NBA Best Bets & Player Props January 3: Jalen Duren is Set to Crash the Boards

More Meat Loaf, ‘but two out of three ain’t bad’. Jonas Valanciunas reminded us why you should not doubt his rebounding skills, even when his minutes are down and up against a tough rebounding team. However, Franz Wagner and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander came through and made another profitable day for 2024.
There are twelve NBA games today, meaning most of the league is in action tonight. There are seven teams on the second of back-to-back games and Fantasy Alarm NBA Best Bets focuses on two of those games, the New Orleans Pelicans at Minnesota Timberwolves and Brooklyn Nets at Houston Rockets. There is also a bet against the Memphis Grizzlies who are on back-to-back games and hosting the Toronto Raptors. The Bet of Night features someone who has led to three successful bets, Jalen Duren versus the Utah Jazz.
NBA Bet of the Night
Jalen Duren OVER 11.5 Rebounds (-130 at BetMGM)
This has become an automatic bet as of late, and let it be a reminder we are betting on this bet until he is no longer successful at his rebounding line. The sportsbooks moved his line up to 12.5 in his previous match, and they paid out massively on the plus money. They have since moved the line down and added some chalk, all fine by us. To quote the Hall of Fame linebacker and former NFL head coach Mike Singletary, ‘I WANT WINNERS!’
Jalen Duren's over 11.5 rebounds have been just that. The former Memphis Tiger has fourteen or more rebounds since returning to action on December twenty-sixth. The Utah Jazz are a tough team to rebound against and have allowed the fifth-fewest points to opposing centers. This does not put fear into laying the wager. The line moved down, he is the Pistons pivotal player as he has kept most of their games competitive and will be battling for boards to help contribute to a possible win. In Jalen we trust.
NBA Prop Bet of the Night
Scottie Barnes OVER 20.5 Points (-105 at DraftKings)
Scottie Barnes is another column favorite, as he is a great rebounder and point scorer for the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors recently traded for Immanuel Quickly and RJ Barrett, and although this could take away from Barnes playing time and points, as of yet it has done neither. He went over thirty-three minutes in every game of December and has averaged over thirty-six minutes in his last two games.
The Raptors play the Memphis Grizzlies, who although at home are on the second of back-to-back games. They have not given out an injury/rest report and this line is tight with a one-point spread. The Memphis Grizzlies allow the eleventh most points to the point guard position, although Barnes is capable of playing as a forward as well. Memphis allows 113.4 points and Scottie Barnes will be a better player than they saw last night against the San Antonio Spurs.
NBA Parlay of the Night
Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5 & Houston Rockets -4.5 (+222 at BetMGM)
There are several teams in back-to-back games, but the Houston Rockets and Minnesota Timberwolves have a slight advantage in their home record. The Minnesota Timberwolves are 14-1 at the Target Center and the Houston Rockets are 13-5 at the Toyota Center. Inversely the New Orleans Pelicans are 8-7 in away games, and the Brooklyn Nets are 6-11. The Pelicans could be resting Zion Williamson, and Jonas Valanciunas, and restricting CJ McCollum and Brandon Ingram’s minutes. Even if they do play, playing against the best team in the Western Conference, at home is a tall task for a team that can be extremely streaky.
The Brooklyn Nets played the New Orleans Pelicans last night and are going to a scenario against a tough defense with a better center. Valanciunas and Larry Nance destroyed them in the front court, and Alperen Sengun should take advantage of the same situation. Dillon Brooks will make the guards of Spencer Dinwiddie and Mikal Bridges force turnovers. The Rockets are also well-rested. This line was -5.5 but I noticed it at -5 on other sportsbooks, therefore the Rockets line is teased down one point but still brings fantastic odds for the home teams to cover against visiting teams on back-to-back nights.
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Bet Smart, Be Lucky - Iggy
*All Bets to be placed at 1 unit unless specified otherwise
Player News
On Tuesday, ESPN’s Tim MacMahon reported that the Jazz have no plans to trade Lauri Markkanen this offseason.
With the Jazz in the midst of a rebuild, there have been questions regarding Markkanen’s future with the franchise. However, while John Collins and Collin Sexton were traded this offseason and Jordan Clarkson’s contract was bought out, the team reportedly does not plan to move Markkanen. “It would be too much to describe Markkanen as untouchable, but the Jazz still project the All-Star forward as a key player in their future core,” MacMahon wrote. In addition to how he’s viewed within the franchise, Markkanen’s contract may deter some teams. Last August, he agreed to a five-year extension worth $238 million. Utah still needs some veterans to lead the way for their young roster, which is why Markkanen remains so valuable to the franchise.
Dalton Knecht shot 3-of-15 from the field and 1-of-4 from the foul line in Monday’s loss to the Clippers, scoring eight points with seven rebounds, two assists, one steal and one three-pointer.
Knecht had a rough night, shooting 1-of-8 from beyond the arc. Unfortunately for the second-year wing, he’s had more difficult nights than good ones this summer, which is concerning for the Lakers. Generally speaking, teams want to see their returnees excel in Las Vegas, if not dominate. Knecht has not done that, which may result in him playing more games at summer league than the Lakers would have hoped.
Bronny James accounted for 17 points (6-of-10 FGs, 2-of-2 FTs), five rebounds, five assists and three three-pointers in Monday’s loss to the Clippers.
James put forth his best performance of the NBA 2K26 Summer League on Monday, leading the Lakers in scoring and offering solid value in the rebound and assist categories. Looking forward to the regular season, the second-year guard is not in a great position to provide tangible fantasy value. The Lakers remain in win-now mode, likely limiting Bronny’s opportunities to contribute. His ability to crack the rotation will likely hinge on what James can provide as a defender and perimeter shooter.
Yanic Konan Niederhauser tallied 10 points (5-of-9 FGs), two rebounds and two steals in Monday’s win over the Lakers.
After two subdued performances, Konan Niederhauser was more involved offensively on Monday. The nine shot attempts exceeded his total in the Clippers’ first two games in Las Vegas, and the rookie’s teammates appeared more intent on getting him the ball. That led to a few dunks that likely boosted Konan Niederhauser’s confidence, and he finished in double figures. The hope is that he’ll be more consistent on both ends of the floor.
Jordan Miller finished Monday’s win over the Lakers with 19 points (7-of-11 FGs, 4-of-4 FTs), seven rebounds, two assists, two steals and one three-pointer.
Waived by the Clippers just before the start of summer league, Miller is looking to earn another NBA opportunity, whether it’s with Los Angeles or another team. He needs to improve three-point shooting and defense, both on and off the ball. Miller looked good against the Lakers and performed well in Sunday’s win over the Bucks. The Clippers have a few standard contract slots available, and Miller may be positioning himself to earn one. However, he won’t be worth the risk in fantasy leagues.
ESPN’s Shams Charania reports the Hornets have signed Drew Peterson to a two-way contract.
After spending his first two seasons with the Celtics, Peterson is reportedly headed to Charlotte. The player and his new head coach are familiar with each other, as Hornets coach Charles Lee was a Celtics assistant during the 2023-24 season. While the change of scenery may result in more opportunities for Peterson, he is not a player to target in fantasy drafts.