What a day yesterday, bringing in over 1.7 units for profit behind another Meat Loaf moment. Jalen Duren is an amazing rebounder and he slipped by the hook with a double unit win. There are six games tonight, and only the Charlotte Hornets are playing the second of back-to-back games. The bet of the night features a player who has been playing exceptionally well over the past two weeks. 

Franz Wagner and the Orlando Magic play the first of back-to-back nights against the Golden State Warriors. Jonas Valanciunas is a column favorite and he has a plus-money prop tonight versus the Brooklyn Nets. There is also a bet on what is the game of the night, Boston Celtics at Oklahoma City Thunder, two of the top five teams in the Association meet on the hardwood. Shai Gilgeious-Alexander, one of the highest scorers of December, has a favorable prop near even odds to round the night of betting.

 

NBA Bet of the Night

Franz Wagner OVER 5.5 Rebounds (-125 at DraftKings)

The Orlando Magic continue their road tour and play against the Golden State Warriors tonight with a 10:00 PM ET tip-off. The Warriors are still going through their roster to figure out the best rotation, and truly are not the same team without Draymond Green. Golden State has lost three in a row, and the once-mighty dynasty is currently ranked in the bottom five of the Western Conference. 

Franz Wagner has been a rebounding machine as of late, with six or more rebounds in seven of his last eight games. He averages six per game and the Warriors are 12 in rebounds allowed to opposing teams, but have allowed 53.4 in their last three games, and 53.0 at home. Wagner is also scoring and being aggressive in defensive rebounding. There should be several shots from the Splash Brothers which could lead to long rebounds, favoring Wagner’s over on this prop. Trust the twenty-two-year-old to outhustle the older Warriors.

NBA Prop Bets

Jonas Valanciunas UNDER 9.5 Rebounds (+105 at DraftKings)

Jonas Valanciunas is one of the most consistent rebounding line proposition bets, and he has been mentioned in here a few times. This will be his first appearance on the under of his rebound total though, as the New Orleans Pelicans host the Brooklyn Nets. He has the potential to be a rebounding machine and has more weight and experience than opposing center Nic Claxton. Both of their lines are set at 9.5 and both are the leading rebounder for their team. Jonas is also a top-ten rebounder on the season, but he has gone under in his last two games. 

A large part of the dip is better rebounding from Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram. Even Herbert Jones is getting more rebounds, but most importantly Larry Nance is back and getting playing time (Valanciunas's backup). Nance has played over twenty-three minutes in the last two games, and this trend could continue as New Orleans plays the first of back-to-back games. The under at plus money with Valanciunas competition not only from Nic Claxton but his teammates makes this prop bet a great play.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 32.5 Points (-105 at BetMGM)

Shai Gligeous-Alexander (SGA) has been a scoring machine. He is playing absolutely lights out, and his December was a stretch that would rival any month, from any guard, from any era. He scored 415 points, with only one game less than twenty-four points, had 86 assists, 70 rebounds, and shot 55.3% from the field. The points and the field goal percentage are really what pop out though. He is the third-highest scorer in the league with 31.2 points per game and is playing the best Eastern Conference defense tonight, the Boston Celtics. 

Here’s a fact though, SGA put up thirty-four points against the best defense in the league, the Minnesota Timberwolves. Three days later he put up forty against the second-best defense and did it at Ball Arena against the Denver Nuggets. Now he is at home against the third-best defense in the league, who allow the seventeenth most points to opposing guards. It is the first of back-to-back games, but those seem to have little effect on his play. A fun prop bet on the game of the night, SGA could make his case for a legitimate MVP if he puts up another thirty-three-point game against a top-three defense.

Remember to check out Fantasy Alarm for all your NBA and sports needs. Including stats, injury updates, daily fantasy sports advice, season-long fantasy advice, and the DFS Show with Jon and James.

 

Thank you for reading.
Bet Smart, Be Lucky - Iggy

*All Bets to be placed at 1 unit unless specified otherwise