NBA Best Bets Today, 11/25: Picks, Predictions & Player Props - Monday

All three bets cashed in, with two picks loaded up with double units. An absolutely excellent day behind Anthony Edwards, P.J. Washington, and Myles Turner.
They each deliver on their predictions with time to spare, a day of crushing the sportsbooks.
NBA Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 11/25
Fantasy Alarm NBA Best Bets looks to build on the momentum of yesterday by closing out the betting week with another positive day.
There are a variety of bets today, but the Bet of the Night is a spread bet on an early game.
Mavericks vs. Hawks Prediction: Atlanta -2 (-110 on DraftKings) *Bet Of The Night
The Dallas Mavericks have been playing excellent basketball without Luka Doncic. They beat the Denver Nuggets and took the Miami Heat to overtime, both on the road. Now they are playing the Atlanta Hawks to continue their road tour a night after they played into overtime.
Dallas does have a deep bench, but is it deep enough to keep pace with a good offensive team like the Atlanta Hawks? The Hawks are scoring over 115 points per game, and Dallas could have difficulty matching the points on tired legs.
The Mavericks could even announce a game off for some of their veterans, Kyrie Irving, Klay Thompson, and others. The Hawks are 7-10 but have won four games while playing on their homecourt at State Farm Arena.
Look for the Atlanta Hawks to win this game by more than a field goal, take the low spread near even odds.
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies Prediction: Ja Morant Over 6.5 Assists (-145 on BetMGM)
Ja Morant is expected back tonight versus the Portland Trail Blazers. If he is in there, he is expected to go without any limitations. Scottie Pippen Jr. has been playing well in the absence of Morant, but Morant should take over as the court general.
Morant is averaging 9.1 assists per game, and due to missing 8 games, his line has dipped to 6.5 as the sportsbooks are cautious. That caution has caused a heavily juiced line, but one that has a high probability of being successful.
Put a unit on Ja Morant to cover what should be an easy assists line against a team that allows more than 113 points per game. He will find open players throughout the night; this pick just needs those players to make the field goals.
Best NBA Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 11/25
Michael Porter has played the most Denver Nuggets games since the beginning of the 2023 season. The Nuggets were heavily criticized for signing Michael Porter Jr to a max contract a couple years ago due to back injury concerns.
That move has proved to be beyond valuable as Porter Jr. is an elite small forward, who is the team’s most reliable player.
Knicks vs. Nuggets Prediction: Michael Porter Over 2.5 Threes Made (-120 on BetMGM)
Last season betting on Porter Jr.’s over threes was one of Fantasy Alarm’s most frequent predictions. This is the first time he has been mentioned for threes this season. He has just cleared this prop in one of his last four games, but The Law of Averages states he should be successful tonight.
Porter Jr. has made 3 or more threes in six of his last ten games, the fact that it has happened just once in the last four games does not deter us from placing a unit on this wager. The Knicks do not have forwards that can match Porter Jr.s height, and he has three great passers that will find him on open looks. Put a unit on the seven foot forward to have a good night behind the arc.
Get $1,500 In Bonus Bets With BetMGM Promo Code: ALARM
BetMGM is an excellent sportsbook to consider, and for those who do not yet have an account, Fantasy Alarm offers a promotional code for use. By clicking here and entering the BetMGM promo code ALARM, you can secure a guaranteed $1,500 in bet protection.
If your bet doesn't win, you'll earn your stake back in bonus bets up to $1,500! One of today's NBA best bets comes from BetMGM, and you may apply the promotion towards a favorable plus odds proposition.
If you have not yet registered with BetMGM, it is advisable to download the app, even if you have your own preferred betting strategy. Embrace this opportunity and take advantage of this exclusive promotion today.
Bet Smart, Be Lucky - Iggy
*All odds accurate at time of writing and NBA best bets to be placed at 1 unit unless specified otherwise
Player News
Buddy Hield had 15 points (5-of-14 FGs), three rebounds, one assist, one steal and four three-pointers against the Timberwolves in Game 2 on Thursday.
Hield moved into the Warriors’ starting lineup in the first round and the team became somewhat reliant on his scoring. With Stephen Curry (hamstring) out in Game 2, Hield started and played 29 minutes. The 32-year-old shooting guard led the Warriors in field goal attempts, though no one in a Golden State uniform was able to reach 20 points. The Warriors weren’t able to overcome a double-digit first half deficit. Despite the four made three-pointers, they’re going to need more from Hield as the series shifts to Golden State, especially if Curry remains out.
Jimmy Butler had 17 points (6-of-13 FGs), seven rebounds, four assists, one steal and two three-pointers against the Timberwolves in Game 2 on Thursday.
Butler couldn’t get it done without Stephen Curry (hamstring) on the road in Game 2. The Warriors fell behind by double-digits early and never recovered. Butler had 17 points on 13 shots, which wasn’t far off from the 20 points he had in Game 1. Still, the Warriors have to regroup as they head home for Games 3 and 4 as they try to figure out a way to keep this series close until Curry can return to the court.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker had 20 points (7-of-13 FGs), two rebounds, three assists, one block and four three-pointers in Game 2 against the Warriors on Thursday.
Alexander-Walker was a key scorer off the bench in Game 2. He, Naz Reid and Donte DiVencenzo combined for 10 made three-pointers off the bench. In a game where the Warriors were desperate for scoring without Stephen Curry (hamstring), those bench points were too much to overcome as the Timberwolves won by 24 points.
Julius Randle had 24 points (10-of-17 FGs), seven rebounds, 11 assists and one three-pointer in Game 2 against the Warriors on Thursday.
Randle led the Timberwolves in scoring in the Game 2 victory. The 30-year-old power forward was just three rebounds away from a triple-double. He was a steadying presence in his 33 minutes as Anthony Edwards dealt with an ankle injury towards the end of the first half. Edwards recovered from his injury to play 34 minutes, but Randle is still the next most important player in this series for the Timberwolves.
Anthony Edwards had 20 points (6-of-13 FGs), nine rebounds, five assists, three steals, one block and two three-pointers in the Timberwolves’ 117-93 victory over the Warriors in Game 2 on Thursday.
Edwards appeared to suffer a sprained left ankle towards the end of the second quarter as the Warriors’ Trayce Jackson-Davis landed on his foot. Edwards turned the same ankle in the first round against the Lakers and appeared to re-aggravate the injury. The 23-year-old shooting guard would go on to start the second half and play a team-high 34 minutes in the Game 2 victory. Edwards will only have one full day off before the series resumes in Golden State for Game 3 on Saturday.
Warriors will start Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green and Quinten Post in Game 2 against the Timberwolves on Thursday.
No surprise here as Curry was always a long shot to make it back for Game 2 after leaving Game 1 with hamstring injury. While there has been a report that the 37-year-old point guard is expected to miss a week, there is no firm timetable for his return. The Warriors will go big with their starting lineup for Game 2 with center Quinten Post entering the lineup in Curry’s absence.