Best MLB DFS Picks At Underdog Today, 9/27: Baseball Projections + More
On Friday, September 27th, we have a massive opportunity to secure a nice winning day with our Best MLB DFS Underdog Picks and MLB DFS projections.
Looking for an edge today, we look at the MLB DFS projections for Spencer Horwitz of the Toronto Blue Jays and Charlie Blackmon of the Colorado Rockies.
Best MLB DFS Underdog Fantasy Picks, Fri, 9/27: MLB DFS Projections
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Spencer Horwitz MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: More Than 1.5 Total Bases (1.24x)
Spencer Horwitz has been decent this year, but he’s been great against right-handed pitching. That’s what we have in this matchup against Adam Oller and the Miami Marlins and Horwitz is amongst the Best MLB DFS Underdog Picks of the day.
Horwitz has hit .287 with a .494 SLG%, .877 OPS, .206 ISO, and .377 wOBA. Against Adam Oller, lefties have a .178 ISO (.235 xISO) and a .400 wOBA over the last 30 days. I love the multiplier attached to Horwitz’s total bases.
Charlie Blackmon MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: More Than 1.5 Total Bases (1.1x)
We have a lot working for us here. The Dodgers clinched their division last night and there’s a chance a skeleton crew is used to build up some fresh arms as they prepare for the playoffs. We’re not even sure who’s pitching for the Dodgers at this point, but it won’t be any of their top arms.
Blackmon is retiring at the end of the year, and this is his final series ever. Blackmon has been incredible this season at home, posting an .888 OPS, .227 ISO, and .380 wOBA. He’s been great this entire month posting a .295 AVG, .557 SLG%, .910 OPS, .262 ISO, and a .384 wOBA.
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Player News
Yainer Diaz collected his 12th homer and 11th double Sunday in the Astros’ 5-1 defeat of the Dodgers.
Diaz also homered Saturday, and he now has a season high .691 OPS. He’s hit .271/.298/.453 in 70 games since overcoming an ugly 2-for-33 start in his first nine games this season.
Ryan Gusto pitched six innings and allowed one run Sunday in a victory over the Dodgers.
Gusto managed just one strikeout and gave up 12 hard-hit balls today, but it all worked out for him, as the hard contact produced only one double and three singles. He’s now 6-3, even though he has a 4.61 ERA in 12 starts and seven relief appearances. He’ll face the Rangers next weekend.
Emmet Sheehan held the Astros to one run over five innings in a no-decision Sunday.
Sheehan allowed five hits, walked one and struck out four in his second major league start this season. He’ll be rather interesting in mixed leagues if he gets to keep his spot, though with Tyler Glasnow returning later this week and Blake Snell likely back soon after the All-Star break, Sheehan might continue to get shuffled around between Triple-A and the majors.
After coming with the Dodgers down 2-1 in the eighth, Tanner Scott gave up two solo homers Sunday against the Astros.
Christian Walker and Yainer Diaz took him deep. That Scott has as many homers allowed as walks allowed (seven) rates as one of the most bizarre stats of 2025. He allowed three homers and walked 36 last year. Over the course of his career, he has 7.2 times as many walks as homers allowed. Clearly, throwing more pitches in the strike zone has made him more hittable, and it doesn’t seem like the tradeoff has been worth it. Still, he had pitching well of late coming into the day; he’d allowed two runs — one earned — over 13 1/3 innings in his previous 13 appearances.
Jose Altuve went 2-for-4 and hit his 16th homer Sunday in the win over the Dodgers.
He also had a sac fly. It was a particularly good day for Altuve, who missed out on an All-Star nod in favor or Brandon Lowe at second base and no longer has to try to come up with an excuse for getting out of going to Atlanta. He’s batting .272/.332/.457.
Dodgers’ skipper Dave Roberts relayed to reporters on Sunday that the imaging on the injured foot for Teoscar Hernandez came back clean.
The 32-year-old slugger fouled a ball off of his foot during Saturday’s game against the Astros. Fortunately, he isn’t dealing with any fractures, though he is still dealing with a bit of soreness in the foot. He should be considered day-to-day.