Brandon Pfaadt Underdog MLB Picks Today, 9/19: Baseball Projections + More
On Thursday, September 19th, We have a massive opportunity to secure a nice winning day with our best Underdog MLB Picks and MLB DFS projections considering all 30 teams are in action.
Looking for an edge today, we look at the MLB DFS projections for Brandon Pfaadt of the Arizona Diamondbacks and Dansby Swanson of the Chicago Cubs.
Underdog MLB Picks, Thursday, 9/19: MLB DFS Projections
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Brandon Pfaadt MLB Underdog Pick: More Than 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (1.07x)
Brandon Pfaadt has been really, really bad lately. Over his last six starts, he’s allowed three earned runs or more in each outing and has done that in eight of his last nine. Over his last nine starts, Brandon Pfaadt has pitched to a 7.58 ERA, .340 BAA, and has allowed a .386 wOBA.
The Brewers are his matchup and they’ve been great against right-handed pitching all year long. They rank seventh in OPS and wOBA and 10th in wRC+. Pfaadt is one of the best Underdog MLB Picks of the day.
Dansby Swanson MLB Underdog Pick: More Than 1.5 Total Bases (1.1x)
Dansby Swanson has owned left-handed pitching this year batting .323 with a .915 OPS, .198 ISO, and .391 wOBA. He’s also been great in general lately, batting .294 with an .822 OPS in September.
He faces off against Patrick Corbin today and Corbin has been quite bad against righties this year. Right-handed hitters have a .208 ISO and .373 wOBA this season. Swanson is amongst the best Underdog MLB Picks of the entire slate of baseball.
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Player News
Cubs re-signed RHP Caleb Kilian to a minor league contract.
The 27-year-old hurler was released last weekend after being designated for assignment, but after exploring the open market he has decided that a reunion with the Cubs made the most sense. Kilian will continue to function as extra rotation depth at Triple-A Iowa for the time being.
Corey Seager went 2-for-3 with a homer and a walk to help the Rangers take down the Angels 5-3 on Thursday.
Seager had a bad first week and a half while dealing with a calf strain, but he’s collected 14 hits, including three homers, in his last eight games, putting him at .306/.368/.516 overall. Alas, it’s produced just six RBI, mostly because the Rangers are getting terrible production from the ninth and first spots in the order.
Kumar Rocker recorded his first MLB victory after pitching seven innings of three-run ball and striking out eight Thursday against the Angels.
Rocker walked none and surrendered just one double and four singles. Unfortunately, all five hits came in the first and fifth innings, resulting in three runs between them. Still, Rocker was terrific in needing just 78 pitches to get 21 outs. It’s the kind of performance that suggests he might offer mixed-league value at some point. We just wouldn’t trust him quite yet. His next start will come in Sacramento against the A’s.
Robert Garcia picked up his first save of the year with a perfect ninth against the Angels on Thursday.
Garcia got the call tonight with Luke Jackson having pitched the previous two days and retired the Angels on five pitches. Even though he’s the better reliever of the two, he’ll likely resume taking a backseat to Jackson on Friday.
Jack Kochanowicz gave up four runs and eight hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Rangers on Thursday.
The surprising and misguided decision to pick Kochanowicz over Reid Detmers for a rotation spot at the end of the spring isn’t working out for the Angels. The team might reverse course soon, but Detmers hasn’t been used as a long guy and isn’t stretched out to start right away. Kochanowicz is now 1-2 with a 6.20 ERA, but at least he gets the Pirates next.
Joc Pederson went 0-for-4 with a strikeout Thursday, dropping his average to .060.
It’s mostly been hard grounders and routine flies from Pederson thus far, but given that his bat speed is unchanged from last year, we don’t have big concerns here yet. That said, this might not be the weekend he turns it around, given that the Rangers are set to face the Dodgers.