he's been at 35. Westbrook on the year has a 22.6% USG and 1.2 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGJaylen BrownBOS @ NOP Fri 8:00780042.2840040.8

With Jayson Tatum struggling a bit, Jaylen Brown has picked up the slack as he's put up 28+ in straight and 22+ in three straight. He has a 41 DKP in three straight and yet, he's under 8K on DK. The Pelicans are 28th in DRtg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGKelly OubreDEN @ PHI Fri 7:30630033.9730034

With everyone out for Philly, Kelly Oubre has been nails. I don't love the FD price, but I do like it on DK. Oubre has posted 35+ DKP in four straight games. This is one of the best game environments of the day.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGDevin VassellMIL @ SAS Fri 8:00610034.4700033.6

Devin Vassell is just solid at the price and has a massive ceiling. He has a 24% USG and is a .98 FP/min player this year. He has high-30s minutes upside and this game has an implied total on the rise as it's 234.5.

Game Type: GPP
SGCoby WhiteCHI @ TOR Fri 7:30590038610035.9

With Zach LaVine sidelined, Coby White leads the team in USG at 26.5% and that's 4.2% higher than second. He's also at 1.01 FP/min. He was apparently a 24-28 minute limit and played 31. I'd have a hard time believing he doesn't go up from there. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SGEric GordonDEN @ PHI Fri 7:30420021.3460021.4

The minutes are up and down and whether or not he closes is also a question mark. He's been in a 22 to 38 minute range lately. He has, during that span, made a lot of shots and has consistently been giving us 21+ DKP. 

Game Type: GPP
SFScottie BarnesCHI @ TOR Fri 7:30940046.9970045.9

I'm all the way in on Barnes if Immanuel Quickley doesn't play, but things are trending in the right direction for him. In the 184 minutes they've shared the court, Barnes has a 26% USG and averages 1.27 FP/min. That's still elite and the matchup is possibly the best on the board.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFKawhi LeonardLAC @ CHA Fri 7:00690034.9700035.7

Soooooooooooo Kawhi Leonard. Yeah. He's up to 29 minutes and he had his best game of the year last time out. He had a 30.8% USG and had 27 points, seven assists, six rebounds, and 47.5 DKP. So far, Leonard has a 27.8% USG and 1.14 FP/min and this is an elite spot.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFKlay ThompsonDAL @ DET Fri 7:00530025.8550024.5

After being on a pretty strict minutes limit, that was seemingly lifted last game as he played nearly 29 minutes. He hasn't missed a shot in two games and has had a 23.5% USG and 31.8% USG the game before. It's a good spot and good game environment.

Game Type: GPP
SFKhris Middleton5100059000

Two games ago we saw Khris Middleton up at 27 minutes. That's great at his price point. The last three games he's played at least 24 minutes he's notched 29 DKP. It's interesting to see Damian Lillard downgraded to probable, too. Middleton's a 1.09 FP/min player.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
SFRicky CouncilDEN @ PHI Fri 7:3019.9470019.8

With everyone that's out for Philly, Council has a 23.2% USG and .85 FP/min. Council won't start over Justin Edwards, but he's better on a per minute scale and has a much higher usage rate. Edwards is the contrarian play, however.

Game Type: GPP
PFGiannis AntetokounmpoMIL @ SAS Fri 8:001150068.11190066

The field is all in on Giannis Antetokounmpo today. It might sky rocket even further if Damian Lillard – who is listed probable – sits as he was downgraded to that with a groin injury. That's something to monitor. Yeah, Giannis is elite if you end up there.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFZion WilliamsonBOS @ NOP Fri 8:008400093000

Zion Williamson has posted a 35% USG or better in four straight games and has absolutely smashed each slate at this silly price point that is going DOWN on DK. Going DOWN? He's a 1.6 FP/min player with everyone on the floor this year and is at 1.75 without Ingram, Jones and Elf Payton.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFP.J. WashingtonDAL @ DET Fri 7:00730037740037.7

Without Doncic, Kleber, and Lively, PJ Washington sees a +3% USG bump, which leads the team, up to 22.6% and averages 1.08 FP/min. In fact, Washington's upped that a bit lately posting a 26% USG or higher in five of his last five games.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFJeremy SochanMIL @ SAS Fri 8:00490030.1550030.1

I like Jeremy Sochan but I don't love him. I like the player a lot, but I hate that he's coming off the bench and I hate how his minutes have fluctuated. I also don't love the amount of ownership he's getting here. That being said he's too cheap if he's playing mid-to-high 20s minutes and if he remains the 1.02 FP/min player he's been.

