For Friday, July 12th, our Underdog Fantasy MLB picks feature Kansas City Royals starter Cole Ragans and Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero in an entry with a 7.01x multiplier.

 

 

 

MLB Underdog Fantasy Picks & Promo Today: Friday, July 12th

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Additionally, in honor of the 2024 MLB HR Derby, Underdog is giving away a free square on Gunnar Henderson! Take advantage of this fantastic deal and be sure to explore our top Underdog MLB picks for today's games.

 

 

Cole Ragans Underdog MLB Pick: More Than 7.5 Strikeouts

This play here today has just a 0.85x multiplier on Underdog Fantasy which is all you need to know with Cole Ragans matchup against the Red Sox. Over the last two weeks, the Red Sox have a 37% strikeout rate against left-handed pitching. 

Overall this season, they lead the league with a 29% strikeout rate against left-handed pitching. They have allowed “non-strikeout” pitchers like Andrew Abbott and Max Fried to have double-digit strikeout games. They faced Marlins struggling lefty Trevor Rogers and he pulled off six strikeouts in three innings. They just faced A’s lefty JP Sears and he had eight strikeouts in 5.2 innings. 

You get the picture, right? Ragans IS an elite strikeout pitcher, owning a 29% strikeout rate and a K/9 of 11.0 on the season. This play should be locked.

 

 

 

Vladimir Guerrero Underdog MLB Pick: More Than 0.5 Home Runs

We are going after Ryne Nelson here again as the Diamondbacks righty has allowed righties to hit .350 with a .531 slugging percentage and a .394 wOBA on the year. Righties also have a 43% hard contact rate off of Nelson this season.

Guerrero has cooled off a bit since his torrid late June stretch, having not homered since June 29th, but I can see that changing here today given the favorable hitting environment and the matchup here against Ryne Nelson.

Total Multiplier - 7.01x

 

 

 

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