Mavericks vs. Kings Predictions, Picks & Odds: NBA Play-In Tournament, 4/16

Heading into the NBA’s final regular season day back on Sunday, the Western Conference was still in chaos, but there were three teams already locked into the Play-In Tournament. Including the Dallas Mavericks and Sacramento Kings. As they now get set to play each other, we’ve got our top Mavericks vs. Kings predictions for you.
To help you include some daily player picks to the best bet from our Mavericks vs. Kings picks, we’ve also got a guaranteed Sleeper Fantasy promo code bonus for you!
Mavericks vs. Kings Predictions For Tonight NBA Play-In Tournament, 4/16
Before diving into any Mavericks vs. Kings predictions or a best bet, the first thing to note about this game, and both of tonight’s matchups, is that they’re elimination games. Even the victor will have to go on and win on Friday night as well, so it’s safe to say that these clashes are crucial.
This is a familiar spot for Sacramento, as they eliminated the cross-state rival Golden State Warriors in the Play-In Tournament last season. However, that led to them getting eliminated by the New Orleans Pelicans, while the Mavs were en route to their NBA Finals appearance against the Boston Celtics.
Of course, Luka Doncic no longer in town hinders that possibility, and it also plays a role in both the Mavericks vs. Kings odds and how we expect tonight’s game to end. The absence of a triple-double threat is likely the only hint you need as to where we’re headed for the best bet from our Mavericks vs. Kings predictions.
Dallas Mavericks: Looking To Make History
The Mavs locking themselves in as a Play-In team way back on Friday meant that they could rest their starters on Sunday, and it also marked the first time that the franchise has been involved in this tournament. While that’s not quite the history that they were looking to make, they can still make some positive news as well.
With Dallas being the #10 seed, it doesn't just mean that they’re on the road tonight - it also means that history is against them. No #10 seed has ever come out of the Play-In Tournament to make the true playoff bracket. While that possibility is still alive, oddsmakers are suggesting otherwise.
Sacramento Kings: Jonas Valanciunas, The Play-In King
As we previously mentioned, the Kings were in the Play-In Tournament last year, but just back-to-back seasons is nothing when it comes to Jonas Valanciunas. The inception of the new postseason format came back in 202, and the Kings big man has been involved for every single one of them!
That’s right - six straight years in the Play-In Tournament! It all began while with the Memphis Grizzlies, followed by the Pelicans, and now, with the Kings. Given so many appearances in this short tourney, it should come as no surprise that Jonas Valanciunas has the most points AND rebounds all-time in the Play-In Tournament.
Mavericks vs. Kings Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
We slightly foreshadowed how we’d be approaching the Mavericks vs. Kings odds, and you can see the latest lines below:
- Point Spread: Dallas Mavericks +5 (-110) vs. Sacramento Kings -5 (-110)
- Money Line: Dallas Mavericks (+165) vs. Sacramento Kings (-200)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 215.5 (-110) vs. Under 215.5 (-110)
Mavericks vs. Kings Best Bet: Under 215.5 Points (Target Individual Player Picks At Sleeper Fantasy)
Jonas Valanciunas - a force down low to stifle Anthony Davis with his experience with the Play-In Tournament. That’s all that needs to be said for Mavericks vs. Kings predictions, right? Of course not, but it is a factor in our best bet being on the under.
We’ll admit that this total is quite low, but it also makes sense as to why that is. The Mavs may have Anthony Davis in lieu of Luka Doncic, but let’s not forget that Kyrie Irving’s torn ACL doesn’t exactly translate to more points for Dallas. Those two superstar losses are also why the Mavs have the third-worst record against the spread since March 1.
While that could have us backing Sacramento instead, we still like a lower-scoring game. After all, the Kings held the Warriors to just 94 points in last year’s Play-In Tournament, and then followed that up by scoring just 98 points themselves. In other words, with the pressure on and players more tense, these games tend to be lower-scoring.
It’s also what we saw when these teams met in the regular season. Two of those three stayed under the total, including a 110-100 game back before any trades. Afterwards, in their most recent clash, we saw Dallas score just 98 points. So, perhaps you could isolate the Mavs team total under as part of your Mavericks vs. Kings picks.
However, with Sacramento also without Malik Monk, we like the entire game approach, making the best bet from our Mavericks vs. Kings predictions on the under 215.5 points (consider Sleeper player picks if you don’t want to root against points!).
Mavericks vs. Kings Injury Report & Starting Lineups
Before you get too concerned seeing a bunch of Mavs guys on the injured list like Klay Thompson and Anthony Davis, they were just resting on Sunday. As for real Mavericks vs. Kings injury news, it’s the absence of Kyrie Irving for Dallas and Malik Monk for Sacramento that are concerns.
With those two off the court, here are the expected Mavericks vs. Kings lineups for tonight’s game:
DAL Mavericks:
SAC Kings:
- Keon Tyrese Ellis
- Zach LaVine
- DeMar DeRozan
- Keegan Murray
- Jonas Valanciunas
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