Game Type: GPP
PFAaron GordonDEN @ PHI Fri 7:30440027.6530026.7

We said it on the preshow and it came true; Aaron Gordon back in the starting lineup is one of the highest rostered players of the day. He played 30 minutes as a starter and it looks as if that is only going to trend upwards. Gordon on the year sits at a .95 FP/min average.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
PFPatrick WilliamsCHI @ TOR Fri 7:30420025.2460024.5

The Bulls chose to go with a four-guard starting lineup last time out, but got smoked and face a bigger Toronto team on Friday. Williams in that game still played 30 minutes and lost nearly four more to blowout. Williams' has played well in each of the last two games and with Zach LaVine out, his offense should be relied upon a bit more.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CNikola JokićDEN @ PHI Fri 7:301200072.11280066.5

Look, any time you're going to give me Nikola Jokic hovering around 10% rostership on DK, I'm going to play it and make it work. On FD, it's harder to get to at 12.8K and no bonuses, but on DK, he's my favorite GPP play of the day.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CDaniel GaffordDAL @ DET Fri 7:00740043.2760043.5

Daniel Gafford's ceiling has been crazy lately. He's really come into his own with Dereck Lively II out of the lineup. Gafford is currently a 1.24 FP/min player with 40+ DKP in four of five, flashing a 71 DKP ceiling.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CJalen DurenDAL @ DET Fri 7:00620033.5650032.3

Duren has been awesome lately but it's never been about how good he is. It's always been about him just staying on the court. Injuries and foul trouble have plagued him, mostly the latter, but lately he's on the floor and has looked great. He has six double-doubles over his last seven games and 30+ DKP in six of seven.

Game Type: GPP
CMoussa DiabatéLAC @ CHA Fri 7:00420026.1460027.3

Everyone is going to go back to the Moussa Diabate well again tonight and he's been really good when extended. He's a great rebounder that has seen a slight increase an offense, and that's what should make us comfortable with getting to him now up over 4K.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
CPaul ReedDAL @ DET Fri 7:00300017.7360018.5

This is GPP stuff only, but BBall Paul is basically min salary on both sites and will operate as the teams backup center tonight. There's a few path's to success here, one of which involves Jalen Duren's consistent foul trouble. I like Duren, but at 3K as the team's backup center, he's a 1.19 FP/min player this year.

Game Type: GPP
10100 , 55.2
55.2
10100 , 51.1
51.1

Without Jaden Ivey this year, Cade Cunningham has a 35% USG and 1.46 FP/min. Dallas is a good defensive team and decently fast paced offensively. Cunningham has a massive ceiling.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9700 , 49.5
49.5
10000 , 49.2
49.2

With Embiid, George, McCain and others out this year, Tyrese Maxey has a 37% USG (+6.2% USG) and 1.4 FP/min. He's scored 28+ points in 12 straight games, has 40+ minute upside, and has 48+ DKP in six straight.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
9300 , 50.7
50.7
9400 , 48.8
48.8

The Clippers are in a very interesting spot, but all of them are largely tournament options in a 14-point spread. In 140 minutes with Kawhi Leonard, Harden has a 1.29 FP/min and a 20.5% USG rate.

Game Type: GPP
9000 , 45.5
45.5
9200 , 43.2
43.2

The Spurs are going the wrong way defensively as they now rank 20th in that department and without Bobby Portis this year, Dame Dolla has a 27% USG and 1.22 FP/min.

Game Type: GPP
6500 , 37.4
37.4
6900 , 37.6
37.6

The Nuggets moved Christian Braun to the bench and Aaron Gordon into the starting lineup last game and Westbrook stayed a starter. He played 37 minutes and twice in a row he's been at 35. Westbrook on the year has a 22.6% USG and 1.2 FP/min.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7800 , 42.2
42.2
8400 , 40.8
40.8

With Jayson Tatum struggling a bit, Jaylen Brown has picked up the slack as he's put up 28+ in straight and 22+ in three straight. He has a 41 DKP in three straight and yet, he's under 8K on DK. The Pelicans are 28th in DRtg.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6300 , 33.9
33.9
7300 , 34
34

With everyone out for Philly, Kelly Oubre has been nails. I don't love the FD price, but I do like it on DK. Oubre has posted 35+ DKP in four straight games. This is one of the best game environments of the day.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6100 , 34.4
34.4
7000 , 33.6
33.6

Devin Vassell is just solid at the price and has a massive ceiling. He has a 24% USG and is a .98 FP/min player this year. He has high-30s minutes upside and this game has an implied total on the rise as it's 234.5.

Game Type: GPP
5900 , 38
38
6100 , 35.9
35.9

With Zach LaVine sidelined, Coby White leads the team in USG at 26.5% and that's 4.2% higher than second. He's also at 1.01 FP/min. He was apparently a 24-28 minute limit and played 31. I'd have a hard time believing he doesn't go up from there. 

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4200 , 21.3
21.3
4600 , 21.4
21.4

The minutes are up and down and whether or not he closes is also a question mark. He's been in a 22 to 38 minute range lately. He has, during that span, made a lot of shots and has consistently been giving us 21+ DKP. 

