Underdog Fantasy MLB Picks Today, 7/10: DFS Projections + Shohei Promo
We have a boatload of baseball today as multiple teams are playing double-headers and 17 games total, which means plenty of opportunities to secure ourselves a nice winning day on Underdog Fantasy.
Looking for an edge today, we look at Mark Vientos of the New York Mets and Spencer Steer of the Cincinnati Reds.
MLB Underdog Fantasy Picks & Promo Today: Wednesday, 7/10
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Mark Vientos Underdog MLB Pick: Higher Than 1.5 Total Bases (1.1x)
We’ve touted Mark Vientos against left-handed pitching a LOT lately and today’s no different, especially when we’re looking at a 1.1x multiplier on his total bases. On the year, Vientos has a .662 SLG%, 1.056 OPS, .323 ISO and .447 wOBA against southpaws.
Patrick Corbin is on the mound facing Vientos and the Mets and righties are giving him fits this season as they’re batting .308 with a .381 wOBA. Righties have hit 13 of the 14 homers Corbin’s allowed and his flyball rate is elevated, strikeout rate shrinks, and hard contact goes up against them. This is a dream spot for Vientos to do serious damage.
Spencer Steer Underdog MLB Pick: Higher Than 1.5 Total Bases
All of Spencer Steer’s numbers this year are better against left-handed pitchers and that’s what he gets here facing off against Kyle Freeland. Steer has an .822 OPS, .216 ISO and .354 wOBA against southpaws this year and Freeland’s allowed righties to bat .318 with a .370 wOBA.
Things are Steering in the right direction thus far in July considering he’s belted four home runs over his last six games and gets to hit in his home ballpark here.
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Player News
Cubs re-signed RHP Caleb Kilian to a minor league contract.
The 27-year-old hurler was released last weekend after being designated for assignment, but after exploring the open market he has decided that a reunion with the Cubs made the most sense. Kilian will continue to function as extra rotation depth at Triple-A Iowa for the time being.
Corey Seager went 2-for-3 with a homer and a walk to help the Rangers take down the Angels 5-3 on Thursday.
Seager had a bad first week and a half while dealing with a calf strain, but he’s collected 14 hits, including three homers, in his last eight games, putting him at .306/.368/.516 overall. Alas, it’s produced just six RBI, mostly because the Rangers are getting terrible production from the ninth and first spots in the order.
Kumar Rocker recorded his first MLB victory after pitching seven innings of three-run ball and striking out eight Thursday against the Angels.
Rocker walked none and surrendered just one double and four singles. Unfortunately, all five hits came in the first and fifth innings, resulting in three runs between them. Still, Rocker was terrific in needing just 78 pitches to get 21 outs. It’s the kind of performance that suggests he might offer mixed-league value at some point. We just wouldn’t trust him quite yet. His next start will come in Sacramento against the A’s.
Robert Garcia picked up his first save of the year with a perfect ninth against the Angels on Thursday.
Garcia got the call tonight with Luke Jackson having pitched the previous two days and retired the Angels on five pitches. Even though he’s the better reliever of the two, he’ll likely resume taking a backseat to Jackson on Friday.
Jack Kochanowicz gave up four runs and eight hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Rangers on Thursday.
The surprising and misguided decision to pick Kochanowicz over Reid Detmers for a rotation spot at the end of the spring isn’t working out for the Angels. The team might reverse course soon, but Detmers hasn’t been used as a long guy and isn’t stretched out to start right away. Kochanowicz is now 1-2 with a 6.20 ERA, but at least he gets the Pirates next.
Joc Pederson went 0-for-4 with a strikeout Thursday, dropping his average to .060.
It’s mostly been hard grounders and routine flies from Pederson thus far, but given that his bat speed is unchanged from last year, we don’t have big concerns here yet. That said, this might not be the weekend he turns it around, given that the Rangers are set to face the Dodgers.