Game Type: GPP
9400 , 46.9
46.9
9700 , 45.9
45.9

I'm all the way in on Barnes if Immanuel Quickley doesn't play, but things are trending in the right direction for him. In the 184 minutes they've shared the court, Barnes has a 26% USG and averages 1.27 FP/min. That's still elite and the matchup is possibly the best on the board.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6900 , 34.9
34.9
7000 , 35.7
35.7

Soooooooooooo Kawhi Leonard. Yeah. He's up to 29 minutes and he had his best game of the year last time out. He had a 30.8% USG and had 27 points, seven assists, six rebounds, and 47.5 DKP. So far, Leonard has a 27.8% USG and 1.14 FP/min and this is an elite spot.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
5300 , 25.8
25.8
5500 , 24.5
24.5

After being on a pretty strict minutes limit, that was seemingly lifted last game as he played nearly 29 minutes. He hasn't missed a shot in two games and has had a 23.5% USG and 31.8% USG the game before. It's a good spot and good game environment.

Game Type: GPP
5100 , 0
0
5900 , 0
0

Two games ago we saw Khris Middleton up at 27 minutes. That's great at his price point. The last three games he's played at least 24 minutes he's notched 29 DKP. It's interesting to see Damian Lillard downgraded to probable, too. Middleton's a 1.09 FP/min player.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
, 19.9
19.9
4700 , 19.8
19.8

With everyone that's out for Philly, Council has a 23.2% USG and .85 FP/min. Council won't start over Justin Edwards, but he's better on a per minute scale and has a much higher usage rate. Edwards is the contrarian play, however.

Game Type: GPP
11500 , 68.1
68.1
11900 , 66
66

The field is all in on Giannis Antetokounmpo today. It might sky rocket even further if Damian Lillard – who is listed probable – sits as he was downgraded to that with a groin injury. That's something to monitor. Yeah, Giannis is elite if you end up there.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
8400 , 0
0
9300 , 0
0

Zion Williamson has posted a 35% USG or better in four straight games and has absolutely smashed each slate at this silly price point that is going DOWN on DK. Going DOWN? He's a 1.6 FP/min player with everyone on the floor this year and is at 1.75 without Ingram, Jones and Elf Payton.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7300 , 37
37
7400 , 37.7
37.7

Without Doncic, Kleber, and Lively, PJ Washington sees a +3% USG bump, which leads the team, up to 22.6% and averages 1.08 FP/min. In fact, Washington's upped that a bit lately posting a 26% USG or higher in five of his last five games.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4900 , 30.1
30.1
5500 , 30.1
30.1

I like Jeremy Sochan but I don't love him. I like the player a lot, but I hate that he's coming off the bench and I hate how his minutes have fluctuated. I also don't love the amount of ownership he's getting here. That being said he's too cheap if he's playing mid-to-high 20s minutes and if he remains the 1.02 FP/min player he's been.

Game Type: GPP
4400 , 27.6
27.6
5300 , 26.7
26.7

We said it on the preshow and it came true; Aaron Gordon back in the starting lineup is one of the highest rostered players of the day. He played 30 minutes as a starter and it looks as if that is only going to trend upwards. Gordon on the year sits at a .95 FP/min average.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
4200 , 25.2
25.2
4600 , 24.5
24.5

The Bulls chose to go with a four-guard starting lineup last time out, but got smoked and face a bigger Toronto team on Friday. Williams in that game still played 30 minutes and lost nearly four more to blowout. Williams' has played well in each of the last two games and with Zach LaVine out, his offense should be relied upon a bit more.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
12000 , 72.1
72.1
12800 , 66.5
66.5

Look, any time you're going to give me Nikola Jokic hovering around 10% rostership on DK, I'm going to play it and make it work. On FD, it's harder to get to at 12.8K and no bonuses, but on DK, he's my favorite GPP play of the day.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
7400 , 43.2
43.2
7600 , 43.5
43.5

Daniel Gafford's ceiling has been crazy lately. He's really come into his own with Dereck Lively II out of the lineup. Gafford is currently a 1.24 FP/min player with 40+ DKP in four of five, flashing a 71 DKP ceiling.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
6200 , 33.5
33.5
6500 , 32.3
32.3

Duren has been awesome lately but it's never been about how good he is. It's always been about him just staying on the court. Injuries and foul trouble have plagued him, mostly the latter, but lately he's on the floor and has looked great. He has six double-doubles over his last seven games and 30+ DKP in six of seven.

Game Type: GPP
4200 , 26.1
26.1
4600 , 27.3
27.3

Everyone is going to go back to the Moussa Diabate well again tonight and he's been really good when extended. He's a great rebounder that has seen a slight increase an offense, and that's what should make us comfortable with getting to him now up over 4K.

Game Type: CASH & GPP
3000 , 17.7
17.7
3600 , 18.5
18.5

This is GPP stuff only, but BBall Paul is basically min salary on both sites and will operate as the teams backup center tonight. There's a few path's to success here, one of which involves Jalen Duren's consistent foul trouble. I like Duren, but at 3K as the team's backup center, he's a 1.19 FP/min player this year.

Game Type: GPP